Paper praising models’ predictions proves they greatly exaggerate

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, A recent paper by Hausfather et al. purports to demonstrate that models “are accurately projecting global warming”. In reality, and stripped of the now-routine hype and editorializing with which the paper is riddled, the results plainly demonstrate precisely the opposite – that models have exaggerated global warming – and continue…

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Do Models Run Hot Or Not? A Process Control View

Guest post by Kevin Kilty Introduction This short essay was prompted by a recent article regarding improvements to uncertainty in a global mean temperature estimate.[1] However, much bandwidth has been spilt lately in the related topic of error propagation [2, 3, 4], and so a small portion of this essay in its concluding remarks is…

CMIP5 Model Temperature Results in Excel

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been looking at the surface temperature results from the 42 CMIP5 models used in the IPCC reports. It’s a bit of a game to download them from the outstanding KNMI site. To get around that, I’ve collated them into an Excel workbook so that everyone can investigate them. Here’s…