Climate Model Inadequacies for Sea Ice

Via CO2science.org Near the start of the current century, Holland (2001) wrote that with respect to contemporary state-of-the-art global climate models, “some physical processes are absent from the models,” while…

Analyzing ocean mixing reveals insight on climate

Eddies pull carbon emissions into deep ocean, new model simulates complex process From DOE/LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LABORATORY LOS ALAMOS, N.M., June 24, 2015–Scientists at Los Alamos National Laboratory have developed…

Lamenting the Double ITCZ Bias in CMIP5 Climate Models

From CO2 Science, something that Willis Eschebach holds dear as a regulating mechanism: The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone In what must be a difficult acknowledgement to make, Oueslati and Bellon (2015)…

Another Model -vs- Reality problem – National Weather Offices: Canada, A Case Study With National And Global Implications.

Guest opinion: Dr. Tim Ball An article by Lord Monckton outlined his involvements with Thomas Karl, Director of NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville NC. It arose from a…

Climate modeler Matthew England still ignoring reality – claims IPCC models will eventually win

From the University of New South Wales and  ‘models versus reality‘ department comes this claim from alarmist Matthew England, whose “say anything” track record isn’t at all impressive, and looks…

Study: Global Warming Actually More Moderate Than Worst-Case IPCC Models

From Duke University, where they validate what we’ve been saying for quite some time: there’s a divergence between climate models and reality. Global warming progressing at moderate rate, empirical data…

A reply to Born: How to represent temperature feedbacks in a simple model

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, David Legates, Willie Soon and Matt Briggs Mr. Born has had another go at our paper Why models run hot, published in January 2015 (PDF…

Models overestimate 60 year decadal trends

Guest essay by Clive Best Marotzke & Forster(2015) found that 60 year trends in global surface temperatures are dominated by underlying climate physics. However, the  data show that climate models overestimate such…

Where the complex climate models go wrong

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchly Joe Born (March 12) raises some questions about our paper Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model, published in January in…

Reflections on Monckton et al.'s 'Transience Fraction'

Guest essay by Joe Born In Monckton et al., “Why Models Run Hot: Results from an Irreducibly Simple Climate Model,” the manner in which the authors used their so-called transience…

Whoops! Study shows huge basic errors found in CMIP5 climate models

It was just yesterday that we highlighted this unrealistic claim from CMIP5 models: Laughable modeling study claims: in the middle of ‘the pause’, ‘climate is starting to change faster’. Now…

Mann's meme generator, from 'false hockey sticks' to 'false pauses'

Bob Tisdale has already effectively dealt a death-blow to Michael Mann’s claims, here: On Steinman et al. (2015) – Michael Mann and Company Redefine Multidecadal Variability And Wind Up Illustrating…

On Steinman et al. (2015) – Michael Mann and Company Redefine Multidecadal Variability And Wind Up Illustrating Climate Model Failings

Guest Post By Bob Tisdale For the past few years, we’ve been showing in numerous blog posts that the observed multidecadal variations in sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic…

Are Climate Modelers Scientists?

Guest essay by Pat Frank For going on two years now, I’ve been trying to publish a manuscript that critically assesses the reliability of climate model projections. The manuscript has…

Believing In Six Impossible Things Before Breakfast, And Climate Models

Dr. Chris Essex: Why Computers Cannot Reproduce The Climate, Never Mind Predicting Its Future A GWPF talk by Dr Christopher Essex – Chairman, Permanent Monitoring Panel on Climate, World Federation…

Inconvenient study: Seafloor volcano pulses may alter climate – models may be wrong

New data show strikingly regular patterns, from weeks to eons From The Earth Institute at Columbia University: Vast ranges of volcanoes hidden under the oceans are presumed by scientists to…

Does the Uptick in Global Surface Temperatures in 2014 Help the Growing Difference between Climate Models and Reality?

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post includes calendar year 2014 global surface temperature data from GISS and NCDC. I thought it would be interesting to begin the introduction as…

On the futility of climate models: 'simplistic nonsense'

Guest essay by Leo Smith – elevated from a comment left on WUWT on January 6, 2015 at 2:11 am (h/t to dbs) As an engineer, my first experience of…

The Best Test of Downscaling

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent issue of Science magazine there was a “Perspective” article entitled “Projecting regional change” (paywalled here)  This is the opening: Techniques to downscale…

A Few Comments on the New Paper by Gavin Schmidt and Steven Sherwood

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In his post Schmidt and Sherwood on climate models, Andrew Montford of BishopHill commented on the new paper by Schmidt and Sherwood A practical philosophy…