Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Last year, we discussed in a number of posts how the claims of record high global surface temperatures were due primarily to the unusual, naturally…
Category: ENSO
September 2015 ENSO Update – Sea Surface Temperatures Continue to Rise in the Central Equatorial Pacific
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years…
August 2015 ENSO Update – Another Westerly Wind Burst in Late July Should Help El Niño Evolve
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years…
Quicky Early August 2015 ENSO Update: NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Still Just Above the Threshold of a Strong El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The post provides a look at the most recent weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the equatorial Pacific. It also includes a Hovmoller diagram of…
The 2015 El Niño is shaping up to be a big one
From NOAA NNVL: July 2015 Ocean Temperatures – Conditions are currently warming up in the Pacific, and the NOAA Climate Prediction Center expects a greater than 90% chance that El…
July 2015 ENSO Update – Tropical Pacific at the Threshold of a Strong El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years…
Quicky Early July 2015 ENSO Update: NINO3 (not NINO3.4) Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Reached 2.0 Deg C Last Week
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale OVERVIEW NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO regions (based on Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. This week’s update for the…
El Niño begins to curtail the Pause
Global temperature update: no warming for 18 years 6 months By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley For 222 months, since January 1997, there has been no global warming at all (Fig.…
June 2015 ENSO Update – Tropical Pacific Approaching the Threshold of a Strong El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years for…
The 2014/15 El Niño Was Not Focused on the Region Used By NOAA for their Oceanic NINO Index
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale And that’s why the 2014/15 El Niño appears so weak…and has disappeared from NOAA’s Oceanic NINO Index with their new ERSST.v4 data. If we look…
Weak El Niños and La Niñas Come and Go from NOAA’s Oceanic NINO Index (ONI) with Each SST Dataset Revision
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Back in April of this year NOAA added the 2014/15 El Niño to their Oceanic NINO Index (a.k.a. ONI). See the former version of ONI…
ClimateProgress’s Joe Romm Is Promoting a Skeptical View of Global Warming: El Niño-Caused Steps
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale I wasn’t too surprised to find Joe Romm’s June 16, 2015 blog post 2015 May Bring Long-Awaited Step Jump in Global Temperatures at the climate…
The Recent Westerly Wind Burst in the Western Equatorial Pacific Could Help to Strengthen the 2015/16 El Niño
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The graphics at the NOAA GODAS website were running a few pentads (5-day periods) behind when I published the May 2015 ENSO Update. They’re caught…
May 2015 ENSO Update – Australia’s BOM and the JMA Declare an El Niño and With Them Comes the Typical Nonsense from an Expert Source
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years for…
Very Brief El Niño Update – End of April 2015
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the four NINO regions across the equatorial Pacific were at or above the +1.0 deg C threshold of…
NOAA ENSO Model Now Forecasting a Supercalifragilistic El Niño for 2015/16 Season
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale First: Congratulations to the teeny-tiny 2014/15 El Niño. It’s now official. NOAA included it as an “official warm event” on their Oceanic NINO Index this…
March 2015 ENSO Update – Will the 2014/15 El Niño Become the 2014/15/16 El Niño?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of the 2014-15 El Niño Series. The reference years for…
The 2014-15 El Niño – Part 23 – NOAA’s Forward-Looking El Niño Advisory Was Also Dictated by Conditions since Last September
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale After many months of borderline El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific, yesterday NOAA finally declared an El Niño was occurring. See Anthony Watts’s post…
Recent Paper Ends Abstract with “…Model Might Be Too Sensitive to the Prescribed Radiative Forcings”
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The paper is Douville et al. (2015) The recent global warming hiatus: What is the role of Pacific variability? [paywalled]. The abstract reads (my…
New Paper Claims Extreme La Niñas to Become More Frequent under Global Warming
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale The new 2015 paper by Cai et al Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming has been getting a lot of alarmist attention…
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