The Temperature of Science (PDF available here) James Hansen My experience with global temperature data over 30 years provides insight about how the science and its public perception have changed.…
Category: ENSO
Deja Vu from the Met Office?
While England basks in a winter wonderland, with more on the way, and bookmakers are now slashing odds on a white Christmas (The Times reports “The odds on a White…
El Niño gaining strength
From the “WUWT never reports on anything warm department”, JPL reports El Niño looks like it is on schedule to make a Christmas appearance as “The Boy”. The good news…
Countdown to an "unprecedented warm decade" – 2 months to go
Global Temperatures This Decade Will Be The Warmest On Record… …And It Will Be Exploited By Those Who Fail To Understand The Reasons For The Rise Guest post by Bob…
Why does Ocean Heat Content diverge from GISS projections?
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale: Why Are OHC Observations (0-700m) Diverging From GISS Projections? INTRODUCTION My post “NODC Corrections to Ocean Heat Content (0-700m) Part 2” illustrated the divergence between…
Connecting ENSO, PDV, and the North and South Pacific
A new paper in Geophysical Research Letters was brought to my attention by Dr. Leif Svalgaard. Tropical origins of North and South Pacific decadal variability by Jeremy D. Shakun and…
Weak El Niño could lead to U.S. Northeast Coldest Winter in a Decade
Bloomberg: U.S. Northeast May Have Coldest Winter in a Decade By Todd Zeranski and Erik Schatzker Sept. 28 (Bloomberg) — The U.S. Northeast may have the coldest winter in a…
A look at the Thompson et al paper – hi tech wiggle matching and removal of natural variables
Thompson et al (2009) – High-Tech Wiggle Matching Helps Illustrate El Nino-Induced Step Changes Guest Post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION In “Identifying signatures of natural climate variability in time series…
JPL's Patzert: "It's actually eroding the credibility of long-range forecasters and climatologists"
The 2009 “super El Nino” predicted by some may be a “fizzle” according reports attributed to NASA JPL’s Climatologist Bill Patzert. I wonder who he might be referring to when…
El Niño Events Are Not Getting Stronger
I knew the moment I pressed the publish button yesterday, that Bob Tisdale would have something useful to add to this discussion on El Niño and influenza. He didn’t disappoint…
Possible Linkage between the 1918 El Niño and the 1918 flu pandemic ?
Of course with H1N1 influenza concerns now reaching another peak in the media, this is bound to add fuel to the fire now that NOAA has announced we’ll likely see…
El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-2010
Here is the current SST map: From NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center: EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 10 September 2009 ENSO Alert System Status: El…
ENSO Dominates NODC Ocean Heat Content Data
ENSO Dominates NODC Ocean Heat Content Data Guest post by Bob Tisdale, BTW here is the current SST map. – Anthony The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) recently added the…
California Wildfires caused by cooler Pacific, La Niña
California’s Fires Result of a Cooling Pacific, Two Years of La Niña and Environmental Mismanagement Guest Post By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP While environmentalists and clueless politicans like CA Representative…
Hovmollering the SST: T-shirt tie-dye design or climate science?
Note: Bob wrote to me with this caveat: Caution: Those Hovmollers will bring you back to the 60s if you stare at them too long. Hence the title. – Anthony…
NOAA Lowers Hurricane Season Outlook
While NOAA is lowering forecasts, the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) from FSU COAPS is also quite low. Ryan Maue’s Tropical web page at Florida State University has this graph that…
Multiple Wrongs Don’t Make A Right on ENSO Impacts
Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Multiple Wrongs Don’t Make A Right, Especially When It Comes To Determining The Impacts Of ENSO The 2009 Foster et al paper (In Press) “Comment…
Why regression analysis fails to capture the aftereffects of El Nino events
In a study in the Journal of Geophysical Research a paper, Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature, researchers Chris de Freitas, John McLean, and Bob Carter find that…
The 30 day Southern Oscillation Index is at +12 – will El Niño fade again next month?
Here is what the current SST map looks like: From Nine News in Australia: The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is calculated from the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air…
"Surge in global temperatures since 1977 can be attributed to a 1976 climate shift in the Pacific Ocean"
Note: Above graph comes from this source and not the paper below. Only the abstract is available. (Note from 2016: The link to the graph died, the image was recovered…
Pielke Sr. – Hypothesis on daily UAH LT records
Comments On The Current Record Global Average Lower TroposphereTemperatures From Climatesci.org Roger Pielke Sr. In the last couple of weeks, the onset of the El Niño, that was discussed on…
NCAR: Solar cycle linked to global climate
Basil Copeland and I also found linkages between surface temperature and solar cycles in two articles we published in the last year. We were roundly criticized and ridiculed by warmists…
NOAA announces the arrival of El Niño
Contact: Christopher Vaccaro FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 202-536-8911 (cellular) July 9, 2009 El Niño Arrives; Expected to Persist through Winter 2009-10 NOAA scientists today announced the arrival of El…
El Nino – same but different
There Is Nothing New About The El Nino Modoki Guest post by Bob Tisdale The press release… http://media-newswire.com/release_1094000.html …for the Hye-Mi Kim, et al (2009) paper “Impact of Shifting Patterns…
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