Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Renew Economy claims my native Australia, at 1.4C warming above pre-industrial, stands on the brink of the dreaded 1.5C threshold. My question, when should we expect to see something unusually bad happen?
Scientists issue desperate climate warning: Australia already at 1.4°C
Michael Mazengarb 9 August 2021
Scientists have delivered a stark warning to the world about the impacts of climate change, saying that extreme heat, flooding, and drought are being observed in every region of the world and that these will increase in their intensity extreme unless rapid action is taken to reduce emissions.
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The report – the first of its kind in eight years – “unequivocally” confirms that global warming is occurring, attributed to human-caused increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases.
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The shocking news for Australia – already criticised for doing little on climate change – is that average temperatures have already risen 1.4°C.
The authors say that the current and future impacts of global warming are now well understood with unprecedented levels of certainty thanks to improved climate observations and advances in the scientific understanding of the human influence on the world’s climate.
“This report is a reality check,” IPCC Working Group I co-chair Valérie Masson-Delmotte said. “We now have a much clearer picture of the past, present and future climate, which is essential for understanding where we are headed, what can be done, and how we can prepare.”
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Read more: https://reneweconomy.com.au/scientists-issue-desperate-climate-warning-australia-already-at-1-4c/
Climate alarmists are taking a big narrative risk by bringing us to the brink of the magic threshold. Author Stephen King once offered the following advice for fiction writers in his story and essay collection Danse Macabre – advice which I believe climate alarmists will soon regret not heeding;
What’s behind the door or lurking at the top of the stairs is never as frightening as the door or the staircase itself. And because of this, comes the paradox: the artistic work of horror is almost always a disappointment. It is the classic no-win situation. You can scare people with the unknown for a long, long time (the classic example, as Bill Nolan also pointed out, is the Jacques Tourneur film with Dana Andrews, Curse of the Demon but sooner or later, as in poker, you have to turn your down cards up. You have to open the door and show the audience what’s behind it. And if what happens to be behind it is a bug, not ten but a hundred feet tall, the audience heaves a sigh of relief (or utters a scream of relief) and thinks, “A bug a hundred feet tall is pretty horrible, but I can deal with that. I was afraid it might be a thousand feet tall”….
Sooner or later the hero has to reach the top of the staircase, and face the monster. 1.4C warming must become 1.5C warming, tipping points have to tip. And when nothing much happens, when life goes on as normal, what then? How will alarmists deal with the narrative plot dead end they have created for themselves?
Stephen King himself sadly appears to have fallen for climate alarmist narratives. But who knows, perhaps in time the great author will will recognise the climate crisis for what it is – amateurish, poorly written horror fiction.
REALITY CHECK:
Go to this website, search “Australia” and see many extreme COLD events, happening ~now:
https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
Don’t you just hate it when a few facts demolish a great scary global warming fiction?
They have to hurry up with their narrative of warming before people realise, that in reality earth started cooling.
Allan:
Why is it that you cannot seem to understand the phenomena of “weather” vs that of “climate”?
As in climate is a long-term temp trend (decades) and weather being the noise in the climate system as the Earth’s heat-engine moves that energy around.
Do you expect that all places will have an even temperature?
There HAS to be temporal/spacial deltaTs, else the whole Earth would have to absorb/emit TSI at exactly the same rate always !!
You do know of the 2nd LoT ?
You do realize that the planet has no climate, don’t you? As with weather, climate is also regional but averaged over a longer period. You do realize that the term “climate change” is equivocation (appeal to ambiguity), don’t you?
Why is it you cannot seem to understand these simple facts?
Anthony,
Funny, but you should ask yourself exactly the same question.
I do.
And arrive at the correct answer.
“And arrive at the correct answer.” Really? In that case, your correct answer would be, that if you’re worried by this year’s temperatures, wait several decades (3) to show an actual climate trend, then you will actually have something to be worried about. The rest of us aren’t concerned as there hasn’t been a constant 30 year trend in warming so far – the pause or hiatus finished off the last warming trend before it became significant. This is the only reason that the IPCC and climate enthusiasts are desperate to get some action nailed down; because they are aware that the recent La Nina heralded a return to cooler conditions that will scupper any chances of them scaring people after this. Enjoy COP26 – there may not be too many more after it.
IPCC AR 1; THE SKY IS FALLING! THE SKY IS FALLING!
IPCC AR 2; THE SKY IS STILL FALLING! THE SKY IS STILL FALLING!
IPCC AR 3; THE SKY IS REALLY FALLING! WE MEAN IT THIS TIME!
IPCC AR 4; OMG!! WHY AREN’T YOU GUYS LISTENING? THE SKY IS FALLING!!!!!
IPCC AR 5; THE FACTS ARE NOW CLEAR! THE SKY IS DEFINITELY FALLING!!!!!
IPCC AR 6; THE SCIENCE IS REAL THIS TIME. YOU SELL ALL THIS WEATHER WE’RE HAVING? THAT MEANS THE SKY IS DEFINITELY FALLING NOW!!!!
Meanwhile real climate scientists are warning that the globe may in fact be entering a period of cooling, but we are uncertain, because we continue to not understand how global climate works because we only study the falling sky (i.e. CO2).
“because we continue to not understand how global climate works”
Something the ‘modelling clubs’ just cannot admit to. Normally, one would call that delusional.
Actually I think it is the Brits that could do with some fictitious global warming, might even make the place seem more liveable. How many more nuclear power stations will Boris have to build to keep them warm, nothing like the nuclear “forever planet polluters” lecturing the rest of the world.
Ugh. We’ve got the ficiticious global warming, ficiticious extreme weather event’s and more – all courtesy of the mendacious Met Office. You’ve got BOM doing much the same over there with the crappy temperature records and other drivel. It’s all a pile of manure presided over by different con artists and crooks out to make money any way they can.
What??? Up here in the States, reporting from the IPCC and MSM had it that cracks first started appearing in the Australian skies upon reaching the 1.4°C warming point, and that there’s universal consensus that sky parts will be falling down at the +1.5°C tipping point.
🙂
Forget not that our Sun has been at extended Solar Minimum for an unprecedented amount of time. When the Sun rockets back toward Solar Maximum – and is definitely coming – increased UV radiation will heat the atmosphere. THEN global warming will be more likely to show serious effects. Time frame for this: about 10 years.
“increased UV radiation will heat the atmosphere.”
It doesn’t heat the atmosphere (as in the part that weather occurs).
It (UV) heats the Stratosphere.
And UV is a tiny part of TSI.
Really? Or are you just off your meds at the moment? Something more than just a brief comment might be refreshing – some sort of proof would even be downright welcome. Not that I think any will be forthcoming – but one has to give the benefit of the doubt before the inevitable disappointment sets in.
I go over the tipping point every day here in Calgary, some days I go 10-15 times over the tipping point if we have a nice high pressure ridge ensuring bright sunshine. Some deserts will go over the tipping point 20x the 1.5C mark daily.
I’m surprised I’m even here. Life must be a snitch more adaptable than the alarmists give it credit for being…
I tend to go for the tipping point every day at about 5pm. That’s the tipping of a beer bottle towards my mouth, tipping point.
I hear when you breach the 1.5C mark you turn into a pumpkin. Or something.
“The report – the first of its kind in eight years – “unequivocally” confirms that global warming is occurring, attributed to human-caused increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases.”
There is just one thing I need to know: Who shut off the natural climate drivers switch?
Don’t you realize that talking about ‘nature’ is heresy … that mentioning equivalent naturally occurring events in the past is not acceptable science? Science today is all bout FEELINGS.
Tried to comment at Renew Economy, but was promptly told I’ve “been banned”. Nothing like a healthy debate, eh?
“unequivocally” 😂 They will use every scare tactic to get our tax dollars 😐
Of which “seppos” do you mean? American or septic tank.
“Attribution” does not prove causation!
The authors say that the current and future impacts of global warming are now well understood with unprecedented levels of certainty…
I have to agree. CSIRO and BMO had a real ‘hands-on’ approach. You don’t get these results just letting actual readings hold away.
It also is a product of close cooperation with other research areas. For example how would the GBR researchers know how to model unmitigatable disaster for the corals if they didnt know that, although the observation record showed Australia cooling, the tireless work of the climate boffins reversed this and crafted a warming crisis with “unprecedented levels of certainty”.
Maybe you slept through all of 2019. I hope people punch you in the fcuking face when they see you in the street you dumb cnut.
The best thing about climate alarmists is that they’re all so peaceful and polite.
w.
Feeling the love Steve.
Perhaps a psychiatrist might help you.
You should be careful. All that shouting and swearing will get you hot and bothered – I’ve heard that could be a bad thing. Go outside and cool down a bit!
those who believe would struggle in a real fight, the soy is strong in this one. And yes in primates soy is associated with violent tendencies.
Australian average temperatures at 1.4C above pre-industrial levels and we are all almost doomed…
Here’s some temperatures to consider – Marble Bar January averages
1902 38.0C
1903 42.9C
1920 42.8C
1940 38.2C
1960 40.6C
1980 38.8C
2000 36.2C
2020 39.0C
A bit hard to pick a trend out of that lot let alone a 1.4 degree increase
It was sure hot in the summer of 1969 when I was doing fieldwork on some nickel prospects WNW of the IronClad Hotel. The temperature gauge in the Tojo went off scale at 50C. Frightened the bejesus out of us. Solved the problem by throwing the guage away.
It reminds me of the film ” The wizard of Oz “. The seemingly powerful wizard is eventually revealed as a little guy who speaks into a microphone, hiding behind a curtain.
It may have gone up by 1.4C but what does is the temperature we will feel?
“Seppo’s” – is that slang for suppositories? I can believe that!
So is Ingraham.
Australia receives the full force of the natural warming El ninos. Without a very strong El nino Australia and the world will cool. Are the very strong El ninos and higher than average solar activity linked? Will the very strong El ninos still occur during periods of lower solar activity?