Guest “never go full retard” by David Middleton
Robert Downey Jr. got an Oscar nomination for inventing this phrase…
And Jeffrey Sachs clearly went there in this CNN article…
Trump’s failure to fight climate change is a crime against humanity
By Jeffrey Sachs
Updated 12:33 PM ET, Mon August 19, 2019
(CNN) President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Rick Scott, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, and others who oppose action to address human-induced climate change should be held accountable for climate crimes against humanity. They are the authors and agents of systematic policies that deny basic human rights to their own citizens and people around the world, including the rights to life, health, and property. These politicians have blood on their hands, and the death toll continues to rise.
Trump remains in willful denial of the thousands of deaths caused by his government’s inept, under-funded, and under-motivated response to Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico in 2017.
Two independent, detailed epidemiological studies, using different methodologies — one led by researchers at Harvard University and the other by researchers at George Washington University— have estimated that thousands died in the aftermath of Maria.
The first job of government is to protect the public. Real protection requires climate action on several fronts: educating the public about the growing dire risks of human-induced climate change; enacting legislation and regulations to ensure that families and businesses are kept out of harm’s way, for example by stopping construction in flood plains, and investing in sustainable infrastructure to counteract rising sea levels; anticipating the rising frequency of high-intensity climate-related disasters through science-based preparedness following through on properly scaled disaster-response during and after storm events; and most importantly for the future, spearheading the rapid transition to zero-carbon energy to prevent much greater calamities in the years ahead.
Recent scientific studies underscore the dire emergency ahead. Professor James Hansen, one of the world’s leading climatologists, has demonstrated that the Earth’s climate has moved above the temperature range that supported the entire 10,000 years of civilization. The risks of catastrophic sea level rise are upon us.
[…]Darth Vader: “This is CNN.”
So… President Trump is responsible for hurricanes? And for the thousands of deaths caused by academic epidemiological models? The President of the United States does not have the constitutional power to prevent the government of Puerto Rico from being incompetent. Maybe you should try reading the United States Constitution.
What’s that? You want to babble about climate change some more?
James Hansen, one of the world’s leading
climatologists, has demonstrated that the Earth’s climate has moved above the temperature range that supported the entire 10,000 years of civilization.
I generated these plots a year ago. Things haven’t changed much since June 2018.
Hansen’s epic fail is even more epic using the more climate-relevant 5-yr averages…
Of course Hansen’s estimated Altithermal (Holocene Climatic Optimum) and Eemian are about 0.5 °C too low.
Here’s what the “the temperature range that supported the entire 10,000 years of civilization” looks like at a common resolution:
The red arrow, at 3,000 years BP, is approximately the end of the Holocene Climatic Optimum and the beginning of Neoglaciation.
This was the reality before Warmunism:
If the climate models are accurate (they aren’t), the warming that supposedly moved Earth’s temperature above the range “that supported the entire 10,000 years of civilization”, has barely lifted it above “The Ice Age Cometh”…
The risks of catastrophic sea level rise are upon us
The key features of Jevrejeva et al, 2014 (J14) are a falling sea level near the end of Holocene neoglaciation phase and then a steady, secular rise of about 1.9 mm/yr since 1860 as the Earth warmed up from the Little Ice Age.
The steady rise from the Little Ice Age is punctuated by a multi-decadal quasi-periodic fluctuation (a cycle to a geologist)…
J14 is definitely an improvement relative to Jevrejeva et al., 2008 (J08); which failed to capture the falling sea level of the neoglaciation phase. However, we can use J08 to evaluate the risks of catastrophic sea level rise being upon us. If we apply an exponential function to J08 and extrapolate it to the end of this century, we get nearly 1 meter of sea level rise over the next 80 years.
However, this would require sea level rise to accelerate to over 20 mm/yr, about twice the rate of the Holocene Transgression.
Now that Marine Ice Cliff Instability has fallen flat on its face and given the total irrelevance of Meltwater Pulse 1a, there’s nothing short of an asteroid impact on the Antarctic Ice Sheet or massive volcanic eruption from below the ice sheet that could trigger this sort of sea level rise.
Besides, Jeffy… if the risks of catastrophic sea level rise were upon us, I seriously doubt that your favorite president would have bought a $15 million beachfront mansion.
I initially starred out the “r” word for two reasons:
- In the unlikely event that Dr. Sachs reads this, he might pull a Bill McKibben.
- I didn’t want to hear any pompous preaching about the inappropriateness of the word in a WUWT post. It isn’t unprecedented.
But, there really isn’t a more appropriate word.
Bard, E., B. Hamelin, M. Arnold, L. Montaggioni, G. Cabioch, G. Faure & F. Rougerie. “Deglacial sea-level record from Tahiti corals and the timing of global meltwater discharge”. Nature 382, 241 – 244 (18 July 1996); doi:10.1038/382241a0
Brock, J.C., M. Palaseanu-Lovejoy, C.W. Wright, & A. Nayegandhi. (2008). “Patch-reef morphology as a proxy for Holocene sea-level variability, Northern Florida Keys, USA”. Coral Reefs. 27. 555-568. 10.1007/s00338-008-0370-y.
Grosjean, Martin, Suter, Peter, Trachsel, Mathias & Wanner, Heinz. (2007). “Ice‐borne prehistoric finds in the Swiss Alps reflect Holocene glacier fluctuations”. Journal of Quaternary Science. 22. 203 – 207. 10.1002/jqs.1111.
Hansen, J., I. Fung, A. Lacis, D. Rind, S. Lebedeff, R. Ruedy, G. Russell, and P. Stone, 1988: Global climate changes as forecast by Goddard Institute for Space Studies three-dimensional model.J. Geophys. Res., 93, 9341-9364, doi:10.1029/JD093iD08p09341
Jevrejeva, S., J. C. Moore, A. Grinsted, and P. L. Woodworth (2008). n “Recent global sea level acceleration started over 200 years ago?”. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08715, doi:10.1029/2008GL033611.:
Jevrejeva, S. , J.C. Moore, A. Grinsted, A.P. Matthews, G. Spada. 2014. “Trends and acceleration in global and regional sea levels since 1807”. Global and Planetary Change. %vol 113, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.12.004 https://www.psmsl.org/products/reconstructions/jevrejevaetal2014.php
May, Andy. “A Holocene Temperature Reconstruction Part 4: The Global Reconstruction.” Watts Up With That?, 9 June 2017, wattsupwiththat.com/2017/06/09/a-holocene-temperature-reconstruction-part-4-the-global-reconstruction/.
Nerem, R.S., D.P. Chambers, C. Choe & G.T. Mitchum. “Estimating Mean Sea Level Change from the TOPEX and Jason Altimeter Missions”. Marine Geodesy. Volume 33, Issue S1, 2010, pages 435- 446 Available online: 09 Aug 2010 DOI: 10.1080/01490419.2010.491031.
Siddall M, Rohling EJ, Almogi-Labin A, Hemleben C, Meischner D, Scmelzer I, Smeed DA (2003). “Sea-level fluctuations during the last glacial cycle”. Nature 423:853–858 LINK
The ice age is coming, the sun’s zooming in
The ice age is coming, the sun’s zooming in— The Clash “London Calling,” released in 1979
Engines stop running, the wheat is growing thin
A nuclear era, but I have no fear
’Cause London is drowning, and I live by the river