There is only one published peer-reviewed paper that claims to provide scientific forecasts of long-range global mean temperatures

by Kesten C. Green, J. Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now? For the fifth time now, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change claims they are. The…

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Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-09-07 (September 7, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: In wartime, truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies. – Winston Churchill ################################################### Number of the Week: 2.1 Million ################################################### Major New…

Climate seers as blind guides

Forecasters often use unscientific computer models Guest post by J. Scott Armstrong Illustration by Greg Groesch for The Washington Times The science of forecasting is complex. After 50 years spent studying the issue, I have found there is plenty of experimental evidence that in complex, uncertain situations, experts cannot forecast better than those with little…