Extreme event attribution is alchemy conjured up largely outside the peer-reviewed literature and promoted via press releases.
Tag: climate attribution
BBC & Weather Attribution Models
In its own way this is quite a remarkable admission by the BBC – that they now accept that weather attribution models cannot be regarded as FACTUAL
IPCC U-Turn as it Prepares to Start Blaming Humans for Bad Weather
Roger Pielke is particularly unimpressed with what he calls “weather attribution alchemy”. In his view, attribution science is a form of “tactical science”. Such science serves legal and political ends,…
Applying Scale and Context to the Texas Smokehouse Creek Fire
The purpose of scale is to provide context. A 1 million acre wildfire is big. In the Texas panhandle, it killed two people, destroyed dozens of homes and caused nearly…
Roger Pielke on Weather Attribution
… weather attribution from the outset was deliberately intended for political and media purposes. It was introduced because the IPCC was able to find any real evidence that weather was…
Climate attribution method overstates “fingerprints” of external forcing
Which means that the past 20 years worth of “signal detection” claims are likely meaningless unless steps were taken in the original articles to prove the suitability of TLS or…
“There Is A Design Problem In Climate Policy” Featuring Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. & Chris Wright, Liberty
From VERITEN Google Podcasts On Wednesday in Denver, we had the pleasure of joining Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. (UC Boulder) and Chris Wright, CEO and Chairman of Liberty Energy for…
Climate of Alarm: The Relationship Between Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events
Attributing every bout of extreme weather to forces outside of our control can leave us feeling powerless.
Pakistan Floods Likely Made Worse By Warming–BBC
It’s like a spiritual adviser who claims he influence helped you win the lottery — after you’ve already won it.
Heatwaves in the Northwest: Are Extreme Heat Events Increasing Rapidly?
Why does global warming affect the means more than the extremes?
Let the Litigation Flow!
our work is an important contribution to the effort to develop evidence that can be used to make claims for legal standing.
NPR Spreads Misinformation About Climate Change and Models (Again!)
Real world data refutes the model predictions.
Politics of Attributing Extreme Events and Disasters to Climate Change
We caution awareness: climate change never causes loss or damage independently of the social conditions on the ground in specific places; the degree to which climate change can trigger disaster…
Hurricane Ida and Global Warming: Unsupported Claims
But it is easy to demonstrate that real data shows that these claims are without basis, and that National Public Radio, the Seattle Times, and others are publishing stories that are contradictory…
The IPCC’s attribution methodology is fundamentally flawed
These problems mean there is no basis for treating past attribution results based on the AT99 method as robust or valid. The conclusions might by chance have been correct, or…
Pielke Jr. On Recent Climate Attribution Claims
I can think of no other area of research where the relaxing of rigor and standards has been encouraged by researchers in order to generate claims more friendly to headlines,…
Miscommunication in Recent Climate Attribution Studies
Many of the climate attribution studies are resulting in headlines that are deceptive and result in people coming to incorrect conclusions about the relative roles of global warming and natural…
Heat waves and hot air
Heat waves are the new polar bears, stoking alarm about climate change. Climate scientists addressing this in the media are using misleading and/or inadequate approaches. How should we approach assessing…
Flawed Heatwave Report Leads to False Headlines in Major Media
A failure that misinformed you and millions of others, and a failure that highlighted glaring weaknesses in the media’s ability to cover important scientific issues. And it revealed the disappointing…
Claim: Global evidence links rise in extreme precipitation to human-driven climate change
Understanding how humans influence extreme precipitation is important for interpreting climate events today and for preparing cities and protective infrastructure for the changing world ahead.
Climate Litigation Supporters Admit That Attribution Science Is Failing In Court
What is surprising about that latest development, however, is that the wealthy financiers of climate lawsuits would bankroll a report that confirms this paid-for science has serious limitations.
Lawsuit-Supporting Academic: Attribution Science Was Designed Specifically To Bolster Climate Litigation
A prominent academic with direct ties to the climate litigation campaign confirmed in a recent E&E News article that so-called “climate attribution science” was designed specifically to support lawsuits against…
Hurricane Laura was the latest storm to strengthen fast, but is rapid intensification really becoming more common?
Chris Slocum, Colorado State University Hurricane Laura blew up quickly as it headed for the Louisiana coast, intensifying from a tropical storm to a major hurricane in less than 24…
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