30 peer reviewed studies show no connection between climate change and hurricanes

This list is useful for refuting those misguided people that insist that there was a climate component to hurricane Mathew. There’s also my earlier refutation titled: Why trying to link…

Major hurricane landfall drought continues: 4001 days and counting in updated Pielke graph

Despite the fact that he’s “given up on climate writing” thanks to the bizarre treatment he got writing at Nate Silver’s “538”, Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. has done one very…

Still no landfall for #Matthew, remains Cat 3 storm

So far, Florida has been lucky. While the storm remains dangerous, it seems it has continued just off the coast, and has begun the first steps towards a northeast turn.…

#Matthew downgraded to Cat3 hurricane as it approaches Florida coast

From NHC, which has had connectivity problems related to the storm overnight: DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK —————————— At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located…

Double eyewall structure revealed in hurricane #Matthew

From hurricane expert Dr. Philip Klotzbach (successor to Dr. Bill Gray) comes this interesting image from the 85 Ghz satellite microwave sounder, courtesy of the Naval Research Lab in Monterery.…

NASA's impressive 3D video animation of #Matthew before it slams Haiti

This animation starts with an overview of North America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As the camera slowly pushes in, Hurricane Matthew begins to form. By the morning of October…

Worse: Latest #Matthew spaghetti models show landfall near Cape Canaveral, and loopback 4-5+ days, millions affected

The latest model ensemble plots show that Matthew is likely to make landfall near Cape Canaveral, and then make a big loop out to sea, and backwards towards Florida. here…

#Matthew may reach CAT5 before it reaches Florida – 4000 day hurricane drought mark reached

Latest models show track for east coast of Florida, strengthening of Matthew is possible as of today, it has been 4000 days since a major hurricane has made landfall on…

Latest hurricane #Matthew forecast spaghetti plots show increased uncertainty with a nightmare scenario

From NASA Goddard: Satellites from NASA and NOAA have been tracking and analyzing powerful Hurricane Matthew since its birth just east of the Leeward Islands on Sept. 28. On October…

Hurricane data from 1851 suggests #Matthew landfall on east coast of Florida is a longshot

Hurricane expert Dr. Philip Klotzbach (successor to Dr. Bill Gray) writes on Twitter along with this helpful chart: 0 hurricanes have made landfall along the east coast of Florida north…

Latest forecast spaghetti plots for Hurricane #Matthew

For those that have an interest, here are the 18Z model runs for track positions, plotted on Google Earth. Data from National Hurricane Center. Click image for a full size…

#Matthew takes aim on Florida, likely to end 4000 day major hurricane drought for USA

Hurricane Matthew is very likely to end the over decade long major hurricane drought for the USA. The question is will it do it before or after the 4000 day…

Latest forecast track shows hurricane #Matthew grazing Florida East Coast

I’ve been watching this awhile, as have many others, and now it looks like we might have some real trouble. Matthew looks to be strengthening – see the satellite loop…

Hermine becomes a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Hermine officially reached hurricane status on Thursday, Sept. 1, 2016, at 1:55 p.m. EDT. NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured a visible image of the hurricane at 3:15 p.m. EDT…

Huge forecast uncertainty over possible Florida tropical storm #Invest99L #Hermine

A clear demonstration of model uncertainty in predicting ahead 7 days is evident in the difference in output for two highly used forecast models, one says we’ll have a signicant…

Analysis of the 'Landicaine' over Louisiana

Yesterday on Twitter, Chip Knappenberger coined the term “landicane” to describe the low pressure center that has been gyrating over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico for days has now dropped…

NOAA: Atlantic hurricane season still expected to be strongest since 2012

Forecasters now expect 70-percent chance of 12 to 17 named storms In its updated 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, NOAA calls for a higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal…

Nothing Unusual about the Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies for the Hurricane Main Development Region at the 2016 Season’s Start

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale During the hurricane season, I’ll be adding the sea surface temperatures and anomalies of the Main Development Region of hurricane development in the North Atlantic…

The New York Times Publishes Another Flawed Prediction on Climate

Op-ed says hurricane drought will end at some point, and man-made climate change is to blame either way. Guest opinion by Steven Capozzola The New York Times ran an op-ed…

Claim: aerosols prevented hurricanes from getting stronger, but will intensify now

From THE EARTH INSTITUTE AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY Tropical cyclones on track to grow more intense as temperatures rise Aerosols have compensated for greenhouse gases, but won’t in future Powerful tropical…