It would be nearly impossible to fabricate a better fictional demonstration of motivated reasoning than the May 2025 Nature commentary titled “Hurricane risk in a changing climate — the role…
Category: Uncertainty
Earth’s Energy Imbalance – Part II
Just as in Part I, in Part II I find numbers applied to fundamental concepts that are small but with uncertainty estimates I cannot reconcile nor find entirely credible. The…
Climate Alarmist Stefan Rahmstorf Struggles with the Reality of Uncertainty
We should finally stop scaring people in the Atlantic, it doesn’t work with enlightened citizens like you, dear readers.
Climate Activists Frustrated by IPCC’s Refusal to Link Extreme Weather with Carbon Emissions
The inability of the IPCC to attribute bad weather to humans has been viewed by climate advocates as “politically problematic”, continues Pielke. He notes the work of climate activists Elizabeth…
2024 Annual GWPF Lecture – Judith Curry – Climate Uncertainty and Risk
Dr Judith Curry gives the 2024 Annual GWPF Lecture on the subject of ‘Climate Uncertainty and Risk’.
Google AI: “Significant Limitations To Our Certainty About Global Mean Temperatures”!
AI admits global historical weather data was sparse … “significant limitations to our certainty about global mean temperatures.”
Political and Natural Hazards, ARC Part 3
There are cycles within cycles, and by their very nature they can appear to keep reversing and they do affect the climate. If we took notice of them, we might…
A Bad Recipe for Science
Climate change has become a secular religion, rife with dogma, heretics and moral-tribal communities. The secular religion of climate change raises concerns that are far more fundamental than the risks…
Patrick Frank: Nobody understands climate | Tom Nelson Pod #139
He also has peer-reviewed publications on the intelligent design myth, the science is philosophy myth, the noble savage myth, the human-caused global warming myth, and the academic STEM culture of…
CLIMATE UNCERTAINTY and RISK: An Interview With Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry. Watch Live at Noon CT/ 1PM Eastern
Tune in to the show for a review by the Dr. Curry herself. We’ll also take a look at some of the silliest climate news of the week!
BOOK REVIEW: Climate Uncertainty and Risk – Rethinking Our Response
This is one book that is far different, with a difference that is important. It has been written by a real climate scientist.
Judith Curry Part 1: Presentation about her new book | Tom Nelson Podcast #77
.Tom Nelson Dr. Judith Curry is President and co-founder of CFAN. Following an influential career in academic research and administration, Curry founded CFAN to support the management of weather and…
Climate Uncertainty & Risk: the presentation
The IPCC’s manufacture of consensus has done incalculable harm to climate science and the policy making that is informed by climate science.
Daisy-Chained Uncertainties
What are daisy-chained probabilities? This type of scenario can be stated: “If this, and then this, and then if this then that.” The events have to take place in a…
Unknown, Uncertain or Both?
To make the dicing example into true absolute measurement uncertainty, in which we give a stated value and its known uncertainty but do not (and cannot) know the actual (or…
Limitations of the Central Limit Theorem
The mean found through use of the Central Limit Theorem cannot and will not be less uncertain than the uncertainty of the actual mean of original uncertain measurements themselves.
Plus or Minus Isn’t a Question
It isn’t that there are two possible answers, it is that the answer could be as much as or as little as the “two possible values of the initial value”…
Uncertainty Estimates for Routine Temperature Data Sets Part Two.
In short, what is the proper magnitude of the uncertainty associated with such routine daily temperature measurements?
Model Madness – Parallels Between Failed Climate Models And Failed Coronavirus Models
PODCAST with Dr. Roy Spencer – Climate models and coronavirus models are being used to set public policy. Both have proven to be failures. It’s that old “uncertainty monster” again.…
Sarewitz’s Science Smörgåsbord
Guest Essay by Kip Hansen What is a smörgåsbord? And who is Sarewitz? From the top, a smörgåsbord is “a buffet meal of various hot and cold hors d’oeuvres,…
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