California’s Energy Crisis Could Bring the West Coast To Its Knees

Continually increasing the importation of transportation fuels from foreign based refineries exposes California as a National Security Risk to America

Ronald Stein, P.E. is an engineer, columnist on energy literacy at America Out Loud NEWS, and advisor on energy literacy for the Heartland Institute and CFACT, and co-author of the Pulitzer Prize-nominated book “Clean Energy Exploitations”. He has been featured in Fortune Time Magazine as one of The Most Influential Voices Driving Energy Literacy in 2026.

Mike Ariza is a US Navy veteran with over twenty years of experience in the refining industry. His refining experience extends from the Chevron Refinery in Richmond California, the Flying J refinery in Bakersfield, and the Valero Refinery in Benicia. Mike held the positions of number one control board Operator at Flying J and Senior Refinery Control Board Supervisor at Valero. He was an instructor of both operator field and control board classes. Among his peers he is often referred to as one of the top ten control board operators in the country. 

Co-authored by Ronald Stein, and Mike Ariza

Published October 12, 2026, in America Out Loud NEWS

California is the 4th largest economy in the world and an “ENERGY ISLAND that is separated from the other 48 continental States by the Rocky and Sierra Nevada Mountain ranges. There are no pipelines over these prestigious mountains to California. ALL of Californias’ transportation fuel demands have been made by the California refineries to support the huge fuel demands of the State:

  • Diesel: Diesel fuel is the second largest transportation fuel used in California, consuming 10 million gallons/day for Diesel to support the State’s highway transportation and trucking of products from 3 of the busiest shipping ports in America.
  • Jet fuel: With all 145 airports, including 9 international airports and 30 military airports, the demand is 11 million gallons/day for Jet fuel.  Several of those airports have direct pipelines to local refineries.  In 2019, California consumed 16.7% of the national total of jet fuel, making it the largest consumer of jet fuel in America.
  • Gasoline: For its 36 million vehicles, California is the second-largest consumer of motor gasoline among the 50 states, consuming 37 million gallons/day for Gasoline, just behind Texas.
  • Bunker Fuel for the ships in three of the busiest Ports in America, located in California, consumes about 1 million barrels of bunker fuel annually. 
    • The Port of Los Angeles had more than 1,800 vessel arrivals in 2024, which includes cruise and merchant ships.
    • The Port of Long Beach handled over 9.6 million container units in 2024, indicating a very high volume of ship activity, plus cruise ships.
    • The Port of Oakland, which also handles significant cargo volumes, contributes to the total number of cruise and merchant ships needing fuel.

Thus, if in-state refineries cannot manufacture the transportation fuels in-state, they must come from somewhere. In ALL the United States ONLY California imports transportation fuels from foreign countries to fill the void of refinery closures, to meet the demands of the 4th largest economy in the world.

As stated by Chevron Ceo Andy Walz during an Ashley Zavala KCRA 3 Interview, March 6, 2026: “I am extremely worried! I do believe we should declare a state of emergency in the state of California”.

Countless millions of families in California, Nevada, and Arizona are suffering financially. 40% of California’s transportation fuels were being imported from countries like South Korea, China, India, and Singapore. With the onset of the war in Iran these Asian refineries lost their primary source of crude oil. They can’t make the products that their countries need. This forced these Asian countries to discontinue shipping our fuel to California.

The effects of this are clearly spelled out in a document dated on April 15, 2026, from USC Professor Mische and Professor Rector from Berkeley titled “California Gasoline Supply Outlook: A disaster in the making” In this document the professors write “These Asian refiners” (notably India and South Korea) curtailed most exports as of March 15 but the corresponding decline in arrivals to California has only just begun due to shipping times of 25 – 45 days across the Pacific Ocean. Over the next one to two weeks, gasoline imports are expected to drop off sharply, reflecting cargoes that were never loaded or diverted. This will mark the point at which the import shock becomes fully visible in terminal supply and, ultimately, at the gas pump.”

Currently there is another scenario unfolding that has the potential to bring serious consequences to the West Coast. To help understand this, we will once again quote CEO Andy Walz. He recently stated: “If you close a refinery, it doesn’t come back. Closing a refinery is not a reversable decision, so if we close, we do not come back”.

This was in response to a question that Ashley Zavala from KCRA 3 asked him about a recent letter that Chevron submitted to the state.   Chevron, along with PBF and Marathon, all dispatched letters to Governor Newsom and the California Air Board stating that they were seriously looking at shutting down their refineries and leaving the State. This was in response to new Cap and Invest amendments that the state proposed. If adopted as is, it would have increased their fees by hundreds of millions of dollars while overseas refiners pay nothing. When asked specifically in the same interview about the possibility of Chevron shutting down, Mr. Walz replied: “If they add this burden of a tax on our refineries, I think it’s just a matter of time. It’s not whether or not they’ll close, it’s just when.”

The following are direct quotes from all three corporation letters:

  • Andy Walz (Chevron): “The proposed regulation will cripple the survivability of the state’s remaining refineries, which will result in California losing the entire industry to the misguided program.”
  • PBF Energy: “Unless CARB puts in-state refineries on an equal footing with importers… we will be forced to address the viability of our in-state operations, along with every other refiner in the state.”
  • Marathon: “CARB’s proposal would further widen the cost disparity, forcing refineries to reconsider whether refinery operations in California remain viable… net effect will be an increase in global greenhouse gas emissions [by relying on imports with lower environmental standards].”

CARB did make some changes to their new amendments based on the letters from the oil corporations.   

However, On July 1, Communities for a Better Environment sued CARB for the changes that they made asking the court to invalidate the regulations and require CARB to complete a new review before adopting them again.

It is important to note that if these corporations shut down their refineries California will lose six of the remaining seven that are currently online. California would need to import from foreign based refineries:

  • 11 million gallons of aviation fuel every day
  • 36 million gallons a day of gasoline
  • 10 million gallons a day of diesel
  • And about 1 million barrels of bunker fuel annually for merchant ships

The resulting loss of jet fuel would cause thousands of flight cancellations likely resulting in multiple airport closures. At this point Californbia’s 30 military bases would not have the jet fuel that they need to maintain operations.

The resulting loss of diesel fuel could lead to dire consequences. Cities only have 3 to 5 days of food supply on hand at any time. A substantial loss of diesel in California could easily result in a logistical collapse of the food supply chain. The port of Los Angeles will shut down. In a week to ten days cities will begin to run out of food. This supply chain collapse will cascade into Las Vegas, Reno, Phoenix, and into the nation’s Heartland.

It is time for our governor, democratic legislature, and air board to step back and look at the big picture. California, Nevada, and Arizona are in serious trouble. Cap and invest policies are crippling the state. It’s past time for Governor Newsom and state legislators to make courageous and correct decisions to get us out of the debacle that we are in. If they cannot, then the only choice will be for the President to invoke the Defense Production Act on behalf of the military and citizens of California.

                      Please share this information with teachers, students, and friends to encourage Energy Literacy conversations at the family dinner table.

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14 Comments
Greg61
October 15, 2026 6:14 am

So long as Newsome and other dems can blame the Iran war and Trump as the cause for the inevitable disaster, they won’t give a single (insert your favorite expletive) what happens to regular people.

MarkW
Reply to  Greg61
October 15, 2026 9:44 am

So long as they can blame anyone or anything else, they will
Regardless of how non-sensical the claim.
The media will back the socialists whatever they say.

Denis
October 15, 2026 6:55 am

Isn’t closing California refineries a goal of the green crowd?

Steve Bunten
Reply to  Denis
October 15, 2026 1:12 pm

Yep, as well as all drilling activity. But then they would discover exactly how vital those industries are to the functioning of California’s economy.

antigtiff
October 15, 2026 8:55 am

Newscum is the problem – not the solution. Maybe dems should bring back Fang Fang to Cally and put her in charge?

Reply to  antigtiff
October 15, 2026 11:21 am

Amazing, but here in Wokeachusetts, I hear people saying Newscum should run for president- that he has a chance. I hope he does run and any Republican will smash him in the election. I don’t think the Dems will win back either house. It’s good to fear that, though- just to make sure people get out and vote.

mleskovarsocalrrcom
October 15, 2026 9:09 am

It’s all part of the plan to ensconce Socialism/Marxism as the governance. Subjugate the people not by force but by necessity. Can’t eat? Can’t drive to work? Can’t find a place to live that meets your finances? Need more welfare? The solution is let government provide. Prove me wrong.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  mleskovarsocalrrcom
October 15, 2026 2:04 pm

True… until the government runs out of money and the debt results in someone buying the State.

Scarecrow Repair
October 15, 2026 9:14 am

How can Diesel fuel be “the second largest transportation fuel used in California” at 10 million gallons a day, when jet fuel is 11 million and gasoline is 37 million?

Ed Zuiderwijk
October 15, 2026 10:03 am

All those activists would get to nowhere if not represented by large firms of smart Alec lawyers who will be copiously rewarded for a win.

Why not sent letters to the useful idiots setting out what will be the consequences of their actions and point out that they will be held accountable by a very angry mob when the supermarkets run out of food.

Eng_Ian
Reply to  Ed Zuiderwijk
October 15, 2026 2:08 pm

Why not impose court orders that enforce the results of the sanctions onto the agitators first. Let it run for a couple of years and then ask them to resubmit. Sure the Uber rich will still want the laws but the general population of left wing followers will not, assuming they are still living in the state.

October 15, 2026 11:16 am

“Diesel fuel is the second largest transportation fuel used in California”

If Trump manages to get a small amount of diesel from Russia, NONE should go to CA.

October 15, 2026 11:19 am

No doubt many more large companies in Commyfornia will soon be leaving.

Sparta Nova 4
October 15, 2026 2:03 pm

The beatings will continue until moral improves.
The insanities will continue until sufficient damage is accrued.