Biden Seeks a Global Agreement to Cap Russian Oil Prices

Essay by Eric Worrall

Biden thinks he can reduce the money flowing to Russia’s military by organising a global oil purchasing cartel.

US, Allies Discuss Capping Russian Oil at $40-$60 a Barrel to Cut War Financing

US also weighing enforcement tools, including sanctions

Secondary sanctions seen as a measure of last resort

By Alberto Nardelli, Jennifer Jacobs, and Annmarie Hordern
7 July 2022, 01:25 GMT+10

The US and its allies have discussed trying to cap the price on Russian oil between $40 and about $60 a barrel, according to people familiar with the matter.

Allies have been exploring several ways to limit Russia’s oil revenues while minimizing the impact on their own economies in discussions that began in the run-up to the Group of Seven summit. 

At the summit in Germany on June 28 leaders agreed to explore options to cap prices by banning insurance and transportation services needed to ship Russian crude and petroleum products unless the oil is purchased below an agreed price.

A more specific threshold would depend on market conditions when a cap is agreed and those could change significantly. Before Monday’s mini-rout in headline oil prices, Russian crude was probably trading around the $80-a-barrel mark. Information about transactions in the nation’s barrels has become less visible since the invasion.

Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/us-and-allies-discuss-capping-russian-oil-prices-at-40-60

This cartel has no chance of working, like a lot of Biden’s economic ideas. India makes no secret they are buying all the oil Russia can ship, and are probably even shipping some of their imported Russian oil to Europe. Hunter Biden’s Chinese oil company may be doing likewise.

A purchasing cartel can only work if buyers can live without the commodity being targeted, long enough for the seller to be forced to lower prices. Given that Russian energy exports have continued without significant interruption since the start of the Ukraine conflict, I’m guessing Russia will laugh off such threats.

The only way the USA could unilaterally choke off the supply of Western money to Russia is to crash the global price of oil, by abandoning US domestic green policies, and encouraging US producers to flood the global market with a deluge of cheap US oil. But this doesn’t seem likely to happen anytime soon – Biden can’t even muster the political courage to face down greens in his own administration, to lower gasoline prices for Americans.

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John Garrett
July 10, 2022 6:09 pm

Somebody must be smoking wacky weed.

The idea is so unbelievably ridiculous that only someone with absolutely zero knowledge and experience of the real world could possibly come up with it.

The incomparably incompetent Yellen’s fingerprints are all over this.

Scissor
Reply to  John Garrett
July 10, 2022 7:23 pm

Close. This is the smartest man Joe knows negotiating price.

https://twitter.com/njgloyper/status/1546229042415812609

Old Man Winter
Reply to  John Garrett
July 10, 2022 7:30 pm

More like the Big Guy’s fingerprints!

Bid$wash.jpg
ozspeaksup
Reply to  Old Man Winter
July 11, 2022 2:44 am

10% to the big guy

Simonsays
Reply to  John Garrett
July 10, 2022 11:48 pm

This idea makes perfect sense if your a socialist.

Richard Page
Reply to  John Garrett
July 11, 2022 7:54 am

The career politicians of the USA and UK (EU as well probably) have forgotten who elected them and why. They were elected to serve their nation and their people’s needs first and foremost; globalist virtue signalling on the world stage must come a distant second. It’s high time they were reminded of that simple fact.

Tom Halla
July 10, 2022 6:09 pm

I do get the impression that no one who knows economics had anything to do with this proposal. One can only speculate as to what the advocates actual education was in, but this almost makes the Green New Deal seem plausible.

Editor
Reply to  Tom Halla
July 10, 2022 6:21 pm

I gave a ‘+’ to this “no one who knows economics had anything to do with this proposal”. And BTW I also gave a ‘+’ to John Garrett’s “Yellen’s fingerprints are all over this”.

observa
Reply to  Mike Jonas
July 10, 2022 11:38 pm
2hotel9
July 10, 2022 6:14 pm

Do they mean like OPEC? The same OPEC that has sided with Putin against America? Something like that?

H B
Reply to  2hotel9
July 10, 2022 8:03 pm

Why would you crash your own profit margin? make hay while the sun shines

Duker
Reply to  2hotel9
July 10, 2022 10:42 pm

OPEC wants to maintain high prices it’s what cartels do.

RickWill
July 10, 2022 7:08 pm

I wonder if Sri Lanka would be worried about quality certification on oil from Russia. Likewise India.

USA holds a highly privileged position as being the global banker; only country that creates the global currency. There is a limit to the tolerance of abusing the privilege. China and Russia would like to see USA lose that privilege and are willing to step up. A major advance for Russia is insisting Russian gas is bought with Russian RUBs

Think about it. If USA puts a limit of say USD60 per barrel for oil, that simply means the RUB will strengthen against the USD. Putin knows what his barrel of oil is worth in RUBs. He has no care for what it is worth in USDs.

Energy is the true currency of the industrial world and Russia has that in abundance. The price of their oil will be whatever the highest bidder is prepared to pay.

This story identifies the push to Petro-Yuan:
https://www.swfinstitute.org/news/91763/petroyuan-institutional-investors-may-have-to-deal-with-a-new-world-order-of-currencies

The catalysts of de-dollarization are more impactful as Washington utilizes economic sanctions as weapons against countries, including larger economies, stoking back-up plans for nations like China, India, Saudi Arabia, and Russia. 

These countries are now the big players in the global energy market.

Energy is the currency and China realises that. Without energy backing a currency, it is worthless. Also worthless when sanctions apply at the whim of a senile puppet.

Most US citizens do not understand the privilege they have as the world banker. They do not see that abusing this privilege is causing other countries to find different basis for international trade.

The USA owes the rest of the world a whole year of its output and the indebtedness is presently rising at 7% of US GDP over any time period. USDs are losing their gloss globally.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/current-account

RickWill
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 10, 2022 9:46 pm

– bankers want rule of law, not dependency on a friend in the Kremlin.

Eric. that is from your perspective. You are implying that friends in Washington are more reliable. However, let’s say UK’s new PM dumps the Net Zero target in light of the nonsense it is and decides Brits should not have to choose between staying warm and being fed. Then Biden applies sanctions on the UK and cuts the UK off from global financing. That was the threat facing Morison before he found the religion.

China is concerned about hoarding worthless paper. Biden has demonstrated he can make US paper held by Russians worthless. Why not China as well. A banker needs to be above politics – US is abusing its banker’s privilege.

Every banking system runs on trust. Can you trust Biden – head of the US bank? Russia certainly can’t.

EU sends Ukraine peanuts while returning truckloads of Rubles to Russia.

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 11, 2022 1:32 am

Yes, a friend in my industry selling electrical equipment told me story of having a gun in his face during price negotiations.
No thanks

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 11, 2022 2:57 am

and within the law leaves a LOT of loopholes for the same just less obvious.
ie planning charges approvals and mega bucks of consulting fees. hillnbill had a great scam asking for Donations…to their trust and then magically approvals got granted uranium 1 as an eg.
gates seems to do similarly
soros sure does, and then uses tame pet NGOs to seed discontent and revolutions Maidan anyone?
dont see much difference really
just windowdressing

ozspeaksup
Reply to  RickWill
July 11, 2022 2:53 am

chinas been divesting usd$ reserves and elsewhere funds since the bunfight started, why the hell would you leave cash in OS accounts for trade if they can be arbitrarily stolen??
see people are also repatriating gold stores too
uSA has shown itself to be UNtrustworthy and over reaching
the theft of private citizens ships paid for and not breaking any laws, if Russia has a problem with the offshore autocrats it for them to take steps and they havent.
pity you guys dont look to your OWN rich crooks paying no taxes and milking the poor

observa
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 11, 2022 10:54 pm

The main holdup to de-dollarisation of international trade is trust in the Chinese and Russian banking systems is lower than trust in the US banking system.

QED-
Protest in China over frozen bank accounts ends in violence (msn.com)
If you want your dough you catch COVID 🙁

ozspeaksup
Reply to  RickWill
July 11, 2022 2:48 am

the forced trade in US$ has given many people the irrits for decades
i for one wont mind it falling over
If I want to buy from canada or india having to ex to usd and then over while paying us banksters/paypal etc percentages makes me do so rarely
global trade would pick up if it was removed as the one n only.

Geoff Sherrington
July 10, 2022 7:09 pm

Surely it is more important to identify the key players who are enforcing the net zero concept and presumably using illegal threats in some cases to gain compliance. If the net zero concept is removed from the equations, the US could return to normal fossil fuel exploration, extraction, processing and marketing irrespective of what other countries are doing, like Russian attempts to regain territory.
The net zero concept is so imaginary, yet so harmful, that one cannot imagine serious people accepting it and helping to enforce it unless they were either pressured to comply or are making a lot of unearned money from the concept. Those are not reasons to harm the US economy and to deprive citizens of essential services like cheap and reliable electricity.
So, who is really key to the net zero push and why do they persist with the fabrication, money or fear?
Geoff S

AndyHce
Reply to  Geoff Sherrington
July 10, 2022 9:04 pm

My circle of acquaintances isn’t huge but it contains more than a few who just want to kill oil companies and pipelines. They welcome anything that can further that goal but taking away all of the CO2 nonsense would not change their feelings or their efforts in the least. They would just make up or endorse other excuses.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  AndyHce
July 12, 2022 1:57 pm

And substitute WHAT?! The ignorance of people in terms of “how stuff is made/where it comes from is astounding.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Geoff Sherrington
July 11, 2022 2:58 am

WEF worldbank Davos brussels etc all such a chummy bunch with shared agendas

tgasloli
July 10, 2022 7:13 pm

There are two things the administration can do to reduce the price of oil & gas to everyone: it can end its war on fossil fuels at home; it can end its proxy war (which it is losing) and end the sanctions.

Both actions were taken to deliberately increase the price of oil & gas. The price cap is an dishonest effort to create the impression, ahead of the midterm elections, that they do not want high fuel prices.

July 10, 2022 7:58 pm

Russia is now getting paid for its oil in Rubles. Germany is on the edge of emergency energy rationing. Canada is sidestepping their own sanctions on Russia to help Germany out. With their dreams of turning off Russian oil production swirling the drain, the west has come up with a new idea, let’s just limit how much people are allowed to pay for the Russian oil we previously said they couldn’t buy at all.

Yeah, that’ll work.

Similarly, raising carbon taxes to force people to go electric will fail. If an attempted 10% reduction in production causes this much of a mess, can one imagine the mess that would be created by a carbon tax high enough to cut consumption by 50% or more? If renewables actually worked we wouldn’t have this mess. Governments are running around the world desperately trying to establish sources of supply specifically because they know very well that renewables cannot step in.

Last edited 2 months ago by davidmhoffer
PCman999
Reply to  davidmhoffer
July 10, 2022 10:00 pm

In a sense, there is already a ‘natural’ carbon tax that has doubled the price of gasoline and natural gas has gone way up (in different proportion according to where you live) – so why are we still paying a artificial carbon tax to the federal government here in Canada and why isn’t there just a huge blossoming of wind and solar??? Oh, wind and solar are hugely more expensive now because they to depend heavily on fossil fuels – got it.

Rube Goldberg energy policy as designed by drug-addled liberal arts dropouts.

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  PCman999
July 11, 2022 1:29 am

That’s an insult to drug-addled liberal arts dropouts.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  davidmhoffer
July 11, 2022 3:01 am

one of our aussie powercos will ONLY do a deal for cheap power IF you OWN an electric car yup REDenergy
found out last night using the vic govt compare energy webpages!!!!!

Fraizer
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 6:47 am

So by a cr@py little golf cart and let it identify as a Tesla.

H B
July 10, 2022 8:06 pm

Russia now has examples off all the new missiles they need to copy and create the countermeasures they need

ozspeaksup
Reply to  H B
July 11, 2022 3:02 am

well yes because the ukies SOLD them off. rather amusing they flogged or allowed the french ones to get nabbed the other day
taken sounds better than sold I guess

Richard Page
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 7:44 am

Of course they did. It’s what they do – in the face of Russian aggression and stating that they ‘had their backs to the wall’ they imported advanced electronics from the west, installed them in good tanks then sold the whole lot off to Pakistan. The Ukrainian oligarchs, the ones with offshore accounts and multimillion dollar Florida mansions, don’t give a shit about Ukraine or it’s people they’re only interested in money. It’s interesting to note that all of the body armour supplied to Ukraine for free has to be bought by the soldiers on the black market if they want to use it. It’s absolutely disgusting what they have done to their own country for a profit.

Philip CM
July 10, 2022 8:29 pm

More likely it will, if successfully agreed upon, be turned against the West’s petroleum industry. These are the folks the left really hates. I recall not too long-ago Biden telling the petrol stations to lower their prices in spite of his inflationary economy.

Philip CM
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 11, 2022 12:48 am

On that note, I believe Putin seeks to fulfill his self-anointed expansionist role as guardian of the lost Soviet empire. Georgia, Chechnya, Kyrgyzstan, Crimea, Ukraine, and Kasakstan are five nations Putin has used his military to bring them back under the umbrella of Russia. I would say that Putin is a very good opportunist when it comes to *Make Russia Great Again. [apologies, Mr. Trump]

Derg
Reply to  Philip CM
July 11, 2022 2:46 am

Or could Putin be doing exactly what he said would do after NATO expansion and Brandon’s incompetence 🤔

MarkW
Reply to  Derg
July 11, 2022 8:20 am

The reason NATO is expanding is precisely because Putin has been using his military to force former Soviet block countries back under the Russian umbrella. You have cause and effect reversed.

Philip CM
Reply to  Derg
July 11, 2022 3:08 pm

Why is a democratic Russia fearful of NATO?

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Philip CM
July 11, 2022 3:06 am

russia was well aware of the 90s and onwards USA plans to try and get into russias states and DEcolonise them
ah yes
interferes and get financial and power grabs in plain english

Philip CM
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 3:04 pm

I suppose one question would be, what has a ‘democratic’ Russia, have to fear from neighboring ‘independent’ democratic States, acting independently of Russia?

Perhaps the words, democratic, and independent, lose something in translation from English dictionary to the everyday lexicon of left-wing authoritarians?

Rich Davis
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 6:05 pm

It would be nice if oz shut up for once.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Eric Worrall
July 11, 2022 3:05 am

NATO treatys broken Minsk broken and 14k donbass citizens killed since 2014 then usa interferes with nord2, wanting to flogs usa lpg at high prices by boat to EU ( outright idiocy and Trump did that)
cant say i think Russias in the wrong
yet another ussa led mess

Richard Page
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 7:47 am

Russia IS in the wrong, but they certainly aren’t alone – there have been a lot of countries either actively compliant in this mess or willing to look the other way.

Rich Davis
Reply to  ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 6:06 pm

Withdrawn
You’re not worth cussing out

Last edited 2 months ago by Rich Davis
Bob
July 10, 2022 8:30 pm

Can these people really be this stupid?

Dave Fair
Reply to  Bob
July 10, 2022 8:46 pm

Ever work in government, Bob?

Olavi Vulkko
July 10, 2022 8:49 pm

Biden is clown with dementia.

observa
Reply to  Olavi Vulkko
July 11, 2022 1:50 am

Biden is a sock puppet with dementia-
Internet catches White House erasing Joe Biden’s gaffe from records (msn.com)
What’s the excuse for those running the autocue?

Shoki Kaneda
July 10, 2022 8:56 pm

Is this one of Hunter’s schemes? It’s about that stupid.

SAMURAI
July 10, 2022 9:05 pm

Leftists are so stupid….

All Joe needs to do are:
1) Finish Keystone Pipeline.
2) Intimate record oil lease auctions for offshore and Federal lands.
3) Allow ANWAR oil projects.
4) Make it illegal for banks/financial institutions to use ESG loan risk assessment.
5) Force EPA to approve all drilling and construction permits with 3 months of receipt…
6) Lower corporate taxes to 15%.
7) Cut all Federal government spending 7% across the board.
8) Pass Balanced Budget Amendment.
9) Unwind Federal Reserves’ books excessive asset holdings and stop rolling over 2-year Treasuries until the assets equal 2019 levels.
10) Continue raising interest rates until inflation is below 2%.
11) EPA approves 4 new large-scale oil refineries to be immediately be built.
12) Set goal to increase US oil and gas production to be 20% above 2019 levels.

There, The US oil crisis and economic collapse are averted.

Last edited 2 months ago by SAMURAI
PCman999
Reply to  SAMURAI
July 10, 2022 10:05 pm

That means replacing Biden by a real conservative – RINOs and squishy Republicans need not apply. They are an endangered species – Biden would never agree to that prosperity-list, even if you cut off his meds, refused diaper changes and plugged up his nose so he couldn’t smell anyone’s hair anymore.

SAMURAI
Reply to  PCman999
July 10, 2022 10:26 pm

PCmann-san:

You’re correct. Joe’s far-Left handlers will never allow any of these solutions, and the current herd of RINOs in the GOP would not allow most of these logical solutions to be implemented.

Leftists will be utterly gutted in the 2022 midterms, and the GOP will likely gain 40+ House and 5+ Senate seats.

A nice start, but the GOP must create another Contract with America 2.0 before 2024 elections if any significant changes are to be achieved when the GOP retakes control of all 3 government branches, but alas…

Derg
Reply to  SAMURAI
July 11, 2022 2:52 am

But SAMURAI you have to remember that in all these 3 letter agencies sit democrat employees who believe government is the answer. You want a fundamental change but it’s not in DC’s interest.

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  Derg
July 11, 2022 6:46 am

Drain the swamp.

SAMURAI
Reply to  Derg
July 11, 2022 10:36 am

Sergio-san:

The recent 6-3 West Virginia v. EPA SCOTUS decision will make it much more difficult for Leftist bureaucrats to implement costly rules, regulations and mandates ageist the private without specific approval from the Legislative branch.

joe x
Reply to  SAMURAI
July 11, 2022 11:21 am

may i add to your list.

13.ban government worker unions.
14.cut all government agencies budgets 50% immediately.
15.in crease military budget 25%.

SAMURAI
Reply to  joe x
July 11, 2022 5:43 pm

Joe-san:

I certainly agree that JFK’s Executive Order allowing public sector unionization is terribly corrupt, and needs to be rescinded.

Cutting all agencies’ budgets by 50% is too much, however, Inthink the Department of Education should be cut 100% and shutdown entirely.

I also think Defense spending should be limited to 3% of GDP, or about $700 billion/year.

Cheers!

Gary Pearse
July 10, 2022 9:16 pm

“The only way the USA could unilaterally choke off the supply of Western money to Russia is to crash the global price of oil, by abandoning US domestic green policies, and encouraging US producers to flood the global market with a deluge of cheap US oil.”

I don’t see how the US industry could be induced to cooperate on this, unless Biden buys it off the oil industry at $100 and then sells it at $50 on the global market. I think the WTO would get complaints about the subsidy. OPEC wouldnt go along with crashing the market either.

Finally, it’s not easy for the US Oil industry to chop prices as it is. As I understand it, they responded to the craziness of Net Zero where oil was to be curtailed by using the windfall prices to produce from higher cost reservoirs. Moreover, this madness resulted in a serious drop in enrollment of petroleum engineers and geologists.

When you “believe in six impossible things before breakfast” and think magical thoughts about future technology coming along to rescue unworkable energy systems you are guaranteed to end in the mess you are in now.

Abandoning the renewables, and the whole climate shiteree of course should be done immediately! It won’t prevent a horrific depression which is building up steam at present and I’m praying that the global neomarxist policies, even if abandoned now, don’t inflict much greater carnage in the coming couple of years than the 20th Century’s Madmen’s policy prescriptions.

MarkW
Reply to  Gary Pearse
July 11, 2022 8:24 am

This is the biggest reason why the so called Russian collusion never made any sense.
The last thing the Russians would ever want is a US president who promises to increase American oil production.

Rod Evans
July 10, 2022 9:34 pm

When the people supposedly in charge of world affairs are this disconnected from reality, it makes you realise how much trouble the world is actually in.
If politicians in the West are unaware of economic fundamentals, to this degree, it is little wonder they think Net Zero is a good idea. They have not got a clue what they are doing or what they are creating.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Rod Evans
July 11, 2022 3:09 am

yes and Aussie morons of the church of green justgave us our very own lunatic for the next 3 yrs

PCman999
July 10, 2022 9:47 pm

With green policies and the hostile Biden, Trudeau, etc., in place there is no incentive to increase production – better for the oil companies to sit back and enjoy the healthy profits and channel that to the investors to make up for the past lean years where oil was sometimes just $20-something a barrel.

D.M. Anderson
July 10, 2022 10:05 pm

Biden Seeks a Global Agreement to guarantee shortages. He is our enemy.

MarkW
Reply to  D.M. Anderson
July 11, 2022 8:25 am

Sounds like the former Soviet Union. Everything is cheap, but the stores are empty.

Kiwi Gary
July 10, 2022 11:19 pm

Russia does have the option to just cut supplies to unfriendly countries. A recent article by J.P.Morgan Chase estimated that Russia could withstand a reduction in exports of 5 million barrels per day, but that would increase the price of the remaining available oil to $390. If Russia reduced by only 3 mpd, then the expected price would be only $195 per barrel. Methinks that there may be some skullduggery behind the Yellen proposal.

Pat from kerbob
July 11, 2022 1:24 am

Hunter may be the whole point.
If you can buy discounted Russian oil then resell it at world prices, that is a great moneymaker.

Instead of Oil for Food it can be Oil for Biden

ozspeaksup
July 11, 2022 2:43 am

and imagine the looks on uae n other faces at that?
meanwhile theyre loving the outrageous price hikes making it hand over fist making up for covid time losses so theyll not agree
and
Russias already taking steps to do their OWN insurance for shipping
Bidets an utter idiot and so is anyone thinking this would work

Michael in Dublin
July 11, 2022 2:57 am

Can a puppet or ventriloquist’s dummy organize anything?

It is not a matter of Biden organizing anything – which he is mentally incapable of doing –
but of who the unelected puppeteer is pulling his strings.

Mark Whitney
July 11, 2022 4:08 am

Biden thinks?

Captain climate
July 11, 2022 5:34 am

Just when I think they can’t get any dumber they do something like this.

David Elstrom
July 11, 2022 6:13 am

Prez Dullard doesn’t develop or “think of” any policies—being the “Weekend at Bernie’s” front man for his despotic handlers and his despicable Party.

Luigi
July 11, 2022 6:27 am

Biden does not think: he suffers from dementia.

David Elstrom
July 11, 2022 6:36 am

Anything except letting AMERICAN companies drill. Democrats’ “America Last” policy in action. When will normal Americans rise up against these despotic, tyrannical destroyers?

Olen
July 11, 2022 7:10 am

Countries look after their own self interests, only in the US, for the leadership, the word self means one’s self.

Giordano Milton
July 11, 2022 11:21 am

I’d like to see a global cap on government spending.

ResourceGuy
July 11, 2022 11:25 am

Uncle Joe can play “crazy ant” politics with the best of them.

July 12, 2022 2:44 am

This is beautiful about Biden’s autocue/teleprompt and the horrors thereof. However even they are preferable to the alternative:

https://youtu.be/hCmbVHtJSnM

mawendt
July 12, 2022 8:20 am

Also – not workable.

The Chinese government is buying Russian oil in closed agreements at a steep discount, without market competition. This won’t change while sanctions are in place.

The positive is that oil China has been buying on the market creates less market competition, allowing the oil prices to stabilize and not shoot to $150bbl.

So China gets the cheapest oil, Russia gets money to keep their economy from crashing, and the world keeps oil down at 110bbl and feels good about ‘sanctioning’ Russia. The great Kabuki.

If the world was serious, they’d sanction anyone who bought Russian oil and gas. Unfortunately, this would cause political and economic complications… and our leaders would rather have the appearance of virtuous righteousness than the actual painful purity of abstention.

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