Claim: Climate Change is Making One of the World’s Strongest Currents Flow Faster

A change in the Southern Ocean, the region absorbing the most human-induced warming globally, is detected by new technology

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA – SAN DIEGO

Release of Argo float into Southern Ocean
IMAGE: RESEARCHERS RELEASE AN ARGO FLOAT INTO THE SOUTHERN OCEAN view more 
CREDIT: ISA ROSSO/SOCCOM

The Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), the only ocean current that circumnavigates the planet, is speeding up. For the first time, scientists are able to tell that this is happening by taking advantage of a decades-long set of observational records.

Researchers from Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and UC Riverside used satellite measurements of sea-surface height and data collected by the global network of ocean floats called Argo to detect a trend in Southern Ocean upper layer velocity that had been hidden to scientists until now.

The team representing the National Science Foundation-funded Southern Ocean Carbon and Climate Observations and Modeling (SOCCOM) project reports its findings in the Nov. 29 issue of the journal Nature Climate Change.

Prevailing westerly winds have sped up as climate warms. Models show that the wind speedup does not change the ocean currents much. Rather, it energizes ocean eddies, which are circular movements of water running counter to main cuurents.

“From both observations and models, we find that the ocean heat change is causing the significant ocean current acceleration detected during recent decades,” said Jia-Rui Shi, formerly a PhD student at Scripps Oceanography and currently a postdoctoral researcher at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

“This speedup of the ACC, especially its jet centered on the Subantarctic Front, facilitates property exchange, such as of heat or carbon, between ocean basins and creates the opportunity for these properties to increase in subsurface subtropical regions.”

The ACC encircles Antarctica and separates cold water in the south from warmer subtropical water just to its north. This warmer part of the Southern Ocean takes up a lot of the heat that human activities are adding to Earth’s atmosphere. For this reason, scientists consider it vital to understand its dynamics, since what happens there could influence climate everywhere else.

The ocean warming pattern is important. When the gradient, or amount of heat difference, between warm and cold waters increases, currents between those two masses speed up.

“The ACC is mostly driven by wind, but we show that changes in its speed are surprisingly mostly due to changes in the heat gradient,” said co-author Lynne Talley, a physical oceanographer at Scripps Oceanography.

Long-term data capturing changes in the Southern Ocean were hard to come by before the availability of satellite-mounted instruments and the Argo network. That network of autonomous floats, which measure ocean conditions such as temperature and salinity, began in 1999 and reached full capacity in 2007. A full complement of 4,000 floats across the world’s oceans continues to collect data to this day. The researchers were thus able to use more than a decade’s worth of comprehensive Argo data to distinguish the trend of the accelerating current from natural variability.

Study co-authors said it is also likely that the speed of the current will increase even more as the Southern Ocean continues to take up heat from human-induced global warming. 

Besides Shi and Talley, the research team included Scripps Oceanography climate scientist Shang-Ping Xie, Qihua Peng of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and Wei Liu of UC Riverside.

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JOURNAL

Nature Climate Change

DOI

10.1038/s41558-021-01212-5 

METHOD OF RESEARCH

Data/statistical analysis

SUBJECT OF RESEARCH

Not applicable

ARTICLE TITLE

Ocean warming and accelerating Southern Ocean zonal flow

ARTICLE PUBLICATION DATE

29-Nov-2021

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November 29, 2021 11:14 pm

The researchers were thus able to use more than a decade’s worth of comprehensive Argo data to distinguish the trend of the accelerating current from natural variability.

More than 10 years!

Thank goodness they have such a comprehensive base to draw conclusions from.

Rah
Reply to  Redge
November 30, 2021 9:39 am

Well at least they didn’t try to claim that NASA’s made up numbers of southern ocean temps were viable to use in their models.

November 29, 2021 11:19 pm

This warmer part of the Southern Ocean takes up a lot of the heat that human activities are adding to Earth’s atmosphere.”

No, IR cant penetrate water to any meaningful depth. It is impossible for it to enter the oceans and cause heating.

it can raise the skin temperature, and cause the oceans to retain energy derived from visible light, but that is not absorbing energy from IR, from the atmosphere.

Patrick healy
November 30, 2021 12:49 am

If we needed any (further) proof of these scholars scientific illiteracy the bit about “facilitates property exchange, such as heat or CARBON”
confirmed it.
Read no further folks.

November 30, 2021 2:17 am

Claim: Climate Change is Making One of the World’s Strongest Currents Flow Faster
… and, believing that the picture at the top was not photoshopped, …

climate change is making donuts becoming blue.

November 30, 2021 8:02 am

What’s most interesting is that the effect they describe from global warming is the 100% “polar” opposite of the effect taking place on the other side of the planet…….the Arctic.

In the Northern Hemisphere, we know with certainty that the warming has been magnified as you go poleward. The Arctic has warmed the most. This has been accurately measured.

This has DECREASED the meridional temperature gradient and weakened jet streams in the Northern Hemisphere. This, the result of an assumption that the heat from global warming is collecting faster at the higher latitudes……which actually is verified with observations.

This current study, assumes something different. The heat from global warming is collecting at LOWER latitudes in the oceans and causing an INCREASE in the meridional temperature gradient because the higher latitudes are not cooling as much in the Southern Hemisphere, like they are in the Northern Hemisphere.
This leads to the complete opposite effect in the Southern Hemisphere by tightening the temperature gradient there which increases wind.

So the question really is: Why does each end of the planet have completely different temperature gradient dynamics with changing latitude?
Maybe they address that somewhere in the paper that I can’t read?
Could be related to the differences in ocean/land, with the Antarctic being a massive land mass, surrounded by much more ocean compared to the Arctic.

If they don’t address and explain that, then their assumptions and reasoning here are very speculative and overlooking something(s), possibly more powerful than the causes they assign to the effect.

November 30, 2021 8:06 am

The full paper is paywalled, but the available “Extended Data” figures at the bottom of the Nature article webpage are … “interesting” (?) …

E.g. “Extended Data Fig. 3 : Time series of upper 100 m and 2,000m zonal velocity”.

Legend underneath figure :
(a, b), Time series of upper 100 m zonal velocity averaged between 48˚S-58˚S relative to the average of 1955–2004 from CMIP6 and LENS simulations, respectively. CMIP6 multi-model mean (MMM) is the black curve, with superimposed observation-based products: IAP (brown), EN4 (green), and Argo (red; since 2005). The velocities from observation-based products apply the surface altimetry-based Ug as a reference velocity. (c, d), Same with (a, b), but for the 2,000 m zonal velocity.

– – – – –

That clearly shows the extended “overlap” period between data measurements and model simulations, and how well they match … now, where’s the “sarcasm” HTML tag button again ? …

Shi-et-al_2021_Ext-Data-Fig-3.jpg
Rah
November 30, 2021 9:33 am

And Antarctica just had the coldest 6 months since records began in 1957. So that is a sign of a “warming planet” ?

November 30, 2021 9:41 am

I keep getting “subscription fault” on this article so hoping this post will subscribe me.

Dave Fair
November 30, 2021 10:30 am

From the AGU:

“Research Letter
Recent Shift in the Warming of the Southern Oceans Modulated by Decadal Climate VariabilityLina Wang,Kewei Lyu,Wei Zhuang,Weiwei Zhang,Salvienty Makarim,Xiao-Hai Yan
First published: 28 December 2020 https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090889

Part of the Abstract: “It has been reported that the Southern Hemisphere oceans experienced rapid warming during the decade-long global surface warming slowdown (2003–2012) and the earlier period of the Argo record (2006–2013). In this study, we analyze updated observations to show that this rapid warming has slowed down, leading to less contribution of the Southern Hemisphere oceans to the global ocean heat storage (∼65% over the available Argo period 2006–2019). Two warming hotspot regions, the southeast Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean, have experienced cooling over 2013–2019.”

CliSciFi needs to coordinate their messaging.

December 1, 2021 10:14 am

A faster spinning Southern Circumpolar Current will cool, not warm, the climate by increasing the oceanographic isolation of Antarctica. Do they even stop to think before claiming any and every climate development as confirmation of climate warming doom.

It was the isolation of Antarctica established about 16 million years ago that started full Antarctic glaciation and the earth’s current – and ongoing – slide into glaciation.