BBC Climate Check–April 2021


MAY 16, 2021

By Paul Homewood


It is noticeable that the BBC’s latest Climate Check is much more circumspect than unusual. There is virtually no attempt to blame bad weather on global warming. The only reference is in the section on the drought in the US South West, where they state that some researchers say it is part of a naturally occurring megadrought, which has been made worse by climate change.

The video goes on to explain that both the drought and the typhoon have been driven by La Nina, which brings dry weather to the US West and wet, stormy weather to the Western Pacific.

So, let’s look more closely at both.

So far this hydrological year, which starts in October, rainfall in the South West has been very low, but still only the sixth lowest on record:


Much more importantly though, with talk of megadroughts, are the longer term trends. The five-year precipitation trend is not as low as it was during the 1950s and early 1900s.

Indeed since the turn of the century, which is quoted in the video as the beginning of this megadrought, it has never gone that low. It is apparent that the megadrought, which lasted from 1942 to 1956 was much more severe and protracted than the current one. All of the evidence suggests that these megadroughts are regularly occurring, natural events.


Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) (

Coming on to the Typhoon, Ryan Maue’s data shows that globally over the last 12 months hurricane activity has been below average:


There is of course always variability from basin to basin, but it is far too early in the year to draw any conclusions from Surigae, which hit the Philippines last month.

As is often the case, claimed wind speeds for Surigae need to be taken with a pinch of salt, estimated as they are from satellite data with the storm in mid ocean. It is claimed that Surigae hit 165 kts, or 190 mph, but this is only based on intensity estimates, based on operational warnings. Actual satellite data however suggests that wind speeds did not get much above 140 Kts:
AMSU Intensity Time Series

Although the BBC does mention the bitterly cold weather in large parts of Northern Europe in April, it is a pity they did not mention the fact that it was an unusually quiet month for tornado activity in the US. You may recall that they made a big play of one run of the mill tornado in their March Climate Check, which led to my complaint.

It looks as if they are now being more careful not to connect every bit of bad weather to climate change, something they were only too keen to do before. Maybe my complaint has had some effect!


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May 17, 2021 6:20 am

It looks as if they are now being more careful not to connect every bit of bad weather to climate change, something they were only too keen to do before. Maybe my complaint has had some effect!

The BBC reports the science, it doesn’t originate it and is hardly likely to be swayed by minority non science opinions like those of climate skeptics…

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 7:37 am

The BBC reports science badly and even lies on some of it, a long known problem but YOU seem unaware of this fact, this in YOUR own country!

Reply to  Sunsettommy
May 18, 2021 5:12 am

Why would griff be aware of it. His lies are bigger than the BBC’s.

Reply to  Sunsettommy
May 20, 2021 8:51 am

It’s called Confirmation Bias. Poor Griff.

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 7:57 am

BBC employees are forbidden on pain of dismissal to refer to anything from climate change sceptics.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  Oldseadog
May 17, 2021 8:59 am

and castration…

Bryan A
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
May 17, 2021 10:10 am

That would make them Eunuch individuals

B Clarke
Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:11 am

No griff the BBC state ” the science is settled, there is no debate” science is never settled ,by the cop out ” there is no debate” that in effect is censorship not allowing a different opinion , its steering a one sided agenda , which is against the BBC charter. Even a child would understand this griff.

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:13 am

Hey griff, how’s that Arctic sea ice extent going? I miss your posts on it and, busy though I am with real science, I have to fill in for your tardiness in reporting minority-known science data.

While I have your attention, my science colleagues and I still wonder why there are so many climate useful idiots spouting their shite in the face of man-made climate change barely existing, if at all. As a fine example, could you give us some pointers?

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:47 am

“careful not to connect every bit of bad weather to climate change”
Just after the EPA did connect bad weather officially to Climate change. Don’t expect BBC to continue to not report, if “official sources” are making the claim.

Bill Toland
Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:56 am

Griff, thank you for revealing that you get your scientific knowledge from the BBC. That explains a lot.

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:57 am

No it doesn’t, griff, in fact the BBC’s climate reporting is unbelievably biased to the extent that it’s often closer to propaganda than news. In fact a lot of BBC climate coverage is blatant propaganda put out under the guise of ‘news’, which is an appalling situation for what was once a great organisation. The new DG, Tim Davie, might have something to do with what will hopefully be more objective reporting from now on.

Gary Ashe
Reply to  MarkW2
May 17, 2021 2:12 pm

It has never been a great organisation in my life time, so that is the last 60 years.

Joseph Zorzin
Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 8:58 am

Nobody expects any swaying- but acknowleging that there is a skeptical view.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
May 17, 2021 10:56 pm

The BBC systematically removed all skeptical opinion from its ranks years ago as a matter of policy!!!! They used to get some £20M per year from that great global warming campaigner, the EU, as did every national state broadcaster throughout the EU, to promote EU policies, its politics, its opinions!!!! Just as Orwell predicted in his book, 1984!!!

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 9:12 am

I have absolutely no doubt that you would be singing the Beeb’s praises if it was trumpeting imminent climate catastrophe and Polar Bear extinction.

The BBC is beginning to wake up and try to change course on CAGW before that ship sinks.

Reply to  Graemethecat
May 17, 2021 5:37 pm

….. with that ship quite possibly being the Baghdad Bob Corporation itself, at least if the panty waist with the bad haircut could get his big boy pants on.

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 9:28 am

Since about 2 month, we learn by the news and weather services that we live in drought times.
Since weeks, beside of the on or the other day, it’s raining, raining, raining.
What should we believe, the news/ weather services or the wet facts ?

Last edited 1 year ago by Krishna Gans
Reply to  Krishna Gans
May 17, 2021 10:01 am

You must believe the BBC, not your lying eyes.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Krishna Gans
May 18, 2021 4:19 am

Silly goose, believe in The Science, not your lying eyes

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 9:45 am

There is no such thing as a “Climate Skeptic”. Please provide a link to anyone who is skeptical of earth having a climate. CAGW, AGW, or other HUMANITY caused global warming skeptics, yes, but YOU chose to use a ridiculous term belittle those who do not have your BELIEF system.

Now, clarify WHY you think that the earth’s climate at the time of your birth was perfect and that any change of the overall global temperature, especially to some incredibly small amount of warming of the earths climate, is BAD.

Now a small degree of COOLING would be bad, just look at the dark ages, the little ice age, etc.

Gary Ashe
Reply to  Drake
May 17, 2021 2:19 pm

There i no such thing as a ”global temperature” just like there is no such thing as a global climate, so i’m a denier of both.

They are nonsense statements made by idiots who don’t know any better, simpleton’s nice leftist progressive simpletons, i’m not including you in that statement

Last edited 1 year ago by Gary Ashe
Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 9:53 am

Ah, the BBC. An organisation that wouldn’t give airtime to scientists like Steve Koonin or the late Freeman Dyson, but will give plenty of airtime to a truanting Swedish girl. That’s where the BBC is at in the 21st century.

My thanks to Paul Homewood and others who try to keep the BBC honest.

Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 1:03 pm

griff, are you being serious? Or do you not listen or watch the beebs coverage of things like climate, Covid, 9/11, the Iraq war… I could go on.

Reply to  Newt2u
May 17, 2021 5:43 pm

…. and Brexit, ha ha ha, the BBC’s best drubbing in recent memory.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  griff
May 17, 2021 10:46 pm

You really are deluded, gullible, & naive, if you believe that!!! The BBC were infected & diseased with the green slime some 30 years ago, as they are run, & only employ, moderately wealthy, well educated (read expensive), intellectual elites with the same superior mental attitude, that they are right & everyone else is wrong, & all done on the taxpayers’ purse!!!!

Reply to  griff
May 18, 2021 5:12 am

Claiming run of the mill weather events as being proof of global warming is “reporting the science”?

Are you as daft as your posts?

Reply to  griff
May 18, 2021 9:21 am

Oh dear, we can’t have minority “opinions” ever being correct, can we. I mean, it’s not as if there are ANY cases in history of “minority opinions” ever being correct.

Reply to  griff
May 18, 2021 2:22 pm

A couple of years ago the BBC had a meeting with a large group of employees. Goal of the meeting was to establish BBC’s position on Climate Change. One of the employees attending this meeting was …. the Head of Comedy. I kid you not. I laughed so hard it hurt. Still makes me burst out in laughter

May 17, 2021 6:31 am

If your complaint had any effect on the BBC’s ‘reporting’, that would be a first.

Steve Case
Reply to  decnine
May 17, 2021 6:37 am


May 17, 2021 6:33 am

Aside from La Nina, does the BBC think that droughts are new in the Sonoran Desert or the Mojave?

Steve Case
Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 6:49 am

There is very little in the world of Acid Rain, Global Cooling, Nuclear Winter, Global Warming, The Ozone Hole, Climate Change, Climate Emergency, Climate Disruption, The Climate Crisis . . . . etc. that hasn’t occurred before.

Gary Ashe
Reply to  Steve Case
May 17, 2021 2:24 pm

Theres no such thing as an ozone hole either, just ozone thinning, but thats not scary.
No such thing as acid rain on this planet either so you can put a line through both of those as well.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Gary Ashe
May 17, 2021 11:09 pm

Last I checked, there wasn’t just one, but several, & a recent “quiet” announcement by groups like the British Antarctic Survey, it would appear that it has always been there, & it grows & shrinks regularly! It was only discovered by accident in any case when someone pointed some fancy piece of kit skyward, the rest of the myth is history, as they say!!!

Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 7:51 am

Yes, growing up, we often referred to it as the “Desert Southwest”, or “American Desert.” That drought conditions could prevail there should come as no surprise.

The fact that energy and modern conveniences, such as air conditioning, allow tens of millions of people to live in this otherwise harsh environment is really quite amazing. The Anasazi and other indigenous peoples who lived in that region were driven away from their homes and forced into cannibalism during the Little Ice Age.

Last edited 1 year ago by Scissor
Reply to  Scissor
May 17, 2021 9:34 am

Well… OK, I’ll be contrary. In a desert, there are “normal” desert conditions, and then there is drought. The plants that live in a desert are well adapted to survive on minimal rainfall, but none can survive on NO rainfall. There is a rather famous well-preserved cliff-dwelling site that the archaeologists say was occupied for only about 8 years. Why? OK, remember the cliff dwellers accessed their dwellings via pole ladders, that they would pull up when they saw unknowns approaching. For this particular dwelling, the base of that cliff where they rested their ladders was a dry creek bed, which I’m sure all of you know is dry most of the time, but not when it rains. Under “normal” desert conditions, enough plants existed to hold the creek bed together, even in the face of rushing torrents. But about the time this particular village became occupied coincided with the beginning of a drought. During a drought all those plants holding the creek bed together died, so when they finally got rain (about 8 years later) the resulting torrent washed away huge amounts of creek bottom, so that when the rain was over and the creek subsided, their ladders didn’t reach anymore, and ones that could reach were too heavy to pull up when they needed the protection. The cliff dwellers moved on to another dwelling.

Dave Fair
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 10:01 am

What is your source for this particular bit of information?

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 10:04 am

Link please.

Michael S. Kelly
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 6:45 pm

We hiked Walnut Canyon National Monument last August. It’s an Arizona cliff dwelling that was home to the Sinagua (“without water”) tribe from about 1125 to about 1250 AD. I would describe it as a stone-age townhouse development. Some 80 cliff-dwellings exist there, though only 25 are accessible on the Island Trail, which is the loop we took. I find it astonishing that human beings could live in such a place, let alone build what was a remarkable set of homes (they are preserved well enough to appreciate). Everything needed for survival, let alone advancing life, had to be brought up from the canyon floor (especially water), and it had to be arduous, non-stop, back-breaking work. And they were at the mercy of weather, the short-term subset of climate.

Is this what you’re talking about? Because no one knows why they left, though it wouldn’t take much of a change in weather for a couple of years to drive them out.

Modern civilization is much more resilient in the face of bad weather, and even adverse climate change – but only because it has abundant, cheap energy at its disposal to replace all of that backbreaking human labor. Consider that when you say you want us to return to the stone age.

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 18, 2021 5:19 am

I’m sorry, but that is utter nonsense.
The Anasazi survived by farming the mesa tops. They constructed irrigation channels to gather and collect what rain did fall. When a drought came, the crops no longer grew and they left.
They left during the drought, not after it.
They occupied those buildings for generations, not 8 years.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 8:38 am

Being perplexed about the fact that desert conditions can exist in a desert is a prerequisite for being hired by the BBC as a science correspondent.

Alan the Brit
Reply to  philincalifornia
May 17, 2021 11:12 pm

Don’t forget, they also can’t conceive that Antarctica is a desert, because it ain’t got no sand in it!!!! They really are that bright!!!! 😉

Rhys Jaggar
Reply to  philincalifornia
May 18, 2021 2:50 am

It is also imperative not to have a science degree, certainly never to have carried out scientific research and absolutely never to have independence of thought, mind and deed.

May 17, 2021 6:36 am

If an ice-covered tree falls on your car in Denver, does it make a sound at the BBC?

Winter 2020-21 Is Snowiest in 8-Years for Denver, CO and More Snow Is Forecast – SnowBrains

Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 7:45 am

You had me scarred for a moment, as I have been slowly planting my garden from the delays caused by the cold and snowy weather. The 10 day forecast calls for cooler than average weather but no freezing precipitation.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 8:58 am

ResourceGuy: You need more test info for your hypothetical. Did the tree use or own a gun? Was the tree of Western European descent (e.g. Birch, Norway Pine)? Did the tree ever vote, campaign, or hold up a sign for a non New England Republican or pre ’68 Southern State Democrat? Was the tree considered a fundamentalist? Did the tree ever buy, see, or bake a wedding cake? How did the tree feel about pine nuts? Your BBC producer must consider these before a news reader gets to sweatily blabber about them. This checklist, like a lot of BBC producers and editorial staff, works for NPR and PBS, too.

Reply to  dk_
May 18, 2021 9:27 am

And was the tree wearing a BLM sign? And did it bough (deliberate) the knee?

Ron Long
May 17, 2021 6:42 am

If the BBC (or CNN or any of the other socialist bandwagon news organizations) has gone a little quiet about CAGW, watch out. These sites are not like sleeping dogs, if you leave them alone they won’t bite you. Instead they have gone temporarily quiet because they are scheming. Wait for it.

Al Miller
Reply to  Ron Long
May 17, 2021 6:55 am

Please refrain from calling these groups news organizations…They are pure propaganda.

Reply to  Ron Long
May 17, 2021 7:25 am

If the “groups” seem quiet, it is because the political conductor of agenda news has rotated to other topics. Biden is not as dumb as Obama with those weekly queues of federal agencies lined up with press conferences on climate statements while the economy stuttered along in abnormally slow recovery. Biden is rotating to other topics and other problem issue suppression efforts like inflation and Gaza and trillion of the week stimulus dealing. The press is rotating with him and for him in most cases as usual. The honeymoon lasts 8 years in the case of Dems.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 9:38 am

Except I don’t think Biden has made any decisions in the last couple of years, unless it’s whether he wants tapioca pudding or vanilla. Unless it was Jill Biden, but she’s not that bright either. I don’t know who’s running the show in that administration, except that I’m certain it’s not Biden.

Richard Page
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 4:53 pm

It’ll be one or more of the Vineyard oligarchs.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 18, 2021 4:31 am

DOCTOR Jill, puhleeeze!

Reply to  Ron Long
May 17, 2021 7:40 am

Well, they’re running a few things up the flagpole to see if they get the stupiderati to buy in. Here in the States, we have:

Black people are too stupid to vote unless we help them along. I don’t know about anyone else, but the people they call black people, I call people.

Then there’s – there go those Jews again bombing children indiscriminately.

….. and couple that with phony environmentalism and the “We’re Socialists” mantra said in a BBC accent, or said by a CNN drone and we too can have a National Socialist Party all 1930s-style. Just crop Kamala’s hair and give her a silly ‘tache, and here we go again ….

Reply to  philincalifornia
May 17, 2021 9:40 am

I think they’re all writing up their position statements on Oceans of Plastic Wastes!™

Richard Page
Reply to  Ron Long
May 17, 2021 4:51 pm

The BBC, in it’s infinite wisdom, has been proclaiming that the whole of the UK will experience a ‘mini heat wave’ with temperatures in the twenties (celsius) ‘in the next week’ for over a month now without much success. They’ve just started on a new tack – the whole of the UK will experience mini heat wave conditions ‘sometime in the next month’ or so and no temperature guesstimate has been suggested this time. I have to admit it has been rather comical to see them floundering around in colder than usual conditions whilst trying to peddle the same load of BS to us peons!

Last edited 1 year ago by Richard Page
Rich Davis
Reply to  Richard Page
May 18, 2021 4:36 am

My god, the twenties? Must be people collapsing in the streets, having to strip down to their woolen undergarments!

Richard Page
Reply to  Rich Davis
May 18, 2021 7:12 am

I know, right? But those are the words that they used!

Reply to  Richard Page
May 18, 2021 9:31 am

For the next 13 days the highest temperature forecast for London on the BBC Weather site is 19 degrees.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Alba
May 18, 2021 1:53 pm

That may not be quite as extreme as the twenties, but dangerous enough. Butter may soften if left out.

B Clarke
May 17, 2021 6:43 am

They may be toning it down a bit ,but there not reporting the on going snow in Scotland, still skiing in the lake district, below average temps across the UK in May, eg were I live it got to 10c yesterday afternoon for 1 hour, when they start reporting cold anomalies as well as hot, I will give them some credit again.

Rhys Jaggar
Reply to  B Clarke
May 18, 2021 2:53 am

The amount of snow in Scotland right now is by no means unusual. It’s only left pretty high up on the mountains and snowfall in May in the Scottish mountains is a regular occurrence, if not every year.

B Clarke
Reply to  Rhys Jaggar
May 18, 2021 11:36 am

Its not snowed in Scotland this late for over two years , the North East were it was snowing is lowland not mountains ,its still snow on the peaks through out.

May 17, 2021 7:15 am

Just a question: are these people so isolated from the real world outside the walls of their buildings that they can’t figure out that weather has cycles and those cycles change repeatedly?
We had plenty of snow in my AO over the winter. It melted and soaked into my lawn which is green, growing and thick. Haven’t had rain for about three weeks now, but it is the forecast for this week.
So just WHAT is the Big Deal with these people? I’ll bet they never got caught at the bus stop with a thunderstorm coming at them, nor have they been outside in the country after dark, watching the clear night sky and the stars. It must be frightening for them to face the Real World outside those walls.
Pathetic, they are.

Pat from Kerbob
Reply to  Sara
May 17, 2021 7:42 am

Here in Calgary we just had a beautiful weekend, best so far, but of course nothing good goes unpunished so later this week it will go below freezing with snow.
Of course it will, that is what May long weekend is for.

As i watch people planting out annuals, so excited when we get a couple warm days. The usual victims, can’t contain themselves, the garden centers lover those people, having to buy 2 or 3 times.

Mine won’t get planted for at least 10-14 days.

As noted before, climate change in calgary means cold and wet. 20 years ago i could start harvesting tomatos in late july early august, now i need nice weather into september to have any ripen on vine.

Wish it was getting warmer

Rhys Jaggar
Reply to  Pat from Kerbob
May 18, 2021 2:54 am

I have graduated onto planting perennials, and despite this spring in the UK being much cooler than normal, all the perennials I planted out last year have come back beautifully strong this spring.

Reply to  Sara
May 17, 2021 9:46 am

I describe my tinnitus as sounding like a summer night, and people younger than me tend to look at me blankly. That’s how sheltered everyone has become. They have obviously never lived without air conditioning, so that they had to sleep with the windows open and had the “white noise” of crickets, june bugs, cicadas and frogs (and whatever else is out there) to lull them to sleep. And what’s more, they’ll never know the wonder of it all suddenly… falling silent. Which reigns for about 20 seconds, before a solitary cricket fiddles a tentative creak, followed by another, and then a second joins in, until they achieve a chorus, and then the orchestra of the other creatures add on harmonies, and maybe overlaid by the far distant plaint of a barking dog… Today people only know the sounds of video games, and the jingles from all the commercials.

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 1:17 pm

I’m close enough to a creek to hear frogs at night when the weather’s right for them. Frogs, including the treepeepers, plus crickets and the occasional owl (there are three around here), make a non-farm night pleasant. When we lived on a farm, the sound of corn rustling in the night breeze was another kind of music. That, and Junebugs…. those were the days, my friends.

Sorry, don’t mean to wax nostaglic, but there are some things those pathetic souls will never know.

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 1:47 pm

I would include the lonesome sound of a train whistle down in the valley. A sound that immediately takes me to a memory of being safely in my crib under the front window of my parent’s bedroom. (Every once in a long while, when conditions are just right, I’ll hear one about five miles south of me, here in Tucson.)

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
May 17, 2021 1:49 pm

Why is the previous reply waiting for approval? I just reviewed it for any possible objectionable word – none there. (Unless it is somehow the one that used to refer to a den of iniquity? Haven’t heard that usage in a very long time.)

May 17, 2021 7:18 am

Even the BBC can only work with the material it has. No hottest day etc

This year is not so different from the 1960s or 1970s.

But you had to be then to know it.

Rhys Jaggar
Reply to  fretslider
May 18, 2021 2:55 am

I checked the CET records recently to compare 2021 to previous years and the three years that came closest in terms of the March and April temperatures we had were 1903, 1936 and 1989. I haven’t checked the rainfall amounts though.

Peta of Newark
May 17, 2021 7:28 am

Something has happened in there.
Whenever a ‘weather’ story appears, first thing I always do on the page is a Ctrl+F and put ‘climate‘ into the box

And in fact nowadays, more oft than not, it does not get a result.

Maybe maybe also, the option to add comments to stories seems to be fading out.
Is that just me. I think I’ve been banned but they haven’t the guts to tell me.
(Peta, a word in your delicate shell-like: “Maybe its coz you cancelled your licence“)

If I was The BBC I really could empathise.
weird huh

Because the pure acid & vitriol (same things ain’t they) that flows from many contemporary comments is palpable.
Not just climate, Covid got them some Epic Flak
Restores some faith, that there are Kindred Spirits out there – but attempts are being made to quieten them.

There are sooooo many people out there ready to jump down their their throats and don’t pull any punches when the chance arises.

Wouldn’t want Boris or his butter-wouldn’t-melt Princess seeing or hearing about anything ‘unpleasant’ or disagreeable, would we?

Reply to  Peta of Newark
May 17, 2021 1:19 pm

Peta, they most likely aren’t allowing comments now because it might hurt their feewings to be told Da Troof: that the outdoors is something that, in reality, scares the bejesus out of them.

May 17, 2021 8:15 am

Another unusual thing the BBC did just yesterday was to post an article critical of over-optimism of a green energy advocate – in this case John Kerry the US climate envoy:

They’re triggered by Kerry’s denial that any lifestyle changes are needed for energy transition, such as all becoming vegans, because the BBC love nothing better than telling all of us how to live our lives.

But there is also in the article some important scientific skepticism and recognition of the outright impossibility of many current green policies such as in regard to electric cars and zero carbon.

The penny’s starting to drop that zero carbon is likely to mean locked-to-the-land low-energy serfdom.

Reply to  Hatter Eggburn
May 17, 2021 9:06 am

It is interesting to note the feeding frenzy effect once attributed to paparazzi has always worked for activists. Fall out of favor, and last week’s greatest hero is three meals a day, all week long. Could be Kerry’s turn.
A lot of the second wave sent to the guillotine were pulling the cord or holding the basket in the first wave. But it crosses political and ideological boundaries, so don’t feel secure that the effect is only those other guys.

Rod Evans
May 17, 2021 8:18 am

The views of the BBC have become so unreflective of the educated British public, no one with an IQ above their shoe size listens to the BBC these days.
I should qualify that slightly, I am not including parts of London in that generalisation. There in BBC heartlands, they still think Auntie has something worth listening to,

Don B
May 17, 2021 8:21 am

Regarding the claims of drought in the Southwestern U.S………

In 2011 NOAA held a workshop on Water, and one of the presenters was Dr. Judith Curry, Climatologist, Professor and then Chair of The School of Earth and Atmospheric Science at Georgia Tech. (She has since left academia to run her own company.)

Curry presented the research of McCabe et al on the drought patterns of the conterminous U.S. during the last century which had been published in the Proceedings of the Natural Academy of Sciences in 2004.

McCabe showed that more than 50% of the drought patterns could be explained by simply noting whether the PDO and the AMO were in the warm phase or cool phase. Curry said that the then (in 2011) patterns were the same patterns which existed from 1946-1964 when the Western and Southwestern U.S. were in extreme drought, and so she predicted that similar drought would exist in the SW US through about year 2025. She nailed it. Those ocean phases continue, and the drought continues.

As Dr. Roger Pielke, Sr. observed the following year when reviewing Curry’s presentation: “Thus the current drought and heat is not an unprecedented event but part of the variations in atmospheric-ocean circulation features that we have seen in the past. ”

May 17, 2021 8:26 am

One would hope that they would, at some point, see the futility of the alarmist narrative when facts on the ground are not supporting it. It has to be counterproductive to their cause.

Climate believer
May 17, 2021 8:27 am

“just look around”…

I mean in 1772 the Brits had an average temperature of ~11.2°C for May, and now they have to cope with ~11.5°C.

A warming trend of 0.01°C per decade is why the BBC is looking at a desert in another country.

Defund the BBC.

B Clarke
Reply to  Climate believer
May 17, 2021 9:26 am

The BBC should be broken up and consigned to history , there a utter disgrace.

May 17, 2021 9:08 am

All they have to do is listen to IPCC officials to see that climate change policy is an illusion …

May 17, 2021 9:27 am
Dave Fair
Reply to  ResourceGuy
May 17, 2021 10:23 am

A pile of words basically saying science does not understand natural climate altering processes so modelers just code in their biases (high ECS).

From other information, CliSciFi modelers seem to realize that the world is catching on to their ‘aerosol-tuning’ trick and the CMIP6 modelers have moved on to fiddling with cloud feedbacks to get even higher ECSs.

Reply to  Dave Fair
May 18, 2021 6:03 am

A pile of words authorized by the CCP means something more than in the West.

May 17, 2021 9:29 am

I think in a period of unusually weak solar cycle, a second weak La Niña may also be followed by a third.comment image

Reply to  ren
May 17, 2021 2:37 pm

3.4 is different:
comment image

Reply to  Krishna Gans
May 18, 2021 2:07 am

I agree with this prediction. It will be La Niña by November at the latest.

Reply to  Krishna Gans
May 18, 2021 2:13 am

Analysis of the monthly mean 20C isotherm depth for May 2021

May 17, 2021 10:06 am

Hi Griffo
Nothing to do with science, it is because we had dismal weather for over two months, it has been 2,3,4 or 5 degrees (you pick your choice) colder than average of the last 20-30 years. We have not seen proper sunshine since February, everyone is waiting to get away to Portugal or Spain, Italy and Greece to see some sun and decent warmth. Don’t come to UK is as bad as it can get.

Jim Whelan
May 17, 2021 3:40 pm

Anyone who lives in the southwest knows that the climate is one of wet winters and dry summers. Imposed over that is an approximate decade long “drought”/”wet year” cycle. The graphs in this article seem to show a 30-50 year long “very dry”/”very wet” cycle as well. This supposed “megadrought”is just the usual climate (which, by the way, is a pattern of weather, not just a simplistic “average” of weather.

Reply to  Jim Whelan
May 18, 2021 2:22 am

Jim. You nailed it. Good post. I’ve missed two AZ “monsoon seasons” now. But not too long ago, I’d been repeatedly exposed to once-in-a-lifetime rain and two never-happens-here snowstorms. Yet to people with a real local history, none of the characterizations were true. All those weather events were experienced many times in the past, and either forgotten or never related to new arrivals. And “monsoon” really isn’t.

Last edited 1 year ago by dk_
May 17, 2021 4:01 pm

Is it a fair expectation that cold = dry? After all, cooler air should not hold as much water vapour as warmer air. It’s likely to have a higher relative humidity but lower absolute.

May 17, 2021 4:10 pm

The BBC is bad when it comes to impartiality concerning climate change. But it is nowhere near as biased as Sky News UK with its twice nightly every weekday, The Daily Climate Show. Added to this there are the Sky News dishonest reporters Alex Crawford (her of Victoria Falls) and Stuart Ramsey.

As a UK resident I am ashamed of our standards of news reporting and journalism. We also have the Guardian. Need I say more?

May 17, 2021 9:23 pm

You’re supposed to be in awe of the studio graphics not the plausibility or context of the statements. In that way the studio is a crutch for their shortcomings.

May 18, 2021 9:17 am

The Wikipedia page on the BBC’s Sarah Keith-Lucas describes her a a meteorologist but the only qualication she has (according to Wikiedia) is that she studied Geography at Durham University. Is that all you need nowadays to be able to describe yourself as a meteorologist?

John C
May 19, 2021 8:19 am
May 21, 2021 6:26 am

When last did you hear ‘unprecedented since’ like comments on the BBC. Not very long ago if memory serves. Usually related to something that occur some 60 years or so ago (or less)

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