ChiCom-19
Why do I call all things coronavirus, ChiCom-19?
- Because it is a destructive weapon that came from Communist China. This doesn’t mean it was an engineered bio-weapon or that it was intentionally used to attack almost every nation on Earth.
- It was made nearly twenty times more deadly and destructive by Red Chinese deceit, and that deceit was abetted and parroted by the United Nations (WHO).
- Communism is not a race… Don’t even go there. Nationalist China’s warnings were ignored by the WHO.
COVID-19 has claimed at least 42,000 lives worldwide. A University of Southampton study estimates 95 percent of infections would have been avoided if China had acted just three weeks earlier — instead of silencing those who sought to save lives.
NY Post April 1, 2020
Beijing silenced Wuhan laboratories which had realized in December that the coronavirus was related to the deadly SARS virus from 2002-2003, and continued to claim that coronavirus could not be transmitted from human-to-human for weeks after evidence of that fact emerged.
The WHO parroted Beijing’s line on January 14, tweeting that there was “no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel coronavirus.” The WHO also defended China’s multiple drastic alterations to its coronavirus case count, and has not criticized Beijing for refusing to count asymptomatic cases until April 1. Multiple reports have detailed how China backed Tedros’s bid for WHO director general in 2017, after he had worked closely with Beijing as Ethiopia’s health minister.
National Review April 9, 2020
The only thing the WHO is good for is…
And now the rest of the story (H/T Paul Harvey)
Guest “END THE FRACKING HOSTAGE CRISIS NOW!” by David Middleton
NEWS 17 APRIL 2020
UPDATE 19 APRIL 2020
Antibody tests suggest that coronavirus infections vastly exceed official counts
Study estimates a more than 50-fold increase in coronavirus infections compared to official cases, but experts have raised concerns about the reliability of antibody kits.Widespread antibody testing in a Californian county has revealed a much higher prevalence of coronavirus infection than official figures suggested. The findings also indicate that the virus is less deadly than current estimates of global case and death counts suggest.
[…]
How deadly is SARS-CoV-2?
Sero-surveys can also provide a better estimate of how deadly a virus is, using a measure known as the infection fatality rate (IFR) — the proportion of all infections, not just those confirmed through clinical testing, that result in death.
[…]
The Santa Clara team estimated an IFR for the county of 0.1–0.2%, which would equate to about 100 deaths in 48,000-82,000 infections.
[…]
Fatality rate estimates have been revised down over time as more people have been tested and researchers have gained more insight into less-severe cases, as happened with swine flu in 2009, says Eran Bendavid, a population-health researcher at Stanford University who led the Santa Clara study.
[…]
Nature
The case fatality rate for influenza pandemics is about 0.1-0.2%. Yes, the Nature article babbles a lot about “experts” raising “concerns about the reliability of antibody kits”… “Experts” always raise concerns about anything that dilutes the power of their “expertise.”
In the meantime hostage crisis protests are spreading across America…
US governors feel heat to reopen from protesters, president
By PAUL WEBER and FRANK JORDANS
yesterdayAUSTIN, Texas (AP) — Stores in Texas can soon begin selling merchandise with curbside service, and hospitals can resume nonessential surgeries. In Florida, people are returning to a few beaches and parks. And protesters are clamoring for more.
Governors eager to rescue their economies and feeling heat from President Donald Trump are moving to ease restrictions meant to control the spread of the coronavirus, even as new hot spots emerge and experts warn that moving too fast could prove disastrous.
Adding to the pressure are protests against stay-at-home orders organized by small-government groups and Trump supporters. They staged demonstrations Saturday in several cities after the president urged them to “liberate” three states led by Democratic governors.
[…]
AP
The Fire Marshal Gumps of America might want to read up on Thomas Jefferson, author of the Declaration of Independence and our third president…
And what country can preserve it’s liberties if their rulers are not warned from time to time that their people preserve the spirit of resistance? Let them take arms. The remedy is to set them right as to facts, pardon and pacify them. What signify a few lives lost in a century or two? The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. It is it’s natural manure.
Thomas Jefferson, letter to William Stephens Smith, 1787
Day twenty- or thirty-something of America held hostage by ChiCom-19
The local Dallas County numbers continue to be underwhelming. As of noon Saturday:
| 4/19/2020 | |||
| Dallas County | CHICOM-19 | ||
| Population | Cases | Deaths | |
| 2,637,772 | 2,324 | 60 | 2.6% |
| % of population with | 0.09% | 0.00% | |
| % with, rounded | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| % without | 99.91% | 100.0% | |
| % without, rounded | 99.9% | 100% | |
| Menodoza Line (.200) | 3/12/2035 | 0.200 |
And much to the chagrin of Dallas County Commissar Fire Marshal Gump, the Great State of Texas will lead the nation in ending the ChiCom-19 hostage crisis:
CORONAVIRUS
‘Step by step, we will open’: Texas becomes first state to announce dates easing COVID-19 restrictions amid novel coronavirus pandemicFriday, April 17, 2020
AUSTIN, Texas — Texas Gov. Greg Abbott issued three executive orders Friday that outline how to reopen the state amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
The announcement from the governor has been long awaited, with Abbott adding that the state and its decisions must be guided by data and doctors.
He started Friday’s briefing with hope, noting that, “We are now beginning to see glimmers that the worst of COVID-19 may soon be behind us,” and that Texas has the second-most recoveries of all the states.
[…]
ABC News 7
Fire Marhal Gump, anything to add?
Dallas County Reports Deadliest Week Yet in Fight Against COVID-19
The new cases bring the county’s total 2,324 cases and 60 deaths
By Claire Cardona and Allie Spillyards • Published April 18, 2020Dallas County on Saturday reported five additional deaths and 134 more positive cases of the new coronavirus.
“Today’s five deaths bring our weekly fatalities to 33, which is the deadliest week so far and 55% of all COVID19 deaths in Dallas County,” county Judge Clay Jenkins said in a written statement. “Today’s number of new cases is the most we have ever reported.”
The five additional deaths include a Grand Prairie man in his 80s, a University Park woman in her 90s and three residents of long-term care facilities — two men and a woman, all in their 70s.
[…]
NBC5DFW
Hey Gump! The people who died last week got into the “checkout line” over two weeks ago!
Hey Gump! Read your own county’s fracking reports!
Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 134 additional positive cases of COVID-19 today, bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 2,324. Five additional deaths are being reported, including:
*A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
*A woman in her 90’s who was a resident of the City of Universal Park and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
*A man in his 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
*A man in his 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and has been hospitalized in an area hospital.
*A woman in her 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and had been critically ill in an area hospital.Dallas County HHS
Of cases requiring hospitalization, most have been either over 60 years of age or have had at least one known high-risk chronic health condition. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Most (69%) deaths have been male. Twenty deaths have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Every death is tragic… But killing everybody through economic strangulation is really FRACKING stupid!
Just to close out on a lighter note… Red China’s best bud sees this as an opportunity to “fundamentally change the science relating to global warming”… Because ChiCom-19. Be sure to follow the facial expressions of the CNN buffoons…
Watching Biden is like watching Weekend at Bernie’s, except it’s as if there’s a random word generator implanted in his brain whatever is between his ears.
LOL Middleton: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=%40CL.1
.
They will pay you to take delivery!!!! $-11.42 at 2:22 PM EDT.
The May contract settled at $ -37.63 a bbl.
First time in history a contract went negative.
Minus 35 dollars at the close.
The sad thing is that Henry actually believes he’s saying something intelligent.
Right now there is 80 million barrels of spare capacity in the SPR.
trump would need no funds from congress, theoretically, to put oil into the SPR…he could get us paid to take it.
The amount is likely not high though.
The big question is, what happens to the forward month contracts after the May contract closes tomorrow?
This could be some hedge fund or oil fund collapsing.
Traders are on TV saying obviously no one is actually going to pay anyone thirty five thousand dollars to take 1000 barrels of crude.
“Right now there is 80 million barrels of spare capacity in the SPR.
trump would need no funds from congress, theoretically, to put oil into the SPR…he could get us paid to take it.”
At his news conference yesterday, Trump said that was just what he was proposing to do. He wants to rent out Strategic Petroleum Reserve storage space, but I got the impression he wanted to do that for domestic production. I don’t know if the Saudi oil figures into that equation.
Here is my idea: Trump takes delivery of all of the oil they are paying to give away, and use the money to build the wall, while topping off the SPR and giving Nancy and Chuck the world’s biggest finger!
Does anyone have a big giant oil storage tank I could borrow?
“Great minds…”
I’ve got a couple of empty oil cans in the garage.
Teslas seal pretty tight.
Meanwhile, deafening silence on this story:
“Orchestrated from the highest levels of the Department of Justice, the FBI knowingly used disinformation from a foreign adversary — paid for by political operatives running a partisan campaign in an ongoing U.S. election — to unleash America’s most powerful and sprawling espionage apparatus against political enemies of a sitting administration.
Think about it. This is infinitely worse than Watergate. These are abuses so much more brazen and dangerous than anything from Hoover, the infamous longtime director of … ahem … the FBI.
We now know that FBI agents — operating at the behest of powerful appointees of the Obama administration — deliberately doctored foreign intelligence to obtain secret warrants to spy on an active political campaign for president. In the United States of America.
This is no longer opinion or speculation. This is fact, backed up by exhaustive investigation and extensive evidence. The fact that these massive abuses are getting short-shrift in the media today only reveals the extent to which the media has been a co-conspirator in this travesty of justice.
They have become outright defenders of a police state, where spying on innocent Americans seeking political office is now perfectly acceptable to them.
Meanwhile, in Congress, the most powerful Democrats in the land knew what was going on and encouraged it. All for sick partisan gain.
To cover their tracks, they lied and accused their political opponents of doing exactly what they themselves did: Using foreign disinformation straight out of Moscow to sow discord and win an election here in the United States.
Again, this is not some hot-headed opinion from a crazy conspiracy theorist. Or, at least, it’s not just that. It also happens to be the stone-cold truth.”
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/04/20/charles-hurt-horowitz-report-proves-things-are-even-worse-than-we-thought/
“We now know that FBI agents — operating at the behest of powerful appointees of the Obama administration — deliberately doctored foreign intelligence to obtain secret warrants to spy on an active political campaign for president. In the United States of America.
This is no longer opinion or speculation. This is fact, backed up by exhaustive investigation and extensive evidence. The fact that these massive abuses are getting short-shrift in the media today only reveals the extent to which the media has been a co-conspirator in this travesty of justice.”
Exactly!
The Obama administration was/is a criminal enterprise that used illegal means to try to undermine the candidacy of Donald Trump and then to undermine the presidency of Donald Trump. The Obama administration undermined the U.S. Constitution in the process and this illegal activity is the most dangerous threat to the freedoms of Americans in all of U.S. history.
Fortunately, it appears that our Attorney General is getting ready to drop the hammer on a bunch of Obama administration officials. I don’t know if Obama himself will be indicted, although it appears to me that he should be, since his minions would not have done this without his knowledge and permission. But, politics being what it is, we probably can’t expect Barack and Hillary to go to jail, but a Dishonorable Mention would be a good substitute if the public can see their guilt.
The Obama administration tried to rig our election process. Had they been successful, they would have continued to rig our election process, and they would have rigged it so they held all the power, all the time. Don’t doubt me. If they were successful the first time, they would have continued right along.
We need to send a bunch of people to jail in order to deter such criminality in the future. Just a few people tried to take away the freedoms of over 330 million people. They almost succeeded. We better be very careful in the future, because you can see how easy it is, especially when you have the Media on your side promoting your cause and silencing the opposition.
If you sit back and read about the plan to overturn the last election by framing Trump and exonerating HRC, it can easily been seen as an unrealistic conspiracy theory. No way that could have happened.
That is what is so brazen about the Left. They can look you straight in the eye and boldly claim what you are seeing is not reality.
” . . . for many progressives, the virus is climate change on crystal meth.”
https://thefederalist.com/2020/04/20/our-goal-must-be-a-total-return-to-normal/#disqus_thread
Game. Set. Match!
So what we are seeing now ‘in real time’ ….
“The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil (CL=F), which expires on Tuesday, erased its entire value — plunging below zero for the first time in history before settling at -$37.63 per barrel. The June contract for the commodity (CLM20.NYM) also sank sharply, but held above $20 per barrel Monday afternoon.”
… is absolutely completely different than ‘Climate Change’
The collapse of the ‘world financial system’ is a quick thing, not a slow thing like climate ‘change’.
I do not see any similarity at all the collapse of thousands of businesses and bank collapses, in a country, to climate change.
I do not see the collapse of the entertainment industry (sports, movies, and so on), the collapse of the tourism industry, the collapse of the restaurant industry as analogous to climate change.
This is like watching planes flying around until they run out fuel. That plan ends in a sad way.
Better to land and think before wasting all of the fuel we have left.
Revenue is down 30% every country, except China.
Expenses are up 200% every country except for China
We are paying people to sit at home. We are paying companies as we wait for the covid virus to go away or until we run out of money.
The above ‘plan’ ends when the first major country or major financial ‘institution’ goes bankrupt.
And then we get to see what happens when countries, banks, and commercial institutions default on their contractual agreements.
Money is just a contract. And if the GDP machine is broken money turns to paper.
Don’t be so concerned about the May futures contract. It expires tomorrow and its’s for oil to be delivered while the economy is shut down and storage space is running out. Demand will recover as the economy reopens.
The big concern is for small businesses, particularly local restaurants. Many of these may not reopen. Even the restaurants that hung on with delivery and to go orders may fail if they can’t reopen soon.
I totally agree small businesses are dying and large businesses are also dying except slower.
This oil ‘event’ is evidence that a major player defaulted.
May oil contracts settling Minus!!!! 37.63 USD
The oil companies covered their position contractually to protect against a major event, the problem is the event is too big.
The companies sold all of their oil. The problem is the middle man in the game did not have a home for the oil and has forced to default.
The oil game is the first game that broke.
The companies will sue the bankrupt financial institution for their losses, but you cannot get money from a company that is bankrupt.
We are watching the global financial system ‘unwind’.
Breitbart is the first news organization to notice.
https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2020/04/20/oil-breaks-the-buck-and-quickly-plunges-to-1-cent/
Still the dive into deep negative territory ( William: Minus!!! USD 37.63) suggests something more is at work….
… perhaps the collapse of a hedge fund or …
Other ‘investment’ vehicle with a large position in oil futures.
The drop from $20 to -$38 was mostly speculators trading paper. No one paid $38 to deliver a barrel of oil today, when they could deliver it Wednesday for $20/bbl.
” It is it’s natural manure.
Thomas Jefferson, letter to William Stephens Smith, 1787″
Surely Jefferson would have written “It’s its natural manure”? No?
They didn’t have Spell Check in1787.
https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/309500-how-deadly-is-covid-19-new-stanford-study-raises-questions
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1
1.8% to 5.7% is a pretty wide confidence interval.
USA
Population ~330,000,000
1.8% ~5,940,000
5.7% ~18,881,000
Confirmed cases ~800,000
Deaths ~50,000
50,000/800,000 = 6.25%
50,000/5,940,000 = 0.8%
50,000/18,810,000 = 0.3%
When I get to the office (kitchen) I’ll build a spreadsheet.
for folks who prefer to watch rather than read.
https://youtu.be/R8Pv77R3g1E?t=945
The math behind sensitivity and selectivity is not that hard, geologists should get it
For example, if you work in GIS and build maps of various land classifications ( Like urban
versus Rural in climate studies) then the math is basically the same, but the terms might be a little different.
For those who prefer reading over YouTube…
https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/309500-how-deadly-is-covid-19-new-stanford-study-raises-questions
USA
Population ~330,000,000
Confirmed cases ~800,000
5x = 4,000,000
10x = 8,000,000
Deaths ~50,000
50,000/800,000 = 6.25%
50,000/4,000,000 = 1.25%
50,000/8,000,000 = 0..625%
The Stanford folks at least shared their math. Even using the Extreme Tech arm waving math, the most likely number is less than 1%.
Any way you slice it, destroying an economy on the difference between 0.1% and 1.25% is pretty fracking stupid.
For some reason the mortality rate of this virus is getting talked down by some. The Italian province of Bergamo regrettably shows how serious Sars 2 is.
Until the end of March officially 2060 people have died there from Covid 19. Since the province only has 1.1 mio residents, that would be almost 0.2% of the total population. Btw. some 11.000 have tested positive so far, which of course is totally underreporting the real extend of the pandemic. Anyhow..
The problem is that a) hundreds of people have died there since and b) the death toll is strongly underreporting reality. A total of 5.400 have died in Bergamo in March, which is up from 900 a year before. The virus has obviously killed over 0.5% of the total population there already and the numbers are only going up.
We could translate this into the overall mortality rate of Sars 2 if we would assume a 100% of that population had gotten infected. Obviously that can not be true, although Bergamo is certainly the worst affected region we know of so far. But we can do number games and assume any infection rate you like, for instance 30%, divide the minimum death toll observed (0.5%) and with it, and you get 1.67% mortality.
That of course is under the circumstances of a totally overrun health care system, with many people dying without treatment at home.