TS Andrea, the first named Atlantic storm of the season continues to organize, but so far has only maximum sustained winds of ~60mph. Florida will get quite a bit of rain in addition to winds. The real issue will be what happens after it crosses the Florida peninsula and re-emerges in the Atlantic. Right now tracking models suggest it will be hugging the coast closely, which will prevent much strengthening.
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Typo alert; … “Florida will get quite a but of rain in addition to winds.”
We are used to being the butt of jokes however. 🙂
I have to drive through that mess to Daytona in a few hours. Thanks for the update.
REPLY: Typo fixed, thanks, Anthony
I live about 25 miles north of Tampa. We’ve had drought conditions here in Florida for the last several months, to the extent that the water nazis have tightened up on the restrictions, so the rain is welcomed.
Take care, Mark Stoval.
I just prayed for a safe journey for you. I hope God says, “Yes.”
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Thanks, A-th–y, for the great visuals. This website is SO COOL!
Let’s see if the McKibbernaut clears its throat.
Southeast farmers/Alabama farmers especially, really need rain. Radar looks like they’re getting some.
http://agfax.com/2013/06/03/alabama-dry-conditions-slow-planting/
http://agfax.com/ Much of the upper Midwest region has had flooding and are dealing with replanting.
Been trying to track down any evidence that urban aerosols steer hurricanes either away from or towards urban centres. But just lots of wacky government conspiracy stuff.
It’s well establish urban aerosols decrease hurricane intensity by quite a large amount.
I think urban aerosols steer hurricanes towards urban centers. So the effect of reduced urban aerosols is more intense landfalling hurricanes which are less likely to hit urban centers.
That’s not a storm. The UK gets 40 mph on an average day. Anything for a name that mob.
Up to 60mph this morning…
About the absolute worst thing a tropical storm, tropical depression, or even remnants of one can do is stall. That brings a reminder that wind damage is worst on the coast and gets most of the video attention from reporters in the storm, but that inland flooding can be devastating too.
Fortunately, it looks like Andrea won’t be hanging around anywhere.
About the second worse thing it can do is merge with an extratropical storm. While New England and the mid-Atlantic area will have a brief encounter, it may be interesting as we have a storm to interact with.
The water vapor image for the Gulf of Mexico shows a lot of dry air to the west of Andrea. Had this been a real hurricane, it would strangle the storm in hours. See http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFWV.JPG
The forecast discussion notes “ANDREA IS PROBABLY NEAR ITS PEAK INTENSITY SINCE STRONG SHEAR SHOULD HALT ANY SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION BEFORE LANDFALL. ANDREA WILL INTERACT WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN ABOUT 36 HOURS…BUT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.”
Poor thing really has no chance at greatness. I’m impressed it’s as strong as it is.
It is certainly keeping the temperatures cool here in mid NC (presently 66F @ur momisugly 8:00am) We are already getting a bit of rain. Very welcome.
Yes – rain is good! Thank you, TS Andrea.
I hope it takes the western route. We can use the rain.
Here in my part of Georgia, we have had a fairly normal rainfall year, but the lakes could use a large dose of tropical moisture to get back to full pool from the droughts of the last few years. I hope it takes the north and west part of the track and gives us a few inches.
As long as they don’t get too strong, or stall, these weak tropical storms are very helpful when it comes to avoiding drought, when the summer sun is at its highest and evaporation is at its greatest. The worst drought I can remember in New England, peaking roughly in 1966, was largely due to a complete lack of dead and dying tropical storms passing over New England. That drought got so bad that Quabbin Reservoir, (Boston’s primary water supply,) sunk down to a level where cellar-holes in Greenwich, a town that was disincorperated and drowned when the reservoir was created, reappeared.
As we are right on the coast down here in Sarasota, I’m not sure hugging the coast is good thing. We need some rain, but we don’t need a flood.
Oh just as I typed that it stopped raining (for now).
Oh no, tropical rain in June?
We’re doomed, I say. Dooooommmmeeeed.
Ric Werme says:
June 6, 2013 at 4:50 am
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I don’t see how it’s holding together at all with the dry air to the west.
http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/opdb/aviation/loops/realtime/conuswv_loope.html
I am just south of Tampa Bay.
Lots of rain and winds mostly less than 30-40 mph so far. We, too, needed rain, but not this much in so short of time.
Coastal flooding along Tampa area will probably occur later near local high tide around 6:30pm today.
Looks like it will bring rain to most of east coast of US over next few days or so. As long as it doesn’t strengthen, that would probably be good.
NEATO!…Sarasota is getting some much needed rain…I have recorded about 0.75 inch today and about 1.5 inches the previous few days.
Related tweet from the President of the United States:
https://twitter.com/BarackObama/status/341986237634211840
“As hurricane season begins, @SEEC is highlighting the #costsofclimate. How much does inaction cost you? Go here: http://OFA.BO/Bpv7v1”
Thank you WARMISTS! Your education of the public on the science climate change is just STUNNING! This is one of many the fruits of your considerable labor…
Hmmmph.
On vacation in the NE GA mountains. Rains, storms blowing through: can’t even got outside and go tubing or miniature golfing with the grandkids. 8<)
Stephen Richards says:
June 6, 2013 at 1:01 am
> That’s not a storm. The UK gets 40 mph on an average day. Anything for a name that mob.
Whatever you call it, it’s heading your way!
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/150929.shtml?tswind120#contents
It’s a “storm” of some sort…it’s spawned some tornadic damage and flooding. That’s not an average day in the UK.
There’s always lots of bluster about hurricanes and tropical storms, and they certainly can be stressful, harmful, and damaging. But they are part of the water cycle for FL and portions of the SE US. If those events went away, it would be a bad thing for the water balance.
Tropical storm or cut off low?