UPDATE: Monckton is being deported from Qatar. Such a show of tolerance from the “tolerant left” who do these sorts of stunts all the time (sometimes illegally). Monckton has been ‘de-badged’, meaning he no longer has a visa to stay in Qatar and had 24 hours to leave the country.
UPDATE2: Monckton says “I was very bad” see below. We now have video. There doesn’t seem to be any “booing” after his statement as asserted by the press reports, and his statement was more than a sentence as reported.
UPDATE3: Monckton gives his account here
An excerpt from an E &E Newswire story
…
After the news conference, and as diplomats gathered for the climate conference president’s assessment of how close countries are to agreement, Monckton quietly slipped into the seat reserved for the delegation of Myanmar and clicked the button to speak.
“In the 16 years we have been coming to these conferences, there has been no global warming,” Monckton said as confused murmurs filled the hall and then turned into a chorus of boos.
The stunt infuriated negotiators and activists here who gather every year to address what they believe is one of the world’s top threats, the steady rise of man-made global warming.
As Monckton was escorted from the hall and security officers stripped him of his U.N. credentials, several people noted that just a few hours earlier a group of young activists had been thrown out of the convention center and deported. Their crime: unfurling an unauthorized banner calling for the Qatari hosts to lead the negotiations to a strong conclusion.
By late today, several activists attending the conference had posted calls to “deport Monckton” on their Twitter feeds
…
Full story:
Inhofe, Monckton crash U.N. talks with gusto
Jean Chemnick, E&E reporter
Published: Thursday, December 6, 2012
http://www.eenews.net/Greenwire/print/2012/12/06/2
h/t Marc Morano
=========================================================
Lord Monckton claims victory over climate change scare stories – Telegraph http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthvideo/9728622/Lord-Monckton-claims-victory-over-climate-change-scare-stories.html
Excerpt:
Earlier in the week he appeared in a video promoted by US lobby group the Committee on a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT) riding a camel to promote a “different perspective” of the talks.
The two-week meeting, due to end on Friday is deadlocked on modest goals such as aid and an extension of an existing UN-led plan to combat climate change into 2013.
The European Union, Australia, Ukraine, Norway, Switzerland are the main backers of Kyoto who are willing to extend legally binding cuts in emissions beyond 2012 until 2020.
But they account for less than 15 per cent of world emissions.
Russia, Japan and Canada have pulled out, saying it makes no sense to continue when big emerging nations led by China and India have no binding goals.
=======================================================
[Monckton] has been banned for life from UN climate talks.
Speaking afterwards, he said he was acting on the “spur of the moment”.
“I don’t think it was my turn to talk, but the opportunity presented itself and I took it,” he said.
“I was very bad – I pressed the button and made a short statement.”
“I know it was bad of me, but I got some brief points across which the delegates probably didn’t expect.
“They have now taken my badge, but it’s not the end of the world.”
VIDEO:
At 12:57 PM on 6 December, astrometeorologist Theodore White published in this thread a long essay (about 1700 words) speaking to the high likelihood of “a new kind of neo-boreal” regime he predicts will “begin at the end of this decade, last through the 2020s and peak in the 2030s.”
He goes on to write:
Minor line editing applied. Mr. White obviously composed this opinion piece “on the fly.”
God damn, but this is good prose. I regret that I am unfamiliar with Theodore White, but I’d very much like to submit this comment of his as an article to the editor of The Libertarian Enterprise, which will bring it to attention outside the admittedly broader scope of WUWT readers while according it a URL that will make it directly accessible to Web search engines. For similar reasons, it might be submitted to Lew Rockwell for promulgation on his Web log, LewRockwell.com.
If anyone reading here can contact Mr. White, I would ask that he please consider shaking this op-ed piece of his down just a mite and getting it to the editors of these two venues (at the very least) ASA-goddam-P.
It should not be left to shuffle off into obscurity. Polemic of this character and quality is valuable.
[Reply: I’m letting this through, but could you refrain from ‘swear words’ please? -ModE ]
To Coke
perhaps a better understanding might then come from comparing the radiative forcings over the past 16 years, of course additional CO2 increases the forcing but we also have other negative forcing at work eg aerosols.
I am ignoring the GISTEMP data for the time being which has both 2005 and 2010 above (wittle bit) 1998 ,
I noticed that one commentator wanted only to count the SST and ignore the data to 2000m which also shows warming,
If temperatures where actually to remain flat over the last sixteen years then that would surely mean that the system is in equilibrium, i do not think that is is, do you?
your no nonsense reply most welcome
JB
Terrific prank, by the way. Some believers might even end up questioning their assumptions. Stranger things have happened.
Three cheers for Lord M! The CAGW Emperor is buck naked and he called them on it!
Lord M for PM!
@AndyG55 & Alan:
I grew up in a hot place. “110 (F) in the shade, and there ain’t no shade…” I can tell you that having a white covering that fits loose is a BIG feature. That “dress” isn’t just for show.
Were I visiting, I’d be ‘dressed like the locals’ any time I was outside of air conditioning. It’s the smartest thing you can do.
(It reflects the sun & from far away enough from your skin to not warm you in the process, holds in enough moisture to be highly efficient with your evapotranspiration, but not so much as to leave you wet / damp, ventilates as desired – unlike western coats and pants- and shades the head & face that are also exposed in western dress. All in all, very well adapted to the climate.)
Looks fairly comfortable too:
http://youtu.be/m5Bxo2wLT-s
Beats the heck out of a dark blue suit and tie…
That “some folks” want to try turning that into a “joke” just shows how stupid they are about life in hot places and being polite with the locals by blending in and adopting local customs.
Well done Lord Monckton. Once again stating nothing but the facts. Good on you ….. and apparently Mike at 11.29 am, thinks you have an unbelievable ass! …..;-)
At 11:33 PM on 6 December, john byatt had written:
It’s reliable to ignore the Goddard Institute for Space Sciences (GISS) Global Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP) utterly and completely except as a source of purposeful duplicity to be discounted as such until it passes completely from the command of AGW alarmist politicians and bureaucrats and into the administrative control of scientists adherent to sound methodology and the willingness to conform their work to objective reality instead of putting a Cargo Cult Science gloss on “legal plunder.”
I suggest watching the presentation in context (not the youtube video above).
Plenary 2 – 2012-12-06 18:00 AST
President´s informal stocktaking plenary
41:00 Gambia
42:37 Chile
43:30 the floor was given to Myanmar (Burma) on behalf of the Asian Coastal Cooperation Initiative
43:50 Monckton
44:36 end of Monckton’s statement
44:46 dead air – no booing, no audio (too bad, I really wanted to hear that)
There was general confusion on the dais as to who the who speaker was.
Monckton was apparently the last speaker of the session. Very professional. Very well done. But still a cheap trick.
I did several searches for “Asian Coastal Cooperative Initiative” and found nothing. I had hoped that he had actually been invited to make a statement. Maybe he made it up?
alan says:
December 6, 2012 at 8:09 pm
That was great, alan, many thanks! His message, as shown in that video, was much, much more effective and to the point than the headlines suggest.
Why anyone would bother trying to denigrate the messenger with Benny Hill music (good though it is) while completely and utterly ignoring the message itself, is quite beyond me, however!
Thank you once again.
Good for you Lord M !
These ratbags can’t stand the truth !!
@Galane:
Yes, fast hardware. And, assuming one “hash” is needed per password test (it really takes more computes than that… but we’re feeling generous… you’ll see why below) and that each password test can be instantly done in sync with the hashing and dataflow is instant… you can test all possible 256 bit AES keys in only…
10550985813450600000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
years…. but you would likely only need half that time plus a bit (unless unlucky) to have a hit… so knock of one ‘0’ if you like…
(It is helpful when dealing with very large numbers to at least look at the relative sizes of the exponents… The mind is very poor at seeing the relative sizes of things when out in the 10 ^77 vs 10 ^11 ranges…)
There’s a bunch of quasi irrational assumptions in that estimate, but lets just say that a modest box of CPUs isn’t going to brute force AES any time soon. (Now a few $Million worth of CPUs and a LOT of TB disks…)
Monckton 1, Snouts in Troughers 0
john byatt:
Your post at December 6, 2012 at 11:33 pm was addressed to Coke but – on the assumption that your request was sincere – I write to provide you with two answers to your question. You post says in total
You raise a ‘red herring’ when you ask,
“If temperatures where actually to remain flat over the last sixteen years then that would surely mean that the system is in equilibrium, i do not think that is is, do you?”
The reality is that there has been no linear warming trend discernible at 95% confidence over the last 16 years. This lack of statistically discernible warming is important for two reasons.
The 16 years of no global warming discernible at 95% confidence
(a) is a direct refutation of the AGW-hypothesis as formulated in climate models
and
(b) is a direct refutation of the mechanism of warming asserted by the IPCC.
THE MODELS
The US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration stated in its State of the Climate Report for 2008 (page 23)
There is such a “discrepancy.
Werner Brozek has repeatedly posted the following assessment of the “discrepancy” on WUWT during the present week.
Data sets with a 0 slope for at least 15 years:
1. HadCrut3: since April 1997 or 15 years, 7 months (goes to October)
2. Sea surface temperatures: since March 1997 or 15 years, 8 months (goes to October)
3. RSS: since January 1997 or 15 years, 10 months (goes to October)
See the graph below to show it all.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1997.25/trend/plot/rss/from:1997.0/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1997.1/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1997.25/plot/rss/from:1997.0/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1997.1
THE MECHANISM OF WARMING AS ASSERTED BY THE IPCC
The IPCC AR4 predicted (n.b. predicted and not projected) in its so-called “scientific” report “committed warming” of 0.2deg.C per decade (+/-20%) averaged over the first two decades after year 2000. This “committed warming” was certain to occur because of greenhouse gases already in the system.
It is now nearly 2013 and there hasn’t been discernible warming since 2000. The climate models predicted the “committed warming” was certain to occur if there were no significant changes to volcanism or solar behaviour which have not happened. This “committed warming” should now have provided at least 0.2deg.C of global warming. And for the trend of 0.2deg.C per decade (+/-20%) averaged over the first two decades after year 2000 to be achieved requires a probably impossible rise over the next 7 years of ~0.8deg.C (this would be a greater rise than happened over the entire twentieth century).
Perhaps you will now admit that your question concerning imaginary “equilibrium” is a distraction?
Richard
Depending on your point of view, CAGW is either a quasi-religious cult, a naive superstition, or a gravy train for B2 bureaucrats and pseudo-scientists.
Qatar does not have any religious police like its Saudi neighbour, so Moncton’s eviction suggests one of the latter two is the more accurate description..
Mr. Abbott,
I actually know what a Communist Government looks like, spent 27 years of my life trying to escape from its deadly embrace. It’s no more than a bunch of thieves and their sidekicks, robbing everybody else and using some utter ideological BS as their excuse. Not very far from the correct description of the today’s US government, I would say. And an exact description of the UN.
Christopher Monckton is doing a great, most useful thing: he is stripping Green totalitarians of respect. Respect is what ruling thieves and murderers of this world are after, first of all and above all. You lose respect, you lose legitimacy, you lose… pretty much everything.
Bravo, Christopher Monckton! The land of the brave salutes you.
something very subtle happened in this incident. The delegates “Boo”d him !!! WHY would they do tha?. Surely if he is a lunatic loose on a Mic and he is so wrong and they are so right, why did they just not laugh and chuckle as they saw him removed ? The “boo” gives away a lot , it tells me they are more affraid than annoyed.
Lord Monckton got off lightly. Doesn’t he know that heretics are liable to be stoned in some Middle Eastern countries?
Ooops! My post submitted at December 7, 2012 at 1:07 am says
It is now nearly 2013 and there has been discernible warming since 2000.
Of course, I intended
It is now nearly 2013 and there hasn’t been discernible warming since 2000.
Sorry.
Richard
[Reply: Fixed. -ModE]
Robert Clemenzi:
At December 7, 2012 at 12:10 am you suggest of Lord Monckton’ statement at the CoP
And perhaps you are a delusional warmunist (I know which suggestion is more likely).
Lord Monckton was ejected from the CoP and is being deported from the country. Perhaps you think this was because he was munching muffins?
Richard
[Reply: Please, keep it civil. Less insults ‘to the person’ please. It’s possible he made it up as it doesn’t show up in searches. It’s also possible the original language is not English. Neither one deserves insults. -ModE]
richardscourtney says:
December 7, 2012 at 1:07 am
not sure what you are saying about imaginary equilibrium nor why you did not address my question re radiative forcing
If you have to start at 1997.25 and use the unadjusted HADCRUT3 data then it would be a bit hard to convince many people, who might then use a later start date and HADCRUT4 or GISTEMP and say hey look the temperature stopped for a few years then started warming again in 2000, or in 2002
It becomes even harder to convince others when you say that, not you, GISTEMP is fudged
people will look at me like I need help or something
Moderator:
Firstly, and importantly, I thank you for correcting my serious typing error in my post at December 7, 2012 at 1:07 am. Your kindness is genuinely appreciated.
Secondly, I do not accept that I made an “insult to the person” in my post addressed to Robert Clemenzi at December 7, 2012 at 1:49 am.
Robert Clemenzi had inferred that Lord Monckton lied. He made this inference on the basis that his “searches” failed to find an account of Monckton’s statement. That absence of evidence is not evidence which justifies suggesting an honourable man is a liar.
I replied that his inference suggested he may be a “delusional warmunist”. I think that response was warranted when – as I said – “Lord Monckton was ejected from the CoP and is being deported from the country.”
Richard
[Reply: I didn’t snip, I ‘chided’. But “warmunist” is name calling. And there’s been just a bit more overall rudeness in some comments in general (not just you). So this looked like a reasonable place to ask folks to ‘play nice’ and remind that the tone ought to be, um, civil. -ModE ]
Hurray, Lord Monckton. Treating Doha like the circus that it is.
Richard
If the IPCC was emphatic that the decadal trend would be 0.2DegC then surely the 20C3M model would reflect that.
http://www.realclimate.org/images/model11.jpg
that does not seem to be the case here for the 95% confidence range ??
john byatt:
Your post addressed to me at December 7, 2012 at 2:03 am says
My answer to you explained how and why
I did not address your irrelevant question about “radiative forcing” because it is a ‘red herring’ (i.e. an irrelevant side-track intentended to deflect from the issues). Indeed, my point about your silly assertion concerning “equilibrium” was that it is also a ‘red herring’.
Global temperature did not start “warming again in 2000, or in 2002”. There has been no statistically significant (at 95% confidence) since 2000.
I said nothing about GISTEMP although it is completely distorted by “adjustments”. Clearly, you have raised that as yet another ‘red herring’.
In order to give you the help that you need concerning global temperature reconstructions, I refer you to Appendix B of
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200910/cmselect/cmsctech/memo/climatedata/uc0102.htm
Richard
No. For a grown human being to come a-crippled upon “swear words” in common use among grown men in informal public discourse is puerility, affected prissiness, or crippling neurosis, and is every case worthy of nothing but contempt.
[Reply: Well, when ‘among grown men’ feel free. As there are women and children about, I say again “please refrain from swear words.”. No, not a mandate (as those come from Anthony). Just a request to be a bit more aware of the wider audience. Realize, too, that it’s an international one and folks in some countries are not so fond of things like swearing. -ModE ]