Author Archives: Alec Rawls

Taking Keating seriously part 2: the IPCC’s human-attribution claim is prima facie unscientific

Guest post by Alec Rawls (see part 1) Ex-physics teacher Christopher Keating, who strongly believes that human activity is causing dangerous global warming, is offering $30,000 to anyone who can prove that “claims of man-made climate change” are not supported … Continue reading

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Posted in Climate News | 110 Comments

Taking Keating’s $30,000 skeptic challenge seriously, part 1

Contradictory contest criteria have been rectified via Keating “clarification” Guest post by Alec Rawls At first glance retired physics teacher Christopher Keating’s challenge appears to be an obvious bait and switch. It opens as an invitation to “global warming skeptics” who … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News | 190 Comments

BBC runs 6 excellent minutes on quiet sun and past correlation with Little Ice Age

Guest post by Alec Rawls Nice hype by Matt Drudge, whose three linked quotes are all from the BBC’s one brief paragraph of text, but the accompanying video (full transcription below) is more substantial, with scientists talking about the likelihood … Continue reading

Posted in Climate News, Solar | 294 Comments

Is John Cook planning to use systematically biased “correct” survey answers to make unbiased skeptics look biased?

Guest post by Alec Rawls After finalizing a long post on John Cook’s crowd-sourced consensus-rating survey  (to be titled “I take Cook’s survey so you don’t have to”), I submitted my completed survey to Cook’s website and received an automated … Continue reading

Posted in Peer review, Stephan Lewandowsky | Tagged , , , | 52 Comments

CO2 sequestration research stumbles onto something useful: a big lithium strike in Wyoming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Most lithium (the lightest metal) is now mined in the Andes (image above), but it looks like the U.S. has more than a little of it too: [T]he Rock Springs Uplift’s 18 million tons of potential … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon sequestration | Tagged , , , , , , , | 40 Comments

UV shift in the leaked IPCC report: more inversion of the scientific method

Guest post by Alec Rawls A Fox News story on the leaked draft of AR5 got big attention through the Drudge Report the other week. Fox reporter Maxim Lott begins by quoting a sentence from the Second Order Draft that … Continue reading

Posted in IPCC AR5 leak, Solar | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 83 Comments

Commitment studies belie “consensus” claim that a persistent high level of temperature forcing cannot cause continued warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls They say it all the time: even if there were some substantial mechanism of enhanced solar forcing it couldn’t be responsible for late 20th century warming because solar activity was roughly constant from 1950 to … Continue reading

Posted in Climate sensitivity, Cosmic rays | Tagged , , , , , , , | 179 Comments

Dana Nuccitelli’s holiday trick for sobering up quick: put a little less rum in your egg nog

Guest post by Alec Rawls When he argues that a reduction in forcing will cause cooling Dana Nuccitelli is not actually talking about drinking. He is talking about the solar forcing of global temperature, but the drinking analogy is a handy … Continue reading

Posted in Cosmic rays | Tagged , , , , , , | 400 Comments

Haigh Anxiety: a psycho-comedy of errors

Guest post by Alec Rawls In an interview with NewScientist magazine, Imperial College professor of atmospheric physics Joanna Haigh scoffs at the idea that late 20th century warming could have been caused by the sun: Haigh points out that the … Continue reading

Posted in Cosmic rays, IPCC AR5 leak, Science, Solar | Tagged , , , , , | 446 Comments

A rebuttal to Steven Sherwood and the solar forcing pundits of the IPCC AR5 draft leak

Teaming up with Jo Nova to answer The Team down under: “Professor Sherwood is inverting the scientific method” Guest post by Alec Rawls My leak of the draft IPCC report emphasized the chapter 7 admission of strong evidence for solar … Continue reading

Posted in Cosmic rays, IPCC, IPCC AR5 leak, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | 290 Comments

Exxon called hateful for producing value

How do we know that Solyndra and First Solar and Fisker Automotive and thirty other failed Obama-subsidized green energy ventures are (or were) highly moral enterprises? Because they are all going bankrupt. They all produce less value for consumers than they cost … Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness | Tagged , , , , | 121 Comments

Art show for children: “In this vision we have poisoned our environment with toxic waste”

Guest post by Alec Rawls A venerable Aussie art gallery has gone over to the eco-propaganda dark side. An exhibition for children at the Ballarat depicts mankind’s impending and well-deserved doom. In the illustration above, post-apocalyptic kangaroo, elk and wolf have … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism | Tagged , , , , , , | 74 Comments

Isaac Held’s 2-box model: another failed ocean-equilibration excuse for dismissing solar warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Dr. Isaac Held, who models fluid dynamics at NOAA, dismisses a solar explanation for late 20th century warming by invoking a 2-box model of ocean equilibration. In his model an upper upper ocean layer (100m … Continue reading

Posted in Modeling | Tagged , , , , , , , | 133 Comments

Teaching kids to hate mom and dad: “the atmosphere is frying… and we’re kinda blaming you”

Guest post by Alec Rawls Is this video below child abuse? Instead of children exploding or polar bears falling like victims of 9/11, this time it is spectral children hating on mom and dad from a supposedly desolate future. Such childish … Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness | 93 Comments

Muscheler retracts? Offers a NEW excuse for why solar activity can’t be responsible for post-70’s warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Technically Dr. Muscheler is asking me to retract the title of my post, “Raimund Muscheler says that a steady high level of forcing can’t cause warming“: I am sure that you are aware of the fact … Continue reading

Posted in PDO, Solar | Tagged , , , , , | 170 Comments

Raimund Muscheler says that a steady high level of forcing can’t cause warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Solar warming and ocean equilibrium, part 4 I emailed Dr. Muscheler about the very strange remarks that were attributed to him in the recently released report on last year’s NCAR workshop: The Effects of Solar … Continue reading

Posted in Cosmic rays, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | 141 Comments

Sign-up now open for expert review of AR5 (second order draft)

The second order draft of the next IPCC report will be open for expert and government review from October 5th to November 30th. Sign-up to participate is already open. The application is online at: https://sod.ipcc.unibe.ch/registration/

Posted in IPCC | Tagged , , | 36 Comments

NYT blames food crisis on “climate change,” hides plea to reduce government mandated burning of food for fuel

Even the UN is not biased enough towards climate alarmism for the New York Times, which yesterday bowdlerized a joint statement on the present food crisis from three UN food organizations. The UN statement is divided into short term and … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture | Tagged , , , , , | 81 Comments

Warming alarmism spreads faster, like a virus

“West Nile virus spreads faster,” reads the USA Today headline on a story that doesn’t actually say anything about rate of spread, just that the virus is spreading, as one would expect for a pathogen that was first seen in … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Economy-health | Tagged , , , , , , , | 79 Comments

Ninth Circuit’s eco-forays are unconstitutional says dissenting judge

Guest post by Alec Rawls Gabrial Malor at Ace of Spades HQ pulls some choice excerpts from what he calls an “epic broadside” by Judge Milan Smith. After reviewing a number of cases where the Ninth Circuit has upended whole fields … Continue reading

Posted in EPA | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 88 Comments

Obama wants the Electric Reliability Corporation to stop assessing electric reliability

Guest post by Alec Rawls NERC (the North American Electric Reliability Corporation) must have thought it was taking a step up when a 2005 law made the non-profit group an official advisor to Congress, but that law also brought them … Continue reading

Posted in Energy, Government idiocy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 70 Comments

Another day, another Central Asian precipitation study finds a link to solar activity

From Sun and Liu 2012: all of the deep solar minima of the last millennium (Oort, Wolf, Spörer, Maunder and Dalton) correspond to periods of drought in the Qilian Mountains of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau according to this tree-ring study. … Continue reading

Posted in Paleoclimatology, Proxies, Solar | Tagged , , , , , , , | 56 Comments

If Obama is going to kill coal, he has to hide the body

Guest post by Alec Rawls The graphics were changed in the last two days, but Conn Carroll at the Washington Examiner took a screenshot of Obama’s “All of the Above” energy policy page on Tuesday. “Notice anything missing?” he asks: … Continue reading

Posted in Coal, Energy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 219 Comments

From Schmidt 2005 to Miller 2012: the “not needed” excuse for omitted variable fraud

Guest post by Alec Rawls Miller et al. 2012 recently provided some pretty strong evidence for a solar driver of climate. “This is the first time anyone has clearly identified the specific onset of the cold times marking the start … Continue reading

Posted in Paleoclimatology | Tagged , , , , , , , | 192 Comments

The ugly battle between rural residents and alternative energy mandates in California

Seems the Mojave evictions WERE to make way for solar and wind projects Guest post by Alec Rawls In 2006 California’s Senate Bill 107 codified a requirement that by 2010 all electricity retailers in the state were to procure 20% … Continue reading

Posted in Climate ugliness, Energy, Government idiocy, solar power, wind power | Tagged , , , , , , , | 123 Comments

New EPA rule will block all new coal-electric generation

Guest post by Alec Rawls The upcoming rule: … will require any new power plant to emit no more than 1,000 pounds of carbon dioxide per megawatt of electricity produced. The average U.S. natural gas plant, which emits 800 to … Continue reading

Posted in Energy, Government idiocy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 158 Comments

President no longer worried about CO2: focus on alternative energy is economic says Obama, no mention of climate

Guest post by Alec Rawls “President no longer worried about CO2!” That’s what the headlines should have read last week after Obama presented an elaborate argument that alternative energy is the only viable response to high energy prices without ever … Continue reading

Posted in Carbon dioxide, Energy | Tagged , | 235 Comments

Aussie government proposes unlimited speech regulation, names climate skeptics and Labor critics as targets

Guest post by Alec Rawls Andrew Bolt has been blogging for the past week about the totalitarian tendencies in the just released “Media Inquiry” commissioned by Australia’s Labor government. This “Finkelstein Report” advocates unlimited regulation of virtually all published and … Continue reading

Posted in censorship, Climate ugliness | Tagged , , , , , , , | 188 Comments

Omitted variable fraud: vast evidence for solar climate driver rates one oblique sentence in AR5

Guest post by Alec Rawls “Expert review” of the First Order Draft of AR5 closed on the 10th. Here is the first paragraph of my submitted critique: My training is in economics where we are very familiar with what statisticians … Continue reading

Posted in IPCC, Solar | Tagged , , , , , , , | 514 Comments

Comedy gold: APS president attacks “inaccurate characterization” of APS position, doesn’t realize he’s attacking an APS quote

Guest Post by Alec Rawls When German ex-climate-alarmist Fritz Vahrenholt came out last week as a climate skeptic, he related his moment of epiphany, when he was firsthand witness of the alarmists’ sheer disregard for error: Vahrenholt’s skepticism started when … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 45 Comments

Regulatory Czar wants to use copyright protection mechanisms to shut down rumors and conspiracy theories

Guest Post by Alec Rawls As Congress considers vastly expanding the power of copyright holders to shut down fair use of their intellectual property, this is a good time to remember the other activities that Obama’s “regulatory czar” Cass Sunstein … Continue reading

Posted in Climategate, Government idiocy | Tagged , , , , , , , | 256 Comments

The dehydration and bottled water debacle

There’s a story making the rounds on websites, some newspapers, and wire services like UPI saying that the EU has  banned any statement (such as on bottled water) that “regular consumption of significant amounts of water can reduce the risk … Continue reading

Posted in Ridiculae | Tagged , , , , , , , | 93 Comments

Explaining Muller vs. Muller: is BEST blissfully unaware of cosmic-ray-cloud theory?

Guest post by Alec Rawls Here is the puzzle, as noted by Nigel Calder and others: how can BEST insist that a modicum of additional evidence of late 20th century warming should put skepticism of the CO2-warming theory to rest, … Continue reading

Posted in Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature | Tagged , , | 136 Comments

Transcript of Andrew Bolt’s “Carbon Sunday” interview with Richard Lindzen

Guest post by Alec Rawls Anthony posted the video earlier. Professor Lindzen as casually bemused dragon-slayer. Highly quotable, so I thought I’d create a transcript. Here is Lindzen’s damning conclusion (after demolishing any scientific basis for Australia’s new carbon tax): … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | 60 Comments

Is the Corps of Engineers forcibly reverting floodplain to its natural state?

Guest post by Alec Rawls That’s the eye-popping thesis suggested by Joe Herring at American Thinker, and his prima facie evidence, while thin, is also hard to get around. The key fact is this: On February 3, 2011, a series … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 86 Comments