El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 2: A New Myth – ENSO Balances Out to Zero over the Long Term

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the second part in a series of posts about El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). They address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 1: El Niño and La Niña Events are Cyclical

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the first of a series of posts that address many of the myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves…

Cooling in the near future?

Global Cooling – Climate and Weather Forecasting. Guest post by Dr. Norman Page Introduction. Over the last 10 years or so as new data have accumulated the general trend and…

Isaac Held's 2-box model: another failed ocean-equilibration excuse for dismissing solar warming

Guest post by Alec Rawls Dr. Isaac Held, who models fluid dynamics at NOAA, dismisses a solar explanation for late 20th century warming by invoking a 2-box model of ocean…

Important paper strongly suggests man-made CO2 is not the driver of global warming

Reposted from the Hockey Schtick, as I’m out of time and on the road.- Anthony An important new paper published today in Global and Planetary Change finds that changes in…

Tisdale on the problems with ENSO models

Guilyardi et al (2009) “Understanding El Niño in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges” Guest post by Bob Tisdale The preliminary Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature data for July 2012…

The NAO seafood oscillation

Figure 1A, Changes in Jet Streams due to Negative and Positive North Atlantic Oscillation (Source: http://www.climatewatch.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/NAO_Schematic.png) ScientificAmerican Headline: Warming Oceans Means Seafood Menu Changes Guest post by Bob Tisdale ScientificAmerican recently…

Tisdale on the Curious Northern Hemisphere Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as the Preliminary Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Update for June 2012, since we’ll be using preliminary June 2012 data in it.…

Keeping track of NOAA's ENSO data changes

The NOAA Weekly ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Indices Webpage Has Changed Location By Bob Tisdale There has been concern expressed recently around the blogosphere that NOAA hasn’t updated their weekly El…

The Very Model Of A Modern Major Problem

Reposted from The GWPF by Dr. David Whitehouse There has been some discussion about a paper in Nature Climate Change by Gleckler et al that says they detect “a positive…

ENSO has gone slightly positive

After holding on zero for a couple of weeks, the WUWT ENSO meter has gone slightly positive: As you can see, La Niña is fading:

Tisdale: NOAA Issues El Niño Watch for Second Half of 2012, Joe Romm Issues “Rapid Warming” Alert for 2013

The WUWT ENSO meter – at zero, or neutral at the moment: Guest post by Bob Tisdale NOAA issued an El Niño watch yesterday morning. The watch seems a bit premature.…

Forcing or Feedback?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I read a Reviewer’s Comment on one of Richard Lindzen’s papers today, a paper about the tropics from 20°N to 20°S, and I came across…

More data fiddling – this time in NOAA's ENSO data

Plot below showing ONI -vs- Aqua Channel 5 Temperature from lukewarmplanet (not Tisdale) to illustrate what he is talking about in his upcoming book. – Anthony Comments on NOAA’s Recent…

Tisdale on the "17 year itch" – Yes, there is a Santer clause

Guest post by Bob Tisdale What Do Observed Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies and Climate Models Have In Common Over The Past 17 Years? One word answer: NOTHING!!!! OVERVIEW In this…

Tisdale: A Closer Look at CRUTEM4 Since 1975

Note: I’m blogging this from Atlanta, where I am at the TWC Pioneers reunion. Bob was kind enough to provide this post so I can relax a bit (though I…

IPCC Models vs Observations – Land Surface Temperature Anomalies for the Last 30 Years on a Regional Basis

Guest post by Bob Tisdale In two posts about a year ago and more recently in my book, we compared the satellite-based sea surface temperature anomalies and CMIP3-based climate model…

Results from the surface temperature outlier races, just in time for AR5

  Guest post by Bob Tisdale The Met Office released its global HadCRUT4 land plus sea surface DATA recently. The HadCRUT4 dataset was first presented in the Morice et al (2012)…

Argo, Latitude, Day, and Reynolds Interpolation

Guest post by Willis Eschenbach This is another of my occasional reports from my peripatetic travels through the Argo data (see the Appendix for my other dispatches from the front…

Argo Notes the Third

I got into this investigation of Argo because I disbelieved their claimed error of 0.002°C for the annual average temperature of the top mile of the ocean. I discussed this…