Talking Truth to Climate Consensus

By Rud Istvan A sound bite summary* The climate consensus now has two derogation levels for those who disagree. Climate ‘contrarians’ like Bjørn Lomborg disagree about mitigation policies. Climate ‘deniers’ like Judith Curry disagree about the underlying climatology. The consensus does not any want any disagreement, since their science is ‘settled’ and solutions ‘clear’. They…

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The Ninth First Climate Refugees

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [see update] Well, the claims of the “first climate refugees” are coming up again. I think we’re up to the ninth first climate refugees, it’s hard to keep track. In any case, I came across this: International leaders gathering in Paris to address global warming face increasing pressure to tackle…

Is The Signal Detectable?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE] In the comments, Nick Stokes pointed out that although I thought that Dr. Shaviv’s harmonic solar component was a 12.6 year sine wave with a standard deviation of 1.7 centimetres, it is actually a 12.6 year sine wave with a standard deviation of 1.7 millimetres (5 mm peak to…

The Missing ~ 11-Year Signal

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dr. Nir Shaviv and others strongly believe that there is an ~ 11-year solar signal visible in the sea level height data. I don’t think such a signal is visible. So I decided to look for it another way, one I’d not seen used before. One of the more sensitive…

My Thanks, Apologies, and Reply to Dr. Nir Shaviv

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Dr. Nir Shaviv has kindly replied in the comments to my previous post. There, he says: Nir Shaviv  August 15, 2015 at 2:51 pm There is very little truth about any of the points raised by Eschenbach in this article. In particular, his analysis excludes the fact that the ocean…

The New Sunspot Data … and Satellite Sea Levels

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [UPDATE: Upon reading Dr. Shaviv’s reply to this post, I have withdrawn any mention of “deceptive” from this post. This term was over the top, as it ascribed motive to the authors. I have replaced the term with “misleading”. This is more accurate since it describes the effect of the analysis…

Dr. Trenberth Redux

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach A couple days ago, I was given a copy of a most interesting interchange from 2011 between Dr. Kevin Trenberth and a layman asking him a question. The sender of the question recently passed it on to me. I’ve redacted the email addresses and the name of the person asking the question,…

The Sea Level Cycles Get More Elusive

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In my last post on the purported existence of the elusive ~60-year cycle in sea levels as claimed in the recent paper “Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?”, I used a tool called “periodicity analysis” (discussed here) to investigate cycles in the sea level. However, some people…

The Elusive ~ 60-year Sea Level Cycle

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was referred to a paywalled paper called “Is there a 60-year oscillation in global mean sea level?”  The authors’ answer to the eponymous question is “yes”, in fact, their answer boils down to “dangbetcha fer sure yes there is a 60-year oscillation”, viz: We examine long tide gauge records…

Sea Water Level, Fresh Water Tilted

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Among the recent efforts to explain away the effects of the ongoing “pause” in temperature rise, there’s an interesting paper by Dr. Anny Cazenave et al entitled “The Rate of Sea Level Rise”, hereinafter Cazenave14. Unfortunately it is paywalled, but the Supplementary Information is quite complete and is available here.…