Ooops – Met Office decadal model forecast for 2004-2014 falls flat

‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from…

'Let’s face it. The climate has never been more boring.'

Why you won’t see headlines as climate science enters the doldrums Guest post by Dr. Robert G. Brown, Physics Department of Duke University (elevated from a  comment on this thread:…

No Matter How the CMIP5 (IPCC AR5) Models Are Presented They Still Look Bad

UPDATE: I’ve added a comment to the end of the post about the use of 1990 as the start year. # # # After an initial look at how the…

A low-sensitivity climate model that outperforms the Met Office's HADGEM2

Climate sensitivity is IMHO, the most important unresolved issue in climate science. A number of recent papers, including the IPCC AR5 leak, plus the recent Economist leak of a later…

About that missing hot spot in the upper troposphere

Climate Dialogue about the (missing) hot spot by  Marcel Crok Over at the Climate Dialogue website we start with what could become a very interesting discussion about the so-called tropical…

Comparing Climate Models – Part Two

Guest Essay by Geoffrey H Sherrington See Part One of June 20th at http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/06/20/comparing-climate-models-part-one/ In Part One, there was a challenge to find missing values for a graph that vaguely…

Dr. Murray Salby on Model World -vs- Real World

Pierre Gosselin (and commenter Bill_W) tips us to this: Die kalte Sonne website here has just posted the video presentation of Murry Salby in Hamburg in April. If anyone ever demolished…

More climate models FAIL – A chink in the armor at Science?

People send me stuff. Lance Wallace writes: Anthony, this short “Perspectives” report in Science seems to me to be worthy of a posting in WUWT. Not only is it a…

Are regional models ready for prime time?

Guest post by Marcel Crok A few months ago we  made the launch of the international discussion platform . This week we start the third dialogue about the (added) value…

Climate models aren't good enough to hindcast, says new study

From the University of Gothenburg Climate models are not good enough Only a few climate models were able to reproduce the observed changes in extreme precipitation in China over the…