Guest Post by Barry Woods In The Telegraph (UK newspaper), it was reported that Roger Harrabin, an environment analyst at the BBC, told the Radio Times: “The trouble is that…
Category: Forecasting
The Met Office Bullhockey
We all know they are caught up in the warming meme, but the Met Office in the UK is now trying to spin the idea that they had truly forecasted…
Red Faces At The Met Office
From the GWPF, here’s a collection of articles that are collectively ripping the Met Office a “new one”. And, it is easy to see why. Here’s the Met Office supercomputer…
Warm Bias: How The Met Office Misleads The British Public
By Dr. Benny Peiser of the Global Warming Policy Foundation Met Office 2008 Forecast: Trend of Mild Winters Continues Met Office, 25 September 2008: The Met Office forecast for the…
Snow Season Off to a Roaring Start
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM Last year the Northern Hemispheric snowcover was the second highest in the NOAA snow history back to the mid 1960s. It trailed only the legendary 1977/78…
New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are
One of the biggest, if not the biggest issues of climate science skepticism is the criticism of over-reliance on computer model projections to suggest future outcomes. In this paper, climate…
The UK Met Office "Winter Forecast" – fail or faux?
Have a look at these two juxtaposed news clips from the UK Daily Mail, one from October 28th, 2010, the other from November 28th, 2010.
Joe Bastardi's 2011 Arctic Sea Ice Prediction
Joe Bastardi paid a visit today in Sea Ice News #30 and left a comment with a forecast. Joe Bastardi says: November 23, 2010 at 3:45 am Keep in mind…
Quote of the Week – 20/20 hindsight
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr writes in the “$82 billion prediction” post Katrina: The Sarasota Herald-Tribune has an revealing article today about the creation in 2006 of a “short-term” hurricane risk…
Klotzbach and Gray: final 2010 two week hurricane forecast
First, a confession – I’m not feeling terrifically motivated to write up this forecast. As we stumble to the end of the 2010 hurricane season, there’s a lot dry air…
Fight brewing between Polish and Russian forecasters over a potentially record cold winter ahead
OK we have competing stories here. Read on, then place your bets. Russian winter. Image from englishrussia.com – click From the RT News service: Coldest winter in 1,000 years on…
Klotzbach and Gray: two week hurricane forecast
We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts of activity (greater than 130 percent of climatology.) So starts the latest two week forecast from Philip…
NAS report: "There is an apparent plateau in our ability to make accurate seasonal forecasts"
I have not had time to read this report, but I have gathered both the short form and long form version of the report and placed links in the University…
Klotzbach and Gray: "the next two weeks will be near climatology"
Guest Post by Ric Werme The CSU Klotzbach/Gray Sep 1-14 hurricane forecast (PDF) is out. This period is the peak of the hurricane season and average conditions are pretty active:…
GRL Study: Dramatic climate change is unpredictable
Update: PDF of this paper is available, see link below The fear that global temperature can change very quickly and cause dramatic climate changes that may have a disastrous impact…
Klotzbach and Gray: "the next two weeks should be active"
Guest post by Ric Werme The CSU Klotzbach/Gray Aug 18-31 hurricane forecast is out. Based on the NOAA historical tropical storm and hurricane frequency below, they are betting on an…
Is Jim Hansen's Global Temperature Skillful?
Guest Post By John R. Christy of the University of Alabama at Huntsville via Dr. Roger Pielke Sr’s blog: Climate Science The three warm-color time series are taken from Hansen’s…
Klotzbach on: Atlantic Hurricane Season Analysis
Guest post by: Dr. Philip Klotzbach, Research Scientist, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University As an author on the Colorado State University (CSU) seasonal hurricane forecast, I read with…
Global Tropical Cyclone Activity still at 30 year low
From: Ryan N. Maue’s 2010 Global Tropical Cyclone Activity Update Figure: Global and Northern Hemisphere Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 24 month running sum through July 31, 2010. Note that the year…
NOAA Still Expects Active Atlantic Hurricane Season; La Niña Develops
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Contact: Chris Vaccaro 202-482-6093 August 5, 2010 NOAA Still Expects Active Atlantic Hurricane Season; La Niña Develops The Atlantic Basin remains on track for an active hurricane…
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