Europe’s Energy Crisis Better Wake America Up

If it doesn’t, activists and governing classes will destroy middle class jobs, families and lives

Paul Driessen

COP-26, the twenty-sixth massive climate control “conference of parties,” goes live in Glasgow, Scotland on Halloween. That’s certainly appropriate, since its primary purpose is to further terrify humanity to “take action” to prevent the “existential threat” of “manmade climate cataclysms.”

Thousands of politicians and climate activists will take private jets and limos to the lecture and hector halls – to demand that “commoners” be restricted to one Basic Economy flight every three years, meatless diets, public transportation, and keeping 640-square-foot homes at 65 F all winter and 85 F all summer.

Otherwise, they say, countless people will die as our planet “overheats” by up to 4.1 degrees C (7.2 F) by 2100. Real-world science and data provide no support for temperature spikes of this magnitude. But just in time for COP-26, Columbia University concocted a “new study” and “new metric” on the “mortality cost of carbon,” based on these scary computer-modeled temperature forecasts.

Bloomberg News gave the death-by-global-warming fable prominent coverage. 83 million people (equivalent to the entire population of Germany) “could be killed” this century by rising planetary temperatures caused by fossil fuel use, it asserted. Nonsense.

Modern housing and energy systems enable people to adapt to and survive even the most extreme heat and cold – even in Antarctica, which just experienced the coldest average winter temperatures ever recorded: -61 C (-78 F).

Survival becomes far less likely, however, if climate treaties and energy policies prohibit efficient air conditioning and heating, ration them, subject them to recurrent blackouts, or make them harder to afford amid rising oil, natural gas, coal and electricity prices.

Yet that is exactly what’s being advocated and implemented. Britain and various US cities and states want to ban natural gas heating and cooking – and replace them with expensive heat pumps and other electric appliances, powered by expensive, weather-dependent wind turbines and solar panels. Meanwhile, energy prices have been skyrocketing in response to Covid recovery and anti-fossil-fuel policies.

Climate theory has long held that most 21st-century warming will occur in northern latitudes during winter months. But now we’re now told a warming Arctic could also be causing colder winters, which could endanger far more people than rising temperatures or more frequent heat waves.

Actually, far more people die in cold weather than in hot weather or heat waves. In the United States and Canada, cold causes 45 times more deaths per year than heat: 113,000 from cold versus 2,500 from heat. Worldwide, where air conditioning is far less available, some 1,700,000 people die annually from cold versus 300,000 from heat – a ratio of almost 6:1.

Energy policies that favor wind and solar over fossil fuels beget “fuel poverty” that can make adequate heating impossible, causing numerous health problems and deaths. Poor, minority, elderly and fixed-income families are most severely and inequitably affected, it found. 

Cold homes bring increased risks of respiratory and circulatory problems (including asthma, bronchitis, flu, cardiovascular disease and stroke) and exacerbate existing adverse health conditions. Cold household temperatures also increase depression, anxiety and other mental health problems. Already vulnerable groups – young children, older people and those with preexisting health issues – are especially susceptible to hypothermia, more illness and death.

Public Health England calculated that one-tenth of all “excess winter deaths” in England and Wales are directly attributable to fuel poverty, and 21.5% of excess winter deaths are attributable to the coldest 25% of homes. 30,000 to 40,000 people died each year in England and Wales since 1990 who would not have perished if their homes hadn’t been so cold, researchers estimated.

Adjusted for population, this is equivalent to 165,000 to 220,000 excess American winter deaths per year.

In 2017, Germany endured 172,000 localized blackouts; in 2019, 350,000 German families had their electricity cut off because they couldn’t pay their power bills.

Coal, oil, natural gas, electricity and home heating costs have risen significantly since those studies were prepared, likely increasing the excess winter death toll markedly. In fact, 2021 European gas prices skyrocketed nearly 600% over 2020 prices, and Rotterdam coal futures soared from $60/ton in October 2020 to $265/ton in September 2021. Energy prices are still rising, affecting jobs and living costs

Global demand for gas and coal has surged as the world recovers from Covid. British gas production has plunged by 60 % since 2000; Britain and Europe have banned fracking; Putin is playing politics over how much gas it will deliver to Europe; and President Biden has stymied leasing, drilling, fracking, pipelines, and oil and gas exports. Many coal and nuclear power plants have been shut down. Meanwhile, Europe’s heavily subsidized wind turbines generated far less electricity in 2021 due to unfavorable winds.

This perfect storm of misinformed policies could bring unprecedented excess deaths as winter sets in.

Schools, hospitals and clinics could also be much chillier – and deadlier. At 11¢ per kilowatt-hour (average US business rate), a 650,000-square-foot hospital would pay about $2.2 million annually for electricity. At 25¢ per kWh (UK), the annual cost jumps to $5 million; at 35¢ per kWh (Germany), to $7 million! Those soaring costs would likely result in employee layoffs, higher medical bills, reduced patient care, colder conditions, and more deaths. 

Adding to these woes, Citigroup says EU natural gas prices could hit $100 per mcf (per thousand cubic feet or million Btu) if this winter is particularly cold and more Gulf of Mexico hurricanes disrupt production. News outlets report that energy companies supplying six million UK homes face collapse, and several elder care homes have warned that crippling energy bills could force closures, leaving many old and infirm people homeless.

Britain’s energy minister has said a “very difficult winter” lies ahead, as gas prices soar amid fear of blackouts and food shortages. Many households “will not be able to cope.”

US energy prices remain well below Europe’s, but threats to American families are also rising. The average monthly Henry Hub spot price for natural gas has shot from $1.63 in June 2020 to $5.16 in September 2021. That’s well below the highest-ever price ($13.42 in October 2005) but still ominous.

One-third of American households already had difficulty six years ago adequately heating and cooling their homes – and one-fifth of households had to reduce or forego food, medicine and other necessities to pay energy bills. Even before Covid, low-income, Black, Hispanic and Native American families were spending a greater portion of their incomes on energy than average US households.

Nearly half of US households that heat with natural gas will spend 22-50% more  this winter than last year, depending on how cold it gets. Families that use electricity, propane or fuel oil to heat their homes will also pay significantly more. Energy-intensive factories may have to cut back hours and production, lay people off, and move operations overseas (where they will continue to burn fossil fuels and emit greenhouse gases).

Americans are also being impacted by gasoline prices that have risen more than a dollar a gallon for regular since the 2020 election and recently reached $5.00 per gallon in New York and $7.60 in one southern California town.

The overall effect of these anti-fossil-fuel policies on livelihoods, living standards, health and life spans will be profoundly negative. Countless people will perish, many of them cold and jobless in the dark.

Under Joe Biden, the United States is already on a trajectory to Europe’s real climate crisis: unaffordable, unreliable energy. That crisis better wake America up. Otherwise, self-righteous activists and governing classes will destroy our American middle class jobs, families – and lives.

Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org) and author of books and articles on energy, environment, climate and human rights issues.

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Joel O'Bryan(@joelobryan)
October 31, 2021 10:14 pm

Impoverishing the middle class and making all of us serfs to a ruling elitist class is the entire purpose of the climate scam. The elitists buy pseudoscientist charlatan carnival barkers like Mike Mann to push fake science. The Left has infiltrated most major American and European academic institutions to push their socialist agenda of Big Government control. The science academies, infiltrated by Leftists, now push hard-nosed scientist members to become activists or to remain quiet lest they be targeted for cancellation of jobs, tenure, grants, and a retirement.

The elitist ruling class sees itself above the effects of their energy poverty-inducing policies. They think can either afford to buy whatever they want at whatever price it is, or they plan on being government elites able to use the power of the state to live the life style they think they deserve for themselves and their family.

This is happening now. This is the fight of the 21st century against a Marxism that claimed 100’s of millions of lives in the 20th Century. This is us. This is where you and I either surrender to it, or we decide to fight the Marxists.

bring_it_on_matrix.gif
Last edited 2 months ago by joelobryan
Davidf
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
October 31, 2021 11:50 pm

Recorded at an anti lockdown rally in New Zealand recently. Maybe, just maybe, the man on the Clapham omnibus is starting to see what is going on.

Agenda21JA.jpg
Izaak Walton
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
November 1, 2021 12:28 am

Joel,
Are you fighting against Marxism or the ruling elitist class? The two are diametrically oppossed. Any decent marxist would join you in the fight against the ruling class while I am sure the ruling elitist like Murdoch or Trump would welcome your help against the left wing unionists.

Chaswarnertoo
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 12:57 am

🤣 You poor, deluded fool.

Ron Long
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 3:17 am

The ruling elitist class who embrace Marxism denigrate the ruling elitist class, to fool the gullible/stupid into following them. Karl Marx had more than $2 million dollars when he died in the late 1800’s, which is almost like a billionaire today. Where did he get that money? Scamming the gullible/stupid? Your hero is Marx?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 4:45 am

“Are you fighting against Marxism or the ruling elitist class?”

The whole purpose of Marxism is to destroy the status quo. They want to overthrow every aspect of the society they are trying to destroy. Once they destroy a society, then they don’t know what to do. Stalin said Marx told us how to destroy the society, but he didn’t tell us what to do after the society is destroyed.

The ruling Elites just use the Marxists to destroy any opposition to Elite rule, and then the Elites use force to bring the Marxists under control. Marxists are the Useful Idiots of the Elites.

The result is the same: A small, rich segment of society ruling over the rest of society with an iron fist.

Jim Gorman
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 5:33 am

Just a few names – Lenin, Stalin, Khrushchev, Mao, Pol Pot, Ho Chi Minh, Chavez. Do you think these were the ruling elite? Avowed Marxists all.

effinayright
Reply to  Jim Gorman
November 3, 2021 12:30 pm

Every one of those guys died rich. Marxist rulers ALWAYS turn into ruling elites. See also: the Castros, Ceausescu, Tito, Brezhnev…

MarkW
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 7:27 am

Why am I not surprised to find that Izaak actually believes that the purpose of Marxism is to benefit the common man?

Then again, he’s always been a useful idiot.

Lrp
Reply to  Izaak Walton
November 1, 2021 1:26 pm

Wow! So, there are bad ruling elitists like Murdoch and Trump, and decent, Marxism based, elitists like Bloomberg, Gates, Sanders, Obama, prince Charles and his family, John Kerry, De Caprio, just to mention a minuscule few.

alastair gray
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
November 1, 2021 12:47 am
griff
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
November 1, 2021 12:53 am

This is conspiracy theory!

Chaswarnertoo
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 12:58 am

And you’re a paid troll. No one can be that stupid.

M Courtney
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 1:59 am

It’s obviously a conspiracy theory.

Reds under the Bed having Manchurian Candidated the private individuals who own large businesses. As though they knew who Musk was 20 years go.
The Leaders of the West all being secretly part of a “Marxist” cabal, working to nationalise the means of production… but very, very slowly.
Academia being subject to an organised takeover, rather than the effect of the huge expansion of academia leaving lots of new fallow ground for academic carpetbaggers to stake out as their own.

Kind of hope this is a false flag operation designed to humiliate WUWT. Because otherwise the guy needs his crayons blunting.

Paul Penrose
Reply to  M Courtney
November 1, 2021 9:36 am

When a group of like-minded individuals all work towards a common goal, no conspiracy is necessary; and pointing it out does not make one crazy. There are wealthy, powerful people out there that not only believe they are better and smarter than 99% of the population, but are also convinced that they alone should be in charge of everything because of this superiority. They also believe that the end can justify the means if the end is their vision of a better/perfect world, so deceit and propaganda are all acceptable tools for them to achieve this virtuous (to them) result. They see freedom and democracy as an impediment to their efforts, which makes them dangerous because these kind of impulses always leads to mass deprivation and death. History is replete with examples.

MarkW
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 7:33 am

In griff’s world, the only real conspiracies are those he’s paid to support.

Dennis
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
November 1, 2021 1:34 am

Non-government organisation World Economic Forum, another of the leftist globalist organisations formed to fool people: The Great Reset – Build Back (from the virus) Better and New Green Deal, the last funded with annual contributions from UN Member Nations, an example the massive US$ funding POTUS Biden has been attempting to secure but so far unsuccessfully.

Throw away money to add to the already worrying debt and printing of monies.

Clever China laughs.

[climate hoax redistribution of developed nation’s wealth]

Last edited 2 months ago by Dennis
Vlad the Impaler
Reply to  Dennis
November 1, 2021 6:45 am

Posted on a previous thread; originally found on a ‘Weekend Unthreaded’ at Jo’s:

https://youtu.be/hSB9iNL8Vr8

Over an hour long, but worth the watch. I’ve asked a number of friends/family to evaluate and comment; they are all concerned about what is coming.

Vlad

October 31, 2021 10:21 pm

Any deluded simpletons who believe in the ‘Climate Change-GlobalWarming’ Boondoggle richly deserve the suffering that their beliefs will bring upon them. Unfortunately, the suffering will fall mainly on the poor and deprived people whether they ‘believe it or not.

Dennis
Reply to  nicholas tesdorf
November 1, 2021 1:38 am

They will be happier but poorer, no assets to worry about, supported by the system in the interests of Marxism-Communism.

A new version, of course, not like the old old totalitarian regimes, much.

RexAlan
Reply to  nicholas tesdorf
November 1, 2021 2:06 am

Or as Klaus Schwab from the World Economic Forum says “you will be happy and own nothing”. Do you want to bet Klaus; Prince Charles, Bill Gates and all the rest.

RexAlan
Reply to  RexAlan
November 1, 2021 2:11 am

Who do they think they are for heavens sake, they’ve gone absolutely nuts, the lot of them.,

Last edited 2 months ago by RexAlan
Tom Abbott
Reply to  RexAlan
November 1, 2021 4:52 am

Yes, we are being led by people who are not smart enough to figure out the Human-caused Climate Change hoax, or they are using the issue to advance other, political goals.

Either way, we are being led off the cliff.

Robert Alfred Taylor
Reply to  Tom Abbott
November 1, 2021 5:54 pm

Yankee Doodles 13 – Suicide Ain’t Painless https://youtu.be/SdJIprR1yWk?t=17

Mr.
October 31, 2021 10:23 pm

It seems there WILL be climate refugees after all.

But not people fleeing from unliveable weather.

It will be people moving to areas where motoring, cooking, heating and cooling are reliable and affordable.

Whole states, provinces, counties will become gated estates.

Last edited 2 months ago by Mr.
Oldseadog
Reply to  Mr.
November 1, 2021 2:56 am

We have climate refugees in Glasgow at the moment. Some of the Cop26 delegates still have nowhere to stay.
As to the 25,000 protesters, goodness knows where they will be sleeping. I have a patch of wet grass they can use for a miserly £1000 per night.

atticman
Reply to  Oldseadog
November 1, 2021 5:05 am

Well, it’s certainly pushed up hotel prices in Edinburgh, 46 miles away!

Mr.
Reply to  Oldseadog
November 1, 2021 8:34 am

Nobody likes to sleep in the wet patch.

Chris Nisbet
Reply to  Mr.
November 1, 2021 11:19 am

Climate _policy_ refugees.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  Mr.
November 1, 2021 11:22 am

I got mine just before the prices skyrocketed. I worry about the rest including family and friends amid the chaos and the woke wars.

gringojay
October 31, 2021 10:27 pm

Cold air holds more oxygen than warm air and humans breathe in more oxygen per volume inhaled when air is cooler than warmer. Mother used to annoy everyone by requiring her home be cooled to the very low 60s* Fahrenheit because said breathed easier then. So a truce meant Father hung out in the kitchen as the only room ever allowed to be warm.

Reply to  gringojay
October 31, 2021 11:21 pm

Cold air holds more oxygen than warm air

No, It doesn’t. its just a tiny bit denser that’s all.

gringojay
Reply to  Leo Smith
October 31, 2021 11:58 pm

“Warm air holds more moisture than cold air, reducing the amount of oxygen present.” As per breathpa.org [ & similarly phrased by many other sources].

MarkW
Reply to  Leo Smith
November 1, 2021 7:35 am

If it’s denser and the ratio of oxygen stays the same, then by definition, there is more oxygen in each breath. And that’s without discussing the potential drop in water vapor in the air the occurs with cooling temperatures.

steve
Reply to  gringojay
October 31, 2021 11:43 pm

Happy to be corrected, but wouldn’t all gases in air increase in volume at lower temps and also exit the body in increased volumes, therefore no net benefit?

gringojay
Reply to  steve
November 1, 2021 12:13 am

Presumably the answer to your query would be dependent on exactly what a specific “lower temp” ratio of “all gases in air” works out to be. I think this may be more related to LeoSmith’s focus on “density” &, if so, I am not prepared to make a blanket statement about air volume exhalation then “exit[ing] the body in increased volumes.”

alastair gray
Reply to  gringojay
November 1, 2021 12:56 am

Water vapour content of saturated air is a fraction of 1 percent so the oxygen content is essentially unaltered. That said I reememn=ber growing up in a cold house in Aberdeen wherte water would freeze overnight in my bedroom.
It encouraged us to get up and get out briskly and to keep moving.

gringojay
Reply to  alastair gray
November 1, 2021 11:12 am

Back in the 1950s the arid US state of Arizona with a long months of warm weather promoted itself as an ideal place to live for people with respiratory problems. In the early 1970s getting off the steps of airplanes to reach the ground in tropical countries my breathing had to adjust. An observation by visitors to the USA south is commonly: “… it ain’t the heat, it’s the humidity.” People who exercise &/or exert themselves outside have been known to prefer doing so when there is less humidity, even if doing so means at a higher temperature. Tourists in the warm humid jungle despite plants releasing O2 oxygen into the air often find breathing more difficult.

Richard Page
Reply to  steve
November 1, 2021 6:17 am

Are you implying an increase in air density per volume at lower temperatures and a decrease in air density per volume at higher temperatures (at the same height above sea level of course).

MarkW
Reply to  steve
November 1, 2021 7:39 am

The ratio of oxygen to other gasses is the same at the top of Mt. Everest as it is at sea level.
People with breathing problems are sometimes put in hyperbaric chambers.

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  steve
November 1, 2021 11:38 am

Human respiration is linked to the partial pressure of O2 and ignores N2. At lower temps, the ratios are the same but the absolute partial pressure of O2 is just a tiny bit higher. I’m not sure it would actually make a difference, however.

gringojay
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
November 1, 2021 3:08 pm

Yes the partial pressure at the lung alveoli is a key feature. When we inhale our moist passageways add H2O water vapor to the air.

At sea level generic air of about 0.5% H20 has a partial pressure of about 159mmHg. Our passageway add H2O , which itself has some mmHg partial pressure.

Part of the reason high air humidity, generally speaking, makes our respiration rate increase is because that inhaled moist air’s mmHg partial pressure enters our passageways which are themselves changing that air’s partial pressure mmHg. Although one may inclined to assume the H2O water vapor mmHg is additive to the the inhaled air’s partial pressure mmHg pressure it should be understood that it is actually lowering to some degree the air partial pressure presented to lung alveoli (we internally moisten inhaled generic sea level air’s approximately 159 mmHg partial to lower it’s partial pressure because our alveoli work better with a lower than 159 mmHg partial pressure).

The added warm humid air engenders a different degree (level) of O2 mmHg O2 from the “ideal” our airway moisture does. The alveoli take up a different (ex: here talking about less when air humid) amount of O2 in because of the less than ideal (for alveoli) O2 partial pressure. Our body registers this decreasing incremental change in alveolar uptake and instigates action leading to physiological process to breath more (respiratory rate increases).

I

Mike Dubrasich
Reply to  gringojay
November 1, 2021 9:34 am

Every O2 molecule we breathe was once CO2. Without CO2 there would be no oxygen and all life would perish. Think about that. The stated goal of the Marxists is to eradicate life itself. If that isn’t a wake up call to the rest of us, I don’t know what is.

Andy Espersen
October 31, 2021 11:11 pm

We are all in for hard times – economically, psychologically and spiritually. And once the penny has dropped and the scales have fallen from our eyes (which will happen quite soon), it will take the world upward from 10 years to recover.

Reply to  Andy Espersen
October 31, 2021 11:22 pm

The soviet union has never recovered from communism.

Davidf
Reply to  Leo Smith
October 31, 2021 11:45 pm

If the Soviet Union has any legacy at all, it is that it inoculated the subjugated states against wokeness!

MarkW
Reply to  Leo Smith
November 1, 2021 7:40 am

They went directly from one form of dictatorship to another.

Drake
Reply to  MarkW
November 1, 2021 9:23 am

As they did when the Bolsheviks replaced the Tsars. They are a culture of surfs used to being ruled, much like all of the UK and its colonies, see NZ, Aus, Canada, etc. and the Democrat party in the US.

Also see most EU countries.

alastair gray
Reply to  Andy Espersen
November 1, 2021 12:58 am

the sooner the better. Let us pray for Cop 26 to be a total shambles and that the winter is especially cold

Abolition Man
October 31, 2021 11:35 pm

Paul,
You just don’t get it, man!
Those people don’t deserve affordable energy, because they are lacking the proper thoughts and beliefs! Only obedient, docile leftists win the approval of our corporate overlords!
Here in the 21st Century the large multinational companies have stood Fascism on its head! It’s no longer government control of the market; now the biggest businesses, like High Tech and the drug companies, actually control our elections and our government for their own benefit, the public be damned!
If the last year and a half has shown us anything, it has shown us that our ruling elites have no concern for our welfare, and have, in fact, been killing us for decades with processed foods and drugs that sicken, cripple, maim and kill us! With the amalgamation of Climastrology with the Branch Covidian vexxine cult, our overlords have shifted the killing machines into overdrive!

michel
November 1, 2021 12:05 am

Meanwhile, as Britain, Europe and the US flail around trying to inflict energy austerity on their populations, the rest of the world simply doesn’t believe it, and has no intention of emulating them.

Even the New Scientist, one of the most die-hard supporters of the hysteria, admits this regarding the so called ’emissions gap’, the gap between the reductions needed and the stated plans of the nations:

New plans in the past year from the US and others narrowed the gap by 3.9 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide a year. But global annual emissions still need to be 20 to 23 billion tonnes of CO2 lower by 2030, a decrease equivalent to roughly half of global annual emissions now. Even new plans by China and India, which are hoped for in the coming days, have no hope of closing that.

My emphasis. These people actually want to reduce emissions by half in the next 8 years. The only way to do that is stop using energy. No-one outside the cult believes that is either politically possible, necessary or even desirable.

alastair gray
Reply to  michel
November 1, 2021 1:01 am

We’re Doomed

ResourceGuy
Reply to  michel
November 1, 2021 11:26 am

For an extra $1 trillion we might consider adding a sentence to say there is a good chance of getting there. But that $1 trillion does not include penalties and interest for not paying us on time.

Serge Wright
November 1, 2021 12:46 am

Climate “trick or treat” on Halloween is a case where Biden, Boris and the EU are trying to convince us that Net Zero is a big treat, but when you look underneath it say’s “Made in China”.

Chaswarnertoo
Reply to  Serge Wright
November 1, 2021 1:00 am

Cho Bei Deng.

Scissor
Reply to  Chaswarnertoo
November 1, 2021 5:24 am

I wonder if it’s true that he shit his pants when meeting the Pope.

griff
November 1, 2021 12:52 am

what energy crisis? The only problem is the cost of a fossil fuel – and that has not in any way been caused by use of renewables.

so more people die of cold? well the issue there is that that is a static or dclining figure: the heat deaths are rising and will rise further.

172,000 German localised blackouts? Oh, that’s an utterly deceitful figure!

There are 40 million households in Germany and average power outages per consumer amounted to 12 minutes in 2019, a slight decrease from almost 14 minutes in 2018, according to the Federal Network Agency (BNetzA).

the facts on German reliability of supply are here:
Germany’s electricity grid stable amid energy transition | Clean Energy Wire

and let’s see 40 million households and just 350,000 cut off?

I think it is the USA with a cut off problem…
Utilities cut power to US customers while taking huge Covid tax credits | Utilities | The Guardian

Mr.
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 8:54 am

I reckon the true, loyal citizens of the USA (i.e. the red state ones) will revolt against any energy debacle such as Germany has inflicted upon its citizens.

See, Americans have form when it comes to punting noxious rulers.
Germans – not so much.

meab
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 8:59 am

Wrong AGAIN, griffter. Fossil fuel prices have gone up because of the unavailability of funding for exploration, drilling, and resource recovery. That and banning fracking and other governmental efforts to curtail fossil fuels. All these things are owing to the false and ruinous belief that we can rely on unreliable renewables. A falsehood promoted by dishonest people like you, griffter. Enjoy your English winter without affordable energy – a situation that you and your ilk caused.

MarkW
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 9:39 am

Once again, griff lies with style.
In it’s “mind”, the fact that griff and it’s fellow travellers have been doing everything in their power to limit the production of fossil fuels, have nothing to do with the scarcity of fossil fuels and hence their high prices.

If it’s much beloved renewable schemes actually worked as well as it has been claiming, there would be no shortage, because the wind and solar would be providing all the power needed.

No matter how many times, wind and solar fail to actually produce usable power when it is needed, griff proclaims that the problem is not with wind and solar, it’s always someone else’s fault.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  griff
November 1, 2021 11:28 am

Who do you report to at The Guardian?

fretslider
November 1, 2021 1:58 am

I’ve started the [msm] blackout

It’s the only way to stay sane, some of the claims are beyond loony

Good luck to the US – we’re being well tucked up by Bozo Johnson

Oldseadog
Reply to  fretslider
November 1, 2021 2:59 am

“tucked”? I would use a different letter to start that word in that context.

fretslider
Reply to  Oldseadog
November 1, 2021 3:32 am

Then you would be in error.

I expressed our being conned, cheated, duped, in a cunning or sly sort of way.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  fretslider
November 1, 2021 5:05 am

That sounds like something Biden would do. He’s not very cunning, though. Some of his people are.

The latest Fox News poll shows Biden’s Job Disapproval at 54 percent, and 71 percent say the nation is off on the wrong track.

Last edited 2 months ago by Tom Abbott
Richard Page
Reply to  fretslider
November 1, 2021 6:21 am

I believe Oldseadog may have been implying a similar expression, although in the context of being more brutal and repressive and without consent!

fretslider
Reply to  Richard Page
November 1, 2021 6:56 am

 I believe

To be fnucked up (yes, just ignore the ‘n’) is quite different. It is to have to make or do with something in a clumsy or unskillful way. 

We aren’t there – yet.

He did refer to context, and the context is what he got wrong. They are still in persuasion mode – 7, 8, 9 years to save the planet etc

Last edited 2 months ago by fretslider
Scissor
Reply to  fretslider
November 1, 2021 4:59 am

Don’t trust anyone who combs their hair with a balloon.

Peta of Newark
November 1, 2021 2:58 am

Quote:”The overall effect of these anti-fossil-fuel policies on livelihoods, living standards, health and life spans will be profoundly negative”

Not ‘the overall’ – what you describe will be attended to via ever more borrowing and spending of Other Peoples Money, by Money printing and by leaning ever more heavily on low-cost ‘developing’ countries to supply cheap and nasty tat

You All Know Me

The Real Killer will in the word ‘Biomass’ and increased reliance on vegetables for food.
The real killer is soil erosion and desertification and I think you all ‘get it’ by now, the existing signs of Climate Change (rising temps, brown-water floods, wild-fires, dust storms, shifting sand-dunes) will increase.
But only gradually. Slowly. Incrementally.
No-one will notice and if they do, it and them will be pooh-poohed as Natural Variation, Just as now.

Line 10
AS Just One Example of the myriad I could cite:
Increases in Autistic Spectrum Disorders (currently in the UK = 2.5% with at least the same again subclinical) will increase while the mothers who delivered those babies will be told they are ‘Stupid, Thick, Socially deprived, genetically malformed and so <expletive> dumb that they couldn’t and didn’t follow Government Stricture and Eat More Plants while pregnant.
(Mmmm, is that how ‘witches’ are created)

While the Real Stupid ones content themselves on a Job Well Done, railroad those hapless cows into menial administrative work, take away every penny of what seach and every one of them, earns.
Such perfectly destroying the mental well being of both mother and child – even and especially if it was born without ASD

While the growing of the plants ever more erodes the soil and advances the desert

The hapless farmers will catch, as per usual, the brunt of these well intentioned muppets and be urged to use ever more fertiliser and Roundup = devices demonstrably proved to increase the yields and lower the price of the Nutrient Free Tasteless Mush the mother of the ASD child was supposed to eat. And in fact probably did, her deformed child being the result

When you actually realise how both Ammonium Nitrate and Roundup work – you really will cry.They are the equivalent of throwing petrol onto a wildfire then encasing the ashes in concrete
i.e. either washing & blowing away what nutrient there was available to prevent ASD or making it biologically unavailable
Consider the mentally disabled babies and what becomes of them, in large number, if the don’t be The Norm or the Natural Variation.
See the positive feedback? ##

If you don’t cry, go back to Line 10 above and try again……

## And dya know what, that positive feedback has beeb running for at least one generation, heading into 2 now.
Q: How would you know?
A: 2 words = ‘Climate Science’

It is double whammy positive, those mental disablements are advancing from both ends of the human age spectrum – as Autism/Downs in children to Parkinson & Alzheimer in the elderly

How long before they meet in the middle you wonder?
Yet again we’ve left it too late – Alzheimer’s is quantifiable in folks who ‘simply’ have pre-diabetes.. and in all probability don’t even know it.
And that now increasing means folks in their early 20’s

And why should they even worry or think they have either diabetes or dementia, let alone and, when they are following Government Healthy Eating Guidelines

Perhaps Government Healthy Climate Guidelines ‘need revision’

meab
Reply to  Peta of Newark
November 1, 2021 9:07 am

Couldn’t control the urge to perseverate on your soil erosion fixation, huh, Peta? You’re giving rational climate realists a bad name. Seek mental health care. If you’ve already done that, stay on your meds.

Drake
Reply to  meab
November 1, 2021 9:40 am

Just drove 8400 miles around the US again. The US has vast swaths of acreage that was, in the past, used for agricultural purposes that have been allowed to return to woodlots or are now pasture, or just peoples’ grass yards. Having grown up on the east coast, mowing grass all summer, I am always amazed at the size of many property’s yards maintained and mowed regularly just for aesthetics.

Of course the reason so much area is no longer plowed and planted is that the per acre output of the easier to plant acreage is so much higher then long ago. But farmers will farm. It is surprising how they will grow soybeans in a less than 50 yard wide swath between a road and a drainage less than an eight of a mile long when across the street an “estate” style house has more acreage in a level well maintained grass yard between the house (200 yards back) and the road. But in the US, at least to this point, people have the right to use their property as they wish.

Peta of Newark
November 1, 2021 3:34 am

That ‘God ‘ after me again, see what landed this morning
Avid readers of yours truly will not be surprised:

Quote:” A recent study from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore examined the effects of television on the brain. And these findings are proving those parental television naysayers right.
Examining the viewing habits of 599 American adults between 1990 and 2011, Dr. Ryan Dougherty and his team found that watching television impacts the structure of the human brain. For example, Dr. Dougherty found that those who watched an above average amount of television showed reduced volume in their frontal cortex and entorhinal cortex. So, basically, television really does rot your brain.
Dr. Dougherty and his team concluded that the more television you watch in middle age, the more gray matter you lose. Gray matter is the brain’s center for decision-making, hearing and vision, and muscle control. Gray matter volume, studies show, is low in those people who have suffered memory loss and diminished cognitive function.

While the BBC crows thusly

References:
1 https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/506858
2 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK553239/
3 https://newsroom.heart.org/news/moderate-to-high-tv-viewing-in-midlife-linked-to-later-cognitive-and-brain-health-decline
4 https://www.livescience.com/tv-watching-midlife-brain-health.html

We are in So Much Shit here

Never mind, lets go count dancing angels and see what the Emperor’s wearing today – that’ll make things (never) better
Before you go, don’t forget (people of the US) to pay your annual 3.7 trillion dollar medical bill

Who would have thought that starving could be sooooo expensive.

But it doesn’t matter – if and as Government recommends you are on a Salt Restricted Diet, what cognitive skills you did stll have will be going down the pan every time you visit said pan.
You’ll be so far ‘out of it‘ they could get away with anything, even such abject garbage as ‘Climate Science‘ – as they patently are doing

Too true mate, Wake Up America

Last edited 2 months ago by Peta of Newark
fretslider
November 1, 2021 4:01 am

COP-26, the twenty-sixth massive climate control “conference of parties,” Update

“A fallen tree has caused rail chaos at London’s Euston station leaving hundreds trying to get to Glasgow for the COP26 climate change conference stranded.

Frantic delegates have turned to gas-guzzling domestic flights to get to the COP26 climate change conference at Glasgow after a fallen tree stopped trains coming out of London.”

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/cop26-delegates-forced-take-domestic-25341668

In the deluge of CoP news in the MSM and Propaganda central (formerly the BBC), this news was strangely absent.

I wish I could make this stuff up.

“Just before 2pm on Sunday, an announcement in the station revealed all train services had been suspended and the concourse was “exit only” due to overcrowding.”

Glasgow’s population has probably quadrupled overnight.

Sara
November 1, 2021 4:22 am

and President Biden has stymied leasing, drilling, fracking, pipelines, and oil and gas exports. – article

And that means that those resources will still be there for us when that gasbag is done and gone. He is doing far more damage to that party of his than one could imagine.

In regard ti gas prices in the USA, I use Gas Buddy’s price map. It helps a LOT to know where you can get a better deal at the pump. Makes a difference.

Overpricing gas/auto fuels won’t stop people from going to the store to get food, or any of the other fantasies running through those dormant organs that the dumbocraps have for brains. We’re extremely resourceful, y’know, despite the contempt certain political animals have for us.

If the winter weather (cold enough to snow already here in my kingdom) continues to advance, those of us who are resourceful will not suffer nearly as much as Those On High.

Scissor
Reply to  Sara
November 1, 2021 5:05 am

If one wishes to speculate to hedge the price of gasoline or to profit from increasing prices in the U.S., UGA is an exchange traded fund that tracks the spot price of gasoline.

Drake
Reply to  Sara
November 1, 2021 9:47 am

As a note, GasBuddy used to be very good, but on our last trip across the US, we found a pattern of people inputting false LOW prices. About 50% of the “lowest price in the area” turned to be incorrect for diesel fuel when traveling across the southern states, very annoying.

richard
November 1, 2021 4:29 am

“On October 4, the United Kingdom’s wind turbines produced almost zero electricity during the early morning hours. The UK has over 9,000 megawatts of metered wind capacity, but during that period on October 4, wind provided 66 megawatts—just 0.7 percent.[i] Many of these turbines are located either offshore or in the Scottish highlands, where wind is supposed to be the strongest. Because of the unreliability of these wind turbines (and solar farms), the UK government is subsidizing diesel generators over $670 million to provide back-up power.[ii] The country has 1,500 megawatts of diesel turbines registered for subsidies to provide that back-up power. The subsidies are so lucrative that solar farms are purchasing them to supply power when the sun is not shining.
The diesel generators are purchased from China and they are made to plug directly into a grid connection. Their low capital cost makes them relatively cheap given that the alternatives are either expensive or being shuttered. Natural gas is expensive in Europe and old coal plants are being taking off-line to comply with European Union climate policies.
The Wind Doldrums in the UK
The following chart shows wind capacity available for the 7-week period from September 1 to October 22. (The 66-megawatt load on October 4 is depicted below.) Besides the virtually zero wind available on October 4, there are several periods where wind was in the doldrums as shown.

comment image

Source: http://euanmearns.com/flat-calm-across-the-uk/

In the UK, large and small wind farms are treated differently. Large wind farms (i.e. utility scale) are connected to the high voltage grid and are metered. Small wind farms, individual turbines and rooftop solar are connected to the low voltage grid (i.e. net-metered) and appear as negative demand. As a result, only 68.5 percent of the wind capacity in the UK currently is metered, while the remainder of the capacity is accounted for by demand reductions.
The Renewables UK and the Renewable Energy Foundation report wind capacity at about 13,400 megawatts. Since 68.5 percent are connected to the high voltage grid, over 9,000 megawatts are metered.
From September 1 to October 21, metered wind produced 2,018 gigawatt hours of electricity out of a possible 8,990 gigawatt hours, representing a load factor of 22.5 percent during this period. Total metered demand was 38,884 gigawatt hours or 5.2 percent of metered demand. Adding the non-metered portion, wind produced 7.6 percent of total demand. However, because wind can fall effectively to zero, it cannot offset dispatchable capacity that the system operator can dispatch whenever the need arises. Dispatchable capacity are the non-renewables—coal, petroleum, natural gas, and nuclear.
High Prices Bring End to UK Renewable Subsidies
By the mid-2020s, the UK wants to end renewable energy subsidies because of the energy tax added to the bills of British homeowners to pay for the more expensive renewable energy. Because of the “green energy tax”, 38 percent of British households are cutting back on essential purchases, such as food, to pay for their high energy bills. Another 59 percent of British homeowners are worried about how they are going to pay for their energy bills in the future.
According to a study released by the UK government in July, renewable energy subsidies represent about 7 percent of British energy bills. If subsidies are not cut, the government expects an increase in domestic electricity prices of 18 percent by 2020, driving up household bills by an additional 5 percent.[iii]
In 2014, British consumers paid 54 percent more for electricity than American consumers[iv], partly due to the renewable energy taxes. These taxes cost residents and businesses an estimated £4.3 billion (about $6.6 billion) every year.[v]
UK Turns to Diesel Generators
To avoid blackouts and brownouts, the UK has turned to mini-diesel generators (under 50 megawatts) to back-up their unreliable wind and solar power or to provide electricity when there is a rapid surge in demand—in other words, the government is providing insurance to keep the lights from going out. The need for these diesel generators has come about because old coal and nuclear power stations have been shuttered and fewer than expected new gas-fired plants have been built. While the diesel equipment is expensive to run, it is used to respond to peak demand, operating for less than 50 hours a year on average. They are designed to reach full output quickly, doing so in as little as 45 seconds.
The UK’s solution to counter the instability of wind power is known as the Short Term Operational Reserve, or STOR. The plan is to have a reserve capacity of eight gigawatts by 2020. The diesel generators will provide immediate computer-controlled back-up for periods when the wind turbines are not operating.[vi]
Green Frog Power, for example, is a firm that has taken advantage of STOR and is paid for the diesel generation even when it is not used. Green Frog was originally established to collect cooking oil which could be turned into biofuels for generating electricity but switched to using traditional fossil fuels to generate power. It has built 214 megawatts of diesel generation including a 52-generator site producing 20 megawatts of power at Neath in south Wales, a similarly sized one in Swansea and others in Hull and Plymouth.[vii]
Conclusion
Renewable energy has driven up electricity prices and bills in the UK, making it necessary to turn to reliable sources of energy to ensure that the lights do not go out. The expense of wind and solar and the energy tax on bills has forced the British government to phase out renewable subsidies by the mid-2020s because British consumers were being forced to give up essentials.
The government has found that natural gas plants have not materialized as quickly as expected, most likely owing to the high cost of natural gas in Europe. These gas plants were to replace coal and nuclear power plants being shuttered to accommodate European policies. As a result, the government has turned to small diesel generators to ensure that the lights stay on, subsidizing them regardless of whether they generate power. These generators not only emit carbon dioxide, but they also emit particulates and nitrogen dioxide. Thus, the UK’s renewable program has resulted in high cost energy for its citizens and the need to subsidize an entirely new generation source to ensure reliability, despite the emissions that result.https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/renewable/wind/uk-must-use-diesel-generators-to-back-up-wind-turbines/

Mr.
Reply to  richard
November 1, 2021 9:06 am

I understand that the Australian states of South Australia and Victoria have also had to procure fleets of diesel generators to prop up their grids after they decommissioned reliable coal fired power plants.

There’s a distinct pattern developing here . . .

MarkW
Reply to  richard
November 1, 2021 9:42 am

According to griff, if the problem is not enough wind to power the wind turbines that we have, the solution is more wind turbines. After all, 10 times as many wind turbines not turning, will produce 10 times as much energy and it will all be free.

Giordano Milton
November 1, 2021 4:31 am

Most people have no clue about what’s happening any more than they know about real climate data. They only know the narrative, which is fed to them 24 hours / day.

Scissor
Reply to  Giordano Milton
November 1, 2021 5:06 am

To some, it seemed a good idea to eat Tide pods.

TonyG
Reply to  Scissor
November 1, 2021 11:00 am

Think of it as Evolution in Action.

Bruce Cobb
November 1, 2021 4:39 am

The Conference Of Climate Liars want to Trick the world into falling for sky-high priced unreliable energy, which will severely damage economies, lower living standards, and harm people worldwide. Some, like China, aren’t falling for it, but are pretending to, giving them an economic advantage over those who do.
I guess the only Treat will be watching the spectacle, as countries attempt to position themselves to their best advantage, showing up fully masked and in costume, as usual. Biden will attempt to put his best spin on his ill-conceived climate legislation failures.

Duane
November 1, 2021 5:09 am

Meh .. this is like only about the 100th iteration of the age old oil and gas price cycle. Demand goes down, prices go down, investment goes down – in that order … then demand goes up, prices go up, then investment goes up – in that order.

We are simply – the entire world, not just Europe – in the middle part of the “demand goes up” part of the cycle. The “demand goes down” cycle came about because of the world wide recession due to COVID .. then within half a year, the world economy began recovery. But the investment part of the “demand goes up” always goes up a lot slower than the investment goes down during the “demand goes down” cycle.

Everything in life is not about politics or global warmunism … 99.9% of life is about other stuff, that humans always do, rationally, in response to whatever is going on.

MarkW
Reply to  Duane
November 1, 2021 7:43 am

In your world, government regulations play no part in the price/demand equation?

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  Duane
November 1, 2021 12:18 pm

In general, I do not fault your analysis. Where it may be different this time is on the “investment goes up” phase. There is deliberate activity to prevent oil and gas exploration in this cycle by preventing access to the capital needed to move forward. I believe that will stretch the high prices well beyond the usual limits. Time will tell.

Joseph Zorzin
November 1, 2021 5:28 am

In Science News, “Is it worth trying to sway the most staunch climate deniers?”
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2021/10/211030221805.htm

“Media and communication experts often wrestle with how to rein in the forces that further polarize people with different views….”

God forbid there be different views!

ResourceGuy
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
November 1, 2021 11:35 am

This confirms the religious characteristics of agenda science to dismiss anything that comes later, including cyclical cooling in ocean cycles that don’t fit the narrative.

Vuk
November 1, 2021 6:04 am

UN Secretary General António Guterres:
“Oceans are now hotter than ever and they are getting warmer.”
Hotter than ever, but getting warmer, next stage must be ‘not so cold’.
That sounds to me like global cooling, or man has a sense of humor.

Vuk
Reply to  Vuk
November 1, 2021 9:33 am

Here is one more quote from COP26
Greta Thunberg: “Whatever the f*** they are doing in there’ at COP26 climate summit”
Has Greta had enough of ‘bla-bla-bla’ ?

Last edited 2 months ago by Vuk
John K. Sutherland
November 1, 2021 6:25 am

Time to invest ‘more’, in coal. Steel prices are about to go through the roof.

November 1, 2021 6:41 am

From a 2018 Op Ed:
America is following Germany’s Failed Climate Goals. Germany was the first major economy to make a big shift in its energy mix toward low carbon sources, but Germany is failing to meet its climate goals of reducing harmful carbon-dioxide emissions even after spending over $580 billion by 2025 to overhaul its energy systems. Germany’s emissions miss should be a “wake-up” call for governments everywhere.  http://www.cfact.org/2018/09/24/america-is-following-germanys-failed-climate-goals/

Vuk
Reply to  Ronald Stein
November 1, 2021 6:46 am

Germany had enough money to throw down the toilet pan, question is: has the USA enough money to do the same? 

TonyG
November 1, 2021 7:03 am

If they haven’t woken up yet, I doubt they ever will.

Alba
November 1, 2021 9:33 am

It’s not just America that needs to wake up.

Joe Bastardi
November 1, 2021 10:29 am

Not trying to be a wise guy but been writing about this for quite some time
https://www.cfact.org/2021/10/01/taking-the-high-ground-against-biden-blackouts/

https://www.cfact.org/2021/09/24/are-we-going-to-get-steamrolled-again-by-the-left-as-they-weaponize-winter-weather/

Please listen. These people that are supposed to fight this in our government do nothing. The people pushing this have no motive except to cause chaos and blame it on fossil fuels. This is not by accident of some noble above board cause to cure the climate and make energy cheap, They do not give a dang about climate and in true cloward -piven fashion are tryng to overload the system, The hapless people in the media that are supposed to fight this do not do a dang thing until it happens, then we get into tit for tat fights over the cause.

I am launching my own rokfin station, the big cat of climate. In it I will try to outline the best I can come extreme weather events, then line them up before the fact with the numerous times it has happened before. I have tried to suggest this to people across the board, Get out in front, expose these charlatans who don’t give a darn about the weather until they can use it ( They are as Bill Gray famously said, Climate pimps, and I have added to that, Parasitic climate predators, feeding off the taxpayer and preying on the fact the average person does not know what to look at or where to go. In any case we are going to get steamrolled again. AIf the cold we think at weatherbell is coming for the up front part of winter, then by Christmas who knows what is going to happen. One thing is for sure, AOC will be out there saying its fossil fuels and she screams loudest

note if its any consaltion if we are right a Jan thaw and beyond could save the day, But I am growing more confident this MJO/May/ hurricane impact analog ( 14 out of 14 going into this year..14 cold mays. 21 major hits, all Decembers colder than average over the east… note 10 warm mays. 2 major hits, all Decembers warmer). has merit. After that though it splits.

those on weatherbell.com have seen why I believe this happens btw. Was going to show it at Heartland but never got out there

Heh remember. Hodl tight to your promises, stay righteous stay strong
the days of miracles will soon come along

https://www.cfact.org/2021/10/30/winter-forecast-puts-biden-blackouts-and-long-dark-winter-up-for-grabs/

ResourceGuy
November 1, 2021 11:17 am

America already has a massive homeless problem, nomads trying to live off social security net of health insurance premiums and taxes, and panhandlers on all the high-traffic street corners and exit ramps. What comes next with the new Great Depression will empower the social service advocates and Bernie. The Jimmy Carter Award for blaming others for policy disasters goes to Biden and the G. William Miller Award for throwing gasoline on the inflation fire goes to two recipients–Powell and Yellen.

Kip Hansen(@kiphansen2)
Editor
November 1, 2021 4:18 pm

The End of the Chinese Restaurant and Take-out Industry,

have you ever watch how Chinese food is cooked in a restaurant? They cannot do that kind of cooking with electric stove tops….they just can’t!

Any professional chefs reading here? Is it even possible to run an all-electric kitchen?

Robert Alfred Taylor
November 1, 2021 5:44 pm

Every scam has one of these red flags ex-con man Frank Abagnale ― https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d526OqZX_LI

Ruleo
November 1, 2021 11:37 pm

This WSJ hyperlink gasoline prices requires sign up.

Use this link https://archive.md/vPJf8 to read it.

That Townhall hyperlink “$7.60 in one southern California town.” requires sign up.

Use this link https://outline.com/BKq975 to read it.

Thank you, come again!

Last edited 2 months ago by Ruleo
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