IPCC AR6 WG1 Author: “more and more starting to get scared … hopefully that’ll affect the way they vote”

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Naked political scaremongering and manipulation? IPCC Author Jim Kossin, who works for The Climate Service, a consultancy firm which helps corporations navigate Biden’s push for climate risk disclosure, has made no secret he hopes the IPCC’s latest climate report will change the outcome of future elections.

‘Get scared’: World’s scientists say disastrous climate change is here

A new report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is the latest — and starkest — warning yet of disasters around the globe.

By ZACK COLMAN and KARL MATHIESEN
08/09/2021 04:01 AM EDT
Updated: 08/09/2021 03:29 PM EDT

The long-feared era of disastrous climate change has arrived.

For the first time, the planet’s top scientists said in a monumental report released on Monday they have definitively linked greenhouse gas emissions to the type of disasters driven by a warmer climate that have touched every corner of the globe this year: extreme rainfall in Germany and China, brutal droughts in the western U.S., a record cyclone in the Philippines and compound events like the wildfires and heat waves from the Pacific Northwest to Siberia to Greece and Turkey.

This is the world as it exists today, with an atmosphere 1.1 degrees Celsius hotter than it was in the pre-industrial era thanks largely to burning fossil fuels such as coal, oil and natural gas. Even grimmer: There is no scenario in the new analysis by the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in which the world avoids breaching the threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius that the U.S., EU and several other countries have set as a target. Even the weaker 2-degree target that major polluters China and India have set as guideposts will be eclipsed unless greenhouse gas emissions peak by mid-century.

“The IPCC report underscores the overwhelming urgency of this moment,” and the upcoming UN climate summit in Glasgow needs to be a turning point, U.S. climate envoy John Kerry said in a statement Monday. “The world must come together before the ability to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius is out of reach. As the IPCC makes plain, the impacts of the climate crisis, from extreme heat to wildfires to intense rainfall and flooding, will only continue to intensify unless we choose another course for ourselves and generations to come.”

And the message from those scientists about those disasters is stark: Get used to them. The research shows nations must start playing defense to withstand the weather disasters that will only grow worse unless emissions from fossil fuels are eliminated.

I think people are more and more starting to get scared,” said Jim Kossin, senior scientist with climate risk firm The Climate Service who was among the IPCC authors for the chapter on extremes. “I think that’ll help to change people’s attitudes. And hopefully that’ll affect the way they vote.”

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2021/08/09/climate-change-scientists-report-disastrous-502799

My question – what disaster do activists believe has arrived?

A heatwave and a few fires? Even if climate change is contributing to heat waves, would you pay double or triple your current air conditioning electricity bill, because some corrupt politician or bureaucrat in Greece looted the forest management budget?

Think I’m exaggerating about higher bills? Check out how California and other green state electricity rates compare – and California have barely begun their green energy revolution.

As for fires, we know what causes wildfires in California, just like Greece and Australia – and it certainly isn’t climate change.

The argument that fires are inevitable because of climate change is absurd. Remove the fuel and you have no fire. Manage the fuel and you have manageable fires. Let forests grow wild, suppress small natural fires, and tolerate PG&E’s allegedly negligent maintenance of fire prone power lines, as they do in California, and you have fuel buildup and the makings of a forest fire catastrophe.

All totally preventable with an ounce of common sense.

ABC Gippsland Controlled Burn
Screenshot: ABC Gippsland Controlled Burn Climate Campaign (link google cache)
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Bruce Cobb
August 13, 2021 10:13 am

“The sky has fallen!”
Chicken Little

Scissor
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
August 13, 2021 10:47 am

Climate change made him do it.

Biden does just about everything possible within the U.S. to destroy its energy security. Then he asks OPEC to increase its production.

Vuk
Reply to  Scissor
August 13, 2021 11:28 am

… and buying oil from Russians (possibly Venezuelan), Puting is laughing all the way to the Gosbank and keeping Maduro in power at the same time. How ridiculous can you get?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Vuk
August 13, 2021 2:31 pm

Russians paid Hunter Biden a lot of money in the past, for unknown reasons. Maybe that has something to do with the stupid, dangerous actions Joe Biden is taking. Putin is a happy man. Why?

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 14, 2021 6:20 am

We all keep talking about what Biden is doing. Does anyone really believe he is responsible for anything being done in his name? Who is pulling his strings? They are most likely un-elected persons who have usurped power. Their identity should concern all Americans. What happens in America does, after all, affect the entire world.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Pamela Matlack-Klein
August 14, 2021 6:43 am

I think we would get a little closer to the person behind the Curtain, if we could find out who coordinated the letter that was written and then signed by 50 of the former, highest-ranked intelligence officials in the nation, from both political parties, when they came out and said that Hunter Biden’s laptop was just Russian disinformation being used by Trump.

Obviously, none of these officials knew what they claimed they knew, as Hunter Biden’s laptop was indeed real, so who got them all to lie and sign their name to it? What person organized this lie?

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 14, 2021 8:11 am

The skid grease in Foggy Bottom (Wash DC): blackmail.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 14, 2021 8:46 am

Just thinking about who is behind the curtain makes my head hurt and I worry for all my friends and family still living in the US. From what I have seen of the Hunter laptops, currently all over the net, he is a thoroughly despicable human. But so were and are the Clintons. JFK carried on with his women openly and the media never said boo. Johnson also and he was a pig to boot. In the eyes of the MSM a Democrat has to be seen in public by thousands of people and also be caught on tape, eating infants in front of their weeping mothers, to be called to account!

We like to think that the press used to be the watchdog looking out for the public good, but was that ever the case?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Pamela Matlack-Klein
August 15, 2021 3:43 am

“We like to think that the press used to be the watchdog looking out for the public good, but was that ever the case?”

Not since the Vietnam war. The Vietnam war polarized the Left, including the Leftwing Media, and the Leftwing Media has been slanting their coverage ever since to favor Democrats and demonize Republicans.

It started out slowly, but the leftwing propaganda momentum built up until it has reached an extreme in our current situation.

We can’t have a functioning Republic without a truthful Press, and we don’t have that today. About 10 percent of the Press is truthful, and the rest are partisan, false-reality-creating, Democrats.

IMO, the Leftwing News Media and their lies and distortions of the truth are the most dangerous thing threatening our personal freedoms. More dangerous than China or Russia or Iran or North Korea.

And now the Democrats have organized themselves into using this Leftwing Media propaganda machine to try to take complete control of the United States in the name of socialism/marxism.

The good news is all this propaganda may not be helping the Democrats as much as they hope. The polls show about 75 percent of Americans oppose the Democrat agenda. That means there is about 25 percent of the population that is radical. The 25 percent are trying to “wag the dog”.

The Dog is going to resist.

yirgach
Reply to  Pamela Matlack-Klein
August 14, 2021 2:08 pm

According to many reports, including the WH Press Sec, Biden talks to Obama on a daily basis.
Who do you think is pulling Xiden’s strings?
Who do you think is responsible for all the epic policy failures?

Tom Abbott
Reply to  yirgach
August 15, 2021 3:48 am

Obama would be my first guess, as the person behind the Curtain. He has his chief flunky, Susan Rice sitting in the White House in charge of Domestic Policy. One of the more powerful postions there.

I imagine our controllers are a collection of the criminals that were in the Clinton administration and the Obama administration. They are all sort of interchangeable, and they cooperate when it comes to political issues.

If I were to guess, I would say Susan Rice organized this lie about Hunter Biden’s laptop.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  yirgach
August 15, 2021 4:02 am

Maybe Obama managed to get a third term after all, shades of FDR….

Vuk
Reply to  Scissor
August 13, 2021 11:45 am

After waiting for few minutes the train inspector: No need to get concern Mr. Biden, I will assume you have a valid ticket and will not issue a fine.
Biden: I’m not concern about the fine, what worries me is that on the ticket is printed where I’m suppose to be going to. 

Last edited 1 month ago by Vuk
bill Johnston
Reply to  Scissor
August 13, 2021 4:35 pm

Here’s the deal. We have to retain our oil so when peak oil hits, we will have lots and everybody else will be without. Brilliant. /s

Philo
Reply to  bill Johnston
August 13, 2021 6:21 pm

That does have a nice evil tone to it.
Question is, Can We Afford It?
I know Biden et.al. don’t care a damn about our money. I Do.

Tom Halla
August 13, 2021 10:14 am

Yeah. Much of the wild lands fire risk is due to improper management, much of which was insisted on by the greens. I really think the level of knowledge by the supporters of the various environmentalist NGOs is taking 1950’s Disney nature documentaries seriously.
In both California and Australia, Europeans never encountered a “natural” landscape, as defined by uninfluenced by people. The greens have the ahistorical view that Aborigines or Amerindian people had no agency, and were not actively managing the “wildlands” for a purpose.

Hasbeen
Reply to  Tom Halla
August 13, 2021 5:29 pm

What puts the lie to the whole fire scam is the fact that in Australia it is the cooler wetter coastal areas that have the big problem fires, not the much hotter drier inland forests.

Kind of proves that it is the stronger thicker growing areas, with the most fuel that burn, not the hottest.

DaveW
Reply to  Tom Halla
August 13, 2021 5:30 pm

It is interesting isn’t it. Greens treat aboriginal peoples as if they were ‘native’ animals, not really human but some harmonious part of their preferred natural landscape – one without human beings.

Tom Halla
Reply to  DaveW
August 13, 2021 5:44 pm

Or they flatly deny the Indians would ever do such a thing as deliberately setting fires, as “Nature” just needs to be left alone, and there will be no problems.

MarkW
Reply to  Tom Halla
August 14, 2021 9:50 am

One socialist once told me that prior to the arrival of the white man, indians were 100% peaceful and would never consider killing another human. In fact, according to him, the tomahawk was actually an agricultural tool until the white man showed the indians how to use it as a weapon.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  MarkW
August 14, 2021 2:42 pm

Oh yes, there are many tales of the noble savage, one with nature and living in total harmony with all. What a shame that it is just a pretty story with no basis in reality.

another ian
Reply to  Tom Halla
August 13, 2021 8:06 pm

About as pristine as a recycled virginity

August 13, 2021 10:30 am

“ more and more starting to get scared … hopefully that’ll let us get away with murdering the science”

Spetzer86
August 13, 2021 10:39 am

Cause fear of something, wait, cause fear of something else, wait, more fear, wait, keep fear coming with little pauses in between. Eventually, people are rendered into a huddled, unthinking mass and just desparate for someone to give them directions and make it all better.

Scissor
Reply to  Spetzer86
August 13, 2021 10:50 am

This video speaks to that technique, which leads to mass psychosis and tyranny.

MarkH
Reply to  Scissor
August 14, 2021 4:07 pm

Living in Victoria I can easily see many of the steps towards collective psychosis being brought on by a deliberate and relentless campaign of fear based propaganda.

J Mac
August 13, 2021 10:44 am

Nope. Not afraid of your boogeyman yet!

August 13, 2021 10:45 am

Translation: “Get scared: World’s ‘scientists’ say we should imitate COVID fear to bring about a global Marxist paradise.”

Devils tower
August 13, 2021 10:48 am

By order of the New York Gov/Mayor….

All UN non electric vehicles directly owned or by affliation, will lose their parking privilege and be impounded.

All electric vehicles due to fire hazard must be parked in a bomb proof bunker or outside at least 50 feet from any structure or vehicle.

Diplomatic exemptions wil not be allowed.

Last edited 1 month ago by Devils tower
ResourceGuy
Reply to  Devils tower
August 13, 2021 12:01 pm

Suitcase bombs, poison darts with liquid poison potions, and other assignations of political refugees living in the U.S. and Europe will continue to allowed as accommodation for Mr. Putin and leaders in Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and assorted hit teams.

DMacKenzie
August 13, 2021 10:48 am

There are just so many stupid people, and our mothers taught us to be polite to them….

Martin557
Reply to  DMacKenzie
August 13, 2021 3:15 pm

We used to be able to tell who they were because we would see them walking down the street talking to themselves. Now, it seems to be the norm.

ResourceGuy
August 13, 2021 11:08 am
Tomsa
Reply to  ResourceGuy
August 13, 2021 1:11 pm

Actually it’s not. I very much doubt that it will open next month as that yahoo article claims. The portion through Canada (running close to us) was complete two years ago but according to this ABC report the MN section is only 60% complete and still opponents are fighting the line in court. I imagine we’ll continue to see the constant tanker cars passing through our border town for some time yet. Note the ABC item calls the origin of the oil the tar sands. Typical!

https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/line-pipeline-opponents-appeal-minnesota-supreme-court-78850480

August 13, 2021 11:21 am

I feel very sorry for Mary from Nowa Nowa and mightily depressed because nothing any of us can say is going to convince her that preventing controlled burns is absolutely the only way to prevent uncontrolled burns.
And I agree, to an extent it’s counter-intuitive. Deliberately setting fire to trees and shrubs and brush doesn’t on the face of it make sense. The eco-nuts have made great play of this along with their totally cretinous idea that forests and woodland in general should be left to nature and that forest fires are caused by heat. (I’m not sure what is the point at which wood combusts but the day the temperature in Australia reaches it we’ll all be long dead.)
They aren’t! Given tinder and a spark I will light you a fire at the South Pole (not that it will burn for long!). Absent either of those things I cannot light a fire anywhere on the planet!

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Newminster
August 13, 2021 3:15 pm

preventing controlled burns is absolutely the only way to prevent uncontrolled burns.

I’m pretty sure that you meant not to add “preventing” before “controlled burns”. If so, then yes. In northern Queensland, for example, we burn a lot every winter to avoid uncontrolled bus fires.

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Zig Zag Wanderer
August 14, 2021 12:48 am

In northern Queensland, for example, we burn a lot every winter to avoid uncontrolled bus fires.

Obviously I meant “bush fires” which are not caused by Global Warming. Bus fires are caused by Global Warming policies.

Last edited 1 month ago by Zig Zag Wanderer
Sambar
Reply to  Newminster
August 13, 2021 3:41 pm

Nowa Nowa was of course burnt out in the last fires, with 4 lives lost in the area. Didn’t have to worry about the wild life of smoke caused health hazards after the big fire, simply nothing left.
And with the remarkable fire formed landscapes of Australia, a casual visitor would have to have everything pointed out to them as the bush has bounced back and is lush and green. Very different to “before” the fire but a flourishing environment with all sorts of life. The long march back to where the forest was in 2018 will take time, 30 or 40 years but the world over environments change all the time. The biggest mistake preservationist make is that a snapshot of the environment today is NOT the way the place was yesterday nor will it be exactly the same in the future.

Annie
Reply to  Sambar
August 15, 2021 11:47 pm

Our son leaves near Nowa Nowa and there was a lot of ill-feeling towards these activists who prevented the hazard-reduction burn there. Uncontrolled wildfires kill far more wildlife than carefully managed fuel-reduction burns.

Annie
Reply to  Annie
August 15, 2021 11:48 pm

Lives, not leaves. How did that happen?!

n.n
August 13, 2021 11:27 am

Take a knee, beg, good boy, girl, whatever.

H. D. Hoese
August 13, 2021 11:41 am

“Additions to the report not found in previous assessments were included in response to political demands as climate change-driven extreme weather events battered towns, torched crops and upended livelihoods……But the IPCC report said even that reality has changed with the advent of so-called attribution science.” Is “Attribution Science” like putting you hand in a powered socket to see if it is powered? One source–one product– like this “..Remove the fuel and you have no fire….” At least they admit that their report is due to “political demand.”

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  H. D. Hoese
August 13, 2021 6:36 pm

“Attribution Science” – Blaming human fossil fuel use for everything “bad” that happens on planet Earth. No evidence required for such assertions, of course.

ResourceGuy
August 13, 2021 11:55 am

More and More ‘told’ to ‘Act Scared…on que for reasons not honestly conveyed by any of the parties involved and for monetary reward also not revealed.

Vuk
August 13, 2021 12:14 pm

Only thing politicians care is votes, ordinary people worry about cost of living and excessive taxation whatever the reason for it.
From today’s Daily Telegraph
“Even on regulation, the Prime Minister (Boris Johnson) seems to be getting cold feet, with the Government reportedly rowing back on plans to make the installation of new gas-fired boilers illegal from 2035; the goal is instead to ensure that households “do not face significant costs”. What is more, if the ETS (emissions trading scheme, effectively another name for carbon tax) is to work effectively, its coverage will have to be expanded, to domestic heating, motoring, agriculture and much else. It will feel like a tax, in the sense that it adds to prices and reduces disposable income correspondingly, even if it is technically not one.”

August 13, 2021 12:23 pm
August 13, 2021 12:27 pm

Typo correction:IPCC AR6 WG1 Author: “more and more REALLY STUPID GULLIBLE FOOLS are starting to get scared … hopefully that’ll affect the way they vote”

August 13, 2021 12:33 pm

IMPORTANT

Dr. Ed Berry‘s latest paper destroys the global warming hypothesis, by proving that 75% of the increase in atmospheric CO2 is natural and only 25% is human-made.

Dr. Berry cites my 2008 paper which proved that atmospheric CO2 changes lag temperature changes by approximately nine months. 

As I published in 2008, “The future cannot cause the past”.

Regards, Allan

On Aug 12, 2021, at 1:33 PM, Edwin Berry wrote:

Dear Friends,

To me personally and to climate science in general, this is a big day. Over the last 4 years, I developed a scientific paper that shows why there is no climate emergency.

 

Today, August 12, 2021, the Swiss journal “Atmosphere” accepted my scientific paper for publication. Its title is:

 

“Human carbon caused 25% of the increase in atmospheric CO2 and nature caused 75%”

 

My paper is now an official peer-reviewed climate publication that overturns the popular political version of climate change.

You can read my paper and add your comments here: Preprint #3: Human carbon caused 25% of the increase in atmospheric CO2 and nature caused 75% – edberry.com

 

I thank you for your continued interest in my professional work in climate physics, and I thank you who have commented and critiqued my paper on edberry.com over the last 4 years which helped make it the paper it is today.

Sincerely,

 

Ed

 

Ed Berry, PhD, Physics, CCM

Climate Physics LLC

439 Grand Dr #147

Bigfork, MT 59911

 

Doonman
Reply to  Allan MacRae
August 13, 2021 3:17 pm

This deserves its own posting as an WUWT article. You won’t see anything about it published in the MSM anytime soon as it doesn’t fit the approved narrative.

Vuk
August 13, 2021 12:34 pm

Flush floods & mudslides disasters: global warming or shoddy building in wrong places?

Last edited 1 month ago by Vuk
Richard Page
Reply to  Vuk
August 13, 2021 1:20 pm

It’s human nature to cut corners and costs when a danger isn’t immediately apparent. Building on flood plains without improving flood defences, building near hills without stabilising the slopes or not building to safety spec in hurricane regions are all too common. Global Warming or “How could we possibly know that was going to happen?” is just a convenient excuse for greed and complacency.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Vuk
August 13, 2021 6:39 pm

I have a flush flood in my drain line every time I push that lever on my toilet…

fretslider
August 13, 2021 12:38 pm

It might well be the starkest warning so far

It’s still utter garbage

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  fretslider
August 13, 2021 6:40 pm

New, Improved Climate Propaganda!

Dan M
August 13, 2021 1:03 pm

I’m already used to weather disasters. They’ve been happening my whole life and I’m 62 now. The only people who are scared by “climate disasters”, which are just normal fluctuating weather patterns, are those who are too young to know that the amount and severity of bad weather has not changed (and the data bears that out as well), and those who willingly forget what bad weather was like in the good old days.

Waza
August 13, 2021 1:07 pm

It’s like the Madison cycling.
Where the CAGW is trying to tag team off of COVID

Phillip Bratby
August 13, 2021 1:27 pm

“The planet’s top worst scientists pseudo-scientists”. Fixed it for them.

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
August 13, 2021 6:42 pm

Yes, or perhaps “The planet’s top bullshit artists.”

Pat Frank
August 13, 2021 1:43 pm

Jim Kossin has a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, and his M.S. in Mathematics and B.S. in Mathematics and Physics at Clarkson University in New York

and nevertheless doesn’t understand calibration, the impact of physical error on reliability, propagation of error, or the difference between precision and accuracy.

The global pandemic these days seems more to involve brain deflation than a flu virus.

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  Pat Frank
August 14, 2021 8:19 am

I have known more than several PhDs who were near-frauds about knowing what one would expect they should know.

Mumbles McGuirck
Reply to  Pat Frank
August 14, 2021 4:03 pm

Jim Kossin Is also a NOAA (US Government) scientist. As such, he ought to be circumspect in making political statements. I guarantee you, if I were to make overt statements about the politics of the climate scam, I’d be called on the carpet in short order. The reason I post here under a psuedonym is to avoid that problem. I guess it depends on who’s ox is being Gored.

Vuk
August 13, 2021 1:45 pm

NOAA: It’s official: July was Earth’s hottest month on record
https://www.noaa.gov/news/its-official-july-2021-was-earths-hottest-month-on-record
Hottest?!, I’m sure that is a scare headline, in the image they are more moderate calling it ‘warmest’.
Hot having a high degree of heat or a high temperature.
Warm of or at a fairly or comfortably high temperature.
NOAA Administrator is called Rick Spin-rad

Last edited 1 month ago by Vuk
AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Vuk
August 13, 2021 6:46 pm

Undoubtedly left out is that the “hottest” means “highest average,” and that most of that “highest” average probably comes from the nights not being as cool, not from it getting to higher maximum temperatures. The usual misinformation, in other words, and still limited to the geologic eyeblink of “ON RECORD.”

pigs_in_space
Reply to  Vuk
August 14, 2021 2:41 am

oh and btw now the NEW European “record temperature” recorded, in sicily yesterday in Syracuse…measured to an accuracy of tenths of degrees….48.8

however they seem to happen every summer…”previous record of 48 C measured in Athens on 10 July 1977 and +48.5 C recorded by an unofficial weather station in Catenanuova (EN) in August 1999″ (apparently measured to 1/2-1C accuracy?)

so, July and August suprise, suprise are the hottest months of the year in the south of Europe, who wouldda thunk it??

Climate believer
August 13, 2021 1:48 pm

“….. And hopefully that’ll affect the way they vote.”

“Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything.
– Joseph Stalin

max
August 13, 2021 2:03 pm

“The End Is Near” is not really the campaign slogan they think it is.

Danley Wolfe
August 13, 2021 2:05 pm

Yes, it definitely will change the trajectory of future elections and if the response is handled correctly in the direction of normalcy not scare mongering. All the b.s. scare tactics might just benefit if we get good reasoned analysis of the AR6 scare mongering by such as Koonin, Lomborg, McIntyre & McKitrick, etc. to cut the legs off of this.

Right-Handed Shark
August 13, 2021 2:11 pm

I’m starting to think that AR6 is a good thing. Not only have the left themselves nowhere to go, but they have cut off their own retreat. How do you ramp up “code red” for the next report without making yourself look ridiculous? “Double-Plus-Ungood Code Red”?

Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
August 13, 2021 5:52 pm

The End Is Neigh. There will be no AR7, also a good thing.

H B
August 13, 2021 2:27 pm

When it burns out of control destroys houses kills people and livestock hold them responsible through the courts you have photos and statements

Tom Abbott
August 13, 2021 2:29 pm

From the article: “The long-feared era of disastrous climate change has arrived.
For the first time, the planet’s top scientists said in a monumental report released on Monday they have definitively linked greenhouse gas emissions to the type of disasters driven by a warmer climate that have touched every corner of the globe this year: extreme rainfall in Germany and China, brutal droughts in the western U.S., a record cyclone in the Philippines and compound events like the wildfires and heat waves from the Pacific Northwest to Siberia to Greece and Turkey.”

What’s the IPCC CONfidence Level for claiming any of these weather events are driven by human activity?

Rory Forbes
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 13, 2021 3:10 pm

What’s the IPCC CONfidence Level for claiming any of these weather events are driven by human activity?

They have an extremely high confidence level that their assertions will be accepted as published without question. It’s like the media stories about Trump. Regardless of the fact that few were even partially true, they were all believed.

Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  Tom Abbott
August 13, 2021 3:19 pm

IIRC it was 50%. So it’s a toss-up.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Zig Zag Wanderer
August 15, 2021 3:53 am

I was being sarcastic, Zig. Note the “CON”. I was implying that the confidence level is a CON job.

MarkW
August 13, 2021 2:35 pm

And yet the usual suspects will whine and complain about how we skeptics insist on politicizing climate science.

Tom Abbott
August 13, 2021 2:36 pm

The oil will last long enough for the alarmists to waste $Trillions of our tax dollars on trying to find a substitute.

MarkW
August 13, 2021 2:38 pm

One trick pony returns to it’s vomit.

Reply to  MarkW
August 13, 2021 3:05 pm

comment image
So it is 😀

Last edited 1 month ago by Krishna Gans
Zig Zag Wanderer
Reply to  MarkW
August 13, 2021 3:12 pm

One trick pony returns to it’s vomit.

I hate to be so pedantic, but horses can’t vomit…

Last edited 1 month ago by Zig Zag Wanderer
M Courtney
Reply to  Zig Zag Wanderer
August 13, 2021 3:55 pm

“As a dog returns to its vomit, so a fool repeats his foolishness.”
Proverbs 26 vs 11.

Chris Hanley
August 13, 2021 2:48 pm

Unsurprisingly neither author Zack Colman nor Karl Mathiesen has any scientific credentials.

August 13, 2021 3:03 pm

has made no secret he hopes the IPCC’s latest climate report will change the outcome of future elections. 😀 😀 😀
No vote for Biden and complices, seems to be clear 😀 😀

AGW is Not Science
Reply to  Krishna Gans
August 13, 2021 6:49 pm

If the voters have any brains…and the “actual” votes, not “harvested” votes, actually determine the outcome.

August 13, 2021 4:46 pm

Climate Science scenario for planet warming is that warming is started by CO2 increase. Warming causes water vapor (WV, a greenhouse gas) to increase adding to the warming. Calculated WV increase trend from just planet warming (HadCRUT4 temperatures) ≈1.04% per decade. As used by Climate Science this contributes to their epic fail in climate prediction.
 
NASA/RSS has been measuring average global WV by satellite since Jan 1988. The data show an increasing trend of 1.49% per decade which is about 43% faster than possible from just temperature increase. This demonstrates that there must be an additional source of WV.
 
The comparison is shown here graphically with links to methodology and data sources. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Ntl57AEsPYfTppC0DUziRBnq0NV42g5B/view?usp=sharing
 
This ‘extra’ WV increase can account for all of the temperature increase attributable to humanity (about 0.6 K 1909-2019). Carbon dioxide, in spite of being a ghg, has no significant net effect on climate.

davidmhoffer
August 13, 2021 4:59 pm

MODERATOR – The exact same comment with the exact same link thread after thread. This troll is polluting your blog.

tygrus
August 13, 2021 5:25 pm

What happens in USA != GLOBAL. Oil, coal & gas have increased their usage around the WORLD but not the same pattern in USA. Last 18months have seen a reduction in fossil fuel usage (COVID19 effects, less production, less travel). To 2019 global usage of all fossil fuels had not peaked and it would be hard to say for certain if any had now peaked.
https://ourworldindata.org/fossil-fuels
If Australia stopped all CO2 emissions & imported/exported nothing .. it would take 1yr for the rest of the world to increase their emissions. It’s like any AGW effects would still occur but gives us 1 extra year to get to the same point. On the scale of taking 100 to 200 years to see an effect, a difference between 1 year & the next is not significant.

Last edited 1 month ago by tygrus
tygrus
August 13, 2021 6:44 pm

The model runs produce a range of predictions that cover increase & decrease of cloud & rainfall. Not just global average but also when you pick a region these models produce an each-way bet they can’t loose. It’s like making a bet on every horse in the Melbourne cup so you can brag to your mates about picking the winner. Hence why the term “climate change” was important.
There is no single model which is good at predicting climate conditions per year for all regions & years. Averaging hides the fact that these models are inaccurate & unreliable for anything but long term temperature trends (with wide error bands, temperature trend is an input). With enough predictions you can regress to the mean. With enough models & predictions you can later point to 1 of them as the winner & claim success. There are several non-CO2 variables that vary per year which they can adjust as a time series to improve the replication of historical observations. Some of these variables & the other parameters don’t have empirical evidence for the values chosen & why they vary so much between models/runs/years.
The first 5 AR1 reported a lack of confidence in the models predicting cloud, rain or any extreme climate events. The range of model output has not improved so I don’t see how the predictions have suddenly become more reliable. Put push the dire predictions out by another 20 to 50years buys a bit more time for bluffing & additional funding (started pre2000 now we have another 10years as our 3rd or more ‘last chance’).

Last edited 1 month ago by tygrus
Philip
August 13, 2021 7:23 pm

I don’t have any numbers but, I’d bet that at this date, having survived serial 15 years to doomsday scenarios, that for every one person buying into today’s CAGWing fear mongering, ten people are waking up to the fraud.

WXcycles
August 13, 2021 10:36 pm

That’s a big turn-out.

About 11.3 terrified climate-obsessives in Gippsland?

#village_idiots_for_ghia

August 14, 2021 12:32 am

The IPCC’s latest (6th) Report has been released. Its “models” once again proclaim that Earth’s temperature is going to rise to unbearable levels unless CO2 levels are drastically reduced. That’s bunkum.

Few have noticed IPCC’s “models” are simply extrapolations of the correlation:
[Earth’s average Temperature vs CO2 levels]
and so assumes that CO2 is the cause … a priori! They offer NO experimental data to support their guess that increasing CO2 causes Earth’s atmospheric temperature to rise. Yet they have the nerve to claim “The science says …!”

The best the IPCC offers is to reckon that CO2 is a “Greenhouse Gas” because it absorbs infrared radiation (IR) – for example that emanating from Earth – whereas the major gases representing 99% of dry air – nitrogen, oxygen and argon do not.

Further, they and others now re-define a Greenhouse Gas as being one that absorbs IR, whereas originally and correctly it was one that absorbs (Earth’s) heat to warm its surface more than it would be without an atmosphere.

What they fail to disclose is that, while not all gases absorb IR, ALL gases absorb HEAT – simply put a clear plastic bag containing whatever gas into the Sun, then feel it getting warmer. As ALL gases are Greenhouse Gases, the atmosphere’s major gases are by far its biggest heat absorbers ie major greenhouse gases, and largely in proportion to their amount, and CO2 input to global temperatures is negligible.

2hotel9
August 14, 2021 3:27 am

So, yet again a leftard publicly proclaims it is all politically driven shyte. Yawn.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
August 14, 2021 6:15 am

Why are these sadly deluded demonstrators not arrested and removed?

Gerry
August 15, 2021 9:54 am

Those protesters wouldn’t want to show their faces around town for a long long time

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