Guest essay by Eric Worrall
As the global temperatures continue their obstinate refusal to conform with alarmist predictions, climate scientists are urging people experiencing last month’s bitterly cold European Spring weather to keep believing.
2021 European Cold Spring Does Not Mean Climate Change Is Fake
Emanuela Barbiroglio
May 19, 2021,04:14pm EDTApril 2021 was the coldest since 2003 for Europe, with a monthly average temperature 0.9°C below the 1991-2020 average. What should you say to family members doubting climate change because they see snow around them?
First of all, April 2021 was not the first April month since 2003 that was colder than average. In April 2017, Europe experienced wintery conditions that bear a lot of resemblance to what we saw last month, with a Europe-wide monthly temperature 0.7°C below average.
Also, globally, April 2021 was 0.2°C warmer than average, although not as warm as in the past 5 years (2016-2020) and as in 2010.
According to climate reanalysis scientist Julien Nicolas, who is working on temperature monitoring at the EU Copernicus climate change service (C3S), “one should not lose sight of the big picture”.
Nicolas points out that “the cold April weather in Europe came on the heels of a warm spell in late March that brought record high temperatures in parts of Europe” and adds: “the fact that the climate is warming does not mean that Europe cannot experience cold April months, it means that such months are becoming less and less likely”.
…
Read more: https://www.forbes.com/sites/emanuelabarbiroglio/2021/05/19/2021-european-cold-spring-does-not-mean-climate-change-is-fake/
Of course, only cold weather events are treated as local anomalies. Heatwaves are part of the big picture, right? Back in March, the localised heatwave weather in Europe was treated as unequivocal evidence of global warming.
Monthly temperature records smashed in Europe beneath sprawling heat dome
At least three countries broke all-time March records
By Matthew Cappucci April 2, 2021 at 3:06 a.m. GMT+10
Temperatures in much of Europe are running 20 degrees or more above average as an early-season heat dome, a strong high-pressure system several miles up in the atmosphere that traps heat below, remains parked over the area. Monthly records have fallen in at least three countries as the region gets a taste of what could be another anomalously hot summer in store.
It’s the latest in a series of heat records that are disproportionately outpacing the occurrence of cold extremes, largely the product of a changing climate and a planet whose temperatures are skewed hot.
…
Read More: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/04/01/europe-record-warm-heat/
If people who predict imminent cooling are right, we can all look forward to more backflips and hilarious efforts to reassure the climate faithful in years to come.
And by my personal recollection 1987, 1992or3, possibly a few others. I’m for bringing back the discredited idea that there are near random cycles and/or emergent behavior in a complex system that no one can predict.
“Climate is what we expect, weather is what we receive.” -RAH
The German cows cannot go to the Alps on time. Too cold. Too snowy.
https://www.dw.com/en/german-cows-must-delay-annual-trip-to-the-alps/a-57634712
There should be a “Far Side” cartoon about that and global warming.
China hit by effects of excess CO2: 21 runners dead
BEIJING—Twenty-one people running a mountain ultramarathon died in northwestern China after hail, freezing rain and gale-force winds hit the high-altitude race, state-run media reported Sunday.
After an all-night rescue operation in freezing temperatures involving more than 700 personnel, rescuers were able to confirm that 151 people were safe, out of a total of 172 participants. Twenty-one had died, according to the state-run Xinhua News Agency, which said the runners suffered from physical discomfort and the a sudden drop in temperature.
Wall St Journal story:
https://archive.fo/uOGM6#selection-4051.0-4055.351
It is bad news when you are trying to sell windmills and solar farms. Politicians are counting on the faithful.
I never see error bars on these so called global temperature changes. The numbers are very small. I venture if error bars were shown the graph would be farcical.
They most certainly would. Those ‘temperature’ graphs are simply mathematical averages and, as such, the multiplication of error ranges in the data would cause the error bars to shoot off the top and bottom of the graph, far exceeding the ‘temperature’ recorded!
We could probably do with yet another post showing how error ranges SHOULD be recorded and how error ranges multiply and increase when you add them together to derive a statistical average.
Pay no attention to that man behind the curtain!
Welcome to the combo world of solar minimum and AMO turn down. The end of solar minimum effects on NH temps and jet stream will be more than matched by further decline in the AMO. Better crank up the energy and power imports from Russia and eastern Europe, if they can spare it.
May temperatures in Europe are also below normal and June promises to be wet.
What are you people bickering about now????? Last night, the temp started to drop and drop and drop and I wondered how far it would drop from 82F daytime to something completely different. I had all the windows open, just in case it did chill out.
Well, boys and girls, the outdoor temperature began to drop very suddenly as a cold front moved into my AO and I enjoyed it, as did my cat. By sleepy time, it had dropped indoors from 82F outdoors to 67F, about 4 hours, and I left the windows open to bring in that fresh, cool air. No need to run the A/C at all. By 5AM this morning, it was down to 62F. Comfy. I must be turning into a pelted wolf or bear if I like cold weather better than warm.
Has it stayed there? Nah! The Sun is doing a hot dance on the skies above, and it’s back up, BUT — and I use that word lightly — this sudden temperature drop, being WEATHER, is NOT a sign of climate change. It is WEATHER. What it is likely to do is push back mosquito season, which is fine with me.
The NWS forecast is for more of the same for the rest of the week – 60s overnight, low 80s daytime and then OOOPSSS!! 60s daytime and 50s nighttime for a week!!! We need rain more than anything else. My lawn is looking sad.
For those whose concept of “climate change” is connected to daily weather, try to understand that the short term is ONLY weather and nothing else. Tornadoes matter less than humidity. I do remember the midwest tornado outbreak in 1974. That was a swarm and it was caused by the collision of three different WEATHER patterns. Look it up.
Come Autumn, I’m guessing that the WEATHER in my AO will be warm and then abruptly cool off and we’ll get early snow. By early, I mean the end of September. Doesn’t have to lasts any longer than it takes me to get outside with a camera.
It is WEATHER and WEATHER has quirks and silly episodes and absolutely ZERO consistency from one season to the next, and ZERO consistency from one year to the next.
IF we ever get snow in August (anything’s possible), it is still WEATHER — UNLESS the temps do not rise back to “normal” and it snows and keeps on snowing. And that has to happen several years – nay, DECADES in a row.
That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.
Sara people are bickering a bit here. It’s our long Victoria Day weekend and it’s been wet and cold compared to last Monday to Wednesday when I went camping it was dry and 28-30C highs. We’ve also had a drought until the end of last week, smoke in the air from forest fires, and people complaining about climate change. As you say it’s just WEATHER. Now this week the high Wed is calling for 11C. Now if you take the 30 last Monday and average it with the 11 then that’s 20.5, the normal for here now is 21.
You must be out west with me, was beautiful last weekend
Then couple nights below freezing now wet and cold
If it follows last year, we won’t now get any real hot weather until mid to late July.
I hope it’s different this year, am not a fan of cold and wet, or as Griff/Loydo term it, ideal weather
Yes Pat out west in MB right on the border with US
Well, we are having a rather ragged entry into Summer up here in the upper Midwest of the USA. Look at the USA map and when you find Chicago, I’m north of there by the WI-IL state line. It is cooler up there than it is here in my AO, and Chicago is having rather rough heat, but the humidity is worse: far too high.
What WE need is rain. My lawn is telling me to either get out the sprinkler or do the rain dance before sunrise and sacrifice an English muffin with lots of butter and strawberry jam to the cause.
The lack of rain is disturbing because this is the time of year when rain is expected. So far: no go. But the house is nice and cool….
I’m sure those old, early adopter solar panels will work just fine. They’re not as good as the new slave-labor models but then Uncle Joe says you can have gas pipelines that we can’t seem to finish or even keep operating.
The global sea surface temperature is falling again. This predicts another La Niña wave in the summer of 2021.
That will depend on the sun, and where the sunspots position themselves over the course of this year, imo.
An active sunspot has appeared.
Oh, I dunno; What should you say to simpletons who use straw man arguments to push their Alarmist ideology?
There’s this problem with science: It only takes ONE contrary observation to reject a theory but many supporting observations to “confirm” it (and confirmation is never certain). In other words, given a theory of warming, record cold weather can indeed reject it, but record warm weather doesn’t.
As noted before, in calgary 20 years ago I could start eating ripe tomatos in early august
Now I’m lucky to get some in September, if everything hasn’t froze.
It’s almost June and my peonies and hostas are barely out of the ground while some years past they would be in full bloom
Personally I would like some warming as it is long overdue around here.
“I want some more, please”
Or maybe just some?
“In Calgary 20 years ago I could start eating ripe tomatos in early august
Now I’m lucky to get some in September, if everything hasn’t froze.”
I live in eastern France and for more than a decade the harvest of tomatoes is poor while before it was plentiful.
The change of temperature is impressive, springs and falls have become chilly and long, summers very short, it lasts only 2 months and we may even get cold snaps at the end of August.
When I was a child in the early 70s I remember my father harvesting the first potatoes on June 10, yesterday, May 25, their leaves haven’t emerged out of the ground ! Where are we heading ? I’m worried !
Maybe they can burn fuel oil for power like Mexico.
Mexico to buy Shell share of Texas refinery for $600 million (yahoo.com)
You know, I would like this thing to resolve itself one way or the other before my time is up. I would hate to go not knowing.
Repeat after me – It’s getting warmer – the Democrats didn’t steal the election – the Chinese didn’t develope Covid-19.
Never mind the cool April weather – May is being much colder relative to average in England, nearly 3 degC below 1990-2019 average. And a comment by a pundit for the Giro D’Italia said “ooh I haven’t seen snow in this area before on the Giro”.
I’d like a pleasant summer, but on the other hand further global cooling wouldn’t half stick it to COP26 in the UK! As if they’d even notice…
Ha! More frequent but ‘less likely’. Can’t argue with probabilities!
There was no global warming from 1998 to 2014/15, there is again no global warming since 2016, and the global temperature in April 2021 was even below the 1991-2020 average. This indicates a clear fail of all mainstream climate models.
https://galileoverschworung.wordpress.com/2021/05/22/klimawandel-macht-pause-keine-erwarmung-seit-2016/