Climate Claim: President Trump’s Travel Bans Shows We Need More Global Governance

Oxford Trinity College High Table
One of Oxford University’s Famous Feasts. Oxford Trinity College High Table. By Winky from Oxford, UK (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

According to Oxford Lecturer Kate Guy, President Trump “blindsiding” allies with Coronavirus travel bans and his focus on taking care of the USA proves we are not ready for the coming climate disaster – but we could “rebound” with “more solid” global security and cooperation.

Coronavirus shows we are not at all prepared for the security threat of climate change

April 16, 2020 12.28am AEST
Kate Guy, PhD Candidate and Lecturer in International Relations, University of Oxford

How might a single threat, even one deemed unlikely, spiral into an evolving global crisis which challenges the foundations of global security, economic stability and democratic governance, all in the matter of a few weeks?

My research on threats to national security, governance and geopolitics has focused on exactly this question, albeit with a focus on the disruptive potential of climate change, rather than a novel coronavirus. In recent work alongside intelligence and defence experts at the think-tank Center for Climate and Security, I analysed how future warming scenarios could disrupt security and governance worldwide throughout the 21st century. Our culminating report, A Security Threat Assessment of Global Climate Change, was launched in Washington just as the first coronavirus cases were spreading undetected across the US.

An uncoordinated response

While traditionally a great power like the US might step forward to direct a collective international response, instead the Trump administration has repeatedly chosen to blindside its allies with the introduction of new limitations on trade and movement of peoples. This mismanagement has led to each nation going on its own, despite the fact that working together would net greater gains for all. As the New York Times’s Mark Landler put it, the voices of world leaders are forming “less a choir than a cacophony”, leading to mixed global messages, undetected spread, and ongoing fights over limited resources.

We can treat the current global crisis as a sort of “stress test” on these institutions, exposing their vulnerabilities but also providing the urgent impetus to build new resilience. In that light, we could successfully rebound from this moment with more solid global security and cooperation than we knew going into it. Decision-makers should take a hard look at their current responses, problem-solving methods, and institutional design with future climate forecasts like our Threat Assessment in mind. 

Read more: https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-shows-we-are-not-at-all-prepared-for-the-security-threat-of-climate-change-136029

What are they teaching in universities these days?

There is nothing wrong with different countries implementing varied responses to the Chinese Coronavirus, or any other global crisis.

Imagine if the world had embraced a completely unified response, and granted the incompetent United Nations World Health Organisation had been granted absolute power for the duration of the crisis. The WHO wanted open borders and free movement long after Trump closed the US border. And talk about lack of focus; a senior WHO advisor wants recovery money to be spent on renewables.

A variety of disconnected responses to Covid-19 means multiple opportunities to get things right, instead of putting all the eggs in one basket. Nobody knows what the right response is, but with a variety of different responses, everyone can observe what is working in other countries, and what mistakes they made, and copy the best of what other people are doing.

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jorgekafkazar
April 16, 2020 11:28 am

I’m not sure we should commit ourselves to following recommendations by anyone who uses the word albeit. Here is the coordinated, world-wide approach to climate policy:

https://bit.ly/3bhQJgb

LdB
April 16, 2020 11:37 am

We have all seen what happens when you give up your control to a bureaucratic entity with the EU … it made such a compelling case that it induced BREXIT. I am sure every country is racing to line up to hand over control to a global bureaucratic entity 🙂

DHR
April 16, 2020 11:48 am

I skimmed through the report which Cam-S was so kind to provide. The word “analysis” is used frequently but there are actually no fact-based analyses of any climate parameter in it – not one – that I could find. It simply contains the usual unsupported talk of increased storms, droughts, sea level and so forth without any reference to actual measurements. It does have really fine layout, printing and graphics of course; really good looking and glossy. And how much did we pay for this?

fretslider
April 16, 2020 12:02 pm

What are they teaching in universities these days?

How to be woke, how to no-platform wrongthinkers and making unreasonable or daft demands; decolonising the curriculum etc.

Just Jenn
April 16, 2020 12:26 pm

International Relations PhD candidate.

From Oxford.

Talking about Imperialism of the New World order (order is small for a reason…)

Hmmm….

Where have I seen that before? I wonder, I really do wonder…maybe I dunno…HISTORY?

Something this person obviously did not study…her history and now she is bound to repeat it.

Too bad.

So sad.

Next……

April 16, 2020 12:44 pm

This is a registered nurse in Sweden named Sofia. She has been working directly with COVID-19 patients since the crisis exploded in Sweden. She also holds another position: Princess Sofia of Sweden, Duchess of Värmland.
comment image

AARGH63
April 16, 2020 12:56 pm

Xi Jinping seems adept at controlling large number of people, why don’t we ask him to lead?

Flight Level
April 16, 2020 1:18 pm

“the security threat of climate change”

Hold about, did I miss something, is climate now a contagious disease ?

Shall we, in an effort to curb the green oligophrenia pandemic, ban the travel of all climate delegates and universally prohibit all climate greenie junkets, conferences, get-togethers? Sounds like a plan to me.

Ed Zuiderwijk
Reply to  Flight Level
April 16, 2020 1:51 pm

Climate change anxiety surely is a contagious disease. Sufferers should self isolate or else will be locked down, err, up.

Neo
April 16, 2020 1:19 pm

America blindsided by Sweden’s insistence on not quarantining

damp
April 16, 2020 1:25 pm

Yes, let’s bring down the US’ response level to that of, say, the WHO. It’s unfair that the rich should live because they can afford more alert leaders. Let’s get those fatality levels uniform! #socialismrocks

Steven Fraser
April 16, 2020 1:32 pm

Here is an interesting angle: Doc reporting that CMS (The US Federal Medicare reimbursement people) are bumping up the revenue they pay for COVID patients, and tripling it for Intubation.

I wondered why the numbers were being inflated at the recommendation of the CDC, and now I know….

Money.

https://powderedwigsociety.com/cooking-the-covid-books/

Michael Carter
April 16, 2020 1:32 pm

“Trump administration has repeatedly chosen to blindside its allies with the introduction of new limitations on trade and movement of peoples. This mismanagement has led to each nation going on its own, despite the fact that working together would net greater gains for all. ”

Utter rubbish

When the mud settles it will become clear that small countries and city-states with stable political systems managed the outbreak best. While my country (NZ) is some way from complete control it has been able to implement rapid response with a reasonable degree of understanding of the situation. Our community has accepted and adopted the restrictions without undue resistance. Meantime the discussion on the economic impact is going on, much of it in public. Most of us will be back at work within weeks.

Across the ditch, Australia with a state political system, has more challenges and less of a unified response.

As I see it the diversity in US is a strength and a weakness. Controlling the outbreak there was always going to be messy, through no fault of its own. Clear borders – even between states – and local responsibility is essential, as is community spirit.

God forbid that a global government have any control over sovereign states. Small is beautiful.

M

SPQR
April 16, 2020 1:46 pm

It takes a special kind of blind fanaticism to recast recent events into a call for global governance. The UN and WHO were especially corrupt and counterproductive.

April 16, 2020 1:46 pm

According to Oxford Lecturer Kate Guy, President Trump “blindsiding” allies with Coronavirus travel bans and his focus on taking care of the USA proves we are not ready for the coming climate disaster – but we could “rebound” with “more solid” global security and cooperation.

I seem to recall an incident back in 1776 where some guys declared to the world that the purpose of Government was to preserve the rights of the individual.
We fought a war and won independence from one nation.
After a misfire (The Articles of Confederation, a Government to weak to usurp said rights but also to weak to defend them), they formed a Government under the The Constitution of The United States AND The Bill of Rights (to limit what that Government could do that might usurp the rights of the individual).
The United States owes nothing to the UN or the other Governments of the globe.
The US government owes it’s citizens what if was formed to do, preserve the rights of its individual citizens.
Let the other Governments of the globe do the same for their own citizens, demonstrably.
The UN? It should only be, at best, a forum for countries to still talk to each other after diplomatic ties have been severed. It should have zero authority to dictate the actions of another nation.

Kevin R.
April 16, 2020 1:49 pm

The opposite of chaos and anarchy is her ruling over everybody. Got it.

April 16, 2020 2:12 pm

albeit with a focus on the disruptive potential of climate change,

Meaning Oxford Lecturer Kate Guy PhD Candidate and Lecturer in International Relations, University of Oxford, will be very unwilling — likely to the point of deaf, blind, and insensate — to entertain the fact that there’s no evidence whatever of “climate change” as she means it; namely, CO2-induced global warming.

She’s got her oh-so-portentous narrative and she’s sticking to it. Just like all the rest of the modern academic second-raters.

Reply to  Pat Frank
April 16, 2020 2:24 pm

If not “Carbon Pollution” from Man, there’s no excuse for controlling Man.
(GOSH! Maybe “Global Warming” “Climate Change” is Natural?!?!
(I thought most of these eco-dudes were into going “natural”?)

mcswell
April 16, 2020 2:22 pm

“What are they teaching in universities these days?” Do I detect an allusion to the professor’s quote in The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe, “I wonder what they do teach them at these schools”? Which of course was written by a famous Oxford don.

Chris Hanley
April 16, 2020 3:07 pm

As with many of these prescriptive-sounding pieces it contains a liberal sprinkling of first person plural pronouns.
Kate begins by referring to a report by The [‘non-partisan’] Center for Climate and Security (CCS): “… In it we warn: …”.
But as she goes on she writes:
“… What do we do with nation-states that can no longer reside in their homeland? How do we compensate sectors for ceasing harmful practices such as fossil fuel extraction and deforestation … we also face new global governance questions … can we handle climate-related disasters during a pandemic? … we can treat the current global crisis as a sort of “stress test” … we could successfully rebound from this moment with more solid global security and cooperation than we knew going into it … we know that even steeper and more frequent global shocks are in store … ” and so on.

If she is writing on her own behalf or on behalf of her organisation (CCS) she seems to have an exaggerated opinion of her or its importance, I can’t remember ever voting for her or it.
She could be using ‘we’ as meaning people in general, presuming that the reader must agree with her opinion, but again what gives her that authority?

Reply to  Chris Hanley
April 16, 2020 4:16 pm

When such say “we” they rarely mean “me”, the listener.
It will cost all the “me’s” out their in some way.

walt
Reply to  Chris Hanley
April 16, 2020 5:36 pm

Please notice most of the power grabbers like to create
organizations that with names that include the word
“ SECURITY”

April 16, 2020 3:36 pm

These days, the U.N. could not even run a chicken raffle or a sausage sizzle competently. The U.N. should not be let anywhere near something of the scale of the Covid-19 outbreak. The WHO is also a running-dog lackey apologist for the Chinese Communist Party.

April 16, 2020 3:42 pm

We need more global governance??? Or do we need to get rid of what has emerged in such ambition so far?

https://tambonthongchai.com/2019/02/25/un/

Joey
April 16, 2020 3:56 pm

Actually, what it proves is we need absolute national control of borders. Global “governance” absolutely CANNOT be trusted. That is the real lesson.

fxk
April 16, 2020 4:32 pm

Of course. Global cooperation is the answer.
Ask Italy of the wonderful EU support they received in their time of need. I think that’s all the proof that is needed that these grand globalist organizations are really all for themselves when it comes down to tough times.
USA did it right (as right as could be done given the coverup of the Chi-Coms)

Walt
Reply to  fxk
April 16, 2020 5:32 pm

Global cooperation has different meanings for sophisticated Europeans.
It looks like the EU has responded by telling Italy to fend for itself.

cedarhill
April 16, 2020 4:39 pm

I think they’re right but they don’t have the full wish list: Build the walls – Mexico as well as Canada. Quarantine all non-US citizens when they cross the border for 4 months – minimum but only if they can pay for the quarantine, else deport them. Permanently exclude all international traveling climate activists and ban any domestic ones from using any public transportation, car, bike, donkey, horse meaning if a CA climate activist wants to attend a NYC climate event, buy a good set of hiking boots.
That’s the short list. Add any others that come to mind. Fantasy is supposed to be great therapy?

tsk tsk
April 16, 2020 4:57 pm

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51905129

Germany has become the latest country to close borders as European nations try to stem the spread of the coronavirus.

Its borders with France, Austria and Switzerland were shut on Monday, except for commercial traffic.

Spain will also close its borders later while France is considering more stringent lockdowns.

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-aims-better-control-coronavirus-responses/

EU countries have so far refused Italy’s plea for help fighting coronavirus, as national capitals worry that they may need to stockpile face masks and other medical gear to help their own citizens, officials and diplomats said.

The refusal so far to volunteer help for Italy, which requested face masks through the EU’s civil protection mechanism, highlights the urgency for Brussels as it seeks to orchestrate a coordinated response to the epidemic, and to make use of its still relatively limited powers during public health emergencies compared to the broader authority of member states.

Desperate travellers in cars and trucks are choking European borders, creating huge traffic jams as they try to get home before borders shut, or to deliver critical supplies to help nations cope with the quickly spreading coronavirus.

It came as Johns Hopkins University said the total number of confirmed cases worldwide has passed 200,000.

The Johns Hopkins Centre for Systems Science and Engineering’s online tally showed 201,436 cases, with 8,006 deaths, and 82,032 patients listed as recovered.

Trucks became stuck in 60km long traffic jam as the wait for border control on the motorway A4 near Bautzen, Germany, on Wednesday.

Now what were you saying about blindsiding allies? What were you saying about coordinated responses? Can you cite any US state that has closed its borders to this extent? Even the off ramp that is Rhode Island was only restricting traveling NYers and not trade.

No thanks on more of your WHO/UN grift. We’re full up for the next forever.

April 16, 2020 5:04 pm

Absurd comparison: Corona virus and Climate Change!

How might a single threat, even one deemed unlikely, spiral into an evolving global crisis which challenges the foundations of global security, economic stability and democratic governance, all in the matter of a few weeks?

Climate Change is going to spiral into a global crisis “in a few weeks”?!

Kate’s scholastic mentors must be AOC and Greta.