Regular WUWT contributor Willis Eschenbach always goes to data when questions and issues arise, he has been plotting the official death rate data from the Coronavirus almost daily, and will continue to do so. I’ve dedicated a permanent WUWT page to this. We will continue to add to this page as needed and as Willis makes updates.
Note that it is now a menu item in the left most section of the WUWT Menu bar, right under the header image.
Friday’s graph:
See the full page of graphs here: https://wattsupwiththat.com/daily-coronavirus-covid-19-data-graph-page/
Willis: Thank you for updating the graphs so we can see the relative changes as this progresses. With the US naturally lagged ramping of our testing / counting, the measurement of the bending of the curve will be pushed out.
The link you posted here was helpful:
See the full page of graphs here: https://wattsupwiththat.com/daily-coronavirus-covid-19-data-graph-page/
The latest bar graph that I just looked at has Iceland at the top, above one other country with low counts. It’s in the top position of most cases with a long scarlet bar. This is an error in graphing, right?
Oh, okay, I see now — it’s a percentage of the population, but, visually, this is sort of confusing.
Willis, as I watch the global economic collapse expand into North America, I’m coming to the viewpoint that you are probably correct that the current measures to contain covid are likely to be more destructive than covid itself. There already has been a staggering amount of economic destruction and more carnage is yet to come in the weeks and months ahead. The economy will continue to bleed for as long as the lock-down is kept in place. If people can’t work, they won’t get paid. If they aren’t getting paid, how will they pay for food and shelter? If people and industry are bankrupt, there will not be sufficient liquidity for the economy to restart. This situation has the potential to the worst economic calamity since the depression, if not even worse than the depression.
As of right now, here are the numbers:
Coronavirus Cases: 378,842
Deaths: 16,510
Recovered: 102,064
In other words, the only beneficial outcome from the attempt to contain the virus is ~102k of herd immunity – world wide. Compared to the global population of ~7.8 billion people, 379k people is not even a rounding error. If the world remains locked down for as long as it takes for the pandemic to burn out, we could be waiting a long time.
Only time will tell if the pandemic burns out or if it will continue to flare up until there is sufficient herd immunity to block its spread. Unless we see evidence that it will burn out, the only firewall that won’t inhibit the economy is a vaccine. Of course, the virus is mutating, so no one knows how long herd immunity will last or if a vaccine will provide lasting immunity.
New York state is in 7th place in the list of countries and it will be in 6th place by tomorrow. You should include it in your graph.
New cases way down today in the US, from about 10,100 to 2400, with vast majority in NY.
If you’re basing that on http://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/, as of right now, there have 7248 new cases and there are almost 6 hours left in the day. In the list of countries, New York State is #6.
Just to show how difficult it is to get a handle on this any analysis of the Diamond Princess must be redone. Now not 7 deaths but 10 and could be more. Worldwide deaths still increasing more than 10% a day and now 2000 plus today. Unless curbed will be 4000 in a few days and then 8000 a day etc.. This is why extreme measures applied.
Just for comparison, what would the graph look like for a regular seasonal flu?