Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #395

The Week That Was: 2020-01-18 (January 18, 2020)

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: The day we see the truth and cease to speak is the day we begin to die.” – Martin Luther King Jr.

Number of the Week: +/- 0.003⁰C

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

The Greenhouse Effect – Different Results: It appears that no one involved in climate change issues disagrees with the concept that the greenhouse effect occurs in the atmosphere. A major issue is how to best calculate it. The key component is estimating: How much humans are changing the greenhouse effect by adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere?

As readers realize, TWTW considers the finest comprehensive temperature dataset is that from the Earth System Science Center of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH). The world-wide temperature average, after all, requires data from the entire earth, not just samples scattered around from place to place on land, and even more sparsely in the oceans. Moreover, after issues with orbits were discovered, UAH now has one satellite that is rigorously kept at constant altitude to serve as a standard for the others.

These data are not perfect. The data are influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO, El Niño warming and La Niña cooling), volcanoes (cooling), and irregularities in satellite orbits, now corrected. They are published monthly for all to criticize and are independently verified by datasets obtained by observations from weather balloons, and calculations from reanalyzes of daily weather reports.

By contrast, the surface data used by global climate modelers are sparse (spotty), have vast gaps in coverage, are inconsistent, and have been manipulated after their original publication without proper explanation. These adjustments are made under the claim of homogenization.

The measured temperature trend of the atmosphere, as measured by satellite using all data from the launch of the program in December 1978 until the present, is a rise of 1.3 ºC per century. What is now known is how much of that warming is due to natural causes, and how much is due to increasing atmospheric CO2. The Transient Climate response (TCR) is the predicted (i.e., modeled) temperature rise that would occur by the time the amount of CO2 has doubled, but before the longer time required for the oceans to heat up.

In 2017, John Christy and Richard McNider published a paper demonstrating the enormous difference in calculated temperatures between

a) temperature trends observed in the atmosphere after the influences ENSO and volcanoes are removed, and

b) temperature trends of the atmosphere calculated by the climate models used by the IPCC.

On a per-decade basis, the calculated warming using atmospheric observations from January 1979 to June 2017 was +0.096 ⁰K (C) per decade, adjusted for ENSO and volcanoes, and +0.155 ⁰K (C) not adjusted for ENSO and volcanoes. Extrapolated, the adjusted result is slightly less than 1 K (C) per century, with CO2 emissions continuing to grow. Since the greenhouse effect of CO2 declines per unit as the total amount increases (diminishing returns), the expected increase in temperature from growing CO2 emissions by the end of this century is less than 1 ⁰K (C).

Based on atmospheric observations, there is little to be feared from increasing CO2 emissions. The calculated trends using climate models result in predictions of more than twice that of calculations using actual atmospheric temperature trends. In the critical tropical areas, the differences are even greater. Thus, fears of a climate crisis are not supported at all by the finest actual atmospheric observations available.

How can an atmosphere, which is warming slightly, cause a significantly greater warming of the surface, which the UN and its followers call dangerous? This is a question which the global climate modelers are trying to explain, and it will be a theme in this and several upcoming TWTWs. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and Model Issues.

[Note: The adjustments to the TCR, to achieve a so-called Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS), often result in a far greater claimed temperature response to carbon dioxide. No one has successfully identified an equilibrium climate in the earth’s existence. Thus, the concept has little meaning. The IPCC tried established an equilibrium climate for the prior one thousand years by using the infamous hockey-stick in the Summary for Policymakers of Third Assessment Report (AR-3, 2001).  But that effort failed. The climate has warmed and cooled for hundreds of millions of years and as warmed and cooled for the past 1000 years. Now, the IPCC and its supporters refer to a vague “pre-industrial climate” (starting about 1850). But a pre-industrial climate can include ice ages (such as the Cryogenian Period) or past warm periods, warmer than today, (such as the Cretaceous Period), as well as many cold and warm periods that have occurred since the end of the Pleistocene Epoch.

******************

Model Mysteries – EEI: Writing in Judith Curry’s website, Climate Etc., Frank Bosse explains the current attempts to increase the calculated CO2-induced warming to an extent that may be alarming. He brings up the concept of using calculations of the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) based on satellite observations using NASA’s Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES).

“For more than 30 years, the Science Directorate at NASA’s Langley Research Center has shaped how scientists measure Earth’s incoming and outgoing energy. The CERES Science, Data Management, Data Processing and Stewardship Teams are devoted to providing valuable Earth Radiation Budget data to the science community. The CERES experiment is one of the highest priority scientific satellite instruments developed for NASA’s Earth Observing System (EOS). The first CERES instrument was launched in December of 1997 aboard NASA’s Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM), CERES instruments are collecting observations on three separate satellite missions, including the EOS Terra and Aqua observatories, the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) observatory, and soon, the Joint Polar Satellite System, a partnership between NASA and NOAA. CERES FM6 launched on November 18, 2017 aboard NOAA-20, becoming the last in a generation of successful CERES instruments that help us to better observe and study Earth’s interconnected natural systems with long-term data records.”

https://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/

There appear to be several major issues using this approach. One issue is that the concept requires subtracting one huge number from another huge number, and uncertainties in the numbers may easily be far greater than the difference between the numbers. A second issue is that the entire dataset, from 2000 to 2018, indicates that the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) may be declining. Could the earth be cooling as CO2 emissions are increasing? Bosse discusses a paper by Dewitte, Clerbaus, and Cornelis, the abstract of which states:

Decadal changes of the Reflected Solar Radiation (RSR) as measured by CERES from 2000 to 2018 are analysed. For both polar regions, changes of the clear-sky RSR correlate well with changes of the Sea Ice Extent. In the Arctic, sea ice is clearly melting, and as a result the earth is becoming darker under clear-sky conditions. However, the correlation between the global all-sky RSR and the polar clear-sky RSR changes is low. Moreover, the RSR and the Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) changes are negatively correlated, so they partly cancel each other. The increase of the OLR is higher than the decrease of the RSR. Also, the incoming solar radiation is decreasing. As a result, over the 2000–2018 period the Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) appears to have a downward trend of −0.16 ± 0.11 W/m2dec. The EEI trend agrees with a trend of the Ocean Heat Content Time Derivative of −0.26 ± 0.06 (1 σ) W/m2dec. [Boldface added.]

This results in serious problems to efforts to claim that the Earth is heating dangerously. But the period is short, less than 20 years. Others have attempted to relate EEI with longer-term Ocean Heat Content (OHC) data, a dubious effort unless there is significant tightly overlapping data.

Furthermore, as stated above for EEI estimates, estimates of Ocean Heat Content (OHC) require subtracting one huge number from another huge number and thus the errors in the estimates of the numbers may be far greater than the difference between the numbers. In the case of OHC, the estimates are in units of Zettajoules (ZJ) – one sextillion, or ten raised to the 21st power, or the estimated total energy of estimated petroleum reserves as of 2010, or one power of 10 less than the solar energy hitting the earth’s surface each day.

Writing in GWPF, David Whitehouse critiques the entire process and units of measurements. He states about the latest paper published in 2020:

“The bottom line of this paper is that according to the authors using this relatively new technique they have of replacing no [existing] temperature [record] with synthetic data the world’s oceans (parts of them) have increased in temperature by less than 0.1 degrees C in 60 years.” [Boldface and brackets added.]

Similar to the “pause” of no temperature increase after the 1998 El Niño, a “pause” in Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) is giving climate modelers difficulty. According to Bosse, efforts by climate modelers to summarize such research is described in a paper by Femke, Nijsse, Cox, and Williamson that is available in preprint. They claim that the newest set of earth system models (ESMs), CMIP6, constrain the temporary, transient climate response (TCR) to a doubling of CO2. Yet, the modelers calculate greater equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS).

Thus, this shift in emphasis from ECS to TCR, provides a possible explanation for the “pause” in EEI. What the modelers really do is forecast / project / predict a greater, long-term response, or equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), which is unwarranted by the data, thus raising the alarm.

The modelers are developing a clever way to avoid responsibility for their irresponsible forecasts. The long term may be 1000 years. The modelers can always claim that climate equilibrium has not been reached. Thus, it is an imaginary concept.

Upcoming TWTWs will examine the transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) for a doubling of CO2 produced by four major US modeling groups: the Department of Energy (E3SM); National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR-CESM2); NASA (NASA-GISS); and NOAA (NOAA-GFDL). Although the trend is clear, the differences among them may be surprising. For further discussion and problems with models and measurement of ocean heat content, see links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and Defending the Orthodoxy.

********************

Australia Bushfires: Seasonal rains have come to Australia, prompting new fears that the needed rain will raise CO2 emissions and the burnt bush will pollute water sources. Apparently, some people need to spread fear no matter the season.

On her blog, Australian Jennifer Marohasy posts a summary of what has been occurring to temperature records in Australia. She writes:

“Blaming the recent fires on climate change is to rewrite our temperature history, something the Australian Bureau of Meteorology has been doing for some time. This has involved the:

1. [baseless] remodelling of measured values

2. addition of hotter locations to only the most recent years in the compilation of a national average trend

3. transition to electronic probes that are designed to record hotter for the same weather, and

4. deleting of the hottest day in the official record, which was January 3, 1909.”

Also, firefighters and foresters provide their views of what has occurred in government policies. The issues include the problem of fuels, measuring the intensity of fires, and ability to extinguish fires. Hot, dry, windy weather, and fuels are the mix needed for high intensity fires, which burn the humus (organic matter in the soil).

They recommend controlling the fuel in the big areas of Australia as the indigenous people did. Unfortunately, a maze of recent regulations makes bush control too difficult. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, Science, Policy, and Evidence, Changing Weather – Australia and Brushfires and Floods, and Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?

********************

Philosophical Issues: Writing in the Australian publication Quadrant, Aynsley Kellow, Professor Emeritus of Government at the University of Tasmania, discusses the lure of the apocalypse. He states that he is a recovering apocaholic. He starts his lengthy essay by quoting an 1816 letter from Thomas Jefferson to John Adams:

There are indeed (who might say Nay) gloomy & hypochondriac minds, inhabitants of diseased bodies, disgusted with the present, & despairing of the future; always counting that the worst will happen, because it may happen. To these I say How much pain have cost us the evils which have never happened!

Kellow discusses the popularity of thinking that disaster is about to happen and the IPCC’s computer-generated warming. He brings up the 1990 challenge to the IPCC by Robert Jastrow, William Nierenberg and Frederick Seitz. [The SEPP Annual Seitz Award is in honor of Frederick Seitz.] Though Kellow does not mention it, these three and SEPP Chairman emeritus Fred Singer were the subject of many insulting, unsubstantiated claims by Oreskes and Conway in “Merchants of Doubt.” A glowing review of the book was published in Science Mag., which rejected a prompt rebuttal by the only surviving member of the four, Fred Singer.

Kellow gives a brief account of what has happened since, and concludes:

“We could do no better in the face of these apocaholics than to note the response of Thomas Babington Macaulay to Thomas Malthus in 1830:

We cannot absolutely prove that those are in error who tell us that society has reached a turning point, that we have seen our best days. But so said all before us, and with just as much apparent reason … On what principle is it that, when we see nothing but improvement behind us, we are to expect nothing but deterioration before us?

Apocalypticism, sadly, is more addictive than optimism.”

In addition, Duncan McNeil has an essay on the difficulty of changing minds of people on Paul Homewood’s blog. He states:

“Homogenous groups don’t just underperform, they do so in predictable ways. When you are surrounded by similar people, you are not just likely to share each other’s blind spots, but to reinforce them. This is sometimes called ‘mirroring’. [Another way to refer to such actions is “Group Think.”]

“…And this hints at the danger of homogeneous groups: they are more likely to form judgements that combine excessive confidence with grave error.”

See links under Seeking a Common Ground.

********************

The Surge: Power Mag, which promotes wind and solar, used the January US Energy Information Administration (EIA) Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), to claim renewables will surge past coal and nuclear in powering US electrical generation by 2021. Power Mag. left out a few details about fossil fuels.

“U.S. net imports of crude oil and petroleum product fell from an average of 2.3 million b/d in 2018 to an average of 0.5 million b/d in 2019, and EIA estimates the United States has exported more total crude oil and petroleum products than it has imported since September. EIA forecasts that the United States will be a net exporter of total crude oil and petroleum products by 0.8 million b/d in 2020 and by 1.4 million b/d in 2021.”

“U.S. dry natural gas production set a new record in 2019, averaging 92.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d). EIA forecasts dry natural gas production will rise to 94.7 Bcf/d in 2020 and then decline to 94.1 Bcf/d in 2021. Production in the Appalachian region drives the forecast as it shifts from growth in 2020 to declining production in 2021.”

The real issue is: When will consumers realize they are paying far more for electrical generation capacity, either directly or in subsidies, than they need to pay because wind and solar cannot be depended upon to generate electricity when needed the most? See links under Energy Issues – US.

********************

Number of the Week: +/- 0.003⁰C Paul Homewood calculates that the: “Claimed temperature uncertainty in 2010 is +/-0.003⁰C [for Ocean Heat Content] while sea surface temperature varies about 6⁰C.” This is another example of what Duncan McNeil called “the danger of homogeneous groups: they are more likely to form judgements that combine excessive confidence with grave error.”

NEWS YOU CAN USE:

Censorship

The New Politics Of Climate Change: No Space For Deniers

By Roger Scruton, Forbes, Apr 8, 2014 [H/t GWPF]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerscruton/2014/04/08/the-new-politics-of-climate-change-no-space-for-deniers/#fb0043879111

Suppressing Scientific Inquiry

Busted: Reef fish aren’t bothered by “acidification” and James Cook Uni isn’t bothered by potential fraud.

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 11, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/busted-reef-fish-arent-bothered-by-acidification-scientific-fraud-ok-at-james-cook-uni/

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Full.pdf

Summary: http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/ccr2a/pdf/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Download with no charge:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Download with no charge:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/publications/SeaLevelRiseCCRII.pdf

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Satellite bulk tropospheric temperatures as a metric for climate sensitivity

By John Christy and Richard McNider, Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, November 2017

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13143-017-0070-z

Climate sensitivity in light of the latest energy imbalance evidence

By Frank Bosse, Climate Etc. Jan 10, 2020

https://judithcurry.com/2020/01/10/climate-sensitivity-in-light-of-the-latest-energy-imbalance-evidence/#more-25636

Link to paper on what may be used in the next generation models: An emergent constraint on Transient Climate Response from simulated historical warming in CMIP6 models

By Femke J.M.M. Nijsse, et al., Earth System Dynamics, Jan 6, 2020

https://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/esd-2019-86/esd-2019-86.pdf

New 80-Year Deep-Ocean Temperature Dataset Compared to a 1D Climate Model

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 15, 2020

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/01/new-80-year-deep-ocean-temperature-dataset-compared-to-a-1d-climate-model/

Ocean Warming: Not As Simple As Headlines Say

By David Whitehouse, GWPF, Jan 16, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.com/ocean-warming-not-as-simple-as-headlines-say/

The Ocean Warms By A Whole Little

By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 14, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/14/the-ocean-warms-by-a-whole-little/

Ocean Warming Scares

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 15, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/15/ocean-warming-scares/

“Claimed temperature uncertainty in 2010 is +/-0.003⁰C while sea surface temperature varies about 6⁰C”

See link immediately above.

Explaining the Discrepancies Between Hausfather et al. (2019) and Lewis&Curry (2018)

By Ross McKitrick, Climate Etc. Jan 17, 2020

https://judithcurry.com/2020/01/17/explaining-the-discrepancies-between-hausfather-et-al-2019-and-lewiscurry-2018/#more-25645

After the Tragic Wildfires: History is Rewritten or Forgotten

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, Jan 13, 2020

https://jennifermarohasy.com/2020/01/after-the-tragic-wildfires-history-is-rewritten-or-forgotten/

IPCC Expert’s 8 Discredited Papers

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, Jan 15, 2020

https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2020/01/15/ipcc-experts-8-discredited-papers/

Defending the Orthodoxy

Decadal Changes of the Reflected Solar Radiation and the Earth Energy Imbalance

By Dewitte, Clerbaus, and Cornelis, Remote Sensing, March 19, 2019

https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/11/6/663/htm

Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019

By Lijing Cheng, et al, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Jan 13, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-9283-7?utm_campaign=the_daily_202&utm_medium=Email&utm_source=Newsletter&wpisrc=nl_daily202&wpmm=1

Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015

By Lijing Cheng, et al, Science Advances, March 10, 2017

https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/3/e1601545

World Economic Forum: Top global risks all climate-related

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, Jan 15, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/478407-climate-change-dominates-top-five-global-risks-world-economic-forum

Link to: The Global Risks Report 2020

By Staff, World Economic Forum, In partnership with Marsh & McLennan and Zurich Insurance Group. 2020

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risk_Report_2020.pdf

[SEPP Comment: According to the World Economic Forum, the top global risks are: failure to act on environment change such as climate action failure; biodiversity loss; human-made environmental disaster; extreme weather; and natural disasters. These are a greater threat to humanity than weapons of mass destruction.? In a world where extreme poverty is falling dramatically?]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Why There is Good News Now

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Jan 14, 2020

https://ddears.com/2020/01/14/why-there-is-good-news-now/

Warmest Decade – Climate Crisis Still a No Show

By Marlo Lewis, Jr., CEI, Jan 17, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/warmest-decade-climate-crisis-still-no-show

The Case Against Climate Science

By Tony Heller, His Blog, Jan 17, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/01/the-case-against-climate-science/

The Inconvenient Facts On Australian Bushfires

By Roger Pielke, Forbes, Jan 14, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2020/01/14/the-inconvenient-facts-on-australian-bushfires/#fac44cd45944

Change in US Administrations

NEPA Reforms a Big Step toward Correcting Worst Abuses of Environmental Permitting Process

Press Release, By Myron Ebell and Ben Lieberman, CEI, Jan 9, 2020

https://cei.org/content/nepa-reforms-big-step-toward-correcting-worst-abuses-environmental-permitting-process

Improving federal environmental impact assessments

By Mario Loyola, The Hill, Jan 17, 2020 [H/t Cooler Heads]

https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/energy-environment/478732-improving-federal-environmental-impact-assessments

Environmentalists furious after Trump vows faster bureaucracy

By Chris Woodward, One News, Jan 15, 2020

https://onenewsnow.com/science-tech/2020/01/15/environmentalists-furious-after-trump-vows-faster-bureaucracy

Seeking a Common Ground

The Lure of the Apocalypse

By Aynsley Kellow, Quadrant, Jan 16, 2020

https://quadrant.org.au/magazine/2020/01/the-lure-of-the-apocalypse/

How To Change A Mind

Guest Post by Duncan McNeil, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 14, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/14/how-to-change-a-mind/

Roger Scruton: A Defender of Life on a Human Scale

By Jeffrey Folks, American Thinker, Jan 15, 2020

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/01/roger_scruton_a_defender_of_life_on_a_human_scale.html

Three Rules For Accepting Climate “Event Attribution” Studies

By Roger Pielke, Forbes, Jan 6, 2020

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rogerpielke/2020/01/06/three-rules-for-accepting-climate-event-attribution-studies/#57b0881766ee\\\

Link to follow paper: Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence

By K.A. Reed, et al., Science Advances, Jan 1, 2020

https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/6/1/eaaw9253.full

Who Checks The Factcheckers?

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 11, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/11/who-checks-the-factcheckers/

Science, Policy, and Evidence

An Inferno of Incompetence and Obfuscation

By Roger Underwood, Quadrant, Jan 17, 2020

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2020/01/an-inferno-of-incompetence-and-obfuscation/

“Roger Underwood is a former district and regional forester in Western Australia with over 60 years-experience in bushfire science, planning and operations.”

We don’t need a bushfire royal commission. We need clearly defined responsibilities to tackle them

By Robert Carling, Spectator, Australia, Jan 16, 2020

https://www.spectator.com.au/2020/01/we-dont-need-a-bushfire-royal-commission-we-need-clearly-defined-responsibilities-to-tackle-them/

Bushfires and climate change

By Don Aitkin, Reflections on Australian Society, Jan 15, 2020 [H/t Bill Balgord]

http://donaitkin.com/bushfires-and-climate-change/

Past president of Canberra University

Scientist David Packham on what’s really causing the bushfires

By Staff, Volunteer Fire Fighters Association, AU, [Oct 30, 2019?] [H/t Tony Heller]

https://volunteerfirefighters.org.au/scientist-david-packham-on-whats-really-causing-the-bushfires

Audio

“The Bush Needs to Burn”: Climate Obsessed Greens Ignoring Indigenous Wisdom

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 13, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/13/the-bush-needs-to-burn-climate-obsessed-greens-ignoring-indigenous-wisdom/

I Cheered When the Bushfire Came

By Geoff Walker, Quadrant, Jan 12, 2020

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2020/01/i-cheered-when-the-bushfire-came/

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

A One-Year Study of CO2 Enrichment and Nutrient Supply on a Seagrass Community

Campbell, J.E. and Fourqurean, J.W. 2018. Does nutrient availability regulate seagrass response to elevated CO2? Ecosystems 21: 1269-1282. Jan 16, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/jan/a6.php

“In commenting on their work, Campbell and Fourquerean write that ‘elevated CO2 modestly increased seagrass standing crop, providing evidence that carbon enrichment will likely prove beneficial to submerged plants beyond enhancements in photosynthetic output.’ Furthermore, they note that because these positive responses ‘were not influenced by NP [nitrogen and phosphorus] addition,’ it suggests that these CO2-induced benefits will occur ‘even in relatively nutrient-poor systems.’”

Elevated CO2 Increases the Essential Oil of a Medicinal Herb

Kaundal, M., Bhatt, V. and Kumar, R. 2018. Elevated CO2 and temperature effect on essential oil content and composition of Valeriana jatamansi Jones. with organic manure application in a western Himalayan region. Journal of Essential Oil Bearing Plants 21: 1041-1050. Jan 15, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/jan/a5.php

Models v. Observations

Were IPCC’s 1990 medium-term warming predictions accurate? No.

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT, Jan 17, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/17/were-ipccs-1990-medium-term-warming-predictions-accurate-no/

Model Issues

1D Model of Global SST Shows 40% of Warming Since 1979 Due to Early Volcanic Cooling

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 14, 2020

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/01/1d-model-of-global-sst-shows-40-of-warming-since-1979-due-to-early-volcanic-cooling/

Measurement Issues — Surface

Canada’s Missing Heat: Stations Across The Country Show More Cooling Than Warming

By Kirye and P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Jan 12, 2020

https://notrickszone.com/2020/01/12/canadas-missing-heat-stations-across-the-country-show-more-cooling-than-warming/

Ireland Temperatures Cooling Since 1988. And Deep Blue Vermont Says ‘No’ To Wind Power

By Kirye and P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Jan 17, 2020

https://notrickszone.com/2020/01/17/ireland-temperatures-cooling-since-1988-and-deep-blue-vermont-says-no-to-wind-power/

2019 was the second hottest year on record, per NASA and NOAA

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Jan 15, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/478410-2019-was-the-second-hottest-year-on-record-per-nasa-and-noaa

“The annual average temperature for the contiguous 48 United States was the 34th warmest on record, making it ‘warmer than average,’ according to NOAA.”

See link immediately below.

While NOAA/NASA claims 2019 as the “second warmest year ever”, other data shows 2019 cooler than 2005 for USA.

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 15, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/15/while-noaa-nasa-claims-2019-as-the-second-warmest-year-ever-other-data-shows-2019-cooler-than-2005-for-usa/

The Megacities Are Cooking

By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 18, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/16/the-cities-are-cooking/

The GWPF 2020 Temperature Prediction Competition

By Staff, GWPF, Jan 16, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.com/the-gwpf-2020-temperature-prediction-competition/

Measurement Issues — Atmosphere

Weak El Nino Conditions Help Explain Recent Global Warmth

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 13, 2020

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/01/weak-el-nino-conditions-help-explain-recent-global-warmth/

Changing Weather

Hurricanes and The AMO

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 13, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/13/hurricanes-and-the-amo/

[SEPP Comment: Suggesting an improved way to look at the data Pielke and Maue presented in their graphs.]

New Video: The February Hurricane Of 1493

By Tony Heller, Real Climate Science, Jan 15, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/01/new-video-the-february-hurricane-of-1493/

2019 Indian Monsoon — Blessing or Curse?

By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Jan 17, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/17/2019-indian-monsoon-blessing-or-curse/

Why Were the Snow Forecasts So Challenging During the Past Week?

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, Jan 18, 2020

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/01/why-were-snow-forecasts-so-challenging.html

“This has been a hard week for meteorologists, with multiple threats of cold and snow. Some aspects of the forecasts worked out, some did not. For example, Seattle Public Schools cancelled classes, but the predicted snow did not show up. I have gotten a number of emails asking: why were the snow forecasts so good last February, but not so good this time around?”

Changing Weather – Australia Brushfires and Floods

Panic now: Drought breaking rains could raise emissions! (One drought was twice as good as all those renewables!)

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 18, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/panic-now-drought-breaking-rains-could-raise-emissions-one-drought-was-twice-as-good-as-all-those-renewables/

SMH: Drought Breaking Aussie Rain is a Disaster for Climate Change

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 17, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/17/smh-drought-breaking-aussie-rain-will-increase-co2-emissions/

Climate ‘religion’ is fueling Australia’s wildfires

By Rupert Darwall, The Hill, Jan 17, 2020

https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/478769-climate-religion-is-fueling-australias-wildfires

Forgotten Fact: 1974/75 Australian Bush Fires Were More Than 9 Times Greater Than Those Of 2019/20!

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, Jan 11, 2020

https://notrickszone.com/2020/01/11/forgotten-fact-1974-75-australian-bush-fires-were-more-than-9-times-greater-than-those-of-2019-20/

[SEPP Comment: Illustrating the area burned with a map of Europe is effective.]

Changing Climate – Cultures & Civilizations

Climate Change Destroyed Assyrian Empire… without fossil fuels!

By David Middleton, WUWT, Jan 16, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/16/climate-change-destroyed-assyrian-empire-without-fossil-fuels/

Link to paper: Role of climate in the rise and fall of the Neo-Assyrian Empire

By Ashish Sinha, et al., Science Advances, Nov 13, 2019

https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/5/11/eaax6656

[SEPP Comment: One of the issues not discussed is the tremendous resilience humanity has developed to counter local famine by being able to move agriculture products using fossil fuels.]

Climate ‘science’: In vino veritas

By Alistair Crooks, Quadrant, Jan 18, 2020

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2020/01/climate-science-in-vino-veritas/

[SEPP Comment: In general, European vineyards now use North American rootstock, which are more resistant to pests and diseases imported from North America, which almost wiped out viticulture in Europe by the 1880s. Hybrid vines and Canadian rootstock tend to be hardier against freezing than European varieties used for wine a thousand years ago. It was freezing that killed vineyards in northern Europe during the Little Ice Age.]

Changing Seas

19 Papers Published In 2019 Affirm Sea Levels Were METERS Higher Than Today 4-8 Thousand Years Ago

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, Jan 16, 2020

https://notrickszone.com/2020/01/16/19-papers-published-in-2019-affirm-sea-levels-were-meters-higher-than-today-4-8-thousand-years-ago/

[SEPP Comment: One of the issues with such comparisons is plate tectonics.]

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

2019 Alaska aerial survey found the most polar bears since 2012 – dozens of fat healthy bears

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Jan 12, 2020

https://polarbearscience.com/2020/01/12/2019-alaska-aerial-survey-found-the-most-polar-bears-since-2012-dozens-of-fat-healthy-bears/

Comprehensive Data, Recent Studies In Top Journals: Antarctica Stable, Temps Falling, Ice Mass Growing!

News from Antarctica: how’s the ice?

By Kalte Sonne, (German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, Jan 14, 2020

https://notrickszone.com/2020/01/14/comprehensive-data-recent-studies-in-top-journals-antarctica-stable-temps-falling-ice-mass-growing/

Long post.

Changing Earth

Major Eruption of Taal Volcano in Philippines in Progress

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 12, 2020

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/01/major-eruption-of-taal-volcano-in-philippines-in-progress/

“The sudden eruption of Taal volcano south of Manila, Philippines began about 0630 UTC today, and the Himawari-8 satellite infrared imagery suggests that the plume might have penetrated the stratosphere, which is necessary for the volcano to have any measurable effect on global temperatures.”

Acidic Waters

Ocean acidification a big problem – but not for coral reef fish behavior

By Staff Writers, Oslo, Norway (SPX), Jan 13, 2020

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Ocean_acidification_a_big_problem___but_not_for_coral_reef_fish_behavior_999.html

Link to paper: Ocean acidification does not impair the behaviour of coral reef fishes

By Timothy D. Clark, et al., Nature, Jan 8, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1903-y

[SEPP Comment: Question whether it is a problem at all!]

Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine

James Taylor: Record Farm Yields Contradict Climate Doomsayers’ Claims

By James Taylor, Breitbart, Jan 13, 2020

https://www.breitbart.com/environment/2020/01/13/james-taylor-record-farm-yields-contradict-climate-doomsayers-claims/

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?

Australians Are Ready to Break Out of the Cycle of Climate Change Denial

Catastrophic fires make it hard for media to stick to old narratives.

By Ketan Joshi, Foreign Policy, Jan 14, 2020 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/14/news-corp-murdoch-fires-australia-ready-break-cycle-climate-change-denial/?utm_source=PostUp&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=19157&utm_term=Flashpoints%20OC&?tpcc=19157

“Ketan Joshi is a climate communications expert working on a book about Australia’s climate change story.”

[SEPP Comment: Does not mention Black Thursday, 1851, or Black Friday, 1939. A real expert on climate communications – ignore that which does not fit the storyline.]

Media reaction: Australia’s bushfires and climate change

By Multiple Authors, Carbon Brief, Jan 7, 2020

https://www.carbonbrief.org/media-reaction-australias-bushfires-and-climate-change

“The scientific consensus could not be clearer: anthropogenic warming has worsened Australia’s fire risk by extending fire seasons, increasing average temperature and drying the landscape. And yet addressing this reality by reducing emissions will offer little practical help to Australians who must gird themselves against the threat of more fires, at least not for the foreseeable future.” – The Australian

Climate change: Australia fires will be ‘normal’ in warmer world–Matt McGrath

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 15, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/15/climate-change-australia-fires-will-be-normal-in-warmer-world-matt-mcgrath/

Tasmania Is No Stranger To Devastating Fires–Despite What The Guardian Says

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 14, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/14/tasmania-is-no-stranger-to-devastating-fires-despite-what-the-guardian-says/

“This shows that it is not always a simple case of long spells of drought causing fires. In this instance, as we often see, wet weather in winter and spring can encourage vegetation growth, which just needs a few weeks of hot, dry weather to turn into very combustible fuel load.”

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

Fishy Findings: 100% Replication Failure

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, Jan 13, 2020

https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2020/01/13/fishy-findings-100-replication-failure/

“Zero out of eight. How many other James Cook [University] research papers should we be taking seriously?”

The Hotter-Drier “Climate change” myth — the rain in Australia has always been erratic, no CO2 trend

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 13, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/the-hotter-drier-climate-change-myth-the-rain-in-australia-is-the-same/

Asia’s Great Rivers: Climate crisis, pollution put billions at risk

By Liz Thomas, Hong Kong (AFP), Jan 10, 2020

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Asias_Great_Rivers_Climate_crisis_pollution_put_billions_at_risk_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Himalayas melting again, with an average elevation more than 20,000 feet (6,100 meters) https://www.britannica.com/place/Great-Himalayas.]

Say Bye Bye Trees: Climate Scientists Finally Claim We Passed a “Tipping Point”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 11, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/11/say-bye-bye-trees-climate-scientists-finally-claim-we-passed-a-tipping-point/

Communicating Better to the Public – Go Personal.

Senior Aussie Politician: “Climate deniers are like anti-vaxxers”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 18, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/16/senior-aussie-politician-climate-deniers-like-anti-vaxxers/

Billion-dollar bully ABC resorts to name calling for the nightly news

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 17, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/billion-dollar-bully-abc-resorts-to-namecalling-for-the-nightly-news/

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Propaganda

BBC Plan New Climate Change Propaganda Blitz

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 17, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/17/bbc-plan-new-climate-change-propaganda-blitz/

David Attenborough is making the same mistake as Greta Thunberg

By Ross Clark, The Spectator, Jan 17, 2020

https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2020/01/david-attenborough-is-making-the-same-mistake-as-greta-thunberg/

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Children for Propaganda

On Facebook Greta looks 16, but secretly identifies as two grown men

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 13, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/on-facebook-greta-looks-16-but-secretly-identifies-as-two-grown-men/

Expanding the Orthodoxy

UN proposal calls to protect 30 percent of Earth by 2030 as species face extinction

By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Jan 13, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/478077-un-proposal-calls-to-protect-30-percent-of-earth-by-2030-as-species

Link to plan: Zero Draft of the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework

https://www.cbd.int/doc/c/efb0/1f84/a892b98d2982a829962b6371/wg2020-02-03-en.pdf

Microsoft pledges to be ‘carbon negative’ by 2030

By Rob Lever, Washington (AFP), Jan 16, 2020

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Microsoft_pledges_to_be_carbon_negative_by_2030_999.html

[SEPP Comment: No doubt, hoping others pick up the cost of reliable electricity.]

The American Innovation and Manufacturing (AIM) Act: Myth vs. Fact

By Ben Lieberman, CEI, Jan 16, 2020

https://cei.org/content/american-innovation-and-manufacturing-aim-act-myth-vs-fact

[SEPP Comment: Exposing efforts to apply the Montreal Protocol to global warming, which would harm other US production.]

Questioning European Green

EU lays out 1 trillion-euro plan to support Green Deal

By Samuel Petrequin, AP, Jan 14, 2020

https://apnews.com/5d4db8ffda58f03f090a04c35f0a2dc8

“Johan Van Overtveldt, the head of the EU parliament’s Budget Committee, was skeptical about how the scheme set-up.

“’It carries a one-trillion euros price tag,’ he said. ‘Where the money should be coming from remains extremely unclear. We are against the recycling of promises and money. We don’t back creative bookkeeping and financial adventures.’”

UK firms buy ‘green energy’ proof from Europe but burn fossil fuel

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, Jan 13, 2020

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2020/01/13/uk-firms-buy-green-energy-proof-from-europe-but-burn-fossil-fuel/

“Most companies offering such deals merely shuffle bits of paper around, instead of actually buying renewable energy. Now we learn that some of these bits of paper come from countries like Lithuania.”

Questioning Green Elsewhere

No Meat for You!

By Jim Steele, Landscapes and Cycles, Jan 15, 2020

http://landscapesandcycles.net/no-meat-for-you.html

“There is no place for authoritarian diet control. We all experiment with our best personal diets.”

Non-Green Jobs

Rise of e-mobility in Germany puts ‘more than 400,000 jobs at risk’

By Staff, The Local, DE, Jan 13, 2020

https://www.thelocal.de/20200113/rise-of-e-mobility-in-germany-puts-400000-jobs-at-risk-electric-cars

Funding Issues

Rockefeller Fund Behind the Pay Up Climate Polluters Campaign

By Spencer Walrath, Energy in Depth, Jan 15, 2020

https://eidclimate.org/bombshell-rockefeller-family-fund-behind-the-pay-up-climate-polluters-campaign/

[SEPP Comment: Those who attempt to tar others with accepting oil money, true or not, fail to discuss these efforts by the Rockefeller Family Fund.]

The burden of proof rests on Mark Carney, and he hasn’t made his case against fossil fuels

Opinion: If any investments are likely to be stranded, it is those such as wind and solar, not fossil fuels

By John Constable, Financial Post, CAN, Jan 10, 2020

https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/the-burden-of-proof-rests-on-mark-carney-and-he-hasnt-made-his-case-against-fossil-fuels

Litigation Issues

9th Circuit Court Of Appeals Deals Brutal Blow To Teens Who Sued Trump Over Climate Change

By Chris White, Daily Caller, Jan 17, 2020 [H/t Ken Schlichte]

https://dailycaller.com/2020/01/17/donald-trump-9th-circuit-court/

Link to opinion of the panel: US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, Jan 17, 2020

http://cdn.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2020/01/17/18-36082.pdf

It’s Official: New York’s Climate Case Against ExxonMobil is Over

By Spencer Walrath, Energy in Depth, Jan 13, 2020

https://eidclimate.org/its-official-new-yorks-case-against-exxonmobil-is-over/

EPA and other Regulators on the March

EPA’s Science Blowout

By Steve Milloy, Inside Sources, Jan 14, 2020

https://www.insidesources.com/epas-science-blowout/

“The EPA’s Clean Air Act Science Advisory Board wrote to Administrator Andrew Wheeler on December 16 that the agency’s most recent assessment of the health effects of particulate matter like soot and dust (PM) in outdoor air is not comprehensive, systematic or adequate for determining that PM caused health effects.”

Energy Issues – Non-US

Dear BP: 85% Fossil Fuels (why hide it?)

By Robert Bradley Jr, Master Resource, Jan 15, 2020

https://www.masterresource.org/bp-energy-companies/bp-85-percent-fossil-fuels/

Link to: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2019

By Staff, BP, June 2019

https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2019-full-report.pdf

Europe’s energy issues leave it seriously reliant on Russia, other autocracies

By Victor Davis Hanson, New York Post, Jan 15, 2020

https://nypost.com/2020/01/15/europes-energy-issues-leave-it-seriously-reliant-on-russia-other-autocracies/

“Europe itself is naturally rich in fossil fuels. It likely has more reserves of shale gas than the United States, currently the world’s largest producer of oil and natural gas. Yet in most European countries, horizontal drilling and fracking are either illegal or mired in protests and court challenges.”

Can Singapore really transit to a post-oil economy?

By Tilak Doshi and Euston Quah, The Straits Times, Via WUWT, Jan 11, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/11/can-singapore-really-transit-to-a-post-oil-economy/

Energy Issues – Australia

After Climate Hysteria: Siemens Snubs Greta Thunberg And Will Honour Australian Coal Mine Deal

By Staff, Bloomberg, Via GWPF, Jan 13, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.com/after-climate-hysteria-siemens-snubs-greta-thunberg-and-will-honour-australian-coal-mine-deal/

Energy Issues — US

It’s Time to Protect the Grid

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Jan 17, 2020

https://ddears.com/2020/01/17/its-time-to-protect-the-grid/

Dear Daniel Yergin: We Need Alex Epstein at CERAWeek (‘this is John Galt speaking …’)

By Robert Bradley Jr. Master Resource, Jan 14, 2020

https://www.masterresource.org/yergin/yergin-epstein-ceraweek-2020/

EIA: Renewables Will Surge Past Coal, Nuclear to 22% of U.S. Power Mix in 2021

By Sonal Patel, Power Mag, Jan 16, 2020

https://www.powermag.com/eia-renewables-will-surge-to-22-of-u-s-power-mix-in-2021/

Link to EIA forecast: Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO)

By Staff, EIA, January 2020

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/pdf/steo_full.pdf

Texas Power Generation: Did Coal Get Blown Away By Wind?

By Ramanan Krishnamoorti and Ed Hirs, University of Houston, Via Forbes, Jan 13, 2020

https://www.forbes.com/sites/uhenergy/2020/01/13/texas-power-generation–did-coal-get-blown-away-by-wind/#2d612792899f

“The data for Texas’ power production over the last three years indicates that coal has instead been replaced largely through the growth of natural gas and only to a small extent due to wind.”

Report: Coal Plants Shut Down At Second Fastest Rate On Record During Trump’s Third Year In Office

By Chris White, Daily Caller, Jan 13, 2020

https://dailycaller.com/2020/01/13/donald-trump-barack-obama-coal/

[SEPP Comment: Downside of reducing regulations on hydraulic fracturing for natural gas.]

Washington’s Control of Energy

New Fuel Economy Rule Sent to OMB

Press Release, By Sam Kazman, CEI, Jan 16, 2020

https://cei.org/content/new-fuel-economy-rule-sent-omb

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

In milestone, Israel starts exporting natural gas to Egypt

Jerusalem’s and Cairo’s energy ministries issue rare joint statement announcing implementation of estimated $19.5 billion deal to pump gas from 2 massive offshore gas fields

By Toi Staff, The Times of Israel, Jan 18, 2020 [H/t Cooler Heads]

https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-milestone-israel-starts-exporting-natural-gas-to-egypt/

New assessment of gas locked in ice in European waters

Press Release, University of Southampton, Jan 15, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-01/uos-nao011520.php

Press Release: Hydrate occurrence in Europe: A review of available evidence

By Timothy A. Minshull, et al. Marine and Petroleum Geology, Jan 2020

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264817219303861

“Hydrate is particularly widespread offshore Norway and Svalbard and in the Black Sea.”

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

From Peanuts to Power: The Jimmy Carter Solar Farm

By David Middleton, WUWT, Jan 14, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/14/from-peanuts-to-power-the-jimmy-carter-solar-farm/

[SEPP Comment: To provide light at mid-day when it is needed the most?]

Wind Farms Built To Tackle Climate Change Could Be Final Nail In Coffin For Seabirds, RSPB Warns

By Staff, Daily Telegraph, Via GWPF, Jan 16, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.com/wind-farms-built-to-tackle-climate-change-could-be-final-nail-in-coffin-for-seabirds-rspb-warns/

Link to papers: The Impact of Wind Energy on Wildlife and the Environment

Edited by Benny Peiser, GWPF, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2019/07/wind-impact-1.pdf

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Shipping giants debut LNG and hydrogen vessels

By Sarah George, Edie, Jan 3, 2020

https://www.edie.net/news/6/Shipping-giants-debut-LNG-and-hydrogen-vessels/

“Multinational fuel giant Tristar has added a liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker to its international shipping fleet for the first time, in the same week that Kawasaki Heavy Industries debuted the world’s first ship capable of transporting large volumes of liquid hydrogen.”

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

SUVs Not EVs: The Electric Car Boom Hits A Snag

By Jon LeSage, Oil Price.com, Jan 13, 2020

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/SUVs-Not-EVs-The-Electric-Car-Boom-Hits-A-Snag.html

California Dreaming

California energy policies are fueling the housing crisis and homelessness

By Ronald Stein, WUWT, Jan 17, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/17/california-energy-policies-are-fueling-the-housing-crisis-and-homelessness/

Health, Energy, and Climate

Merchants of Thirst

Kip Hansen, WUWT, Jan 15, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/15/merchants-of-thirst/

Microwaving sewage waste may make it safe to use as fertilizer on crops

By Gang Chen | Professor FAMU-FSU College of Engineering, Tallahassee FL (The Conversation) Jan 15, 2020

http://www.biofueldaily.com/reports/Microwaving_sewage_waste_may_make_it_safe_to_use_as_fertilizer_on_crops_999.html

[SEPP Comment: In some areas, sewage is used on farms, to remain fallow for a year. One important issue is removing heavy metals in areas where they are prevalent.]

Toward a smarter way of recharging the aquifer

By Staff Writers, St. Louis MO (SPX) Jan 10, 2020

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Toward_a_smarter_way_of_recharging_the_aquifer_999.html

Link to paper: Dissolved Organic Matter Affects Arsenic Mobility and Iron(III) (hydr)oxide Formation: Implications for Managed Aquifer Recharge

By Xuanhao Wu, et al., Environmental Science Technology, Oct 23, 2020

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.9b04873

Ancient hominid disease defenses contribute to adaptation of modern humans

By Staff Writers, Oxford UK (SPX) Jan 15, 2020

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Infectious_disease_defenses_among_ancient_hominid_contributions_to_adaptation_of_modern_humans_999.html

Link to paper: Polygenic patterns of adaptive introgression in modern humans are mainly shaped by response to pathogens

By Alexandre Gouy and Laurent Exoffier, Molecular Biology and Evolution, Jan 14, 2020

https://academic.oup.com/mbe/advance-article/doi/10.1093/molbev/msz306/5682429

Oh Mann!

Michael Mann Beclowns Himself with Aussie Climate Refugee Prediction

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 16, 2020

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/16/michael-mann-beclowns-himself-with-aussie-climate-refugee-prediction/

Environmental Industry

Police Put Greenpeace On Extremist List With Neo-Nazis

By Fariha Karim, The Times, Via GWPF, Jan 17, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.com/police-put-greenpeace-on-extremist-list-with-neo-nazis/

“The unit said that the document was only intended to be a helpful guide for officers on the beat to identify various groups during their day-to-day activities, adding that it explicitly states that not all of the groups mentioned are terrorist or even criminal organisations.”

Other Scientific News

Satellite constellations harvest energy for near-total global coverage

By Staff Writers, Ithaca NY (SPX), Jan 13, 2020

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Satellite_constellations_harvest_energy_for_near_total_global_coverage_999.html

Link to paper: Low cost satellite constellations for nearly continuous global coverage

By Lake A. Singh, et al., Nature Communications, Jan 10, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-13865-0

Other News that May Be of Interest

Educational ‘equity’ consultant advocates burning ‘most books used in schools’

By Dave Huber, The College fix, Jan 11, 2020 [H/t GWPF]

https://www.thecollegefix.com/educational-equity-consultant-advocates-burning-most-books-used-in-schools/

Recommendation: “Stop using white history, white mathematics, and white science as the foundation.”

China birth rate hits lowest level since 1949

By Staff Writers, Beijing (AFP), Jan 17, 2020

http://www.sinodaily.com/reports/China_birth_rate_hits_lowest_level_since_1949_999.html

Fertility Rate Hits All-Time Low, But U.S. On Track For 400 Million In 2050s

By Alex Berezow, ACSH, Jan 9, 2020

https://www.acsh.org/news/2020/01/09/fertility-rate-hits-all-time-low-us-track-400-million-2050s-14497

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

What’s a Climate Scientist to Wear During Awards Season?

By Marie Denoia Aronsohn, State of the Planet, Earth Institute, Columbia University Jan 10, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

https://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2020/01/10/climate-scientist-awards-fashion/

“Davi, along with Lamont polar pioneer and AGU president Robin Bell, celebrated paleoclimatologist Maureen Raymo, and Lamont research professor Rosanne D’Arrigo showed off their custom-designed, science-themed outfits at the AGU Honors Banquet on December 11, 2019, in San Francisco.”

[SEPP Comment: Under its new leadership, AGU has become a leader in fashion rather than in science supported by hard evidence!]

Can solar geoengineering mitigate both climate change and income inequality?

Press Release, University of California – San Diego, Jan 13, 2020 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-01/uoc–csg010820.php

Climate econometric models indicate solar geoengineering would reduce inter-country income inequality

By Anthony Harding, Nature Communications, Jan 13, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-13957-x

Potential economic benefits of reversing rising temperatures would benefit developing countries greatly, representing a global GDP growth of 200%

Quick Dick McDick explains to Protestors the secret of Vegan Margarine …

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 12, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/01/quick-dick-mcdick-explains-to-protestors-the-secret-of-vegan-margarine/

ARTICLES

1. ‘Cancel Culture’ Comes to Science

A scholar with an agenda targets as ‘dangerous’ our conference on filtering out faulty research.

By Peter W. Wood, WSJ, Jan 12, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/cancel-culture-comes-to-science-11578867753?mod=opinion_major_pos4

TWTW Summary: The president of the National Association of Scholars states:

“An unhappy side effect of the digital age is ‘cancel culture.’ Anyone with an attitude of moral superiority and a Twitter account can try to shut down an event where opinions he dislikes are likely to be spoken. For several years the National Association of Scholars has inveighed against this infantile form of protest, which undermines free expression of ideas and legitimate debate. Now the cancel caravan has arrived at our door.

“We are holding a conference co-sponsored by the Independent Institute in Oakland, Calif., in early February. It is meant to be an exchange among scholars on the problem of ‘irreproducibility’ in the sciences—fake science or failed science, or something-is-missing science. It’s a big problem these days, but there’s no agreement on what to do about it. Our goal is [to] bring together experts who have diverse and often conflicting views to see if they can come to some agreement about how to improve the situation. The conference is titled Fixing Science: Practical Solutions for the Irreproducibility Crisis.

“But one scientist, armed with a keyboard and contempt for contrary opinions, has set out to cancel our conference. Leonid Teytelman has busied himself writing to the speakers at the event to warn them away. And he has found fellow censors who agree the conference is ‘problematic.’ Our critic calls us ‘clever and dangerous.’

“How so? Once a Twitterstorm starts, the reasons multiply. Our list of speakers includes no women. (All declined our invitations.) Our initials share three letters with the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine, or Nasem, therefore we are ‘deceptive.’ Wikipedia describes us as a ‘conservative’ organization. We are also accused of ‘climate denialism,’ and of having invited some climate-change skeptics to speak.

“The truth is that we are a traditionalist group of scholars who hold to a rigorous standard of open-mindedness on controversial issues in the sciences. We welcome critiques from anyone who agrees to play by the rules of rational argument, openness and scrupulous use of evidence. That’s clever, I suppose, but dangerous only to those who balk at giving the ‘other side’ a voice. Our Twittering critic sees our conference as a sneaky way to legitimate views that he regards as akin to blasphemy—ironic for a man accusing us of politicizing science.”

The article states that thus far the conference will take place, and concludes stating the main issue:

“Our conference in Oakland—the Twitterstorm notwithstanding—deals with the difficulty the sciences have in recognizing and filtering out faulty research. The effort to cancel it demonstrates the timeliness of the topic. We are under attack by those who would like to maintain groupthink by demonizing dissent and go still further by compromising science in favor of identity politics.”

Advertisements

13 thoughts on “Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #395

  1. “What is now known is how much of that warming is due to natural causes, and how much is due to increasing atmospheric CO2.”

    Great, that’s settled then, (all and immeasurably small I guess).

  2. Sorry to be pedantic but there’s no such thing as degrees Kelvin, the SI unit of temperature is Kelvin, where 1 K corresponds to 1 degree Celsius. To some extent using Kelvin to represent a temperature change at normal Earth temperatures is inappropriate unless those temperatures are themselves expressed in Kelvin.

  3. Very misleading assumptions + discussion in

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/01/03/earths-ice-ages/

    e.g.

    “Ed Bo January 3, 2020 at 6:07 pm
    So exactly how does the “mass of the atmosphere matter[] a lot”?

    The static pressure from the weight of the atmosphere (mass in a gravitational field) cannot transfer ANY energy to the surface, because it is not actually moving the surface downward. (Energy transfer is the force multiplied by the distance over which the force acts, and here the distance is zero.)”

    ____________________________________

    1. the “unsolved” problem of atmosphere’a weight influence of atmosphere’s energy balance sheet IS solved – 24 hours a day on the night side of the planet the atmosphere is compressed and loses energy to outerspace; 24 hours a day on the day side of the planet the atmosphere relaxes and gains energy from outers pace.

    2. Sun’s most variable influence on Earth is not solar rays; cosmic rays too aren’t the problem – because of Earth’s magnetic fields.

    3. Milankovich cycles at a whole don’t really impress Earth’s atmosphere or oceans over a distance of 8 light minutes = 1 Astronomical Unit. What’s really making a difference is:

    The inclination of the axis of the earth to the ecliptic of 23 degrees and the orbiting of the earth around the sun are the causes of the sun’s rays impinging sometimes more on the northern hemisphere, sometimes more on the southern hemisphere.

    Resulting in seasons + day-times warming, night-times cooling.

  4. Nothing new with

    “The Guardian: Termination Threat for Employees who Criticise Amazon’s Climate Policy

    Eric Worrall / January 3, 2020

    Guest essay by Eric Worrall

    According to the Guardian, Amazon has threatened to fire employees who publicly call for Amazon to do more about climate change.”

    ____________________________________

    – employees having problems with their employer 1.st have to address – their employer, on whatever way.

    – employees who damage the reputation of the company, for example through sexual harassment https://www.google.com/search?q=sexual+harassment+in+the+workplace&oq=sexual+haressment+&aqs=chrome.

    must expect prompt dismissal + live long compensation claims – other the company + remaining employees are damaged lasting.

  5. These data are not perfect. The data are influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO, El Niño warming and La Niña cooling), volcanoes (cooling) …

    The data is the data. Those phenomena influence the global temperature. The El Nino Southern Oscillation is an integral part of the climate system. It is not an imperfection. Volcanoes upset the climate but what happens, happens. The global temperature average is just a report of what happened to the climate.

  6. It is fascinating just how many things we can now measure, most of it useless or meaningless. Has anyone calculated the amount of fecal matter expelled by both humans and animals on the planet? I would be far more concerned about that and it’s pollution of water supplies than any other thing we are measuring.

  7. [Mod]

    What is now known is how much of that warming is due to natural causes, and how much is due to increasing atmospheric CO2.

    shouldn’t that be “not known”?

  8. … Though Kellow does not mention it, these three and SEPP Chairman emeritus Fred Singer were the subject of many insulting, unsubstantiated claims by Oreskes and Conway in “Merchants of Doubt.”…

    In January of 1980, or perhaps its was 1981, Fred Singer came to the University of Utah and gave a lecture about future usage of fossil fuels. His thesis was that the imported automobile was causing a huge change in the way people consume fossil fuels, and this would translate into flatlining consumption of products like gasoline for the next 20 years or so. The talk was given poor reviews, of course.

    However throughout the 1970s we had been subjected to the most alarming projections of future use of fossil fuels imaginable. Singer’s thinking was genuinely out of the envelop and turn out to be correct. In a 1972 Congressional hearing Duane Chapman of Columbia University praised a projection of 1970 electric energy consumption that had been made in 1960. But Singer’s projection is far more impressive for being correct for nearly two decades.

  9. “The bottom line of this paper is that according to the authors using this relatively new technique they have of replacing no [existing] temperature [record] with synthetic data the world’s oceans (parts of them) have increased in temperature by less than 0.1 degrees C in 60 years.” [Boldface and brackets added.]

    Trumpeting the 3 Hiroshima bombs a second as ABC did a week ago is just so much more alarming than 0.1 degrees in 60 years. Like the opposite of truth. But OHC raises so many unanswered questions. The key point is that they are unanswered and a scientific basis for therefore doing nothing.

  10. ” It appears that no one involved in climate change issues disagrees with the concept that the greenhouse effect occurs in the atmosphere.”
    This is an incorrect generalization. See ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XfRBr7PEawY ) and discuss it with Dr. Soon or the Connoly’s. If they are correct in their extensive analysis of the balloon data, the atmosphere acts as an ideal gas and the CO2 concentration does not effect temperature even though more will absorb more radiation there will be more reradiated at the same time for no net heating.

Comments are closed.