American Psychological Association: Climate Skeptics Can be Convinced to Believe in Science

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

From the “if you don’t believe in climate science how can you believe in medicine?” department; According to an American Psychological Association press release, climate skeptics are more likely to believe climate claims if they are first reminded of fields of science which they trust.

Climate Change Conversations Can Be Difficult for Both Skeptics, Environmentalists

Reinforcing trust in science, focusing on perseverance may shift views, inspire action, according to studies

CHICAGO — Having productive conversations about climate change isn’t only challenging when dealing with skeptics, it can also be difficult for environmentalists, according to two studies presented at the annual convention of the American Psychological Association.

The first of the studies found that reinforcing belief and trust in science may be a strategy to help shift the views of climate change skeptics and make them more open to the facts being presented by the other side.  

“Within the United States, bipartisan progress on climate change has essentially come to a standstill because many conservatives doubt the findings of climate science and many liberals cannot fathom that any rational human can doubt the scientific consensus on the issue,” said Carly D. Robinson, MEd, of Harvard University, who presented the research. “These opposing perspectives do not create a starting point for productive conversations to help our country address climate change. Our goal was to find an intervention that might change the current situation.” 

Though previous research has shown that social pressure to disbelieve in climate change stems from the political right and that conservatives’ trust in science has eroded, Robinson and her colleagues theorized that most people would find at least some branches of science credible. Leveraging those beliefs could lead climate skeptics to shift their views, they said.

“When people are faced with two or more opposing beliefs, ideas and values, it tends to create discomfort, which can lead people to becoming more open-minded about a particular issue,” said Christine Vriesema, PhD, of the University of California, Santa Barbara and a co-author of the study.

The researchers surveyed nearly 700 participants from the U.S. Half were given surveys about their belief in science (e.g., “How credible is the medical data that germs are a primary cause of disease?” and “How certain are you that physicists’ theory of gravity accurately explains why objects fall when dropped?”) and their belief in climate science (e.g., “How credible is the climate science data that ocean temperatures are rising?” and “How certain are you that global warming explains many of the new weather patterns we are seeing today?”). The other half was only surveyed about their belief in climate science. All participants reported if they considered themselves politically liberal, moderate or conservative.

“As we predicted in our pre-registration, conservatives reported a greater belief in climate science if they were asked questions first about their belief in other areas of science,” said Robinson. “For climate skeptics, it likely became awkward to report on our survey that they believed in science while at the same time, denying the findings of climate science. That dissonance led many to adjust their beliefs to show greater support for the existence of climate change.” 

The findings showed that beliefs in climate science are malleable and not fixed, said Robinson. 

“We were pleasantly surprised that a brief, two-minute survey changed skeptics’ views on climate change,” said Robinson. “It is exciting to know that in real-world settings, we might be able to have more productive climate conversations by starting from a place of common belief.”
The second study showed that igniting a sense of resilience and perseverance can increase action and engagement around climate change for people who work in aquariums, national parks and zoos.

“Many educators working at these institutions reported wanting to talk about climate change and visitors reported wanting to hear about it, yet many educators still felt uncomfortable bringing the topic into their conversations because they were worried about being able to communicate effectively,” said Nathaniel Geiger, PhD, of Indiana University who presented the research.

The study included 203 science educators from zoos, aquariums and national parks who were part of a yearlong communication training program from the National Network of Ocean and Climate Change Interpretation designed to build participants’ confidence in talking about climate change. The training consisted of study groups, group assignments, readings, discussions and weekend retreats. During the last six months of the program, participants worked to integrate what they had learned into their jobs.

Survey data were collected one month before and one month after the training program and again six to nine months later.

Geiger and his colleagues examined two components of hopeful thinking to see which one might lead to the success of the training program: agency (e.g., enthusiasm, a sense of determination) and pathways (e.g., resilience and perseverance strategies) and how those influenced participants’ reports of engagement about climate change. 

Participants rated their “agency thinking” (e.g., “I energetically do all I can do to discuss climate change” and “I anticipate that efforts to discuss climate change will be pretty successful”) and their “pathways thinking” (e.g., “I can think of many ways to discuss climate change”) in each survey. The science educators also reported the frequency with which they discussed climate change with the general public and visitors to their institutions, ranging from never to daily. 

Geiger and his team found that pathways thinking was more successful at inspiring conversations about climate change than agency.  

“Our findings suggested that portions of the training that taught how to persevere and be resilient in the face of difficult climate change conversations may have been the most effective at promoting discussion,” Geiger said. 

The training program also increased the frequency with which the science educators spoke about climate change with visitors, from less than once per month prior to the training to more than two or three times per month afterward, he said. 

“We found it uplifting that the training program showed such a robust effect at promoting these difficult discussions,” said Geiger. “We believe that climate change advocates and educators will find this work helpful toward meeting their goal of crafting more effective training programs to boost climate change engagement.”  

Session 3169: “Leveraging Cognitive Consistency to Nudge Conservative Climate Change Beliefs,” Saturday, Aug. 10, 4 p.m. CDT, Room 176c, Level One-West Building, McCormick Place Convention Center, 2301 S. King Drive, Chicago.Session 3127: “Hope-Based Interventions and Climate Change Engagement,” Saturday, Aug. 10, 11 a.m. CDT, Room W186b, Level One-West Building, McCormick Place Convention Center, 2301 S. King Drive, Chicago.

Presentations are available from the APA Public Affairs Office.
Carly D. Robinson, MEd, can be contacted via email and Nathaniel Geiger, PhD, can be contacted via email.

Read more: https://www.apa.org/news/press/releases/2019/08/climate-change

Makes you wonder what Dr. Robinson and Dr. Geiger were doing on the day their lecturer discussed the concept of false equivalence.

Suggesting all science and scientific research is equally trustworthy is absurd. Suggesting you can blindly accept the word of climate scientists because scientists in other fields produce good work is more absurd.

Even the claims of comparatively trustworthy scientific fields like medical research and physics should not be blindly accepted without question; they both have their share of problems.

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August 12, 2019 9:42 am

““Within the United States, bipartisan progress on climate change has essentially come to a standstill because many conservatives doubt the findings of climate science and many liberals cannot fathom that any rational human can doubt the scientific consensus on the issue,” said Carly D. Robinson, MEd, of Harvard University”

“MEd”?
MEd is an abbreviation for “Master of Education”>/b>

Now there is a surprise…
An educator with a minimum of understanding claims to be able to convince sceptics by “asking questions”.

One would think Psychologists would understand that when pressured by teachers with religious attitudes, people would not be comfortable and would minimize confrontations.

“many liberals cannot fathom that any rational human can doubt the scientific consensus on the issue”; of which Carly D. Robinson is clearly a member.
teach the topic and encourage conversation while emphasizing authority and consensus…

Soft science prevails when liberal teachers are truly mental.

David Hartley
August 12, 2019 9:46 am

Stalinism at it’s finest.

Robert Kral
August 12, 2019 9:50 am

They keep using that word “facts”. I don’t think it means what they think it means.

Barbara
August 12, 2019 10:21 am

I honestly wish everyone would stop conflating climate change with liberal politics. I understand that it is a cause of the left; however, the facts and the science are politically neutral. I am a liberal democrat, and highly skeptical of the catastrophic climate change narrative on many fronts, all relating to the underlying science. I am a physicist, so I have some bona fides when it comes to questioning the science. I am not an expert in any of the relevant specialties, but adequately versed in the fundamentals to know there is much we do not know about natural variability, climate feedback mechanisms, and other important aspects.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  Barbara
August 14, 2019 10:43 am

Obviously, and unfortunately, you are a tiny minority of those with your “party” affiliation, and your “party” can’t seem to field a single candidate who has the slightest sense of reason on this subject. It is therefore difficult at best not to conflate climate change with liberal politics.

MJB
August 12, 2019 10:21 am

It would be interesting to do a mirror image study where you took surveyed participants certainty of AGW, provide them information regarding medical “truths”, that have been reversed by science (dietary cholesterol correlates with blood serum cholesterol, stress causes ulcers, any amount of salt is bad for you, etc.) and see if their AGW certainty changes.

August 12, 2019 10:29 am

Eric Worrall
In 26 September 2015 New Scientist ran an article ‘Morality 2.0’ ” Can we hack our outdated psychology to save the world”.
It talked about various ways to bring about change of thinking in people,with suspect morals such as ‘climate skeptics’ such as shaming but also this on page 39 there is this:
“…philosophers Ingmar Persson of the University of Gothenburg in Sweden and Julian Savulescu of the University of Oxford argue that our moral brains are so compromised that the only way we can avoid catastrophe is to enhance them through biomedical means”
“In the past few years, researchers have shown it might be possible to alter moral thinking with drugs and brain stimulation”.

Obviously the individuals here and the APA have not read Hans Rosling’s ‘Factfullnes’ and how our knowledge and morality has reduced deaths from natural causes and improved the lives of billions even while the human population grows.

D Anderson
August 12, 2019 10:36 am

Give the liberals a survey asking them if they were aware of the controversies in climate science.

Like “Did you know much of the raw temperature data has been altered without explanation?

Then see if they more skeptical.

What do Liberal and Conservative have to do with science anyway?

Jim Whelan
Reply to  D Anderson
August 12, 2019 12:13 pm

“What do Liberal and Conservative have to do with science anyway?”

The left (“liberal” is the wrong word here) has seized upon climate change (not science but made to seem like science) as a means of reaching their global, government control goals.

Reply to  D Anderson
August 13, 2019 6:23 am

Present them with this fact: July 2019 was supposedly the hottest month ever recorded. I wandered over to the NOAA GHCN data sets and updated my database with the daily TMAX, TMIN, and TAVG for the GSN data set. NOAA identifies the GSN as “The GCOS Surface Network (GSN) is a global network of over 1000 stations selected from the network of many thousands of existing meteorological stations. The GSN is intended to comprise the best possible set of land stations with a spacing of 2.5 to 5 degrees of latitude, thereby allowing coarse-mesh horizontal analyses for some basic parameters (primarily Temperature and Precipitation).”

So a pretty good data set, amirite? I wrote a PL/SQL block for my database to calculate the warmest July averages of both TMAX and TAVG for each of the 991 stations in the data set.

Forty-two out of 991 stations listed the July 2019 TAVG monthly average as its warmest ever. None of the stations in France did — the best July 2019 did was 2nd place at two stations, and one of the stations had it way down around 8th place.

Fifty-two stations showed the July 2019 TMAX average as the warmest ever. Fifty-two out of 991; that’s 5% of the stations. I have to look at the data some more, to see how much manipulation is required to have 5% of the world’s stations push the average up to the #1 spot.

Matthew R Marler
August 12, 2019 10:39 am

Climate Skeptics Can be Convinced to Believe in Science

What about enthusiasts and fanatics for reducing anthropogenic CO2? Can they be convinced to believe in science?

Nephre
August 12, 2019 10:58 am

I hope it was noted that the APA apparently doesn’t mind being affiliated with the Stalinist practice of presuming insanity at the questioning of political opinions. The also seem quite confident that people trust “medical science” (most assuredly a stinging oxymoron). So called “medical science” is of course completely co-opted by the poor studies conducted by major pharmaceutical concerns which literally _govern_ those truths that the public is permitted to hear, along with the medical treatments permitted to be offered by physicians. The AMA, hand-maiden to these pharmaceuticals orchestrates all truth and in para-military fashion provides doctors with the treatment regimens that they may offer. Their “studies” are often flawed to the bone (no pun intended), featuring: non-statistically representative populations (insufficient sample sizes), among other critical study flaws. Alongside this total corruption of scientific values, they maintain a bevvy of marketeers who search for “anti” information on the Internet and immediately counter it with their own “truth” – which is only “truth” in the Orwellian sense. Thus here we are – welcome to the USSR.

ScienceABC123
August 12, 2019 11:18 am

I’m sorry but to date I haven’t met any climate change proponent that was interested in convincing me (a skeptic) to their point of view. Instead they expect me to believe them without question.

u.k.(us)
August 12, 2019 11:23 am

Are crystal balls really made of crystals ??

Svend Ferdinandsen
August 12, 2019 11:43 am

Who says they dont believe in science. To be sceptical of climate science is a good sign, that they believe in science.

Mickey Reno
August 12, 2019 12:02 pm

I highly suspect every single utterance that’s coming out of all the social sciences and much of so-called medical science, these days. You know how to fix it, APA. Make non-vague predictions that can be tested. Then test. Then accept when things are falsified by tests. Then wait for replication by the thousands, and study patient populations with double blind tests, control populations, the whole nine yards. Any person demanding that I be alarmed by some dicey statistical variation in a noisy stream of data ought to just save their wrists from carpal tunnel syndrome and spare me their tendentious bullshit.

knr
August 12, 2019 12:16 pm

Oddly Psychology , unlike climate ‘science ‘ , accepts the idea of critical review and understand that consensus alone does not offer validity . Its seems these authors have forgotten their own basic training . Although if they are chasing the ‘climate doom’ funding trail , it is the right action to take .

Jones
August 12, 2019 12:44 pm

Kurt in Switzerland
August 12, 2019 12:47 pm

What kind of serious paper starts with the phrase, “Climate change conversations can be difficult…?”

What reason is there to read on?

AGW is not Science
August 12, 2019 12:58 pm

I believe the “scientific method” is a good method of understanding the world around us.

But since the “climate crisis” bullshit has nothing to do with the scientific method, I will never “believe in” what laughingly passes for the “climate science” of which these psychobabble propaganda merchants are speaking.

sendergreen
August 12, 2019 1:04 pm

How did the old Soviet Union deal with skeptics that would have been too inconvenient to kill?

They sent them to insane asylums.

When it is my time, I’ll have both my jacket, and my Macallan …. straight.

Editor
Reply to  sendergreen
August 12, 2019 1:15 pm

or work camps in Siberia

August 12, 2019 1:27 pm

That serial killer, child molester is a master chef.

For your young daughter’s birthday, therefore, you should hire him to prepare the celebratory meal.

After all, any master chef represents the standard for ALL master chefs, right?

And if you don’t believe that the serial killer, child molester master chef is the man for the job, then you must not believe that any master chef is right for the job. Serial killer child molester master chefs are like any other master chef, right? So, submit to their expertise, you deniers!

sendergreen
August 12, 2019 1:41 pm

Could we agree to exempt rhe illustrious Dr. Jordan Peterson from the plethora of insults rightly hurled at the Psychologists ?

August 12, 2019 2:04 pm

Climate Alarmism and Global Warming are a religion and have almost nothing to do with Science. There s nothing scientific about Climate Alarmism and Global Warming.

Prjindigo
August 12, 2019 2:09 pm

“believe” in science?

Since when did science require *belief*?

observa
Reply to  Prjindigo
August 14, 2019 3:42 am

Stalin, Pol Pot, Kim Jong Un…..? Whatever their Fearless Leader says it is I suppose if I know leftys. Still you can’t blame them for the Groupthink and toeing the Party line under the circumstances as individual thought and questioning is a very bad career move.

Olen
August 12, 2019 2:14 pm

Al Gore said we know the oceans are rising and there is nothing we can do about it but if we don’t do something soon the oceans will rise more. Not a direct quote but close from what I got. Maybe Gore has been convinced by a psychiatrist or his pocket book.

DocSiders
August 12, 2019 2:41 pm

Unfathomable ignorance coupled with incredible arrogance describes the average liberal academician today.

Held in high regard only by other like minded ivory tower bigots. Just a big circle of government funded clowns…slapping each other’s backs.

Academia has become an effective and lucrative form of organized crime. Join us and we’ll hand you a pile of (other people’s) money. Resist, and we’ll (attempt to) ruin you.

JEHill
August 12, 2019 2:45 pm

So that the APA is aware.

If the APA were to show me the actual mathematical equations or system of equations with which we have both observational and empirical evidence and the GCM models were to match what the atmosphere is doing or has done that would go a long way. However, it would not be enough by itself as it would only be a single data point in the grand scheme.

Let me also correct the APA’s base supposition: the physical universe does not require my belief nor would my belief change the physical universe to my thought processes. Belief or believing is not a scientific process. If you math to both qualify and quantify belief and believing I might be persuaded to at least read that paper.

F=ma –> does not require belief
j*=σT^4 –> does not require belief

Asking, “Do you believe in Climate Change?”, is NOT a scientific question. It is anti-scientific; has a preconceived bias of thought that climate should not change through any means. Even worse they are asking this about a planet that is still both geologically and biologically active. Of course the climate changes. Full stop. Period. No Belief required. Now show me a place on planet Earth where the climate has actually changed and is this change global or local. Ask me a rigorously constructed scientifically disciplined interrogatory so we can have an honest discussion. I can tell you honestly that your intentions to manipulate me will fail.

Most medical and, I will throw in nutritional, science is just as borked as climate science. The reasons are the same. We have to use either proxies, analogs, approximations, thought experiments or worse models. For examples, I give you bomb calorimeters and the BMI charts. The charts are mostly still based on the work done in the 1830’s and 1840’s for a version human beings that may not even currently exist on the planet.

I do not trust the analytical platforms from which the data is collected, I do not trust the validation and maintenance protocols of said instruments, do not trust the statistical processing and treatment of the data, I do not trust that the operators of the platforms have been certified validated training and not adding bias. Even if the data has a modicum of trustworthiness they are at best “about numbers” with dubious actionable scientific value. Now who I am say these things. I have FDA GMP, GLP instrument and method validation training. I have been an operator, analyst and, service engineer/technician for nearly every known analytical platform for more then 25 years. Analytical instruments that the human species uses to understand our world and universe. I have designed and implemented a number of LIMS and MES over the years.

Furthermore, where does all the energy from a hurricane originated(rhetorical)? Very little, if any, of it has to do with humans.
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D7.html

Given this how much/used electricity(thermal) our species makes in a year versus a thermal output a day for a hurricane.

Fairly current eia.gov information.
https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/data/browser/#/?pa=004000001000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000fu&c=4100000002000060000000000000g000200000000000000001&vs=INTL.44-1-AFRC-QBTU.A&vo=0&v=H&start=1980&end=2016

And again some of these data are “about data” and a thought experience and purely a mathematical model. However, the amount energy stored in the oceans, beamed in from the sun makes ours like less than a drop of water.

And to the APA — I am skeptic for specific scientific, methodological and, data collection and data reduction reasons. And not for the preconceived and idiotic notations of this paper.

None of the above means we should not think on things, not be better stewards, and strive to construct more harmonious technology. We can and have cause local environmental damage. To our credit we have recognized this and have implemented remediation plans. Being a skeptic is not mutually exclusive for caring about the environment or being a conservationist.

Being a skeptic is about protecting humanity’s freedoms and to ensure a high standard of living to every human being on the planet.