From the “Where we’re going, we don’t need data!” department comes this absolute corruption of science. It’s so bad, it’s actually funny. Josh sure thinks so.
First the trigger, from the bought and paid for mouthpiece known as Inside Climate News:
Excerpt:
The United Nations panel of climate science experts mentioned it in a 2013 report, scientists have published more than 200 papers analyzing it, and climate deniers said it was proof that climate change didn’t exist, but in reality the global warming “pause” or “hiatus” never occurred.
That is the conclusion of a pair of studies, published Tuesday in the scientific journal Environmental Research Letters, based on statistical reassessments of a recent 10-year period that appeared at the time to evince a flattened warming curve.
Of course, they only cite NASA GISS, and as we all know GISS runs hot, because it’s run by activists, not scientists. James Hansen was regularly arrested for protests, Gavin Schmidt isn’t honest enough to even address the issue and runs from his opponents, Stafan Rahmstorf is on a self-love ego trip, and Michael Mann, well there just aren’t enough words (but there is a book). These people are the central part of “the hockey team” at RealClimate that in my opinion, has forever corrupted climate science.
Here’s a couple of other data sources that AREN’T NASA GISS, spot the hiatus.
Of course, if you want to believe that NASA GISS data, produced by the same self-centered activist people that embrace satellite data for sea-ice analysis, but reject it for temperature because it doesn’t match the models “best guesses”, you go right ahead.
Wishing and sophistry doesn’t make inconvenient things go away, but it is entertaining.
Added: if you want a bigger laugh, have a look at climate science’s Top Ten Reasons for The Pause that now, never existed.
Then there’s this:
https://twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1075464184727400448
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And the suspects?
Just the usual:
Stephan Lewandowsky
Michael E Mann
Naomi Oreskes… etc
My favorite equation. This is my Cosmological Equation:
a = C1 – G m/(L R^2) – (C2/L) R = 0
Where: a is cosmic acceleration, C1 and C2 are constants, G is gravitational constant, m is mass of ordinary matter in the universe, L is Lorentz factor, R is radius of universe. The fundamental theorem of algebra states that any n-degree polynomial has n roots. My Cosmological Equation has two roots of polynomial. The first root is the radius when the universe collapses into a black hole. The second root is the radius when gravity overcomes dark energy and acceleration of space expansion reverses into deceleration.
This is from my Dark Force theory. It’s inevitable. The universe will collapse into a black hole. It will be one of the most important equations in physics. Hopefully before our universe collapses into a black hole :-0
Could someone define what the pause actually is or was, please? How is a pause defined in terms of temperature trend per decade and over what duration?
In other words, when did the pause start and end (if it has ended) and what defined it as a pause?
No one seems to have done this so far.
Thanks.
However it’s defined the reason it occured is illustrated in the graph linked below
Vis the blue spikes between ’98 and ’15.
The longest sequence on Ninas since the 60’s and 70’s.
https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/elnino/decadal/pdo_month.html
Sorry, the comment below was meant as an answer to this.
On another point, odd that the longest sequence of La Ninas since the 60’s and 70’s coincided with a period of statistically significant warming according to GISS, NOAA and BEST.
If we’re going for 1998-2015 then the surface data sets all show warming, statistically significant in GISS, NOAA and Best and just short of statistical significance in HadCRUT4.
In the satellite TLT data sets 1998-2015 one (UAH) shows very slight cooling and the other (RSS) shows slight warming.
Are we saying that the pause was 1998-2015, but only if you look at TLT and then only if you select one of the two data providers?
“then only if you select one of the two data providers”
And select the right version. UAH’s version of the time – v5.6 – gave a trend over the period of 0.62°C/century – comparable warming to surface. Of course, RSS then had V3.3, Lord Monckton’s then favorite. It showed cooling.
What’s happening here is obvious: Earth’s 500-year Little Ice Age (LIA), which commenced in AD 1350 with the Kambalny strato-volcano eruption in Kamchatka and ended c. 1850/1890, induced a 140-year “amplitude compression” rebound in alternating 50-40-30-20 year warm-cool phases through AD 2030.
From the 40-year chill phase lasting AD 1940 – ’79, over twenty years deviant AGW catastrophists spuriously extrapolated the ensuing warming period to 1998, whereupon 30-year temperatures topped out through 2009 preliminary to a final 20-year chill from 2010 – 2029.
As of September 2018, this so-called “pause” (which in fact lasted but ten years, through c. 1999) has lasted over twenty years, longer than driveling Warmists’ original 1978 – ’98. Now entering a 70+ year Grand Solar (Sunspot) Minimum similar to that of 1645 – 1715, due for extended chaotic/fractal oscillations through c. AD 2100, global temperatures are in free-fall downward mode, manifestly in no tomfool “pause” at all.
Of course, AGW alarmists’ asinine “carbon footprint” whereby 400 ppm (.04%) of CO2 “industrial accumulations” drive Earth’s entire global atmospheric surface temperature (GAST) is no more than thanatistic Luddites’ drive to One World domination, fetishizing “elimination” of some 6.84 billion people on the way. For the the record, Australian researcher Robert Holmes’ December 2017 equation, where any planet’s temperature T = PM/Rp (qv), decisively refutes CO2 as having any influence whatever, no matter which planet from Mercury to Neptune one may choose.
Just heard a new REASON THE PAUSE IS FALSE.
The arctic is under-represented in the recent data and that’s where most of the warming is.
Problem with that…in 1927 it was almost totally unrepresented (only a few thermometers)…so nobody knows the earth’s temperatures then. So nobody knows 20th century trends. We are just told that we do.
Brilliant post. Thanks.
There were of course many papers that acknowledged the hiatus and explained it in terms of the IPO or ocean heat content.
https://tambonthongchai.com/2018/10/06/ohc/
great success. Climate change believers gather their communities and collect donations in the bells bag.