The High Cost Of Weather

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I saw a few headlines today that got me to thinking. One said:

THIRD-STRONGEST HURRICANE AT LANDFALL IN RECORDED U.S. HISTORY

The second said:

HURRICANE MICHAEL PROJECTED TO CAUSE $30 BILLION IN DAMAGES

The third said:

155 MPH WINDS, 490,000 WITHOUT POWER, TWO DEAD

Two dead? Two? I was reminded of a joke from my younger days, that went like this:

Did you hear the Third-World hurricane report?

26,413 dead … ten dollars and thirty-six cents in property damage …

So … what is the difference between those two situations, thousands dead versus two dead, in the developed and the developing world?

Two things. Money and fossil fuel.

As a young man, I spent a couple of nights sleeping on the sidewalks of New York in the winter. There’s an art to it. You put on every piece of clothing that you own. You line your pants and your shirt with old newspapers. You find a piece of cardboard to keep the cold of the concrete from seeping through to your bones. If you don’t have a hat you wrap a t-shirt around your head. You sleep with your hands in your pockets.

And doing all of those things makes about as much difference as you might imagine to how cold you get.

I don’t recommend it … not a good party. For some folks in that situation, a few degrees colder in winter may make the difference between living and dying.

But these days, I don’t care if it is a few degrees colder in winter. Why not? Because I have money with which to buy propane for my home furnace. Money and fossil fuel …

Money and fossil fuel are what insulate us, not just from cold winters, but from all of the vagaries of the weather. Air conditioning keeps us from frying in the summer. Coal and heating oil warm our houses. Gasoline in our cars lets us drive away from hurricanes … and we drive on roads paved with fossil-fuel-derived asphalt by machines that run on … yep, fossil fuel.

Now, the UN IPCC, the United Nations Incredibly Patronizing Climate Catastrophists, have just told us in their most recent report that to solve the “climate problem” we need to have a “carbon tax” on gasoline rising by 2100 to $240/gallon in today’s dollars.

And Eric Holthaus, a meteorologist and Grist staff writer who describes himself as an “ecosocialist”, just let us know his interpretation of what the IPCC says to do about “climate change”. He refers to the latest IPCC recommendations as follows

If you are wondering what you can do about climate change:

The world’s top scientists just gave rigorous backing to systematically dismantle capitalism as a key requirement to maintaining civilization and a habitable planet.

I mean, if you are looking for something to do.

… protip—if you are “looking for something to do”, don’t ask an “ecosocialist” …

Both of these UN IPCC ideas have the solution totally backward. Both of those “solutions” will make people poorer and make fossil fuel more expensive … and that, of course, will make the world more vulnerable to the weather, not less vulnerable.

Here’s what a lot of folks forget. Everything that the climate catastrophists are warning us about, droughts, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, heat waves, and all the rest, every one of those dangers are with us today. We’ve been doing battle with them for millennia. So there’s no need to wait for 2100 to do something about them. We can do something about them today.

And the very best thing we can do about them, the thing that will make the most difference in the shortest time, is to increase the amount of money and the amount of fossil fuels that are available to the poor.

Finally, if the economic history of the planet has taught us one thing, it is that the very best way to do those things, the most efficient and effective way to lift the poor out of poverty, is capitalism.

Money and fossil fuel. Keep’m coming …

Best to everyone, with wishes that you stay safe and warm in the inevitable storms of the future,

w.

PS—As always, I ask everyone when you comment to quote the exact words you are referring to, so that we can all be clear about exactly what you are discussing.

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October 11, 2018 4:34 pm

I am always thankful to see Willis bring us back to earth. I’ll bet it is the last position he ever expected to be in, around forty-five years ago, when being down-to-earth was not one of his chief concerns.

The hype surrounding hurricanes does get tiresome, but the only sensible response is to, over and over and over again, remind people of the facts.

I dislike being so cynical, but I feel I need to remind people that some of the Alarmists who produce some of the most demented hype actually have no interest in saving lives, and instead have publicly proclaimed the planet needs to get rid of 90% of its population. That is their idea of “problem solving”. They are defeated to begin with.

I personally believe the planet’s population could stabilize at ten billion, and all the people could live in relative harmony, relatively well off. The more the merrier. But, for this to be achieved, people need to be down to earth, and not so prone to barf ludicrous hype which is utterly disconnected from Truth.

Thank you, Willis, for a step in the right direction.

u.k.(us)
Reply to  Caleb Shaw
October 11, 2018 6:32 pm

No need for the appeal to authority… seems like your plans are well laid out.
Just don’t try to implement them here, and we can be friends.

SAMURAI
October 11, 2018 6:53 pm

After 10,000 years of human history, the immoral institutions of slavery, endentured servitude, and child labor ended when man learned to enslave the hydrocarbon molecule rather than other humans…

When 1 gallon of gas (or 11 lbs of coal) burned in a steam or combustion engine equated to 500 man-hours of work, slavery simply became both economically unviable and morally reprehensible.

A quantum leap occurred when man enslaved the atom, where 1 lbs of Thorium or Uranium equated to 90,000,000 man-hours of work, but rather than embracing the atom, megalomaniacal Leftist government hacks decided to enslave people again by stealing the fruits of their labor to pay for a pathetic energy gruel of wind and solar power, while demonizing fossil fuels..

Leftists have gone completely insane…

LdB
Reply to  SAMURAI
October 12, 2018 1:15 am

I think they have always been insane hence the term leftist crazies. On the right you tend to have to add the word far in before you reach the crazies.

One could argue what has happened is all that has happened is the left crazies have all concentrated in media jobs and are now so far out of touch with the general population 🙂

davidgmillsatty
Reply to  SAMURAI
October 12, 2018 7:20 pm

This leftist (I guess I would be called that by most people here) has been pushing LFTRs on this forum since 2011. As far as I know, no one beat me to it.

SAMURAI
Reply to  davidgmillsatty
October 14, 2018 10:12 pm

David-san:

Good for you!

I’m always delighted to hear from the rare Leftist that supports nuclear power.

The global cost of switching to LFTR power from fossil fuel power generation would “only” cost about $4 trillion, compared to IPCC’s dire and insane $122 TRILLION, which they predicted would be required to keep fictitious manmade global warming below 1.5C by 2100 (which will never happen).

This reality is just one example of why Leftists are, respectfully and generally, completely nuts…

Cheers!

J.H.
October 12, 2018 3:12 am

Most people don’t quite understand the era before the Oil age, cheap mass produced fertilizer and birth control…. Human beings are just like any organism on this planet. We as a species will breed to our maximum food supply and then just boom and bust with the vagaries of natural environmental cycles…. and it is a brutal way to exist.

The industrialized societies of today and the people who live in them are not shackled to our biology and they are no longer prisoners of the natural environment….. We are free for the first time in human existence from the Tyranny of Nature….. and the Ecofascists would drag us back into that circle of hell…. Do not let them.

Richard111
October 12, 2018 3:39 am

Bad weather and increasing population. Which one is the cause of all the present excitement?

October 12, 2018 5:10 am

Two dead? Not to minimize it, but just pointing out that occurs from gang/drug violence alone every hour, 24/7 in any big city.

John Endicott
Reply to  beng135
October 12, 2018 5:56 am

Latest report I saw has it up to 7 dead now. As I mentioned previously, just wait a few weeks and a “study” will have it in the thousands. sadly, I’m not joking.

Coach Springer
October 12, 2018 5:57 am

Science Project:

Hypothesis: Gigantic carbon taxes guarantee fewer hurricanes and none above Cat 3.

Need to test: None.

John Endicott
Reply to  Coach Springer
October 12, 2018 6:03 am

Not only that but not having gigantic carbon taxes will guarantee many hurricanes all of hem above cat 5. Again, need to test is none.

Auralay
October 12, 2018 7:08 am

Dealing pole podcast with Yaron Brook, chairman of the Ayne Rand institute.
In the first few minutes details how capitalism has lifted mankind out of poverty.
https://www.breitbart.com/podcasts/james-delingpole/

Ivan Kinsman
October 12, 2018 11:23 pm

Michael was ONE OF THE WORST STORMS IN US HISTORY. The financial costs are an indicator of what the US is going to experience as it encounters more of these extreme weather events. Why – because rising co2 levels are warming the earth’s atmosphere. Solution – reduce CO2 levels in line with UN IPCC recommendations to 1.5 C (NOT 2.0 C).

Ivan Kinsman
October 12, 2018 11:26 pm

And this is just how bad Michael was – and more to come unless action is taken to reduce rising CO2 emission levels: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45839343

jmorpuss
October 13, 2018 2:21 pm

Hi Willis,
Wouldn’t the wind damage increase when the winds carry more water???? This vid maybe a bit extreme in making my point.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mpa1IspRFM0

October 14, 2018 1:20 pm

155 MPH WINDS, 490,000 WITHOUT POWER, TWO DEAD

In the region affected by a hurricane or big storm, with several million inhabitants, how many people suffer accidental death, per day? On average?

When the “death toll” from an event like a hurricane is reported – an event which might last 3-5 days – there should be a kind of “signal to noise ratio” of deaths. How many folks died? How many accidental deaths happen on average in the same area and number of days? How do they compare?

SAMURAI
October 14, 2018 10:33 pm

The 1900 Galveston CAT4 hurricane took the lives of 12,000 Texans…

Leftists’ revisionist history propagandize that Michael and Florence were the worst hurricanes evaaa…. not so much…

BTW, here is how Glen Cambell’s beautiful ballad Galveston should be sung:

https://youtu.be/YW5EvReWJF0?t=74