I invite readers to list all the things wrong with this bit of agitprop by Ed Hawkins (a lead author in AR6; perhaps this foreshadows the tone of the report). It’s going viral on the Left.
“Warming stripes” at Climate Lab Book.
‘A new set of climate visualisations, communicating the long term rise in temperatures for particular locations as a changing set of colours from blue to red. Each stripe represents the temperature of a single year, ordered from the earliest available data to now.”
Here shows graphics for Central England, continental US, Toronto, and (below) “Annual global temperatures from 1850-2017. The colour scale represents the change in global temperatures covering 1.35°C.”
His Tweet: https://twitter.com/ed_hawkins/status/999242147135188993
The inevitable fawning articles in the media: “This Has Got to Be One of The Most Beautiful And Powerful Climate Change Visuals We’ve Ever Seen” at Science Alert — “We are headed into the red.” The author is listed (with unintentional irony) at “Staff – Science as Fact.”
h/t to Larry Kummer
Seriously, anyone who genuinely believes that the ideal temperature for Earth occurred at the tail end of the LIA needs to have their heads examined! Aside from the fact that “ideal” temps are entirely subjective, how many of the so-called climate scientists would really be happy living in LIA conditions? This is just an example of them trying to establish that the Industrial Revolution is responsible for the small about of warming we now are lucky enough to enjoy. Another case of refusing to examine all the data and settling on the one that supports their wretched hypothesis.
First off, why is it these people pick the periods of time when humans are struggling as the basis for the perfect? The 1800s were cold due the little ice age. The period of time they base temperatures from in modern times is the 1970s when we had the impending ice age scare and crops were failing. Cold kills, warmth invigorates. How many species are at the poles? How many in the tropics? How many people pick the cold north for meetings? How many people pick the warm tropics for meetings? There is a much much wider margin for error where it is warm than where it is cold for life to not only survive, but thrive.
I always thought that this diagram of global warming as red-alcohol thermometers was the most honest.
My thoughts exactly. Showing temp change on a scale of -40 to 120 with color would be nearly imperceptible.
Ever get a paper-cut?
Look at under a microscope and you’ll wonder how you survived.
+42
Ian
Why does the vertical axis start at -40F and not zero degrees Kelvin? You are visually exaggerating the temperature variation by cutting off the vertical axis like that.
Jane: The reason (IMO) he started the graph at -40° is that at that temperature the Fahrenheit temperature and the Celsius temperature are the same.
It is a chart of annual averaged temperatures (which the thermodynamic temperature is itself an average … the geometric mean of a sample’s kinetic energy) shown as a series of alcohol thermometers. -40 is as low as you can go using them. These thermometers were once very common liquid-in-glass models in the USA. That’s also why it is degrees Fahrenheit. By the way, the resolution of a degree Fahrenheit is just a bit under twice that of the Celsius one. If you wanted to use absolute zero, you can, whether in Rankine or Kelvin. That would not change the visual much. You’d just have a longer bar.
Here is something that doesn’t deliberately set out to decieve.
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=2278.0;attach=101316;image
So what exactly is this image? It’s labelled Temperature Anomaly: May 2018 (with the supposed baseline for the anomaly being the average of May temperatures from 1981 to 2010).
But today is only May 26, 2018. Which means the Temperature Anomaly for May of 2018 can’t even be calculated for at least five more days. Unless of course somebody at NOAA is just making up temperature data… BUSTED!!
Also, the image is labelled 925 mb Temperature Anomaly: May 2018. 925 mb implies it is the temperature anomaly measured at ~2500 feet.
How many thermometers do we have floating around at the arctic an altitude of 2500 feet?
Zazove, I find this image to be utterly useless.
It need not confirm your bias.
zazove:
Nonsense. A receding glacier in Alaska has uncovered a 1000-year-old forest in Alaska, so we know that before then it was warmer than today, and long enough for a forest to grow.
You may not be setting out to deceive, but you’re setting out to prove that your paradigm, which is built on speculations and assumptions about past climate, is a certain paradigm built on solid science. It is not. It’s based on assumptions and on a never-ending and sloppy misappropriation of causes.
All this image confirms is that someone named Zachary Labe (a.k.a. Zazove?) is making up complete BS and trying to pass it off as climate science.
Neither does this:
https://web.archive.org/web/20010222053802/http://carc.org/pubs/v15no5/5.htm
“By about 7000 years ago the massive glaciers of the last Ice Age had retreated to the mountain peaks of the eastern Canadian Arctic. Tundra vegetation had become established, and was grazed by caribou, musk-oxen, and, in some areas, by bison. The gulfs and channels between the arctic islands had long been at least seasonally ice-free, and provided a home to populations of seals, walrus, and whales. There is considerable evidence that for the next 3500 years the arctic climate was noticeably warmer than today, the tree-line was north of its present position, sea ice was less extensive, and animal populations were large and well established.”
So much frothing and gnashing at a bit of NOAA data showing a warm Svalbard. The fact Louis finds it “to be utterly useless” is his problem not the data’s. Here is a bit more utterly useless information that fails to confirm his bias.
My point is that the graph posted above is deliberately misleading. Does Ian (the poster of it) believe that the LIA and the Maunder Minimum are also just figments or artefacts or fake or disingenuous? Oh no. Lo and behold, they appear in graphs with approriate scales. Or perhaps the scale on Ian’s graph would be a good model for GPs tracking their patient’s body temperature….
Don132 I have no idea what hand-waving point you are trying to make. Are you saying that we should wait a thousand years to see if the current warming trend will enable the forest to regrow? Post some data instead of just your opinion.
Dennis, from 1987? Keep up buddy.
That’s Svalbard month to date from here https://www.yr.no/place/Norway/Svalbard/Longyearbyen/statistics.html
“Last 30 days: Average temperature was 1.1 °C, 6.2 °C above the normal.”
“Busted”? Confirmed. Biased? Confirmed.
I found the use of red colour here alarming!!!
The red bars mean $green.
What happened to the rainbow colors? I want my rainbow colors!
Melinda,
The Rainbow Colors have been preempted by a particular sub-class of society. Sorry about that. But then they have also changed the meaning of certain words to make their social practices more acceptable. It isn’t what you say, but how you say it that matters.
“social practices”? Like women voting?
“List all of the things wrong with this…..”
It is profoundly dishonest, et.al.
“Why the blip?” has been fully erased and sent down the memory hole.
If the blue-red scale above represents Earth temperature range then stadial temperatures would be invisible to our eyes in the gamma ray wave range and hot house temperatures would be invisible in the radio wave range. Typically you want to choose a scale that is visible and not leave most of the data without a graphic representation, that is unless your goal is to mislead.
What happened to the 1930’s as being as warm as today?
The Hockey Stick doesn’t work without massive temperature adjustment fraud by the Hockey Team.
Tom Wigley email
to Phil Jones,
Date: Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:25:38 -0600
Cc: Ben Santer :
“It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s blip,
but we are still left with “why the blip”.
http://di2.nu/foia/1254108338.txt
The Hockey Stick doesn’t work without massive temperature adjustment “fr-waud” (sic) by the Hockey Team.
Tom Wigley email
to Phil Jones,
Date: Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:25:38 -0600
Cc: Ben Santer :
“It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s blip,
but we are still left with “why the blip”.
http://di2.nu/foia/1254108338.txt
For these mass murdering, grand thieving crim!nal fr@udsters, orange should be the new red.
1.35 degrees C above the coldest period of time in the entire Holocene Epoch? Oh merciful heavens!
Hmm, no scale, years not shown, where is the zero point, is this temperature or trend?, how were the colors chosen?, what is the margin of error, oh wait you can’t show that using this stupid visual… Is this really a bar code for scanning to communicate a secret message? Something like “Help! We don’t understand science and don’t know what we are doing!”?
Essentially you have an emotional montage of color to reflect how one person “feels”. Only a complete and utter idiot would find this “visual” of any value or use. Or perhaps a 5-year old would find it pretty.
Is it my imagination or has the weather channel transitioned to a more alarmist color scheme for their temperature maps? If green is optimal, we should desire temperatures around 50 F. If temperatures are in the 60s, the color is “caution-tape yellow.” Above that, the color transitions to “traffic-cone orange” and then to “scorched-earth brown.” My wife prefers “scorched-earth brown” for outdoor activities.
For the color impaired this graphic is pointless. In fact it is in black and white also.
The silly coloured picture is designed to hide the truth. Hiding the truth does not change the truth.
Greenland ice temperature, last 11,000 years determined from ice core analysis, Richard Alley’s paper.
As this graph indicates the Greenland Ice data shows that have been 9 warming and cooling periods in the last 11,000 years.
We have know for 20 years that the warming and cooling is cyclic and the cycles correlate with solar changes.
http://www.climate4you.com/images/GISP2%20TemperatureSince10700%20BP%20with%20CO2%20from%20EPICA%20DomeC.gif
Yes, that’s right. They should have started their colour scheme at year 1000 A.D.showing the true (not hockey stick) temperatures.
But why stop the in 1950? Trying to hide something?
zazove, it is ice core data so there is no data for the last 70 years. Besides, there is nothing to hide, showing the increase over the last 70 years would only strengthen the argument that the temperatures are cyclical.
A graph without a scale is worthless.
Remember ROY G BIV. Where is the yellow and the green?
Wave length range for red is 620 -750 nm. For violet, it is 380 – 450 nm. A range between the extremes of 370 nm to display a 1.35º C delta? You’ve got to be kidding!
Silly you. What makes you think this is about science? A graph is very valuable as long as you get the grant.
Too bad humanity didn’t invent thermometers during the Roman Warm Period
At least Doug represented the Kelvin scale for the y-axis.
-273K to +12K
During the time covered by his chart England’s population grew 10-fold, with resultant changes to the built environment & (agricultural) land use changes.
K is Kelvin, an absolute T scale. 0 K is absolute zero.
It is pretty; a bit like going to a fabric store.
It goes all the way to 11. Imagine that!
As they say, ‘a picture speaks a thousand words’ they are graphic, easy to understand and colourful . Was it one of mosh’s colleagues that produced some beautiful graphics of arctic ice trends, in the firm of a spiral?
All the thousand of words many of us write, myself included, could be improved ten fold with really innovative graphics. We still talk about the hockey stick two decades on because, whatever we may think of it, the end result was a very powerful and colourful graphic that put over a strong message in a very simple and easy to understand fashion
As far as CET goes, my recent article here demonstrated a decline all this century
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/03/04/the-rise-and-fall-of-central-england-temperatures-help-needed-to-find-missing-data/
However, there is no doubt that CET has risen overall since 1850, not surprising as we recover from the last vestiges of the LIA. so overall it will show up as steadily redder but with a distinct slightly blueish ending.
Tonyb
A nice set of vertical blinds , would look good in my living room. It’s a toss-up between posted pic and the second image down here. https://www.tcb.com.sg/blinds/roller-blinds/
Mod you could post the image and not the link if you like.
Funny, he didn’t do a plot of the adjustments to the raw data using the same methodology…
What’s the colour they use for data manipulation?
Normally to get to blue from red requires a gradual blending of the two, so that purple is the intermediate colour. As it looks like yellow is cooler than red then this transition is the long way round via green and yellow. Therefore, this graphic demonstrates a lack of understanding of how colours work, but a very good understanding of how propaganda works.
What’s wrong with this graphic?
Well, I could have drawn it for a start, and I have no artistic inclinations whatsoever!