Guest essay by Eric Worrall
h/t ivankinsman – did anyone else notice the end of the world?
Greenhouse gas reaches alarming new record
By Brandon Miller, CNN
Updated 1626 GMT (0026 HKT) May 3, 2018
(CNN) Carbon dioxide (CO2), the No. 1 greenhouse gas leading to man-made global warming, has reached a dubious new milestone.
The level of the gas in the atmosphere, which is measured by instruments on top of Hawaii’s Mauna Loa Observatory, topped 410 parts per million (ppm) for the month of April.
This is the highest concentration of the heat-trapping gas ever recorded at the Observatory, where direct measurements have been taking place for more than 60 years, giving us the longest detailed record.
Passing 410 ppm “is important because it punctuates another milestone in the upwards march of CO2,” according to Ralph Keeling, head of the Scripps CO2 program at Scripps Institution of Oceanography in California.
“At the recent pace, we’ll hit 450 ppm in a mere 16 years, and 500 ppm 20 years after that. That’s well within dangerous territory for the climate system,” Keeling added.
…
Read more: https://edition.cnn.com/2018/05/03/us/dangerous-co2-record-wxc/index.html?no-st=1525552305
The main danger of course is that when CO2 hits 500ppm and nothing bad happens, people will finally stop listening to wild claims of imminent catastrophe.
Of course, we all hoped that the climate movement would collapse when CO2 hit 400ppm – but as the 50th anniversary of futurist Paul Ehrlich’s failure to lose his audience demonstrates, it will likely take a lot more than half a century of being wrong to convince the most committed climate advocates that they might be mistaken.
Somehow they never get around to mentioning the part about how much 410PPM is as a proportion of the atmosphere.
410 is a biggish number.
You would be doing OK if you made $410 per hour.
You would be really huge if you weighted 410 pounds.
You would be really hot if it was 410 F outside, or even K.
You would be really tired and broke if you had 410 girlfriends.
But how much is 410 PPM in the air?
Well, the part that aint CO2 is now only 999,590 PPM instead of the 999,600 PPM it was a few years ago.
In fact, amounts of stuff are quoted this way when they are so tiny of an amount it would be difficult to talk about using the more typical way that atmospheric components are measured, as a percentage.
Neon is 0.001818%
Helium is 0.000524%
Methane is 0.000179%
No wonder they like to use PPM, which makes those numbers a more convenient 18 PPM, 5 PPM, and 2 PPM, rounded up.
– Water is highly variable, but is usually between nearly 0 to 4%, although sometimes as much as 5%,
Typical amount in temperate zones is 1 or 2%, and average for the whole globe is 0.4%.
5% huh? I think 50,000 PPM sounds like a lot more water.
For dry air:
– Oxygen 20.95% or 209,500 PPM
– Nitrogen 78.09% or a whopping 780,900 PPM
– Argon 0.93% or 9,300 PPM
Golly…those three add up to 99.97%. And I think I am choking on all that argon *gasp*
Gosh…those last three alone leave no room for the amount of CO2 they are reporting, let alone the neon, helium, and methane in the air. That scary methane. Less than 2PPM…that sounds pretty unscary…no wonder we never ever hear that number… we just hear how terribly and completely awful methane is.
Then we have Carbon Dioxide.
Ooh, devil gas.
The one we all died graveyard dead without, right along with very nearly every other living thing in the entire planet:
– CO2 0.04%
Well, what gives…those numbers do not add up.
Why?
Because…it is terribly cumbersome to quote the percentages of the big three in a way that is both accurate and leaves room for the four one hundredths of one percent of the one left in our carbon starved atmosphere.
PPM is used because the amount is so tiny it is less than the rounding error of the other gasses in the air!
NEWSFLASH:
Atmosphere drops to 999,590 PPM of NOT CO2!
Film at 11:00.
Pot plants smoke CO2.
420 bro.
New slogan
4-20 in 2020. We can do it!
Don’t hold your breath!
2000 bra, at 420 they are just warming up.
It’s amazing how true that is.
So after trillions spent on reduction schemes and countless COP junkets CO2 is still rising. When will we start to see value for all that effort? CO2 the control knob apparently can’t be turned down. The AGW movement has a split personality- one raging about CO2 and the other carrying on as usual because it really doesn’t matter.
It is said one of the British parliament members chose to upbraid Winston Churchill for his prodigious drinking habits. The gentleman announced he had calculated that Churchill had consumed liquor sufficient to fill the parliamentary chambers knee deep, to which Churchill replied
“Ahhh… so much achieved and yet, so much to do!”
I think it entirely apropos for the 410 ppm CO2 achievement also! It’s a good start…..
410 ppm volume is an incredible concentration of four hundred and ten, ten thousandths of one percent by volume. CO2 has increased from two hundred and seventy-five, ten thousandths of one percent since 1900. Ain’t that scary?
Ah yes, the “it’s a small concentration so how can it be bad” argument. What robust science!
OT,
Gotta say it.
This wuwt google ad is much better than the Qlav.
http://i63.tinypic.com/2n0n7ye.gif
Uhmmmmm…. what were you saying?
One can only wonder what she’ll be wearing when it hits 411.
I think that’s the Taylor series.
Reading are taken in Hawaii. How do volcanos effect them>?
Sssh – The observatory is on Mauna Loa which is an active volcano, active enough that the observatory had to be evacuated at least once (from memory), but we don’t talk about that…
And the plants are ‘Gettin’ Jiggy wit It’!
https://youtu.be/3JcmQONgXJM
Despite the hype, there is no real evidence that CO2 has any effect on climate and plenty of scientific reasoning to support the idea that the climate sensitivity of CO2 is zero.
CO2 and water makes bicarbonate. The radiance of bicarbonate is zero. This is why there is no CO2 climate sensitivity at all.
There is all sorts of scientific rational that supports the idea that the climate sensitivity of CO2 is zero.
“The main danger of course is that when CO2 hits 500ppm and nothing bad happens, people will finally stop listening to wild claims of imminent catastrophe.” Not at all, the story line will be changed, and they will scream louder.
Health evaluation of carbon dioxide in indoor air
Abstract
For over 150 years, carbon dioxide has been
an acknowledged indicator of indoor air
quality. To estimate the air quality in
mechanically ventilated buildings, DIN EN
13779 proposes four different levels of indoor
carbon dioxide concentration. However,
apart from the early guideline value of
1000 ppm carbon dioxide recommended by
Pettenkofer in 1858, there is no actual
guideline value for naturally ventilated
buildings. Regarding recent intervention
studies, the German Working Group on Indoor
Guideline Values of the Federal Environmental
Agency and the States´ Health Authorities therefore recommends the
following guide values, based on health and
hygiene considerations: concentrations of
indoor air carbon dioxide below 1000 ppm
are regarded as harmless, those between
1000 and 2000 ppm as elevated and those
above 2000 ppm as unacceptable. In addition
to the recommendations for TVOC
values, this further assists in the assessment
of indoor air quality.
Keywords
carbon dioxide · indoor air · ventilation ·
evaluation · health effects · guideline value
From
Bundesgesundheitsbl – Gesundheitsforsch –
Gesundheitsschutz 2008 · 51:1358–1369
DOI 10.1007/s00103-008-0707-2
Has anybody noticed an interesting thing about the Mauna Loa CO2 graph?. Notice that the angle of decrease during the spring is exactly the same angle of increase during the autumn. Either the Mauna Loa data are bogus or else CO2 emissions have nothing to do with the amount that stays in the atmosphere. If the Mauna Loa data is NOT bogus, the rate of increase in the fall should be sharper than the decrease in the spring. That is because the CO2 emissions are fairly constant throughout the year and there is certainly little difference between spring fossil fuel emissions and autumn fossil fuel emissions, Indeed the Mauna Loa graph doesnt show any difference. The only difference it shows is a neat zigzag pattern which in itself is suspicious because the pattern is too consistent. However my further point is that since the spring and fall fossil fuel emissions are constant, the fall (autumn) upward increase should be at a sharper angle since the photosynthesis process is in reverse compared to the spring. So the fall(autumn) non photosynthesis line should be reenforced by the constant fossil fuel emissions whereas the spring photosynthesis actually lowers the CO2 levels but according to the graph it lowers them at the same rate that the autumn line increases. That is impossible unless the net CO2 levels have nothing to do with the fossil fuel emissions. Well we partially know that anyway because since 1980 the the CO2 levels have only gone up 22% and the fossil fuel emissions have gone up 80%. I have previously mentionned that the Vostok ice core data for last 400000 years shows preindustrial CO2 levels at at a fairly constant 280ppm however during that 400000 years the temperature swings have been enormous on the earths surface with at least 4 glacial periods and 4 extremely warm periods. To top it all off, the Vostok ice core data seems suspect because there is no reason why the CO2 level should be that constant during those 400000 years when it wasnt constant at any other time in the worlds history. Now that Tony Heller has proved that NASA and NOAA have been faking the temperature and sea level data for the last 10 years, there is not 1 grain of truth in the whole global warming scenario. It is one lie built upon another lie which the climate gate emails showed.
It will only take a 2 week earlier Spring and a week later fall and then the summer removal of CO2 will be more than the emission in the winter. I figure rhe biosphere has about a 100 year lagged response. Once it gets going, TheMagicMolecule™️ will meet the Patronus called biology.
I noticed that too, Alan. The Mauna Loa CO2 chart is way too regular for this to be data from the real world – it looks like it was produced by an algorithm. But the science behind the graph is a trade secret (iirc the Mauna Loa lab itself is privately owned by Dr Keeling, the operator, who conveniently is also the head of the Scripps CO2 program at Scripps Institution of Oceanography in California). He is not going to disagree with himself, is he?
What mental threshold would have to be crossed for mainstream opinion to be able to achieve the realisation that human action could be beneficial to the biosphere? It is not unprecedented for living organisms to improve the planet as a habitat for life. Cyanobacteria 2 billion years ago oxygenated the atmosphere. It is the basis of the Gaia hypothesis of Richard Lovelock that the sum effect of the biosphere’s activities is to enhance the earth’s habitability. This hypothesis is true – one of the profoundest truths in biology up there with evolution by natural selection (it’s actually a connected part of the same theory).
The greenhouse effect refers to the CO2 enrichment, not a marginal and uncertain temperature effect. And it is good, not bad.
Some members of the climate research community need help in achieving this realisation. Humans are a living organism like all others. Humanity is good, not bad.
Ya we need more CO2 NOT less
oh no its a tragedy…reeeely it is!
abc radionational this sat had flimflam flannery on and he was in Adelaide SA raving up how brave and great they were to shut the powerplant down
and how wunnerful his(has shares in i reckon) latest plan to farm seaweed would be(the geothermal sank like a rather cold stone)
that co2 has reached UNprecedented levels never achieved EVAH!! in history
i think he managed to ‘”unprecedent” at least 2 and maybe 3 times in the first 5 mins of the speech.. i was so damned angry, i scared the poor dogs out of the room and had to go outside myself as my dicky ticker isnt supposed to reach the levels it was starting to head for;-(
reckon he reached close to a lie a minute before i left the room
If the experiment, in a test tube, to illustrate that co2 causes warming was done with Co2 ppm of between 500,000- and 1,000,000 why should we be concerned . It is a nonsense experiment that that achieves the same result with Argon.
When CO2 hits 500ppm and still nothing bad has happened yet, the Drongos of CAGW theory will still believe fervently in Climate Armageddon as their belief is purely political, they have long since lost interest in following the science. The fact that people still believe in the predictions of Paul Ehrlich’s shows that they will believe in any wild but entertaining fantasy. The statement that ” Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the No. 1 greenhouse gas leading to man-made global warming” shows that the CAGW crowd is unaware of water vapour and science.
Meanwhile, the plants are rejoicing and looking forward to 500ppm.
Your body generates CO2 while oxidizing food into energy. The excess CO2 eliminated from the body in gaseous form in your breath.
So, you breathe in air containing 0.041% CO2, but your exhaled breath contains approximately 4% CO2!
That’s about 40,000 ppm!!
Are you surprised that we don’t all drop dead instantly from such toxic levels of CO2 in our lungs!!!
😐
Yeah, but if it ever gets to 40,001, we’ll all be in trouble!
/grin
Latest research shows that having sex is a greater risk due to elevated levels of C02. Procreation of the human species may depend on having sex in outdoor areas such as the beach or mountain tops while the wind is blowing! Honeymoons are now only recommended in Antarctica and Greenland as a result of rising temps and elevated C02!
On US submarines, CO2 can reach 11,000 ppm. Still less than we exhale.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/10/17/claim-co2-makes-you-stupid-as-a-submariner-that-question/
Was that Hawaii-based pronouncement made before or after Kilauea rattled, shook and started spewing gases like SO2? Ground’s cracking open there, you know. How much tonnage is the current eruption adding to the weight of that side of the Big Island, to spur the bodaciously large landslide that will some day result in the Great Crack breaking away and sliding in to the Pacific? That’s going to generate at LO-O-O-OT of nasty gases when it happens.
Oh, yeah – did the reporter who cranked out that article actually do any research before he posted it? No, really, did he? Yeah, I didn’t think so, either. Just thought I’d ask. I wonder if he eats romaine lettuce.
It just might be that volcano next door erupting, or maybe not.
Well, according to the UN, carbon dioxide/carbon/carbon pollution, or whatever they’re calling it today, is the “Single Biggest Threat” to life, the universe and everything.
http://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2018/05/04/u-n-says-climate-change-single-biggest-threat-life-security-prosperity-earth/amp
Merely doing measure-y thingies that say 410 parts of whatever just isn’t enough. Sigh.
The UN’s own GLOBAL survey (+9.7 million respondents to-date) say’s balderdash to their claim.
data.myworld2015.org/
Actually, the only real climate change that is empirically demonstrated dare not be mentioned by the clime syndicate. The greening of the planet and bumper harvests and the attenuation of population growth by mid century are anathema to the climate worriers. We are heading for a lush Garden of Eden earth with abundance of resources and prosperity if we can hold off the тотаliтагiаиs for another 4 or 5 decades. The price of carbon is proving to be negative in the extreme. Big oil and coal should be receiving carbon benefit cheques.
But the humanity!! Oh wait, the oxygen concentrators folks with heart disease, COPD, etc. use are really nitrogen removers, not oxygen concentrators. When they remove the nitrogen from the air, they boost the O2 to about 90%+ or up by a factor of 5. This means that the concentration of CO2 is up to 2,000 PPM in the stream. Yes, the biological transfer is based on partial pressure and the partial pressure of the O2 is much higher too, but still.
At around 6 PM yesterday, Lois and I were strolling along a popular shopping street in Vancouver. Sunny, nice breeze from the ocean. Outside of “Choices”, an upscale grocer with double-the-price “organic” food. Lot’s of people as we came to a stop waiting for the light to change. I took a deep breath, being a little obvious, and said “Oh, the air is so good”, took another big breath and said “400 parts per million CO2–wonderful.”
Got some evil stares, Lois broke up and, fortunately, the “Walk” came on and away we went.
🙂
Hmmm. Maybe I should move to the island. At 4’10.5”, I could use an inch or two in height. Hey! If it works for evergreen trees, why not?
I am sorry that Ivan , whose post seems to have triggered this thread , has not joined in the conversation (unless I have missed it) because i would be interested in his analysis of the CO2 situation .
Having looked at his website there are a number of topics on which I think some of us would share common ground eg on certain pesticides and reckless use of groundwater, even if we disagree on the benefits v harm of increased CO2.