People send me stuff. This is an email solicitation claiming that if you send Avaaz £2 a week (About $3.07 USD at current exchange rate) they’ll somehow be able to help NSIDC’s Julienne Stroeve get started putting back that Arctic ice, much like as a previous subscriber, you may have given money to help dolphins from being sad (see below). There’s only 30 months left apparently, and salesmen operators are standing by to take your urgent call.
I wonder how much money Ms. Stroeve gets for endorsing this alarmist sales pitch, or maybe her name is being used to raise funds without her knowledge/permission? Inquiring minds want to know. What is most curious is that they don’t actually reference Stroeve’s papers or any NSIDC publications, only alarmist news stories.
Of course one only has to look at the WUWT Sea Ice page to note that sea ice disappears every summer, and comes back in the fall and winter. So, with summer just started, now is the perfect time to claim “vast areas of sea ice have disappeared” so as to snag money from the seasonally challenged. According to NASA and AP’s Seth Borenstein: “…after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.” Well, that didn’t happen, so 2013 MUST be the year. No, wait, its 2015 now. Give while there’s still time!
I loved this line from the solicitation: Fatalism on climate change is not just futile, it’s also incompetent.
Dear Avaaz community,
This may be the most important email I’ve written to you. Scientists have found that vast areas of Arctic sea ice are disappearing, accelerating the destruction of our planet — it is a climate tipping point and we CAN stop it, if we act very fast, and all together. We have 30 months until the biggest climate summit ever. To win it, we need to blast out of the starting gate. Click below to pledge a donation of £2 to help us get there:
This may be the most important email I’ve ever written to you.
Scientist Julienne Stroeve has studied Arctic ice for decades. Every summer she travels north to measure how much ice has melted. She knows that climate change is melting the ice fast, but on her last trip, she couldn’t believe what she saw. Vast areas of Arctic ice have disappeared, beyond our worst expectations.
This is what the experts warned us about. As the earth warms, it creates many “tipping points” that accelerate the warming out of control. Warming thaws the Arctic sea ice, destroying the giant white ‘mirror’ that reflects heat back into space, which massively heats up the ocean, and melts more ice, and so on. We spin out of control. Already this year — storms, temperatures — everything is off the charts.
We CAN stop this, if we act very fast, and all together. And out of this extinction nightmare, we can pull one of the most inspiring futures for our children and grandchildren. A clean, green future in balance with the earth that gave birth to us.
We have 30 months until the Paris Summit, the meeting that world leaders have decided will determine the fate of our efforts to fight climate change. It might seem like a long time – it’s not. We have 30 months to get the right leaders in power, get them to that meeting, give them a plan, and hold them accountable. And it’s us vs. the oil companies, and fatalism. We can win, we must, but we need to blast out of the starting gate with pledges of just £2 per week until the summit — we’ll only process the donations if we hit our goal. For the world we dream of, let’s make it happen:
[donation link redacted]
Fatalism on climate change is not just futile, it’s also incompetent. The hour is late, but it is still absolutely within our power to stop this catastrophe, simply by shifting our economies from oil and coal to other sources of power. And doing so will bring the world together like never before, in a deep commitment and cooperation to protect our planetary home. It’s a beautiful possibility, and the kind of future Avaaz was born to create.
Facing this challenge will take heart, and hope, and also all the smarts we have. Here’s the plan:
1. Go Political: Elect Climate Leaders — 5 crucial countries have elections in the next 30 months. Let’s make sure the right people win, and with the right mandate. Avaaz is one of the only major global advocacy organizations that can be political. And since this fight will be won or lost politically, it could be at some points just us vs. the oil companies to decide who our politicians listen to.
2. Make Hollande a Hero — French President Francois Hollande will chair the Paris summit – a powerful position. We have to try every tactic and channel — his personal friends and family, his political constituency, his policy advisors — to make him the hero we need him to be to make the summit a success.
3. Take it to the Next Level — The scale of this crisis demands action that goes beyond regular campaigning. It’s time for powerful, direct, non-violent action, to capture imagination, convey moral urgency, and inspire people to act. Think Occupy.
4. Out the Spoilers — Billionaires like the Koch brothers and their oil companies are the major spoilers in climate change – funding junk science to confuse us and spending millions on misleading PR, while buying politicians wholesale. With investigative journalism and more, we need to expose and counter their horrifically irresponsible actions.
5. Define the Deal — Even in the face of planetary catastrophe, 195 governments in a room can be just incompetent. We need to invest in top quality policy advice to develop ingenious strategies, mechanisms, and careful compromises so that when the summit arrives, a critical mass of leaders are already bought in to a large part of the deal, and no one can claim that good solutions don’t exist.
We need tens of thousands of us to pledge small donations to blast out of the starting gate on this plan. The amount doesn’t matter as much as much as the choice – to hope, and to act:
[donation link redacted]
At the last major climate summit in Copenhagen 2009, we played a pivotal role in German and Japanese ‘climate’ elections, in shifting Brazilian policy, and in helping win a major global deal on financing, with rich countries promising $100 billion per year to poor countries to help them address climate change. Back then, Avaaz was 3 million people. After Copenhagen, we reflected that we needed to be a lot bigger to meet the challenge posed by climate change. Now, we’re 23 million, and growing by 1 million per month.
Climate change is the ultimate global collective action problem, requiring cooperation from every government in the world. And Avaaz is the ultimate collective action solution, with millions of us united in common vision across every nation. This is our time, to build a world for our children that’s beauty matches our dreams. Let’s get started.
With hope and appreciation for this amazing community,
Ricken and the entire Avaaz team
MORE INFORMATION:
With Arctic sea ice vulnerable, summer melt season begins briskly (The Christian Science Monitor)
Arctic sea ice levels to reach record low within days (Guardian)
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/aug/23/arctic-sea-ice-record-low
Five Reasons We Need a New Global Agreement on Climate Change by 2015 (Switchboard NRDC)
http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/jschmidt/five_reasons_we_need_a_new_glo.html
The Doha climate talks were a start, but 2015 will be the moment of truth (The Guardian)
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/dec/10/doha-climate-talks-global-warming
Arctic sea ice melt disrupts weather patterns (NBC News)
The Arctic Ice “Death Spiral” (Slate)
Avaaz.org is a 22-million-person global campaign network that works to ensure that the views and values of the world’s people shape global decision-making. (“Avaaz” means “voice” or “song” in many languages.) Avaaz members live in every nation of the world; our team is spread across 18 countries on 6 continents and operates in 17 languages. Learn about some of Avaaz’s biggest campaigns here, or follow us on Facebook or Twitter.
You are getting this message because you signed “Save the Saddest Dolphins ” on 2011-xx-xx using the email address xxxxx@xxxx.com
h/t to reader “JP”
===========================================================
Now here’s the real kicker, Dr. Stroeve doesn’t think sea ice will disappear this summer. See her official forecast in the ARCUS June 2013 Sea Ice Outlook:
Of course, NSIDC may not care that Stroeve’s name is being used to raise money, after all, she has a current history of activism while employed there. Your tax dollars at work? This photo was taken on 09/11/2012:
Source: Greenpeace



The moral hazard/rent seeking behavior of AGW promoters has seldom been more plainly on display.
Mr, Berple:
Thanks for saving me the trouble of recounting Arctic sea ice history for Ryan’s benefit.
Another good proxy for sea ice extent is bowhead whale fossils:
http://arctic.synergiesprairies.ca/arctic/index.php/arctic/article/view/111
In the early Holocene (10.4 kya), sea ice contraction was much worse than previously believed, aided not only by a rapidly warming world but the infusion of meltwater from the Laurentide Ice Sheet & associated glacial masses. But after the melt off, bowheads returned to higher than present latitudes again at around 4.0 kya.
By the way, has anyone else noticed that President of Hollande looks just like Chauncey Gardner?
catweazle666 says:
June 24, 2013 at 6:25 am
Perhaps if we ship all our surplus refrigerators to the Arctic and leave them on full blast with the doors open…
http://dilbert.com/strips/comic/1990-02-08/
I notice Greenpeace has a helicopter on their icebreaker. So they obviously think it’s OK to go round the arctic smashing up the ice and spewing CO2 and particulates out of helicopters and ships.
Perhaps it’s a cunning plan …
Well, I think we can guarantee a high September minimum arctic ice this year.
Why? Because the UKMO has forecast the least ice and they have a long history of predicting the exact opposite of what actually happens.
Shows the incestuous relationship between some “scientists” and the green propaganda machine (WWF, Greenpeace…).
/The Arctic started losing ice when the AMO went into its warm phase. It should start regaining ice when the AMO cools./
Do people here really believe this? That the Arctic is just going to shoot back up to normal sea ice during this century?
/As one warms, the other cools, which is NOT the signature of AGW. It is the signature of the “polar see-saw”. A natural event that predates industrialization./
Yea, no…
Even on this page you guys have been told what is driving the slight trend in Antarctic Winter sea ice. It ain’t cooling…
Ryan… people here believe whatever the solid science tells them…. its really as simple as that. The arctic seasonal ice situation for the coming years is unknown. But science will give us indicators. Some gravy-training half-wit with a penchant for the dramatic is not a “solid scientific indicator” of anything other than is scientifically certain that even in small percentages , the halfwit will con people out of their money.
Ryan says:
June 24, 2013 at 8:11 am
Do people here really believe this? That the Arctic is just going to shoot back up to normal sea ice during this century?
========
absolutely…..because it’s normal right now…..you’ve just been tricked into believing it’s not
“Worthy of particular attention is the fact that in 1943 all the anomalies noted were favorable for navigation, that they extended to all seas, and that in actuality navigation was extremely easy in 1943 along the entire course of the Northern Sea Route. The total area of clear water at the end of the navigational period in the Kara, Laptev, East Siberian and Chuckchee Seas amounted to almost 2,000,000 square km which is unprecedented in the history of the Arctic. The ice opposition of the Kara and Chuckchee Seas (which was mentioned in Section 156) did not take place in 1943.”
http://archive.org/stream/arcticice00zubo#page/470/mode/2up
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2013/06/24/arctic-panic-setting-in-soon/#comment-240273
Ryan says:
June 24, 2013 at 8:11 am
/The Arctic started losing ice when the AMO went into its warm phase. It should start regaining ice when the AMO cools./
Do people here really believe this? That the Arctic is just going to shoot back up to normal sea ice during this century?
——————————
People here are convinced by scientific evidence. No belief needed or wanted.
There is no such thing as “normal” sea ice, unless you mean maybe the average for the Holocene or prior interglacials. In that case, it’s presently still above “normal”.
In this century Arctic sea ice is unlikely to return to its great extent in the Little Ice Age or Dark Ages Cold Periods, but is highly likely to return to its coverage in prior cool periods of the Modern, Medieval, Roman & Minoan Warm Periods. With the AMO still in warm mode, it is returning to its lows of the 1920s & 1930s.
Man-made GHGs have little to no impact & air temperature itself less than ocean currents.
Has anyone noticed that as of today, the Arctic Sea Ice Extant is above the 2000s average?
http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm
Just when you thought they were dead, the ensembles arise and attack, stumbling and meandering to feed on your economic resources. I could not help but think of zombies reading the just released paper “Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms”, Nature Geosocience, by our friends from the UK Met Office. It is at http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo1854.html#ref17
The aim of the article seems to be to use the trusty reliable ensemble of models to show that the only reason temps have not gone up like they should is that we evil humans polluted the atmosphere with aerosols and that “forced” the frequency of tropical storms down, when “everyone knows” AGW CO2 forcing should be making them go up. The kicker is the claim of the article that — just wait — , now that we got aerosols decreasing, the frequency is going up but fast, so keep those contributions flowing.
The saving grace of the article to me is the new definition of chutzpah it gives. In the “Competing Financial Interest” line the authors say “The authors declare no competing financial interests.”
Wonderful read, zombies and chutzpah all in one. It just keeps getting better.
Gentlemen (and Ladies),
Over 16000 people have donated?!? I have seen my future and it is nubar enviro – fundraising.
Adios, losers.
TB
(sarc)
“Refund?”
Ryan, if you persist, you will have the opportunity to be disabused of your misconceptions by vastly more educated, intelligent, and knowledgeable people . . if such a thing is possible.
One can always hope.
PaulH says:
June 24, 2013 at 5:58 am
… 195 governments in a room can be just incompetent.
The only statement of theirs I am in agreement with.
/snark
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But then, so can one.
cn
16,000 contributors out of 23,000,000 members.
Sounds like even the members don’t want to support her.
cn
Ryan says:
June 24, 2013 at 6:13 am
Regardless of how you feel about their tactics, arctic sea ice is dropping much faster than models predicted. The fact that it “comes back every winter” doesn’t really change that.
Idiot! Put a donation in for clown that way you can make the ice grow quicker and save us all.
Her present mindset has to be the result of one of two courses through time: A) She was always hell-bent on a leftist course of action and found like-minded thesis advisor(s) throughout her uni indoctri -er- education and training, or B) She has slowly drifted leftward via ‘stuck-rudder-syndrome’ … leftward ho! … finding herself where she is now; perhaps a series of ‘soft lies’ told often and repeatedly being most effective.
.
Ryan
The fish pond in my garden keeps melting every year and some years it comes back and others it doesn’t. Please send me €50 / month to save the carp, the pond, the ice and the world. Hurry !!!
Some people will do anything to avoid serious work …
The image of ‘small dogs’ being taught tricks e.g. beckoning hither and yon to fetch and to jump through a small hoops at the commanding sound of their master’s voice (positively reinforced by tidbits given upon proper performance at ‘conferences’ and trendy social events) enters the mind upon reading that response …
.
Their plan is to take the growing Antarctic Sea Extent, chop some bits off, and ship them to the other pole.