Tsunami threat for the Pacific

Of course the big news today is the 8.8 earthquake in Chile and the Tsunami warning stemming from it. There’s not much I could add that’s not already being covered, but I thought this image from the American West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center was interesting. They posted this map with estimated arrival times of tsunami waves generated by the 8.8 earthquake earthquake off the coast of Chile:

Even more interesting is the map they published of the path of energy distribution in the waves. It looks like Hawaii will dodge the worst of it:

The image above depicts wave height in centimeters.

I’m not posting direct links to these images at the center since I don’t want their server to be overwhelmed, so I’ve stored them locally.

It looks like the Aleutian islands may get some significant portion of this as will New Zealand.

The Tsunami Warning Center has a very detailed list of estimated arrival times for waves generated by Saturday’s 8.8 magnitude earthquake at many locations along the west coast of the United States. On the US West coast, the first waves to arrive will be in San Diego just after noon PST.

BONUS:

Quite possibly the stupidest science headline ever,  from MSNBC and LiveScience:

Big quake question: Is nature out of control?

and

Chile Earthquake: Is Mother Nature Out of Control?

Newsflash: Nature has never been within our control.

This article at Livescience which MSNBC picked up was written by Jeanna Bryner,

who has also written articles on “The Perils of Text Messaging While Walking” and “Wanted: The Equation of Love”

Her apparent justification for the current headline:

“One scientist, however, says that relative to a time period in the past, the Earth has been more active over the past 15 years or so.”

Since the introduction of the Internet and proliferation of live global satellite news coverage, also in the past 15-20 years, we certainly do hear more about what goes on around the planet, often within minutes of occurrence. Does that mean the planet is getting more active? Not neccessarily, but you can draw the conclusion that are reporting system has improved dramatically during that period.

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Kevin Kilty
February 28, 2010 9:13 am

Bill Tuttle (05:44:49) :

Since we as humans can do nothing to *cause* either tsunamis or earthquakes, the answer is that we can do nothing to *stop* either tsunamis or earthquakes.

In the late 1960s to early 1970s, Chevron Oil and the USGS did a series of fantanstic experiments at the Rangley oil field in western Colorado where they could start and stop small earthquakes at will by injecting water underground. This was done in response to the mysterious earthquakes of the mid 1960s at the Rocky Mountain Arsenal northeast of Denver — caused apparently by disposal of wastes down a well there.

MattN
February 28, 2010 9:22 am

Annnnd Heidi Marshall at greenfudge.com: http://www.greenfudge.org/2010/02/28/global-weather-chaos-earthquakes-tsunamis-and-flooding/#comment-4149
“Has the weather gotten crazy enough yet for you skeptics to believe that something is seriously wrong with the planet; or does there have to be thousands of casualties added on to the increasing death tolls? If the weather keeps progressing like it has been in the past few months, I hope some people will start taking it as a serious wake-up call, because things will only get worse from here on out. “

kwik
February 28, 2010 9:31 am

Leif Svalgaard (11:46:01) :
“These maps are good examples of the usefulness of models of future events.”
Hehe.
What a cheap point that is!

kwik
February 28, 2010 9:45 am

M. Simon (16:32:14) :
“can some one explain how socialism is a right wing doctrine?”
May I suggest “The Capitalist Manifesto” by Bernstein;
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Capitalist-Manifesto-Historic-Philosophic-Laissez-Faire/dp/0761832211
It explains rather the opposite. Its a fantastic reading, you can hardly stop reading.

Paul Coppin
February 28, 2010 10:05 am

MattN (09:22:28) :
Annnnd Heidi Marshall at greenfudge.com: http://www.greenfudge.org/2010/02/28/global-weather-chaos-earthquakes-tsunamis-and-flooding/#comment-4149
“Has the weather gotten crazy enough yet for you skeptics to believe that something is seriously wrong with the planet; or does there have to be thousands of casualties added on to the increasing death tolls? If the weather keeps progressing like it has been in the past few months, I hope some people will start taking it as a serious wake-up call, because things will only get worse from here on out. “

Yikes! – that is one seriously nutbar site. Certainly not inclined to let a actual knowledge of nature cloud their thinking…

Kevin Kilty
February 28, 2010 10:44 am

MattN (08:59:46)

Wow, the Alan Colmes “LiberalLand” site is an eye-opener for me! I plan to stay far back.

Richard
February 28, 2010 12:39 pm

Alan Wilkinson (14:59:42) : RIchard, we happened to be swimming on NZ Northland east coast beach in the Bay of Islands around 9 am and there was no sign of anything but a bit of water discoloration.
There were heaps of people swimming and sunbathing in Mission Bay. I took some pictures. A bit unwise when there was a tsunami warning around.

JFA in Montreal
February 28, 2010 2:54 pm

I receive trash from a bunch of Planet-X/Nubiru neurotics/psychotics who see it’s influence everywhere and in their alphabet soup.
The “Is Nature being out of control…” headline is exactly the kind of comment they do, a highly “decypherable” innuendo for the “initiated”.

K. Bray High in California, USA
February 28, 2010 3:20 pm

Warm weather = earthquake weather?
Whither warming, earthquake warning?
Whither waning warming, no quakes swarming?
When warming withers, watch widdew warmists wonder why.
oh you, wacky warming wabbits warning weally wrong… !

K. Bray thinking in Upper California, USA
February 28, 2010 5:12 pm

With Gaia Earth so angry at our “AGW”
a few “volunteers” thrown into the VOLCANO
should calm all those retaliatory earthquakes…
how many ya think will it take?
There must be a formula for that “science”.
I speculate we throw enough people in after each quake, the shaking will slowly diminish…. every time. “Cooling” the planet might take a few more.
Just need that formula… and of course.. practice, practice, practice.

Patrick Davis
March 1, 2010 6:18 am

I believe this has been blown out of all proportion, sure powerful quake, but given the plate techtonics in that region, a bit OTT IMO. The fault/quake and subsequent “shifting” of ocean floor were nothing like that which struck on Boxing Day 2005 in the Asia region.

Dillon Allen
March 1, 2010 7:10 am

Has anyone seen any reporting of possible connections between “luxemberg” and the quakes (pre-shocks, main quake, and aftershocks) that have been hitting South America?
I have nothing other than my “Huh?” alarm in my head ringing once or twice. I just recall reading in the past week or so posts about:
– long-period waves possibly causing calving of Antarctic bergs (vice melting)
– one of the largest ice bergs ever documented calving off
– a major earthquake (5th?? largest ever recorded) and its associates long-period wave generation (tsunamis)
Not to jump to conclusions… but are there any smart folks out there to shed some light or cut off the light completely on this idea?

JonesII
March 1, 2010 8:05 am

These indian geologists succesfully predicted the december 2004 earthquake and tsunami:
http://www.esc-web.org/papers/potsdam_2004/sce_venkatanathan.pdf
http://igu.in/9-4/5venkat.pdf

Craig Goodrich
March 1, 2010 1:24 pm

“… you can draw the conclusion that are reporting system has improved dramatically during that period.”
Mmmpf. You can also draw the conclusion that the general level of journalistic ignorance has also grown dramatically during that period.
Bill Tuttle — “Since we as humans can do nothing to *cause* either tsunamis or earthquakes, …”
I dunno. A lunatic geothermal project in Switzerland was canceled because it was causing earthquakes in nearby villages. This caused the cancellation of a similar project in California. Geothermal, remember, requires drilling industrial-size holes very deep in geologically unstable, volcanically active areas of the planet… This whole “renewable energy” fad is really endangering the environment in its feckless quest for a free lunch…

Editor
March 2, 2010 4:44 pm

M. Simon (16:32:14) : edit
“I know I’m headed off into the grass here but since it was brought up above, can some one explain how socialism is a right wing doctrine? OK. How about if I call it National Socialism. Or as I prefer – right wing compared to what? ”
This is off topic for this blog, but essentially, the “wings” that matter in describing it thus are not economic, or social (leftists typically describe soviet socialism as “state capitalism” rather than communism, in an attempt to avoid being tarred over stalinist persecution and genocide), but instead is based on nationalism vs internationalism, i.e. nationalism (Naziism, Stalinism) is bad and therefore right-wing, internationalism (Trotskyism, Maoism, Castroism, Rooseveltism) is good and therefore left-wing.

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