Tsunami threat for the Pacific

Of course the big news today is the 8.8 earthquake in Chile and the Tsunami warning stemming from it. There’s not much I could add that’s not already being covered, but I thought this image from the American West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center was interesting. They posted this map with estimated arrival times of tsunami waves generated by the 8.8 earthquake earthquake off the coast of Chile:

Even more interesting is the map they published of the path of energy distribution in the waves. It looks like Hawaii will dodge the worst of it:

The image above depicts wave height in centimeters.

I’m not posting direct links to these images at the center since I don’t want their server to be overwhelmed, so I’ve stored them locally.

It looks like the Aleutian islands may get some significant portion of this as will New Zealand.

The Tsunami Warning Center has a very detailed list of estimated arrival times for waves generated by Saturday’s 8.8 magnitude earthquake at many locations along the west coast of the United States. On the US West coast, the first waves to arrive will be in San Diego just after noon PST.

BONUS:

Quite possibly the stupidest science headline ever,  from MSNBC and LiveScience:

Big quake question: Is nature out of control?

and

Chile Earthquake: Is Mother Nature Out of Control?

Newsflash: Nature has never been within our control.

This article at Livescience which MSNBC picked up was written by Jeanna Bryner,

who has also written articles on “The Perils of Text Messaging While Walking” and “Wanted: The Equation of Love”

Her apparent justification for the current headline:

“One scientist, however, says that relative to a time period in the past, the Earth has been more active over the past 15 years or so.”

Since the introduction of the Internet and proliferation of live global satellite news coverage, also in the past 15-20 years, we certainly do hear more about what goes on around the planet, often within minutes of occurrence. Does that mean the planet is getting more active? Not neccessarily, but you can draw the conclusion that are reporting system has improved dramatically during that period.

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Douglas DC
February 27, 2010 2:16 pm

One reason I moved from the Oregon Coast. Tsunamis and Subduction zone
Earthquakes, I went out and hugged by Columbia River Basalt Column. -Which
is what we in most of Ne Oregon sit on….

MrCPhysics
February 27, 2010 2:29 pm

Biggest waves in Hawaii seem to be about 3 feet above sea level (6 feet from crest to trough). Those shouldn’t do much damage.

the_Butcher
February 27, 2010 2:29 pm

A sign of Global Warming, we must act now!

wakeupmaggy
February 27, 2010 2:33 pm

Female host on FNC said,
“Many Americans are in Hawaii as they are on vacation there.”
I hope she meant to say Chile.

Doug in Seattle
February 27, 2010 2:34 pm

The third pulse has been and gone at Hilo. No damage, no injuries. The Tsunami warning center is not removing the warning, but are not anticipating any major threat to the Hawaiian Islands.

aMINO aCIDS iN mETEORITES
February 27, 2010 2:34 pm

just heard surge hit southern california. they said they noticed it but it wasn’t much.
nothing big happened. Still it was good that they knew ahead of time.

INGSOC
February 27, 2010 2:38 pm

I love that MSNBC is claiming that earthquakes seem bigger lately. Gee, I wonder if they are referring to the change of scale that has an 8.3 (Richter) as an 8.8 (New fangled scary scale)
They really do believe we are all stupid: Unfortunately, they may be correct. My neighbours all just got into their truck for a drive up the valley “Just in case”. Here we are already at 565 feet above sea level. I mentioned that just before they drove away and was met with a bunch of deer in the headlights.
Sigh…

Richard
February 27, 2010 2:38 pm

paullm (13:46:36) : Gotta love those folks on the cliffs! If anything dramatic occurs at all . Ah ha…1.5 ft high on the big island.

Dont know which big island youre talking about. Here in New Zealand we are already having 1 m surges in Northland. Thats 3.3 ft and as you might know its not the height but the power of the tsunami that counts. If the surges continue into high tide later in the day moving at upwards of 300 km per hr, with several kms of water behind it, when channelled into low lying channels it can do a bit of damage.

Mia Nony
February 27, 2010 2:46 pm

[snip – we don’t discuss the H.A.A.R.P project here, not no way, not no how]

Mia Nony
February 27, 2010 2:52 pm

[SNIP – no discussion of HAARP on this blog, period, take it somewhere else]

Charlie A
February 27, 2010 2:53 pm

Here in S. Kihei, I was only able to detect a change because it was an relatively calm day with only small waves and swell. The water level seemed to go down a foot so and then come back up, with a period of several minutes. More exciting than watching paint dry, but not by much.

February 27, 2010 2:55 pm

[Oliver, I’ve told you several times that your attempts to hijack threads with your solar theories, that have nothing to do with the thread, are unwelcome.
You’ve been warned gently, firmly, and strongly. Yet you’ve ignored those warnings here again trying to push your solar theories on a thread about a Tsunami.
You are banned for this continued behavior. You are now permanently unwelcome here, all further comments from you will be deleted wholesale. – Anthony]

AndrewG
February 27, 2010 2:57 pm

Just saw a report that NSW (Australia) has closed its beaches, but crowds of onlookers are forming “just back from the sand”. Hoo Boy, that’ll keep them safe (not)

mercurior
February 27, 2010 2:59 pm

Sometimes i think the earth has had enough of us and is doing these things to get rid of us.

Alan Wilkinson
February 27, 2010 2:59 pm

RIchard, we happened to be swimming on NZ Northland east coast beach in the Bay of Islands around 9 am and there was no sign of anything but a bit of water discoloration. The media excitement about the 1m wave was in Tutukaka harbour which is a very narrow entrance bottle shaped harbour and the only gap in a row of cliffs so obviously magnifies things.
Here are the wave gauges for NZ and offshore islands:
http://www.geonet.org.nz/tsunami/index.html
Only the Chatham Islands and Gisbourne saw much significant.

Laurie
February 27, 2010 3:03 pm

The lady reporting on the tsunami from CNN must have attended the same class as Al Gore, where he learned that the Earth’s core temperature is millions of degrees. She tells us the tsunami has travelled “hundreds of thousands of miles” from the earthquake in Chile. Once someone tell her at the break, I’m guessing her face temperature will also be millions of degrees.

Les Francis
February 27, 2010 3:05 pm

Gee. How the misinformation spreads. Our local Melbourne Australia networked radio news is quoting some geological expert as saying this latest Chile event is the largest earthquake for the last hundred years.
Guess they forgot about 2004 Aceh or 1960 Chile, etc etc.

February 27, 2010 3:06 pm

[SNIP- no discussion of HAARP on this blog, period]

Les Francis
February 27, 2010 3:09 pm

[SNIP- no discussion of HAARP on this blog, period]

Stephen Skinner
February 27, 2010 3:09 pm

BONUS:
“Quite possibly the stupidest science headline ever, from MSNBC and LiveScience:
Big quake question: Is nature out of control?”
Please be fair as the title is this, unless it was changed:
“Big quake question: Are they getting worse?”
Reading the whole article reveals a more balanced view and contains this statement:
“… But in the grand scheme of things, geologists say this is just Mother Nature as usual.”

February 27, 2010 3:20 pm

[SNIP – no discussion of HAARP, period, all further comments will be snipped]

MattN
February 27, 2010 3:39 pm

Didn’t even make it to midnight before someone played the AGW card: http://www.khurak.net/chile-earthquake-2010-0019073/
“The analysts are of the view that these catastrophes are the outcome of global warming.”
I really want to know who these “analysts” are….
REPLY: eh, just a minor website with no readership. What we are looking for is a major news outlet. -A

February 27, 2010 3:41 pm

The best tweet I read today while searching for news about the Hawaii tsunami was:
vicksvncia: global warming its the cause of everything…. poor chile and hawai!
:

February 27, 2010 3:46 pm

is this true????????

tokyoboy
February 27, 2010 3:49 pm

I wish the surge against Tuvalu is not very devastating.