NASA refutes Mann and Rahmstorf – Finds Atlantic 'Conveyor Belt' Not Slowing

From the “we told you so yesterday” and the “settled science” department. This study was released in 2010, and they used actual measurements, rather than proxy data and reconstructions like…

Michael Mann and Stefan Rahmstorf claim the Gulf Stream is slowing due to Greenland ice melt, except reality says otherwise

UPDATED – see below From your “Day after Tomorrow” department (where a slowing Gulf Stream turned NYC into an icebox) comes this claim from the bowels of Mannian Science. Unfortunately,…

An Unexpected Admission from Dana Nuccitelli at SkepticalScience

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale In Dana Nuccitelli’s recent post at SkepticalScience Matt Ridley wants to gamble the Earth’s future because he won’t learn from the past, he has finally…

New Study Predicts a Slight Cooling of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures over the Next Decade

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale Pierre Gosselin at NoTrickZone provided an introduction to a recently published paper in his post IPCC Scientist Mojib Latif Sees North Atlantic Cooling Over Next…

Arctic Ice and the AMO

By Paul Homewood   David Rose’s piece in the Mail on Sunday has already been picked by WUWT and Bishop Hill, amongst others. But I want to concentrate on one…

Will the Next El Niño Bring an End to the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming?

Rebuttal to Chen and Tung (2014) highlighted in “Cause for ‘The Pause’ #38 – Cause of global warming hiatus found deep in the Atlantic Ocean” Numerous scientific papers have reported…

And this excuse makes 30. Dueling press releases on 'the pause', blaming Pacific Trade Winds on 'Atlantic warming'

Previously, we had 29 excuses for “the pause” now we have 30. When a paper is published by multiple authors, the universities of those authors often produce separate press releases…

New paper: The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate

Just two explanatory variables (GHG and AMO) still account for 93% of the temperature variance. Dr. Leif Svalgaard sends word of this article in Geophysical Research letters by Petr Chylek,…

AMO, NAO, and Correlation

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s a new paper over at IOP called “Forcing of the wintertime atmospheric circulation by the multidecadal fluctuations of the North Atlantic ocean”, by Y Peings…

Maybe the IPCC’s Modelers Should Try to Simulate Earth’s Oceans

UPDATE (April 6, 2014): I’ve added a link to a follow-up post about the cause of the observed C-shaped warming pattern in the Pacific. # # # The climate models…

On Chylek et al (2014) – The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a Dominant Factor of Oceanic Influence on Climate

I was advised of a recent paper that studies the impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on global surface temperatures since 1900. (Thanks, Anthony.) The paper is Chylek et al.…

It Isn’t How Climate Scientists Communicated their Message; It’s the Message

Over the past few months, there have been a number of articles about how the climate science community could have presented their message differently, or responded differently, so that they…

Claim: Analysis indicates that North and tropical Atlantic warming affects Antarctic climate

It seems the ocean cycles get a bigger role than GHG’s in this study. Plus Antarctic models are still FUBAR: The gradual warming of the North and tropical Atlantic Ocean…

Cause of 'the pause' in global warming

Guest essay by Don J. Easterbrook, Dept of Geology, Western Washington University The absence of global warming for the past 17 years has been well documented. It has become known…

Author of its Own Demise – musings on the AMO

Guest essay by Caleb Shaw I once had a very good science teacher who I fear I made wild, not so much by causing small explosions in the back of…

Will their Failure to Properly Simulate Multidecadal Variations In Surface Temperatures Be the Downfall of the IPCC?

OVERVIEW This post illustrates what many people envision after reading scientific papers about the predicted multidecadal persistence of the hiatus period—papers like Li et al. (2013) and Wyatt and Curry…

Chylek et al 2013 shows a linkage between US Southwest climate and AMO/PDO cycles

This paper suggests that the CMIP5 models’ (which IPCC relies upon) predicted US SW temperature sensitivity to the GHG has been significantly overestimated by about a factor of two. Imprint…

Another Peer-Reviewed Paper Predicting the Cessation of Global Warming Will Last At Least Another Decade

A few days ago, the Georgia Tech press release for Wyatt and Curry (2013) included a quote from Marcia Wyatt, who said the stoppage in global warming “could extend into…

Models Fail: Land versus Sea Surface Warming Rates

In Climate Models Fail, using a number of different datasets, I illustrated how the climate models used by the IPCC for their 5th Assessment Report could not simulate climate variables…

On Muller et al (2013) “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric land temperatures”

I received an email yesterday morning advising me that Muller et al (2013) had been published. (Thanks, Marc.) The title of the paper is “Decadal variations in the global atmospheric…

How Long Will the Naturally Caused Drought Persist in the U.S.?

AND DOES THE UPCOMING NCADAC REPORT ADDRESS THE AMO’S INFLUENCE ON THE DROUGHT? Anthony Watts recently published a post about the current drought in the U.S. titled To NCDC: We…

The AMO, Codfish, Seals and Fishermen

Only remotely related to climate change, but perhaps related to politics polluting universities, this essay floats ideas concerning our nations fisheries, and fishes for feedback from WUWT readers. Guest essay…

Multidecadal Variations and Sea Surface Temperature Reconstructions

UPDATE: I’ve added a link at the end of the post for those interested in a copy of it in .pdf format. ########### OVERVIEW This is a somewhat lengthy blog…

Trend To Colder Winters Continues in UK

Guest post by Paul Homewood http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/anomacts Figures released by the  Met Office show the UK mean temperature for the 2012/13 winter finishing at 3.31C. This is below the long term…