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Author Archives: erl happ
High level clouds and surface temperature
Guest post by Erl Happ The orbit of the Earth’s around the sun is slightly eccentric. The closest point is called the perihelion. On January 4th the Earth is just 147,098,291 km away from the sun. Aphelion occurs July 4th … Continue reading
Cloud cools
Guest post by Erl Happ This post was generated in response to the Christopher Monkton thread. It is not a criticism of Christopher Monkton but of our tendency to imagine that artful mathematicians (I am not one) are sufficiently sophisticated … Continue reading
Where is Science?
Guest post by Erl Happ The Southern Oscillation Index is a reference point for the strength of the Trade winds. It represents the difference in atmospheric pressure between Tahiti and Darwin. In figure 1 the SOI is the red line … Continue reading
Posted in ENSO, Uncategorized
Tagged Atmospheric pressure, Darwin Northern Territory, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Tahiti
146 Comments
Climate disaster, declining rainfall, rising sea levels
Guest Post by Erl Happ The subject of this post is climate change in the place where I live. The climate has changed in the last sixty years and there is a widespread notion that man is at fault. It’s … Continue reading
A climate change dynamic
Guest post by Erl Happ The presumption that ‘the science is settled’ is incorrect. This post aims to give readers an understanding of the dynamics of the coupled circulation of the stratosphere and the troposphere at the poles that drives … Continue reading
Posted in Antarctic
29 Comments
The character of climate change part 4
Guest post by Erl Happ This post is best read after viewing parts one, two and three that set the scene for what is described here. I noted in parts 1 and 2 that variability in global temperature is greatest … Continue reading
Posted in Climate_change
101 Comments
The character of climate change part 3
Guest post by Erl Happ Here’s a hypothetical: Let’s imagine that we have an atmosphere of two parts. The first 10 km of the atmosphere has no greenhouse gas. The second 40 km has a greenhouse gas incorporated. In the … Continue reading
Posted in Climate_change
117 Comments
The character of climate change part 2
Guest post by Erl Happ What is the utility of the globe to humanity at this particular point in the evolution of the Earths disparate climatic regimes? Has there been an improvement or deterioration in recent times. To answer these … Continue reading
Posted in Climate_change
37 Comments
The character of climate change part 1
Guest Post by Erl Happ Figure 1 records global temperature as it runs between its minimum in January and maximum in July. Vital information is lost when we reduce the data stream to a computed mean (maximum plus minimum/2). But … Continue reading
Posted in Climate_change
64 Comments
Earth’s changing atmosphere
Guest Post by Erl Happ This article investigates the sources of natural climate variation. This is a long post but it’s a big subject. Before you get half way through, your perception of the way things are, will have changed. … Continue reading
Something topical
Guest post by Erl Happ The Northern Hemisphere is having an old fashioned winter. I thought it might be of interest to look back at history for any lessons that might be there. I think that we already have enough … Continue reading

























