More 'ice free Arctic' claims – we've heard it all before

From the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, something we’ve heard before. For example this claim from 2008. Gotta love the use of props to show how climate tipping points work:…

Another amplification mechanism discovered by which the Sun affects Earth's climate

From The Hockey Schtick A paper published Tuesday in the Journal of Climate finds tiny variations in solar activity over 11-year solar cycles have greatly amplified effects upon climate via…

A Different Perspective of the Equatorial Pacific and ENSO Events

by Bob Tisdale It’s difficult to express how enormous El Niño and La Niña events are. Often, when discussing them, I’ll display a map of the tropical Pacific (see example…

On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The…

Study: natural variation still rules monsoons

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST Natural climate swings contribute more to increased monsoon rainfall than global warming Natural swings in the climate have significantly intensified Northern Hemisphere monsoon…

The Native Sun

After I left Clayton’s place in 1971, following my motto of “Retire Early … And Often”, I retired for a while. It was good fun, but as usual, impending hunger…

Modeling sea level rise is an 'uneven' proposition

From the British Antarctic Survey New projections of ‘uneven’ global sea-level rise Reporting in the journal Geophysical Research Letters researchers have looked ahead to the year 2100 to show how…

NOAA corrects 'State of the Climate' – offers no credit

NOAA Corrects Their 2012 State of the Climate Report – 2012 Was NOT the Warmest La Niña Year on Record Guest post by Bob Tisdale With as little fanfare as possible,…

Here there be Dragons

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I was reflecting tonight about emergent phenomena, and how one thing about emergent phenomena is their unpredictability. I’m in the process of writing up a…

Coralline Algae and the Case for Natural Climate Change

Guest post by Jim Steele Director Sierra Nevada Field Campus, emeritus, San Francisco State University There was a very revealing 2012 paper demonstrating the power and interconnections of natural ocean…

New study: Ocean-driven warming along the western Antarctic Peninsula needs to be considered as part of a natural centennial timescale cycle of climate variability

From Cardiff University: Tiny fossils hold answers to big questions on climate change Research explores 12,000 year fossil record The western Antarctic Peninsula is one of the fastest warming regions…

NOAA SOTC Claim that 2012 Was Warmest La Nina Year is Wrong

NOAA’s Definition and Data Contradict Their Claim That 2012 Was The Warmest La Niña Year Guest post by Bob Tisdale In the 2012 State of the Climate Report, the National Oceanic…

ENSO 2013 – Boy or Girl?

We’re Expecting: Will it be a Boy, a Girl, or ENSO-Neutral in 2013? by Bob Tisdale There was lots of interest in the short-lived El Niño conditions in 2012. Recently, they…

Quote of the week – Hansen concedes the age of flatness

Dr. James Hansen and Reto Ruedy of NASA GISS have written a paper (non peer reviewed) with a remarkable admission in it. It is titled Global Temperature Update Through 2012. Here…

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made…

A link between climate, ice melt, and volcanic eruptions is found

When the ice melts, the Earth spews fire GEOMAR researchers discover a link between climate and volcanic eruptions It has long been known that volcanic activity can cause short-term variations…

El Niño-Southern Oscillation Myth 3: ENSO Has No Trend and Cannot Contribute to Long-Term Warming

Guest post by Bob Tisdale This is the 3rd part of a series of posts that present myths and misunderstandings about the tropical Pacific processes that herald themselves during El…

Once again, reality trumps models – Pacific SST's are flat

Model-Data Comparison: Pacific Ocean Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Guest post by Bob Tisdale I’ll be adding the Pacific Ocean (60S-65N, 120E-80W) sea surface temperature anomalies to my monthly updates. See…

Climate Craziness of the Week – Environmentalist ignores international moratoriums, dumps in the ocean

From the Toronto Star, an example of holier than thou environmentalism in the name of carbon sequestration. Environmental controversy erupts on Canada’s Pacific coast Raveena Aulakh Environment reporter The Pacific…

Resolving the biases in century-scale sea surface temperature measurements reveals some interesting patterns

This new paper in GRL takes on the well-known buckets-vs-inlets issue (Steve McIntyre also visited the issue several times) related to ship based sea surface temperature measurements and as a…