A Quick Note from Kip Hansen A quick note for the amusement of the bored but curious. While in search of something else, I ran across this enlightening page from the folks at UCAR/NCAR [The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/The National Center for Atmospheric Research — see pdf here for more information]: “What is…
Energy From The Daily Caller Michael Bastasch 11:19 AM 08/03/2017 A new study using an expensive climate supercomputer to predict the risk of record-breaking rainfall in southeast England is no better than “using a piece of paper,” according to critics. “The Met Offices’s model-based rainfall forecasts have not stood up to empirical tests and…
Josh writes: In the news today (The Sunday Times “BBC pulls plug on Met Office”) we learn that the BBC is not going to renew the Met Office’s contract to provide weather forecasts. Interesting. Maybe we will see Piers Corbyn giving the British weather in the future. Cartoons by Josh
This is a guest post by Prof. Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts at the Met Office, (IPCC AR4 and AR5 lead author) about Lewandowsky, Oreskes et al’s forthcoming paper, which suggests that climate skeptics influence climate scientists. Richard’s post starts now. Stephan Lewandowsky and co-authors have published an Executive Summary of their forthcoming paper*…
By Paul Homewood The Met Office have now issued their comprehensive report on the St Jude’s Day storm, that hit southern England in October. Readers will recall idiotic headlines at the time, describing it as “The Storm of the Century”, “Unprecedented”, “Superstorm” and “A repeat of 1987”. I pointed out at the time that such…
I’m pleased to have had a chance to to review this new paper just published in the Journal of Climate: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models Suckling, Emma B., Leonard A. Smith, 2013: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models*. J. Climate, 26, 9334–9347. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1 The lead…
The kidz at Skeptical Science (SkS) have made fools of themselves again, creating an app that is not only morally wrong, but the clearest case of science propaganda disguised as climate information I’ve ever seen. First, one wonders what the people of Hiroshima think about the tragedy of war that befell their city being used…
‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from the UK Met Office led by Doug Smith wrote a paper “Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model”, published…
Guest Post by Kip Hansen There are a lot of good, in-depth technical discussions of Cowtan and Way 2013, Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends. This is not one of them. In this post, I only hope to demonstrate a trick I learned when a young man,…
Guest essay by M.S.Hodgart (Visiting Reader Surrey Space Centre University of Surrey) The figure presented here is a new graph of the story of global warming – and cooling. The graph makes no predictions and should be used only to see what has been happening historically. The boxed points in the figure are the ‘raw…