A new AI-based system that uses a variety of data sources to generate weather forecasts comparable to those produced by traditional weather prediction systems, such as GFS.
Category: Forecasting
2025 Hurricane Forecast Was Overly Alarmist (Again)…Atlantic Season Ending Near Normal
Huricane season forecasts have not really improved, despite all the claims that models are better than ever:
Could a fully AI driven weather prediction system start a revolution in forecasting?
“Aardvark reimagines current weather prediction methods offering the potential to make weather forecasts faster, cheaper, more flexible and more accurate than ever before…
No, Tribune, Short Term AI Weather Analysis Provides No Insight Concerning Climate Change
Tribune News Service: please stop confusing flash with substance. AI is not a magical oracle of climate truth — it’s a faster, sometimes cheaper way to crunch the same flawed models that have…
Skillful Weather Warnings But Catastrophic Damage and Large Death Tolls. We Need to Do Better.
We can radically reduce deaths and losses due to storms and adverse weather by recognizing the extraordinary potential of improved observations and forecasts, and then applying this information to warn…
The Texas Flooding Tragedy: Could It Have Been Avoided?
Any media or other organization suggesting that the National Weather Service was not on top of this event is not only not telling the truth, but doing a deep disservice…
Will Fewer Balloon Weather Observations Mean Reduced Forecast Skill?
…there are powerful arguments about why the radiosondes are no longer as important to weather prediction, and particularly whether the temporary loss of a few of them would make much…
Why Weather Intelligence Needs to be a Priority for the Golden Dome
As the gamut of U.S. defense contractors gear up to compete for the Golden Dome, every type of advanced technology will be on the table, including space-based sensors, hypersonic interceptors,…
The German “Record Heat Summer” Weather Clowns Already Out in Full Force
..in Germany it seems a number of German weathermen have been getting acutely aroused every time a model sees a heat wave in the pipeline 2 weeks out. The media…
Met Office Failed to Predict Dry Spring
I have asked the Met Office to supply the March to May outlook, which does not pop up on Wayback, unlike the above one. When we get the actual numbers…
NOAA’s Forecast Model Has A Drop Out Problem
this dropout problem has been going on for years and has nothing to do with budget cutbacks, fired personnel, or some weather balloons not being launched.
Artificial intelligence (AI) making strides in the world of weather forecasting…European Center for Forecasting makes its AI-model fully operational
The European Center for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) has made its Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) the first such fully operational weather prediction model that uses machine learning and artificial intelligence.…
AI Forecasting? Well, Anything is Better than the Met Office
with Aardvark, researchers have replaced the entire weather prediction pipeline with a single, simple machine learning model. The new model takes in observations from satellites, weather stations and other sensors…
When a Forecast Flops: Post-Hoc Rationalization in Climate Science
For climate science to have any credibility, it needs to grapple honestly with its uncertainties—not reframe every miss as proof of an unknowable, ever-shifting reality. Until then, one can’t help…
NOAA’s Future and Project 2025
Although Project 2025 has hits and misses regarding NOAA, NOAA acutely needs reform. Major reform. Reform that will enable it to serve its mission better. Reform that will make it more…
Michael E. Mann’s Forecast Fiasco
Steve Milloy of JunkScience summed it up aptly by calling Mann’s prediction “the wrongest count ever predicted.” While that might sound harsh, it’s tough to argue with the numbers. Mann…
Mysteries Surrounding The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. CO2 Definitely Not the Driving Factor
Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely…
What Happened to Your “Wettest Summer”, Met Office?
As I noted at the time, the Met Office’s warning did not even tally with their own 3-Month Outlook, and was clearly designed as pure spin intended to scare the…
LIVE at 1 pm ET, Hurricane Season 2024: Were the predictions wrong again? – The Climate Realism Show #124
Professional climate alarmist Michael Mann said human-caused global warming would prime the Atlantic Ocean to produce 33 named storms and several major hurricanes to lash the United States. The media,…
Countering the climate exaggerators squatting in the house of weather
In any case, our actual forecast is looking darn good.
What Happened To That “Wettest Summer”, Met Office?
Could somebody remind me why we need a Met Office?
Expert’s Prediction Of “Summer of Hell” For Central Europe Hasn’t Materialized Yet
He had predicted “a summer of hell with almost complete certainty”. We reported. As early as March 2024, some meteorologists raised concerns about this forecast.
ClimateTV Live: Hurricane Season Begins: Bigger and Badder? – The Climate Realism Show #112 1pm ET, 10 am PT
Hurricane Season 2024 officially kicks off Saturday, June 1 and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a more-active-than-normal season in the Atlantic.
Media Hypes NOAA’s Above-Normal 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
…given the poor track record of the past, there’s a good chance that NOAA and the media will have egg on its collective face again at the end of 2024
