The Button Collector or When does trend predict future values?

Guest essay By Kip Hansen INTRO: Statistical trends never determine future values in a data set. Trends do not and cannot predict future values. If these two statements make you…

There is only one published peer-reviewed paper that claims to provide scientific forecasts of long-range global mean temperatures

by Kesten C. Green, J. Scott Armstrong, and Willie Soon The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they…

AGU summarily rejects minority report without due process

Further Discussion on the Narrow Process of the AGU Review of Climate Change Guest essay by Roger A. Pielke Sr. With the appearance of the new 2013 WG1 IPCC report,…

Another Reason Why IPCC Predictions (Projections) Fail. AR5 Continues to Let The End Justify the Unscrupulous Means

Noble cause corruption in the process. Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball Someone said economists try to predict the tide by measuring one wave. The IPCC essentially try to predict…

Political Scientists: Gerald North and Andrew Dessler Double Down on Climate Alarmism

Gerald North                     Andrew Dessler Guest essay by Robert Bradley Jr. “I did worry that my comment on my not being…

The Sun Does It: Now Go Figure Out How!

(Perturbation Calculations of Ocean Surface Temperatures.) Guest essay by Stan Robertson, Ph.D., P.E. 1. Introduction It is generally conceded that the earth has warmed a bit over the last century,…

Just in Time for Halloween Come Some Scary Global Warming Predictions

By Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels Global warming beater Justin Gillis of the New York Times had an article yesterday describing a new paper in the current…

Commentary on the Article about the Interplanetary Magnetic Field influences

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball The comment by “steven” (Oct 9, 8:20 am) on this web site about an article by Lam, Chisham and Freeman (LCF) says correctly that…

Lindzen: Understanding The IPCC AR5 Climate Assessment

Guest essay by Dr. Richard Lindzen Each IPCC report seems to be required to conclude that the case for an international agreement to curb carbon dioxide has grown stronger. That…

We Must Get Rid of the Carboniferous Warm Period

Guest essay by Phillip Mulholland Late Carboniferous to Early Permian time (315 mya — 270 mya) is the only time period in the last 600 million years when both atmospheric…

Norway's wheat production impacted by Climate Change

Guest essay by David Archibald A correspondent in Oslo writes: “The official view in Norway is in contrast to what the people experience because of cooling weather: Late spring gives…

IPCC Calls Off Planetary Emergency?

Guest essay by Marlo Lewis Okay, they don’t do so in as many words. But in addition to being more confident than ever (despite a 16-year pause in warming and…

The 2013 IPCC AR5 Report: Facts -vs- Fictions

Guest essay by Dr. Don J. Easterbrook, Professor of Geology, Western Washington University Mark Twain popularized the saying “There are liars, damn liars, and statisticians.” After reading the recently-released [IPCC…

IPCC Climate: A Product of Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics Built On Inadequate Data

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball “If you torture the data enough, nature will always confess” – Ronald Coase. Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable. – Anonymous.…

Detecting the AGW Needle in the SST Haystack

Guest essay by Jeffery S. Patterson My last post on this site, examined the hypothesis that the climate is dominated by natural, harmonically related periodicities. As they say in the…

Unwarranted Temperature Adjustments and Al Gore's Unwarranted Call for Intellectual Tyranny

Guest essay by Jim Steele, Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University For researchers like myself examining the effect of local microclimates on the ecology of local…

The reply to the 'bad astronomer – Phil Plait' that Slate.com refused to publish

Guest essay by Dr. Matt Ridley Phil Plait, who goes by the name of the “bad astronomer”, has now written three articles in Slate attacking two of my columns in…

Join my crowd-sourced complaint about the '97% consensus'

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Three-quarters (rounded up to 97.1%) of all commenters expressing an opinion on my recent post about Dana Nuccitelli’s attempt at ex-post-facto justification of the false…

Real climate science the IPCC doesn’t want you to see

Guest essay by Paul Driessen Once again, it’s the NIPCC versus the IPCC – facts versus gloom-and-doom assertions. Earth’s average atmospheric temperatures haven’t increased in almost 17 years. It’s been…

50:1 should now be 100:1

Low ECS doubles the cost:benefit shortfall Guest essay by Barry Brill Topher Fields’ excellent documentary video http://topher.com.au/50-to-1-video-project/ explains that the overall costs of any global effort to reduce greenhouse gas…