Energy Crisis: Germany Enters Heating Season with Historically Low Gas Reserve Fill Levels

From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

Looming crisis…

Experts are warning that Germany is heading into the heating season with dangerously low natural gas reserve fill levels. Currently, Germany’s gas reserve fill level stands at only 55%!

Normal for this time of year is 90%.

Last February, Germany’s natural gas reserve fill level dipped to a worrisome 20%, but late February warmth saved the day. In September, 2025, Germany the fill level had been 73%, — a level considered too low for mid September — yet still far above this year’s measly 55%.

Under average winter temperatures, a 77% starting level is projected to be enough to keep heating running and leave around 38% in storage by spring. So currently, with only 55%, a prolonged, a severe cold spell would mean daily withdrawal demands could outpace delivery capacity, creating potential shortfalls of up to 25% on peak days in January.

The concern surrounding Germany’s current 55% gas reserve fill level stems from a combination of strict operational constraints, market incentives, and the risk of severe weather. Due to slow injection speeds over the summer, operators have consistently failed to meet that daily rate. If current filling trends continue through autumn, analysts estimate reserves will peak at onl

In response to the warnings, Germany’s Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur) insists that supplies remain secure. Total gas currently stored ~136 TWh still exceeds the total volume withdrawn across the entire previous winter (~134 TWh).

Failed government green energy policy

Alice Weidel, co-leader of the opposition Alternative for Germany (AfD), has framed the low gas reserve fill levels as a direct failure of the government’s green energy policy.

Weidel argues that the depletion of reserves and current low storage levels leave German industry vulnerable and increase energy prices. She contends that cutting off long-term reliance on cheap Russian pipeline imports—and relying instead on expensive LNG or renewable structures—has systematically weakened the nation’s infrastructure and economic stability.

“The so-called energy transition is the biggest millstone crushing our economy and dragging it into the abyss,” Weidel said. “Expensive, dysfunctional parallel structures are being subsidized while proven and cost-effective infrastructure is being systematically destroyed.”

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6 Comments
September 13, 2026 10:19 pm

Google says:

Germany has not implemented a government mandate to shut down active, productive domestic gas wells. Instead, Germany has actively sought to secure its energy supplies. However, individual energy companies continuously plug and decommission older, depleted, or uneconomical wells as part of standard lifecycles.

[1] (https://www.neowells.de/en/plug-abandonment/),

[2] (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-02/germany-gives-go-ahead-for-gas-drilling-in-protected-marine-zone)

Editor
Reply to  Steve Case
September 13, 2026 10:34 pm

Google does not tell the whole story. Its usual sources also say that the gas suppliers know that gas is unreliable compared with wind and solar, but keep quiet about it, while trying to quietly close their gas generation down before they are completely overtaken by wind and solar. These sources also say that gas is already uneconomic and the gas companies will be bankrupted by the next surge in supply of wind and solar, hence their attempts to pull out without being noticed by the general public.

My view is that Google should (a) develop a little more of the I in AI, and (b) change to reliable sources.

Reply to  Mike Jonas
September 13, 2026 11:55 pm

You are correct about Google. The truth is simpler. Energiewende forces CCGT to throttle back whenever renewables are available. As a result, CCGT runs severely underutilized and thus very unprofitable. In consequence, one of Germany’s largest utilities (RWE) split its renewable and CCGT assets, then spun CCGT off at a book loss a few years ago.

Chris Hanley
Reply to  Steve Case
September 13, 2026 11:15 pm

Germany has relied on imported gas for many years.

Only about 2% of natural gas consumption in Germany comes from domestic sources, overwhelmingly it has been imported via LNG and pipelines from Russia (before Ukraine).
Domestic sources which in 2000 supplied ~20% of domestic consumption have been depleted over 20 years although fracking could open up new domestic sources if it were allowed.
In 2025 imported LNG supplied ~30% and non-Russian pipelines (e.g.from Norway Netherlands) supplied ~68% of domestic consumption.

Alice Weidel, co-leader of the opposition Alternative for Germany (AfD), has framed the low gas reserve fill levels as a direct failure of the government’s green energy policy

To be able to afford heating in a German winter is such a “far-right” policy (sardonicism).

Ed Zuiderwijk
September 13, 2026 11:00 pm

Not only Germany. The Dutch next door are equally low on natural gas. But instead of being worried by it the geniuses just lowered the required levels.

Climate change policy, the policy that keeps on giving.

September 13, 2026 11:35 pm

While Energiewende is arguably a proximate cause of the German natgas storage problem, it is not the direct cause.
The direct cause is Ukraine blew up Russia’s four Nordstream 1 and 2 pipelines. Germany cannot at present import Russian natgas even if they wanted to as AfD desires.

The proximate cause is Europe’s foolish green refusal to frack its nat gas shales. This is most apparent in the UK for both green and spurious ‘earthquake fear’ reasons. There is an estimated 16 TCF of European natgas shale resource, of which about 4 TCF is probably recoverable based on US present experience. The resource mainly underlies Germany, Denmark, Poland, France, and UK. Three of those countries lie directly adjacent to Germany itself, all already interconnected by Nordstream distribution pipelines from Germany.

If this coming winter becomes a real natgas problem, it will be self inflicted.