Another Eye-Roller of a Climate Study

From the “Why do we care that agricultural pests can’t lay eggs properly? – Oh wait, we don’t!” department…and Eurekalert.

Rising carbon dioxide level disrupts insects’ ability to choose optimal egg-laying sites

Climate change is rapidly reshaping ecosystems across the globe, and new research has identified a previously unrecognized consequence: disrupted insect reproductive behavior. A recent study published in National Science Review reveals that rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels are interfering with how agricultural pests choose egg-laying sites—posing significant risks to biodiversity, food security, and pest management strategies.

  Insects, despite their adaptability, are especially sensitive to shifts in environmental conditions. As global temperatures rise and atmospheric composition changes, their behavior is changing in ways that ripple through ecosystems. CO2, the primary greenhouse gas driving global warming, has increased from 278 ppm in 1750 to approximately 420 ppm in 2023. Emerging evidence shows that elevated COlevels—alongside pollutants such as ozone and nitrogen oxides—are disrupting insects’ ability to detect chemical cues essential for reproduction and survival. Until now, the underlying mechanisms remained poorly understood.

  Now, an international collaborative study by scientists from the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, and the Max Planck Institute has provided key insights. Focusing on Helicoverpa armigera—the cotton bollworm, a major global crop pest—the team discovered that females normally use plant-emitted CO2 to locate suitable egg-laying sites, particularly favoring younger leaves that emit higher CO2 gradients. These sites are critical for larval survival and development. However, under elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations, this behavior is significantly disrupted. The study found that moths’ CO2-sensing ability is impaired, causing them to lay eggs in less suitable locations. “This disruption is akin to confusing a key olfactory cue from a GPS system,” said Prof. Guirong Wang, lead author of the study. “Without accurate CO2 signals, the insects struggle to find ideal egg-laying sites, which could affect pest population dynamics and agricultural damage.”

  To understand the biological basis for this disruption, the researchers identified three CO2-detecting gustatory receptors—HarmGR1, HarmGR2, and HarmGR3. When any of these receptors were genetically deleted, the moths’ ability to detect CO2 impaired, resulting in disoriented egg-laying behavior.

  The study’s simulations paint a worrying future: if atmospheric CO2 reaches 1000 ppm by 2100, moths’ preference for optimal egg-laying sites could drop by up to 75%. This would likely reduce larval survival, destabilize pest populations, and alter biodiversity and ecological balance.

Schematic representation of the sensory mechanisms underlying CO2-induced oviposition behavior in Helicoverpa armigera. Abbreviations: LPO, labial pit organ; LPOG, labial pit organ glomerulus; CB, central body; Ca, calyx of the mushroom body; LH, lateral horn; AN, antennal nerve. Credit ©Science China Press

  Beyond the alarming ecological implications, these findings point to new opportunities. “By targeting the CO2 receptors, we can explore novel, eco-friendly pest control strategies,” said Dr. Qiuyan Cheng, first author of the paper. One promising approach is RNA interference (RNAi), a gene-silencing technique already used in mosquito control, which could disrupt pest reproduction without harmful chemicals.

  The study adds to growing evidence that climate change is influencing insect behavior in complex and unexpected ways—not only through temperature shifts but also via direct changes to atmospheric chemistry. With global CO2 levels on track to exceed 1000 ppm by the end of the century, researchers stress the urgent need for both emissions reductions and innovative agricultural adaptation.


Journal

National Science Review DOI 10.1093/nsr/nwaf270 

1.9 13 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

79 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
August 11, 2025 2:09 pm

Until now, the underlying mechanisms remained poorly understood.

Hallelujah! What this actually means is that it can never be worse than we thought.

starzmom
Reply to  doonman
August 12, 2025 7:29 am

I think it means things can be better than we thought. Who thinks disrupting agricultural pests is a bad thing? I mean, farmers spend millions spraying to eliminate pests of all kinds, and I would venture to guess that all those sprays are worse for the environment writ large than a little CO2.

strativarius
August 11, 2025 2:12 pm

The study adds to growing evidence that climate change is…

…really being done to death.

Reply to  strativarius
August 12, 2025 4:49 am

And getting very boring- like the rest of the woke stuff. My biggest problem with the woke stuff is that I’m just tired of hearing it.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
August 12, 2025 7:53 am

So, instead of being woke (awake and alert) you are being put to sleep (anti-woke).

/h

Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 2:15 pm

Our widdle pwanet is soooo delicate! Any teeny weeny widdle change will make it cwy!

Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 12, 2025 4:50 am

Bingo! 🙂

I worked outdoors for 50 years. The environment ain’t delicate. It’s us humans that are delicate cwybabies. 🙂

Bryan A
August 11, 2025 2:19 pm

Back in Dec 1980 I started Drafting School at PIT (Phoenix Institute of Technology). Part of their monetary assistance programs included various government grants that were paid out through a work program. I worked off my grant at the Cotton Research Lab separating Male Boll Weevil pupa from female Boll Weevil Pupa. The reasoning was to develop a breed that was sterile in an effort to control the species and eliminate potential crop damages.
If all it takes to control the Boll Weevil population is a slight increase in CO2 then the Phoenix Cotton Research Lab is … Out of Business.

PROBLEM SOLVED.

no more cross breeding Blue Eyed Females and Red Eyed Males or Yellow Eyed Males and Green Eyed Females. 🤔

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Bryan A
August 11, 2025 2:24 pm

 I worked off my grant at the Cotton Research Lab separating Male Boll Weevil pupa from female Boll Weevil Pupa.”

I’m having trouble thinking of anything more exciting than that!

Bryan A
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 2:52 pm

Sorry to spoil the remainder of your ultra boring life with my sordid tales of Sexing Weevil Pupa

SwedeTex
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 3:34 pm

I don’t know boll weevil sex is probably pretty exciting………not.

Reply to  SwedeTex
August 11, 2025 9:22 pm

Maybe not to you, but it has kept the boll weevils enthralled for millions of years.

Reply to  Clyde Spencer
August 12, 2025 4:52 am

Sometimes these discussions here get very funny! 🙂

Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
August 12, 2025 5:14 am

Yes I had a good laugh for a Tuesday morning. Makes for a better day. 🙋‍♂️😃

Dieter Schultz
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 4:57 pm

I’m having trouble thinking of anything more exciting than that!

Maybe… chick sexing?

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Dieter Schultz
August 11, 2025 6:11 pm

I guess I should have added a /sarc.

Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 12, 2025 4:54 am

depends on what sort of chicks 🙂

Bryan A
Reply to  Joseph Zorzin
August 12, 2025 6:31 am

And which definition of Sexing

Tom Johnson
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 12, 2025 4:09 am

When I went to college, most of the girls were already quite sexy. No additional sexting was necessary.

Reply to  Tom Johnson
August 12, 2025 4:55 am

When I was in college, I was fussy- didn’t like most of the chicks I saw. Now that I’m 75, it seems most of the young women look very good!

BillR
Reply to  Bryan A
August 11, 2025 3:17 pm

Ah yes, the moral dilemmas we face. Trying to select from the lesser of two weevils.

Reply to  BillR
August 11, 2025 9:23 pm

That happens every four years in the USA.

George Thompson
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
August 12, 2025 8:33 am

Ditto, to above.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  BillR
August 12, 2025 7:56 am

I remember that from Master and Commander.

George Thompson
Reply to  BillR
August 12, 2025 8:33 am

That is one ugly pun-my brain hurts….

Reply to  Bryan A
August 11, 2025 9:20 pm

It is the green-eyed females that are most dangerous! 🙂

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Bryan A
August 12, 2025 7:54 am

So, you were a sex worker?

/humor

Sweet Old Bob
August 11, 2025 2:20 pm

“…scientists from the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences…”

more china BS …

Reply to  Sweet Old Bob
August 11, 2025 2:38 pm

China has built their industry to serve western markets and dominate. More than 90% of the equipment used in Australia’s very expensive energy transition is produced in China.

China needs the climate scam in the west to be maintained..

This article is propaganda dressed as science.

August 11, 2025 2:30 pm

Well, they got paid.

Ironically, they might be right in that the huge increases in vegetation due to our inadvertent but wildly positive airborne fertilizer scheme may have changed the fertility landscape for organisms with moth-sized brains.

Have at it ……

J Boles
August 11, 2025 2:43 pm

2.0 deg C in 100 years, and they think they can detect something like this in insects!? I do not believe it, just what are they counting?

Bryan A
Reply to  J Boles
August 11, 2025 2:55 pm

They’re Counting on the vacuous brain pans of US CC Zealots to react to the panic induced by socialist journalism reporting these things.

jvcstone
August 11, 2025 2:46 pm

Can’t think of any possible downside to a natural pest control like this report describes.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  jvcstone
August 12, 2025 8:19 am

My thought too. If the cotton bollworm is “a major global crop pest” but rising CO2 is affecting their ability to find favourable egg laying sites surely this is a good thing?

Scarecrow Repair
August 11, 2025 2:46 pm

However have insects survived without our aid! 6000 ppm during the dino eras, down in the 200s just a couple of centuries ago, mein Gott! that is cutting it close! Hang on, little buddies, we’re coming to the rescue!

mleskovarsocalrrcom
August 11, 2025 2:53 pm

There are only two reasons to do climate attribution studies since the outcome is already preordained. 1. To get a grant 2. To get published.

Reply to  mleskovarsocalrrcom
August 11, 2025 3:17 pm

Third reason: to promote a political agenda.

It’s Chinese…

Dave Fair
Reply to  Zig Zag Wanderer
August 11, 2025 4:40 pm

Its all governments!

Reply to  Dave Fair
August 11, 2025 9:06 pm

All B’crats think it makes them sound “caring”.

Reply to  Dave Fair
August 11, 2025 9:36 pm

I agree, but they’re mostly fooled. The Chinese are doing this deliberately to bolster their economy at everyone else’s expense.

Mr.
August 11, 2025 3:11 pm

I try to get through my days without reading something that renders me dumber than I was to start with.

Now today has become a “setback day”. 🙁

GeorgeInSanDiego
Reply to  Mr.
August 11, 2025 3:31 pm

I award them no points, and may Gaia have mercy on their souls.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  GeorgeInSanDiego
August 11, 2025 4:33 pm

What souls?

Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 10:11 pm

rrrrr souls

August 11, 2025 3:13 pm

researchers stress the urgent need for both emissions reductions and innovative agricultural adaptation.

Do you remember when researching meant providing results, instead of presenting political ideology? Pepperidge Farm does…

August 11, 2025 3:28 pm

With global CO2 levels on track to exceed 1000 ppm by the end of the century, researchers stress the urgent need for both emissions reductions and innovative agricultural adaptation.”

Wow, that’s a lot more margin over starvation levels than I would have thought possible even with a more aggressive use of fossil fuels! Nice!

Reply to  David Dibbell
August 11, 2025 3:52 pm

(1000 – 425) / 74 = +7.77 ppm/year to get to 1,000 ppm by 2100.

last 10 years growth rate averages to around +2.5 ppm/year.
So, a +7.77 ppm/year is 3X current rate. 1,000 ppm by 2100 is Not gonna happen.
Not by a long ways.

Reply to  Joel O’Bryan
August 11, 2025 4:16 pm

Agreed.

August 11, 2025 3:34 pm

I asked ChatGPT to figure out using known sinks how many barrels of oil it would take to get to 1000 ppm, the number the paper is based on.

It came up with 23 trillion barrels. Known reserves on the planet are about 1.5 trillion.

We’d have to burn ALL the oil then 15 times that much in coal and gas.

Sorry fear mongers, your test scenario is possible in the lab, but not in the great outdoors.

August 11, 2025 4:01 pm

 Insects, despite their adaptability, are especially sensitive to shifts in environmental conditions. As global temperatures rise and atmospheric composition changes, their behavior is changing in ways that ripple through ecosystems.

These are the dang things that survive because they can build up immunity to pesticides. But they can’t lay eggs because of a small increase in an already small concentration of CO2.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Phil R
August 11, 2025 4:37 pm

Their statement doesn’t even say the insects are in trouble. It basically says they adapt. So what’s the problem?

Reply to  Phil R
August 11, 2025 9:28 pm

Having said that, cockroaches will still probably inherit the world.

Reply to  Clyde Spencer
August 11, 2025 10:13 pm

They’re certainly trying to force the rest of us to kowtow to their Net Zero demands

August 11, 2025 4:02 pm

YGTBFKM!

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  John Aqua
August 11, 2025 6:43 pm

XYZPDQ?

August 11, 2025 4:14 pm

The study’s simulations paint a worrying future

“Simulations”? What did they simulate? Real world out in the wild? Or, a terrarium with increased CO2 and a couple of female moths?

Dave Fair
Reply to  Jim Gorman
August 11, 2025 4:43 pm

They cut out the insects’ CO2 sensors.

paul courtney
Reply to  Jim Gorman
August 12, 2025 5:30 am

Mr. Gorman: Not a couple, they probably started with ten female moths. They had to reject 8 non-conforming moths that appeared to benefit from more CO2. Being Climate Scientists, they called this “robust statistics.”

Reply to  paul courtney
August 12, 2025 2:54 pm

And adjusting the data.

sherro01
August 11, 2025 4:20 pm

Most insects do not live and breed in the Mauna Loa atmosphere of approx 280 to 440 ppm CO2. They live in microclimates where the CO2 does not approach uniformity or even predictability.
A valid study would require CO2 measurement many times a day in the few hundred cubic metres of air in which the insect lives, grows and breeds. Even then, many other factors besides CO2 would need measurement and interpretation.
The authors see the topic at kindergarten levels of comprehension.
Geoff S

Reply to  sherro01
August 11, 2025 4:44 pm

Unfortunately, kindergarten is also the level of their target audience.

NotChickenLittle
Reply to  Phil R
August 11, 2025 5:36 pm

True this. Indoctrinate them as young as you can, they’ll carry it with them all their lives.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Phil R
August 11, 2025 6:45 pm

I was indoctrinated with German songs in Kindergarten.

Alle meine enten schwimmen auf der see,
schwimmen auf der see…

Reply to  Jeff Alberts
August 11, 2025 10:17 pm

But the seas are boiling!

Hmmm, pre cooked fowl – handy

NotChickenLittle
August 11, 2025 5:31 pm

Methinks belief in the Magic Molecule has replaced belief in Satan as the author of all evil, for the sophisticated sciency crowd who wouldn’t be caught dead believing in a Creator…

JTraynor
August 11, 2025 6:00 pm

You need to follow this to its logical conclusion. No more bugs means no more things that eat bugs like birds and reptiles which means no more things that eat birds and reptiles which means no more bigger reptiles or mammals or whatever eats birds and reptiles which mean, at some point, no more people which is the ultimate goal of most environmentalists so they should be applauding elevated CO2 levels. It gives them what they want most. No more people.

Honestly after spending 7 years on the 405 in LA no more people has its pluses because there are way to many people on the 405

Edward Katz
August 11, 2025 6:10 pm

Note a few of the key words, like “if” and “could”. The study might have a bit more credibility if it used “a possibility” or “outside chance” of these things occurring, particularly since the UN’s numbers themselves show that agricultural output worldwide has been consistently increasing for several decades now.

technically right
August 11, 2025 6:42 pm

Well, I for one hope that it disrupts the egg laying of hover flies so that the damn things die off and can’t pester me all summer while I’m trying to enjoy a cool drink on me deck.

Denis
August 11, 2025 7:05 pm

Then of course, with more CO2 in the air, there will be more young leaves for the weevils to pick from. I see no mention in the summary that this was considered.

Reply to  Denis
August 11, 2025 9:32 pm

Climate alarmists always see the glass as half-empty rather than half-full.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
August 12, 2025 4:56 am

They see the glass as shattered all over the floor.

Bob
August 11, 2025 7:51 pm

You can tell they know they are losing by how desperate they have become. I’m glad they aren’t on our side.

August 12, 2025 4:34 am

What a bizarre paper. The penultimate paragraph raises the possibility that this research “could potentially serve as targets for innovative pest management strategies” and notes (without any disapproval) that “Similar approaches have been successful in the management of other pest insects”. Yet they end the next, and final, paragraph with “Our study underscores the urgent need to mitigate anthropogenic CO2 emissions to preserve ecosystem stability”.