Yes, No, Maybe – but Its Going to be Something! Settled Climate Science in 2023

Essay by Eric Worrall

Climate change could be supercharging the weather this year – but we’re not sure exactly how?

How El Niño, climate change and warming oceans could combine to supercharge the world’s weather

By weather reporter Tyne Logan

Of course, in any one year there is always going to be extreme weather events.

But Dr Gallant said this year, records were not just being broken — they were being smashed.

“It’s really made us stand up and take notice, because it’s not just in one place,” she said.

A sign of what’s to come

It is still too too early to say whether the individual weather events were made more likely by climate change, or other natural influences like El Niño.

But Dr Gallant said what was clear was the nature of weather events had changed, and it told a story of what the world may be in for in the year to come, particularly in the realm of heat.

“We’re entering territory where climate change is starting to become a much more dominant signal than it has been in the past, and things are only going to get more interesting,” she said.

Read more: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-16/el-nino-climate-change-warmer-oceans-extreme-weather-forecast/102604902

How can Dr Gallant say the nature of weather events has changed, that the current cluster of weather events is a sign of things to come, while simultaneously admitting she doesn’t know whether climate change or the likely gathering El Nino has affected current weather events?

If Dr. Gallant was to make a firm statement, like “the incidence of extreme weather events will double over the next 10 years”, or “Antarctic sea ice will disappear completely by 2030”, those would be testable prediction.

But the global climate has a history of embarrassing climate scientists who make testable predictions.

Perhaps climate scientists have learned caution, through watching their colleagues endure multiple ice free arctic and end of snow humiliations over the years.


For more information on the claimed dangers of extreme events, go to our Claimed Dangers page on EverythingClimate.com

Or

Check our Failed Predictions Timeline


Correction (EW): h/t The Final Nail, he -> she.

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MarkW
July 16, 2023 8:08 am

0.01C warmer is smashing the previous record?

July 16, 2023 9:47 am

It would be interesting to compile all the running temperature data from the weather underground system and compare it to the “approved ” temperature stations. The weather underground has real-time data from 200,000 plus private weather stations. They gather data every 15 minutes and forecast based on a 4km grid size.

July 16, 2023 11:19 am

From the article: “We’re entering territory where climate change is starting to become a much more dominant signal than it has been in the past,”

Only in the News Media. We are entering new weather-hype territory.

I was watching Fox News Channel an hour or so ago and they were reporting on the “unprecedented” weather, and along comes Robert Ray, of Foxs News Weather, and he says “heat kills the most people every year as far as weather-related events are concerned.”

Well, as skeptics know, that is completely untrue. The actual data says Cold kills many more people than does the Heat.

But here we have a supposedly authoritative meteorologist at the new Fox Weather service spouting climate change alarmist propaganda. Is it any wonder that so many people are confused? They are listening to confused people.

So much climate misinformation, from so many directions, and so little time.

Bob Rogers
July 16, 2023 11:58 am

At dinner last night with my wife and our neighbors, the three of them commented on what a hot year it had been. I pointed out that while we have our normal hot summer weather now, it was unusually cool through June; it didn’t get above about 80F until June 29th; a few years ago it was over 100F in early June.

They seemed momentarily puzzled, but then agreed that it had, in fact, been unusually cool until just recently. I guess that’s the power of mass media for you.

Van
July 16, 2023 1:08 pm

Do the climate crisis scientists now claim to be able to distinguish a human signal from natural variability?

Reply to  Van
July 17, 2023 4:01 am

Yes, some alarmist scientists do claim they can see a human signal, but there is no evidence connecting CO2 and the Earth’s weather. The “human signal” is pure speculation on their part.

If they had evidence of a human signal, you can bet we would all know about it.

johnlocke
July 16, 2023 4:26 pm

This dude can’t be right, the polar ice cap melted in 2015

JohnnyRay
July 16, 2023 4:28 pm

Tonga Volcano?

Ireneusz Palmowski
July 17, 2023 12:11 am

The typhoon hit will be in Macao. A clear eye can be seen, indicating the great strength of the wind.
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