Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Lots of ambitious promises of action by 2050, but not a lot of detailed plans.
World is in danger of missing Paris climate target, summit is warned
Minister tells more than 80 world leaders that not enough is being done
Fiona Harvey
Sun 13 Dec 2020 06.30 AEDTThe world is still not on track to fulfil the 2015 Paris climate agreement, the UK’s business secretary Alok Sharma warned, after a summit of more than 70 world leaders on the climate crisis ended with few new commitments on greenhouse gas emissions.
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He said progress had been made at the Climate Ambition Summit, co-hosted by the UK, the UN and France, marking five years since the Paris accord was adopted. More than 80 world leaders including China’s Xi Jinping, the European commission president Ursula von der Leyen, and Pope Francis urged swifter action on the climate crisis.
But while Xi reaffirmed China’s target of net-zero emissions by 2060, he gave few new details of reductions in the next decade. India also disappointed observers when the prime minister, Narendra Modi, vowed to “exceed expectations” in curbing carbon dioxide by the centenary of Indian independence in 2047, but made no pledge on coal production.
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The US was not represented, as Donald Trump’s administration shunned the meeting, but president-elect Joe Biden issued a statement promising to hold a major event on the climate in his first 100 days in office.
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Countries including Australia, Brazil, Russia and Saudi Arabia were excluded from speaking at the summit as they failed to come forward with strong new commitments.
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Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/12/world-is-in-danger-of-missing-paris-climate-target-summit-is-warned
I don’t think Australia, Brazil, Russia and Saudi missed much. Australia is happy to continue selling coal to Asian climate heroes.
The 2015 Paris Accords obligated signatory countries to come back every 5 years with upwardly revised “ambitions.” Well, its now 2020 and nobody has increased their “ambitions.” And hardly any countries are on track to meet their original nationally determined commitments. With no enforcement mechanism, why am I surprised nobody is meeting their costly, ill considered “commitments?”
And yet they march on with “wins”. Trudeau implementing a large carbon tax. Biden about to reenter the Paris accords not to mention moves to kill all hydrocarbon fuels. Germany trying to dig itself out of their mess using renewables. The UK moving to ban gasoline engines. And whatever the Aussies are up to in throat slashing; or France; or …
Nobody may be meeting their costly, ill considered commitments but they certainly are advancing, with nearly breath taking speed, attempts. And, what is most shocking, with seeming little voter support to through out the politicians making the attempts.
I likely won’t be alive in 2040. Those that will will likely have premature deaths engineered by the voters putting these loons, continually, into office.
Good! Praise The Lord. Keep praying. President Trump won, President he must be.
Hunter Biden wanted to attend to show that he measures up.
What a clever con trick – countries that sign up to the Paris Agreement agree to increase their targets (sorry – ambitions) every 5 years, whilst the organisation behind the same Paris Agreement simultaneously increases its ‘ambitions’ for temperature reductions! And maybe the imminent failure of this scam has just been demonstrated by the ‘few commitments on greenhouse gas emissions’ at the latest gab-fest, as reported above. Sounds good to me, just in time for everyone to go home and celebrate Christmas.
So now we can all look forward to speeches from the attendees criticizing those “laggards” who didn’t participate in the gabfest.
I’m sure the leaders of USA, Australia, Brazil, Russia and Saudi Arabia will be just sobbing themselves to sleep.
All countries attending the meeting swiftly agreed to do very little toward averting the non-existent climate threat. China and India agreed to keep building coal-fired power stations to avert the shortage in Europe, Australia and the USA.
Dementia-“Biden issued a statement promising to hold a major event on the climate in his first 100 days in office.”
More reason Trump needs to submit the Paris Agreement as a Treaty to the Senate for approval. Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell will then have from 3 January – 19 January to hold vote on it and watch it go down in flames.
There’s good reason to believe that the GOP will hold on to the Senate majority thru 2022 elections. Then the House of Representatives will also likely come back to GOP control. Then together they can use the power of the purse to stop the Democrats from throwing money at the Climate Hustle.
Good idea – Submit the Paris Agreement as a Treaty to the Senate.
Torpedo it now!
The Paris Agreement could not be submitted to the US Senate as US is officially out of the agreement. Trump should have submitted it to the Senate on his first year of office on the ground or based on some legal opinion that Obama’s executive agreement is invalid since the Paris Agreement is a very important treaty even if it is called an agreement. His withdrawal from the Paris Agreement would have been stronger as it is based on US Senate rejection.
Biden is reported to have told his neo liberal supporters he would prefer to get congressional actions on important policies rather than issuing executive orders that the succeeding president could easily revoke. It would not be good for business and for the American people if there is no stability or certainty of important policies. How did Biden voted on the Byrd-Hagel resolution on the Kyoto Protocol?
do the usual weird hide the add ins clauses and find something really good that the warmists will have a fit over to boost refusals;-))
more nuke plants maybe?
cali desert for spent fuel waste depositiry?
Two things:
The President has the power make treaties with the advice and consent of two thirds of the Senate. Trump is not making a treaty so there is nothing to submit to the Senate. Even if he did and he did not get 2/3 of the Senate to concur, that would only kill Trump’s treaty and Biden would be free to submit his own treaty to the Senate.
Biden will NOT submit it to the Senate because it will fail and he will not want a failure on his record.
My head is spinning. If climate change is such an existential threat, shouldn’t our leaders be a lot more seized of the problem? I’m with Greta T. and James Hansen on this one. Our leaders aren’t doing nearly enough to prevent climate change. Could it be that the majority of our politicians realize it isn’t a problem and they’re just being two faced? A two faced politician? Is that even possible?
Did all the people actually believe the emperor was dressed? It’s something like that.
Oh dear commieBob: May I try to stop your head from spinning?(Uunless your comment was meant in jest being satirical?)
Firstly Greta has now gone back to school which is where she might learn of the radiation transfer of gases in the troposphere (i.e. understand and use even basically the Clausius-Clapyron Equation) in about 5 years time of study and preferably not quote the New York Times and Al Gore to those who would persecute this young girl for propaganda reasons.! Then what has gone wrong with James Hansen who started this whole scam when in 1998 he warned USA Congress that unless something were to be done soon, the earth would warm by 10 degrees by 2018. I think he, and many others prophets of climate doom, will be feeling a different heat quite soon. Please commieBob, stop worrying as all is well in the state of China and India as they mock the West and keep on installing critical cheapest baseload energy capability from fossil fuels and nuclear.
Don
For the record, Hansen said that in 1988. In 1989 Al Gore said that the science was settled and the consensus among scientists was that a weather-related catastrophe/disaster was just around the corner.
Seeing as the science has been settled for 31 years, I think it is high time these scientists pitched up a few catastrophes for us to examine. All I see is the same old same-old: weather that comes and goes.
Everyone, enjoy the coming snow this week. Get out the toboggan slide into the holidays!
I think it was actually started by Maurice Strong with the Montreal Protocol and the CFC scam.
The leaders don’t have any creditable data to prove that CO2 is the problem.
China RULES !
China loves 5 year plans and decadal plans .
Seems like somebodies plans are coming to fruition .
I promise to do this and I definitely promise to do that!….unless something comes up….
”Joe Biden issued a statement promising to hold a major event on the climate in his first 100 days in office.”
Oooooh! I’m quivering with anticipation.. Also, Go Aussie! …I mean don’t go Aussie!
Dementia Joe won’t be in charge long. At 78 years old and suffering cognitive decline, he won’t be able to muster the physical and mental stamina the job requires. Kamala will #25A him pretty quick. IS it any wonder why Biden cabinet is being surrounded by Obama loyalists and Kamala’s California cronies?
Then it will be the DingDong Twins in Charge… Kamala-Lala-DingDong and Obama-Lama-Dingdong.
And President Xi and his CCP couldn’t be happier about the whole thing. The West hurling and smashing itself onto the Climate Virtue Rock, meanwhile he and his PLA takes Taiwan.
(anyone want to guess who the NSA caught infiltrating the Dept of Treasury unclassifed mail system that’s in the news? China is prepping for the Battle for Taiwan, and cyber warfare will be a part of that strategy of confusion and delay.)
If China ever tries to take Taiwan, Barack…I mean President Harris will draw a red line.
That’ll teach ’em.
Obama never we t away he has been running a shadow presidency. Biden and Harris are just figurehead. Even if Trump loses he will be a bigger problem to Obama once outside the presidency.
hillary didnt go away either and shes itcing to get back into the fray
almost be worth it to see her epic fail at trying to remove Xi like gaddafi
“hillary didnt go away either and shes itcing to get back into the fray”
I saw a news headline the other day claiming Hillary wanted to be Defense Secretary. Of course, you can’t trust the media to tell you the truth anymore (or ever, as far as I’m concerned) but I’m a little skeptical that Hillary is actively seeking this job since she knows she would never get approval from the U.S. Senate.
“Obama never we t away he has been running a shadow presidency. Biden and Harris are just figurehead.”
There may be a lot of truth in that. Didn’t Obama buy himself a house about a mile from the White House? He wants to be close to his underlings.
Joe Biden may end up resigning over his using his political office for personal gain. I see where his wife, Jill, is also implicated in doing business with the Chicoms.
Then we will have as president, Kamala Harris, a person hardly anyone knows. But, she won’t be running the show, the Democrat Criminal Cartel will be running the show, like they have done since Obama was elected in 2008, and like they did during the Clinton administration. Bush knocked them out of control for a while, but now they are back. Maybe. Lawsuits still pending. State legislatures still pending.
China’s promises keep the flickering flame of Paris alive so that the EU, U.K. and USA can bankrupt themselves to China’s advantage.
The UN bureaucrats have big plans to remake the world economy.
These plans are being dusted off, because Biden will have the US rejoin Paris.
This article estimates the WORLD and US capital expenditures to have much more renewable energy by 2050.
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/world-total-energy-consumption
SUMMARY OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURES, CAPEX
The analysis in this article includes two scenarios: 1) 50% RE by 2050, and 2) 100% RE by 2050.
The CAPEX values exclude a great many items related to transforming the world economy to a low-carbon mode. See next section.
50% RE by 2050
World CAPEX for RE were $2,652.2 billion for 2010-2019, 10 years
World CAPEX for RE were $282.2 billion in 2019.
World CAPEX for RE would be $24,781 billion for 2019 – 2050, 32 years; compound growth 5.76%/y
US CAPEX for RE were $494.5 billion for 2010 – 2019, 10 years.
US CAPEX for RE were $59 billion in 2019.
US CAPEX for RE would be $7,233 billion for 2019 – 2050, 32 years; compound growth 8.81%/y
100% RE by 2050
World CAPEX for RE were $2,652.2 billion for 2010-2019, 10 years
World CAPEX for RE were $282.2 billion in 2019.
World CAPEX for RE would be $60,987 billion for 2019 – 2050, 32 years; compound growth 10.08%/y
US CAPEX for RE were $494.5 billion for 2010 – 2019, 10 years.
US CAPEX for RE were $59 billion in 2019.
US CAPEX for RE would be $16,988 billion for 2019 – 2050, 32 years; compound growth 13.42%/y
THE BIGGER CAPEX PICTURE
The above CAPEX numbers relate to having 50% RE, or 100% RE, in the primary energy mix by 2050, which represents a very narrow area of “fighting climate change”. See Appendix for definitions of source, primary and upstream energy.
This more-inclusive report, prepared by two financial services organizations, estimates the world CAPEX at $100-TRILLION to $150-TRILLION, over the next 30 years, about $3 TRILLION to $5 TRILLION per year.
For reference, world CAPEX for RE were $282.2 billion in 2019.
https://www.investmentexecutive.com/news/research-and-markets/funding-the-fight-against-global-warming/
NOTE: The CAPEX numbers exclude costs for replacements of shorter-life systems, such as EVs, heat-pumps, batteries, wind-turbines, etc., during these 30 years. For comparison:
And I read today that that uneducated idiot child Greta has criticised our Prime Minister for not making sufficient progress towards New Zealand’s climate goals. That makes us a pretty typical country, even though our socialist politicians have set very ambitious targets. Fortunately, those of us who know about this stuff realise that those targets are beyond reach, and of course would have no effect whatsoever on climate!
“Xi reaffirmed China’s target of net-zero emissions by 2060”
They will have ten years to conquer the entire world while the world reaches Net Zero at 2050. I foresee Chinese tanks and infantry completely trampling naked EU and US cavemen and their insane and deranged climate priests. Then, with the help of free and endless supply of slave labor, China can have further economic growth while reducing their industry output. Remember, industrialization in the past was prohibitively expensive just because slaves could do it cheaper and without the hassle.
Hey, they can even harvest their organs after the slaves expire from being worked to death. It will be a total win-win!
Don’t try and put affirmation in the bank.
“…while Xi reaffirmed China’s target of net-zero emissions by 2060,”
Have the ambitious Gretaheads worked out yet that he’d be 127 years old then?
And still in charge.
FWIW, I stand here today to publicly reaffirm my target to be a trillionaire by 2022.
There are just a few other things that I have to attend to first.
The callendar for IPCC 2021 has gone blank. Just looked it up, here: https://www.ipcc.ch/calendar/
What does this mean. Am I on the wrong page, or is IPCC closing down due to Covid-19 and all that?????
Actually hope they go down the drain – what a relief that would be!
Looks in place to me, did you scroll down?
Try Refreshing your page
It’s all there …
18 Jan – 14 Mar WGIII – AR6 Expert & Government Review of the SOD & the FOD of the Summary for Policymakers (SPM)
25 – 31 Jan SYR – AR6 Core Writing Team 1 (CWT-1)
(Location TBC)
1 – 7 Feb (TBC) WG II – AR6 SPM Drafting Authors’ meeting
(Location TBC)
15 – 19 Feb WG I – AR6 Fourth Lead Author Meeting (LAM4)
(Location TBC)
1 – 7 Mar (TBC) WG II – AR6 Fourth Lead Author Meeting (LAM 4)
(Location TBC)
15 – 18 Mar (TBC) SYR – AR6 Core Writing Team 2 (CWT-2)
(TBC)
3 – 5 May TFI – Expert Meeting on Short-Lived Climate Forcers (SLCF)
(TBC)
12 Apr 60th Session of the IPCC Bureau
(TBD)
12 – 30 Apr WGIII- AR6 Fourth Lead Author Meeting (LAM4)
(5 day meeting TBC)
(TBC) WG III – AR6 SPM Drafting Author’s Meeting (TBC)
(Location TBC)
13 – 18 Apr (TBD) 54th Session of the IPCC and WGI- AR6 Approval Plenary
(Location, TBD)
Lucky Australia didn’t get an invite to that or it would be our fault because we did or said something.