Guest Essay by Kip Hansen
What is a smörgåsbord? And who is Sarewitz? From the top, a smörgåsbord is “a buffet meal of various hot and cold hors d’oeuvres, salads, casserole dishes, meats, cheeses, etc.” and, as a derivation from that, can also be “an extensive array or variety (of something).” And Sarewitz? He is Daniel Sarewitz of the Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes (CSPO) at Arizona State University. “a research unit of the Institute for the Future of Innovation in Society, [which] has once again been named one of the top ten think tanks in the world for science and technology policy in the latest edition of the University of Pennsylvania’s “Global Go To Think Tank Index.” [ here see Table 24 ].
Back in August 2016, Judith Curry covered one of his most-talked-about papers in Dan Sarewitz on Saving Science. Two years ago, almost to the day, I published an essay here Book Review: Climate Pragmatism covering one of the books published by the CSPO and the Breakthrough Institute in a series called “The Rightful Place of Science”. Dan Sarewitz is one of four co-authors.
Dan Sarewitz has been at it again — hitting hard and digging deep at the philosophical and practical interface between Science and Public Policy. [ It is at the interfaces of things that the real action takes place. — kh ] His new paper [Marcel Crok has caught me out — the paper was only new to me — originally published in 2004 – this correction 11 July 2019] is titled:
How science makes environmental controversies worse
The key point, in his introduction, reads: [Note: direct quotes will be bold and italicized.]
“…scientific inquiry is inherently and unavoidably subject to becoming politicized in environmental controversies. I discuss three reasons for this. First, science supplies contesting parties with their own bodies of relevant, legitimated facts about nature, chosen in part because they help make sense of, and are made sensible by, particular interests and normative frameworks. Second, competing disciplinary approaches to understanding the scientific bases of an environmental controversy may be causally tied to competing value-based political or ethical positions. …. third, it follows from the foregoing that scientific uncertainty, which so often occupies a central place in environmental controversies, can be understood not as a lack of scientific understanding but as the lack of coherence among competing scientific understandings, amplified by the various political, cultural, and institutional contexts within which science is carried out.”
When I read Sarewitz saying “value-based political or ethical positions”, I substitute the more easily understood phrase (by me…) “world-view”, which could comprise many things such as personal and/or religious morals, ideas of the purpose and value of human life, views concerning the proper relationships between humans and the rest of the natural world (and Universe, if you will).
In its 19-journal-pages, “This paper thus confronts a well-known empirical problem. In areas as diverse as climate change, nuclear waste disposal, endangered species and biodiversity, forest management, air and water pollution, and agricultural biotechnology, the growth of considerable bodies of scientific knowledge, created especially to resolve political dispute and enable effective decision making, has often been accompanied instead by growing political controversy and gridlock. Science typically lies at the center of the debate, where those who advocate some line of action are likely to claim a scientific justification for their position, while those opposing the action will either invoke scientific uncertainty or competing scientific results to support their opposition.”
There is so much really great thought in this paper that even just the few quotes I hoped to highlight will make this essay too long for most people to read easily. I will give you one more and make a summary of my own, along with the whole-hearted recommendation that serious readers download and read the original in its entirety.
Consider climate change, which may variously be understood as a “problem” of climate impacts, weather impacts, biodiversity, land use, energy production and consumption, agricultural productivity, public health, economic development patterns, material wealth, demographic patterns, etc. Each of these ways of looking at the problem of climate change involves a variety of interests and values, and each may call on a body of relevant knowledge to help understand and respond to the problem.
Not only may the interests, values, and knowledge relevant to one way of understanding the problem be, in small part or large, different from those associated with another way, but they may also be contradictory. Conversely, those holding different value perspectives may see in the huge and diverse body of scientific information relevant to climate change different facts, theories, and hypothesis relevant to and consistent with their own normative frameworks.
This condition may be termed an “excess of objectivity,” because the obstacle to achieving any type of shared scientific understanding of what climate change (or any other complex environmental problem) “means,” and thus what it may imply for human action, is not a lack of scientific knowledge so much as the contrary — a huge body of knowledge whose components can be legitimately assembled and interpreted in different ways to yield competing views of the “problem” and of how society should respond.
Put simply, for a given value-based position in an environmental controversy, it is often possible to compile a supporting set of scientifically legitimated facts.”
Sarewitz tells us that in our relationship with any complicated, complex natural system, the application of additional Science (more studies, more papers, more more…) can simply create a Scientific Smörgåsbord — a table of knowledge on which one can find enough (and more again) legitimate scientific information to support any reasonable viewpoint as to the nature of and the solution to a controversial environmental problem. Placing additional more complex, more narrowly-focused data on the table does not necessarily improve the feast — all can already come away full and satisfied.
I hinted at this idea in my Climate Etc. essay “What’s wrong with ‘alternative facts’?” and my own views on Climate Science (expressed in two essays here at WUWT, here and here), which, though thoroughly contrarian, are based [almost] entirely on data direct from the IPCC, NOAA and NASA. — Sarewitz correctly builds a case as to how and why such a thing can be — the Climate Team and I look at the same body of data, and both sides draw legitimate but contrary conclusions.
The key point:
More Science in Environmental Controversies can just produce:
In the words of Sarewitz:
“…a huge body of knowledge whose components can be legitimately assembled and interpreted in different ways to yield competing views of the “problem” and of how society should respond.”
In my words:
“… legitimate but contrary conclusions.”
Welcome to the Climate Science Smörgåsbord!
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Author’s Comment Policy:
I have not tried to give readers a thorough review of the Sarewitz paper, which is available in a free full .pdf file from the CSPO. I really am just hoping to tempt you into downloading and reading the paper, which I think is tremendously important for those hoping to understand the many Modern Science Controversies including the swirling madness surrounding the Climate Question.
From the quotes above, it should obvious that the paper is not for those with only a casual interest — it is a bit of a tough slog. My editor, a Phi Beta Kappa English major from an Ivy League university (from back when that meant something academically), was driven nearly into a coma listening to me read Sarewitz to her. Nonetheless, the paper is well worth the effort to read — take your time with it.
Those readers with cast-in-cement views about things climate will benefit from the paper as well as those whose thinking is still flexible enough to allow other viewpoints to be legitimate.
Readers here at Anthony Watts’ Watts Up With That are intentionally given an all-you-can-eat free pass to the Climate Science Smorgasbord. Enjoy it while you can.
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Kip,
Full disclosure, I haven’t read the whole thing (I did get through the abstract and first three pages, so far), but one thing that strikes me is that there doesn’t seem to be a clear definition of what “science” is. his use of the term seems (to me, at least) to be fairly vague and fluid.
Then there’s the problem of reification (e.g., If the science is insufficiently certain to dictate…) Science is neither certain nor does it dictate (however, many people are so certain that they try to dictate 🙂 ).
Maybe I’m too simple, but the article seems a little confusing to me, and I’m not too sure that the first example about the 2000 election has much, if anything, to do with science.
Phil ==> No worries, only a few brave (and stubborn) souls have read the whole thing.
I like your “Science is neither certain nor does it dictate” — and science does NOT dictate public policy which depends on VALUES.
Just let “science” mean what we usually allow it to mean — the results of various scientific research efforts, published findings, the “literature” on a science topic. That’ll do. Heck, for climate, you could just take all the science sections of the IPCC reports combined, and you’d have “climate science” add in what Judith Curry highlights every week, and you’d have it.
Sarewitz’s 2000 election example is simpler than it seems — he basically means that you’d think, that since an election is at its basic level just a matter of COUNTING votes – 1, 2, 3 ,4 — add up and get the total and you know who won…..didn’t turn out to be that simple — and turned on a legal decision. Digging deeper and deeper into how the votes were cast (hanging tabs or whatever), statistical guessing at “what people intended” — more objectivity — really could not resolve it. The only good thing was that this happened in the United States, and not some place where such uncertainty in a national election would have led to widespread rioting and military coups.
On the counting example, see my essay What Are They Really Counting?
Thanks for the response. What I like is you definitely get people thinking, and your responses are thoughtful and considerate. Late for me here, but i will read your essay that you linked.
Phil ==> Good night, sir. That’s for participating here and Thanks for Reading.
Slightly off-topic, but being a native Swedish speaker, I’m impressed that so many here on WUWT can spell ”smörgåsbord” correctly. A rare occurrence! 🙂
Sven ==> I cheated — I intentionally looked up the proper spelling, with the special characters and copy-n-pasted it into my essay. I was pleased that WordPress (who hosts the site) pushed it out correctly.
Kip,
Cheating is allowed, not just in climate science. 🙂 It may, however, disappoint you to know that the picture actually depicts the Christmas variety of the Swedish Smörgåsbord, a ”Julbord”!
Enough of that, thanks for an interesting essay. It certainly gave me and others food for thought.
Cheers Sven
Sven ==> If you are ever in the New York area, you can invite me to a Julbord!
Thanks for reading and commenting!
Thank you Kip – good thoughts.
Re Judith, she came late to the table, used to be a warmist, etc., which lessens her credibility in my opinion. I still like her but she should have got a lot smarter, a lot sooner, especially given her relevant scientific background.
I have an engineering and earth sciences background, and I knew that global warming alarmism was “utter cr@p” the first time I heard it, circa 1985.
I’ve been studying the subject intensely since then and have learned a great deal, but my above conclusion remains the same – I have seen no credible evidence to change my position, and ample evidence to support it.
Reading the comments, I am reminded of a science fiction show where a person took the same set of facts and created many different conclusions, some contradictory to others but all perfectly logical and reasonable. It’s interesting that part of the cause was too much information. I am reminded of this show often. Because people cannot take in all the data and make sense of it, they have to choose. People tend to choose in line with their own values and beliefs.
It’s difficult for people to accept that facts actually can be used to create different narratives when there are hundreds of variables involved. We think of science as hard and cold—like the laws of gravity. Now, however, much of science is based on statistics and extremely complex systems and ideas. We are trying to analyse more data than our human brains can deal with so we pick from the smörgåsbord . It makes complete sense to me, Kip.
Sheri ==> Marvelous! You have that exactly right — that is exactly what Sarewitz is saying — along with the fact that just producing more science will not break the gridlock at the science policy interface.
Kip, Sheri,
The problem is that what is being produced is psuedo-science (see thread above starting July 10) and not rigorous science. That is why there can be multiple interpretations. Rigorous science based upon a falsifiable hypothesis is not open to such multiple interpretations. But, (as I said above) that would threaten research funding and the prosecution of political agendas, so I won’t be holding my breath.
Paul ==> Can’t say I agree — read my Confessions of a Climate Skeptic essays: here
and here.
I use accepted IPCC science data and arrive at thoroughly contrary conclusions. Of course rigorous science is open to multiple interpretations — especially in value-laden environmental controversies.
Kip, we go ring around the rosy again.
Can you name one, just one, hypothesis of the IPCC “science” that is falsifiable?
As Bertrand Russell said, you can’t disprove the statement that there is a giant tea pot in orbit around the sun, but you can disprove the statement that there is isn’t one. The first statement is a verifiable hypothesis that can’t be proved or disproved (maybe you are looking in the wrong place or your measuring equipment is not sensitive enough) and so is just pseudo-science. The second statement is a falsifiable hypothesis that is unambiguously capable of being disproved by a single positive observation.
Does the role of CO2 in climate sound a bit like the tea pot?
All of the “science data” of the IPCC just adds to the pseudo-science noise that, as you correctly say, is open to multiple interpretations. The is the fundamental characteristic of pseudo science and is what had lead directly to the climate controversy morass. It is however the ideal vehicle for those seeking profit, research funding and political influence. Any wonder it is defended so rigorously!
Sorry for the vague reference, the relevant post started at 9.12 p.m. on July 10.