Study shows that Vikings enjoyed a warmer Greenland

Public Release: 6-Feb-2019

Study shows that Vikings enjoyed a warmer Greenland

Chemistry of bugs trapped in ancient lake sediment shows a warm climate at a key time in Greenland’s history

Northwestern University

This is a 21st-century reproduction of Thjodhild’s church on Erik the Red’s estate (known as Brattahlíð) in present day Qassiarsuk, Greenland. Credit G. Everett Lasher/Northwestern University

 

EVANSTON, Ill. — A new study may resolve an old debate about how tough the Vikings actually were.

Although TV and movies paint Vikings as robust souls, braving subzero temperatures in fur pelts and iron helmets, new evidence indicates they might have been basking in 50-degree summer weather when they settled in Greenland.

After reconstructing southern Greenland’s climate record over the past 3,000 years, a Northwestern University team found that it was relatively warm when the Norse lived there between 985 and 1450 C.E., compared to the previous and following centuries.

“People have speculated that the Norse settled in Greenland during an unusually, fortuitously warm period, but there weren’t any detailed local temperature reconstructions that fully confirmed that. And some recent work suggested that the opposite was true,” said Northwestern’s Yarrow Axford, the study’s senior author. “So this has been a bit of a climate mystery.”

Now that climate mystery finally has been solved.

The study will publish on Feb. 6 in the journal Geology. Axford is an associate professor of Earth and planetary sciences in Northwestern’s Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences. The study is a part of Northwestern Ph.D. candidate G. Everett Lasher’s dissertation research, based in Axford’s lab.

To reconstruct past climate, the researchers studied lake sediment cores collected near Norse settlements outside of Narsaq in southern Greenland. Because lake sediment forms by an incremental buildup of annual layers of mud, these cores contain archives of the past. By looking through the layers, researchers can pinpoint climate clues from eons ago.

For this study, Lasher analyzed the chemistry of a mix of lake fly species, called chironomids, trapped inside the layers of sediment. By looking at the oxygen isotopes within the flies’ preserved exoskeletons, the team pieced together a picture of the past. This method allowed the team to reconstruct climate change over hundreds of years or less, making it the first study to quantify past temperature changes in the so-called Norse Eastern Settlement.

“The oxygen isotopes we measure from the chironomids record past lake water isotopes in which the bugs grew, and that lake water comes from precipitation falling over the lake,” said Lasher, first author of the paper. “The oxygen isotopes in precipitation are partly controlled by temperature, so we examined the change in oxygen isotopes through time to infer how temperature might have changed.”

Because recent studies concluded that some glaciers were advancing around Greenland and nearby Arctic Canada during the time Vikings lived in southern Greenland, Axford and Lasher expected their data to indicate a much colder climate. Instead, they found that a brief warm period interrupted a consistent cooling climate trend driven by changes in Earth’s orbit. Near the end of the warm period, the climate was exceptionally erratic and unstable with record high and low temperatures that preceded Viking abandonment of Greenland. Overall, the climate was about 1.5-degrees Celsius warmer than the surrounding cooling centuries. This warmer period was similar to southern Greenland’s temperatures today, which hover around 10-degrees Celsius (50-degrees Fahrenheit) in summer.

In another surprise, Axford and Lasher found that the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) — a natural fluctuation in atmospheric pressure that is often responsible for climate anomalies in the region — probably was not in a dominantly positive phase for multiple Medieval centuries as had been hypothesized. (When the NAO is in its positive phase, it brings cold air to much of Greenland.)

“We found that the NAO could not explain Medieval climatic changes at our site,” Lasher said. “That might call into question its use in explaining long-term climate change over the last 3,000 years elsewhere.”

So what did cause the Vikings’ fortuitously warm climate? Lasher and Axford aren’t sure but speculate it might have been caused by warmer ocean currents in the region. The new data will be useful for climate modelers and climate researchers as they seek to understand and predict what might be in store for Greenland’s ice sheet as Earth warms rapidly in the future.

“Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized,” Axford said. “We wanted to investigate what was happening in southern Greenland at that time because it’s a climatically complex part of the world where counterintuitive things can happen.”

The Norse settlements in Greenland collapsed as local climate apparently became exceptionally erratic, and then ultimately consistently cold. But Axford and Lasher will leave it to the archaeologists to determine whether or not climate played a role in their departure.

“We went in with a hypothesis that we wouldn’t see warmth in this time period, in which case we might have had to explain how the Norse were hearty, robust folk who settled in Greenland during a cold snap,” Lasher said. “Instead, we found evidence for warmth. Later, as their settlements died out, apparently there was climatic instability. Maybe they weren’t as resilient to climate change as Greenland’s indigenous people, but climate is just one of many things that might have played a role.”

###

“Medieval warmth confirmed at the Norse Eastern Settlement in Greenland” was supported by the National Science Foundation Polar Programs CAREER Award (number 1454734).

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markl
February 7, 2019 7:05 pm

This is news? Are we fighting revisionist history that Greenland wasn’t once a temperate climate capable of agriculture on a scale to support the inhabitants?

Rich Davis
Reply to  markl
February 8, 2019 3:07 am

Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized

And that’s what makes it YouReekAlert!

commieBob
Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 4:40 am

Everyone should know about the Medieval Warm Period Project at co2science.org .

There are hundreds of scientific papers that show the effects of the MWP all over the world. In addition, there is the (written) historical record and archaeological evidence.

The medieval warm period, which started a century earlier in Asia, benefited the rest of the globe as well. From the ninth through the thirteenth centuries, farming spread into northern portions of Russia. In the Far East, Chinese and Japanese farmers migrated north into Manchuria, the Amur Valley and northern Japan. The Vikings founded colonies in Iceland and Greenland, then actually green. Scandinavian seafarers discovered “Vinland” along the East Coast of North America. Warmer is way better!

I became a skeptic when Dr. Mann tried to erase the MWP. For these clowns to say that the MWP was local flies in the face of overwhelming evidence. Truly disgusting.

Bryan A
Reply to  commieBob
February 8, 2019 10:19 am

Unlike warming over the last century, which is global, medieval warmth was localized … limited to Greenland, North America, England, Europe, Northern Asia, Australia, southern South America and southern Africa.
Certainlt not global /snark

Greg
Reply to  Bryan A
February 8, 2019 11:51 am

How do they know it was local, they only studied one site.

Did they state that in the paper with references backing it up , or is that just the unpublished “expert” comment they provide to alarmist journos to print?

Steve R.
Reply to  Bryan A
February 9, 2019 7:58 am

“Unlike warming over the last century, which is global”
The last century warming seems to be no more global than the medieval warming.

Ian G
Reply to  commieBob
February 8, 2019 11:29 am

And Mann’s HS was when I began to question as well. Then we found out he used the thermometer proxy from 1960 to hide the divergence (or ‘hide the decline’ as the email said).
Then came the email which suggested that they were trying to erase the 1940’s land temp spike.
But the final straw was the homogenisation of temps around 2010 when the ‘pause’ was happening.
An example – De Bilt (Holland) ‘raw’ data
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/show_station.cgi?id=633062600003&dt=1&ds=1
Homogenised version
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/stdata_show.cgi?id=633062600000&ds=5&dt=1
GISS, HADCRUT, NOAA – they’re all at it. As you say, ‘truly disgusting’.

J Hope
Reply to  commieBob
February 9, 2019 3:16 pm

They have to say the warming was ‘localized’, otherwise they’d lose their funding. Or maybe they’re just cowards. Or not real scientists.

MarkW
Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 6:56 am

This is completely true, provided you ignore all the studies showing otherwise.

Bryan A
Reply to  MarkW
February 8, 2019 12:26 pm

And Democracy is the worst form of government as long as you ignore all the other forms that have been tried from time to time

Mike
Reply to  Bryan A
February 9, 2019 4:58 am

Democracy is nothing but mob rule where the rights of the minorities are trampled by the majority; individual rights be damned!

Rudi Joe
Reply to  Bryan A
February 10, 2019 11:32 am

Let’s just say that there should be a balance between a collectivism and a monarchy and focus on quack climate science here people. Thank you.

Coach Springer
Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 7:35 am

Working in a key, unsupported opinion for which they did no independent or rigorous research into their research report. How scientific.

Reply to  markl
February 8, 2019 4:40 am

It is not new news as the same type of study was done at least 40 years ago using ‘modern’ criminal forensic techniques as well as the study of pollen and seeds. This was all demonstrated on a UK TV documentary showing that there was significant declining temperature as the Viking colony declined. Maybe as the Vikings left the reduction in farming allowed the fallow farmland to draw down CO2 and so it was their departure that lowered the temperatures /sarc.

Björn
Reply to  markl
February 8, 2019 8:12 am

Remember this warming was local, not global. The warming was unusual like that, but it must be local or else the deniers win and we are all doomed. The future of this planet depends on the warming being restricted to a small area of the earth.
That is a heavy burden for a scientist trying to be objective and honest, carrying the weight of the world on his journey to discover the truth. It requires a special kind of strength to be able to keep moving independently and not cave in to peer preassure.

commieBob
Reply to  Björn
February 8, 2019 8:31 am

Indeed.

I wrote a reply to Rich Davis above but it seems to have fallen into the bit bucket. This comment duplicates the content of the other one.

There are two piles of evidence that the MWP was global.
1 – Proxies. There are many scientific papers cited at co2science.org . link
2 – Written history and archaeological evidence.

The medieval warm period, which started a century earlier in Asia, benefited the rest of the globe as well. From the ninth through the thirteenth centuries, farming spread into northern portions of Russia. In the Far East, Chinese and Japanese farmers migrated north into Manchuria, the Amur Valley and northern Japan. The Vikings founded colonies in Iceland and Greenland, then actually green. Scandinavian seafarers discovered “Vinland” along the East Coast of North America.

During the Northern Sung Dynasty (961 A.D. to 1127), one of the warmest times, real earnings in China reached a level not seen again until late in the twentieth century. The wealth of those centuries gave rise to a great flowering of art, writing, science, and the highest rate of technological advance in Chinese history. Chinese landscape painting with its exquisite detail and color achieved its apotheosis.

Over roughly the same period, the peoples of the Indian subcontinent also prospered. Society was rich enough to create impressive temples, beautiful sculpture, and elaborate carvings. Seafaring empires thrived in Java and Sumatra. In the early twelfth century, the predecessors of the Cambodians, the Khmers, built the magnificent temple of Angkor Wat. In the eleventh century Burmese civilization reached a pinnacle with the construction of thousands of temples in its capital, Pagan.

In the ninth century, the indigenous peoples of North America pushed their agriculture northward up the Mississippi, Missouri, and Illinois river basins. By 1000 they were farming in southwestern and western Wisconsin and eastern Minnesota. The Anasazi civilization of Mesa Verde flourished; the Mexicans began constructing their pyramids. Warmer is Richer

I became a skeptic when Dr. Mann purported to erase the MWP. The fact that he could do that and not be smacked down immediately is a sign of how corrupt things have become. The evidence is very clear. There was a MWP. It was global. It was warmer than it is now.

Reply to  commieBob
February 9, 2019 11:41 am

Mann took out the LIA, too! You can’t keep the MWP and the LIA in if you want to make the present exceptional! Accepting 2°C natural variation kills the silly notion of a 1950 to 2100 increase of 0.7°C as dangerous. Three years ago, the worry was for 3-5+C increase over 1950’s by 2100.

Having wound up with predictions from 1995 that were 300% too warm and a ‘Pause’ for two decades during which CO2 was galloping apace, they, without ceremony chopped the threshold for worry to 1.5C, not from 1950, but from 1850! This way, they bankrolled 0.8C already occurred, and added on 0.7C to destroy the planet by 2100. In other words, having had their theory roundly falsified, they segued into a determination that a few tenths of a degree more than what we have now and we’re toast!

Pft
Reply to  Björn
February 8, 2019 1:46 pm

They presented no evidence it was not global , as it was a localized study they have no business affirming that global hypothesis. Probably a necessary statement to get published . In fact they probably dont get funded if they expected to find warming instead of cooling

Steve R.
Reply to  Pft
February 9, 2019 8:04 am

“They presented no evidence it was not global , as it was a localized study they have no business affirming that global hypothesis. ”
I think they made that statement more as statement of fact, which needed no additional confirmation.

Antonym
Reply to  Björn
February 9, 2019 2:39 am

So the MWP was local, mostly in the far North.
Ok, then the present warming is also local, mostly in the far North.

Duane
Reply to  markl
February 8, 2019 9:14 am

The real lesson is that warm is good, cold is bad .. for humans.

Rudi Joe
Reply to  Duane
February 10, 2019 11:34 am

But the science supports that Duane! You’re officially a denier. Welcome to the club.

Kenji
February 7, 2019 7:10 pm

We should all be living like the Vikings. Conquering, Raping, Pillaging …

I read a study that claimed Global Warming is causing MORE crime. Due to the WARM weather.

RayG
Reply to  Kenji
February 7, 2019 9:24 pm

If AOC et al’s Green Dream comes to fruition we may all have to go a Viking to survive.

Henning Nielsen
Reply to  Kenji
February 8, 2019 12:32 am

All this talk about “robust Vikings” is beside the point. Robust or not, they went wherever there were prospects of profit, agricultural-wise, pillage-wise or otherwise. They did not engage in meaningless gung-ho displays of hardship. Nor were they a people; “Viking” is an activity, “to go viking”. They were supreme opportunists, raiding wherever possible, and trading where that was more profitable.

Y. Knott
Reply to  Kenji
February 8, 2019 3:06 am

– You ARE familiar with Erik the Red’s fierce war cry?

“NOOOO, NO! Loot and pillage FIRST – THEN burn! Ohhhhh…”

Rudi Joe
Reply to  Y. Knott
February 10, 2019 11:41 am

One of Erik’s more famous quotes:

“It’s so hard to find good invading help nowadays! They all want to rape and pillage but they never want to do the killing first. geeeze!”

Apparently the job market was in a downturn during the Medieval Warming Period.

JN
February 7, 2019 7:10 pm

Can anyone get a link to the published original? Very interesting and adds to the pilling evidence of warmer medieval periods.

Reply to  JN
February 7, 2019 7:38 pm

The paper is pay-walled. But you can read the Abstract here:
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article-abstract/568708/medieval-warmth-confirmed-at-the-norse-eastern?redirectedFrom=fulltext

As a note on the paper’s senior author, Yarrow. She wrote an opinion piece in Science Magazine about 2 months before Hillary went down in flames that November 2016.
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/353/6303/1062
She surely must have been one of those that cried for days/weeks/months at that. Buck up, Binky.

On her NU webpage, she calls that Science essay “Outcomes for Womxn” . (Yes, with that spelling)

Let’s hope she can keep her feminism and her politics out of her science.
Admitting that Greenland was much warmer during the Norse colonization period than today (not just air temperature warmth, but surrounding SSTs had to be warmer as well.) may offer a climmer of hope she is trying.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 3:24 am

It’s the opposite of your, sorry to say, naive hope, Joel. It is just another EuekAlert! propaganda effort to say that yeah, we can no longer deny that Greenland was warm, so we will just make up stuff about MWP being localized.

Warm in Greenland for over four and a half centuries, sufficiently warm for agriculture, and undeniably not caused by human fossil fuel burning. So, a purely natural effect. Does that call into question any current claims of “unprecedented” warming? Well, of course not! We simply assert (against the evidence) that the MWP was a regional phenomenon, whereas this time the warming is totally different. It’s global!

Nothing to see here people, localized effect, move on. World ending in 11 years, 11 months as scheduled.

john
Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 8:42 am

That must be 11 years and 11 months from the most recent “last chance”. Because the original last chance expired years ago. We already killed ourselves off! We’re just too dumb to realize we’re actually dead.

David Sims
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 4:05 am

Teaching
EARTH 102: Global Warming: The Scientific Evidence

HD Hoese
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 8:08 am

I know someone who long ago worked their way up in research who did not have a college degree, in a government job no less. Simply talent realized. Is that group now discriminated against?

john
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 8:37 am

So her spelling, her politics and her science work are all the same brand of B.S. It boggles the mind that so many of these people are running around seemingly pre-occupied with imaging issues so they can assign blame.
I think it’s a cover for some internal sense of their own inadequacies. Don’t know how else to explain it.

Reply to  JN
February 13, 2019 11:01 am

Asking nicely often works. I did so via Twitter (click “show more replies” or “1 more reply” or similar), and Dr. Axford graciously sent me a copy.

Email me:
http://sealevel.info/contact.html

Terry Gednalske
February 7, 2019 7:21 pm

When I was in elementary school in the 1950s, it was taught as a known fact that Greenland had a moderate climate during the time of Viking settlement, and the climate later turned colder.

AndyE
Reply to  Terry Gednalske
February 7, 2019 9:17 pm

Agree. I went to elementary school in Denmark in the 1940’s. We were told that as a fact. And the reason I “converted” to climate scepticism was actually the infamous hockey-stick graph, soon 20 years ago. As soon as I saw that graph all the worries I had harboured until then about unusual global warming disappeared like dew for the morning sun.

OweninGA
Reply to  AndyE
February 8, 2019 6:21 am

Andy,

You are 20 years older than I, and I had the same experience in the US in elementary school. The “Mannian Hickey Stick” was also the thing that sent me into the “Science isn’t even begun yet alone settled” camp. It disagreed with everything I had been shown as historical and archaeological fact. I had seen the evidence of the medieval warm period and the little ice age and could not square that with that graph.

I used to have historical discussions with people about the climate of the British Isles and discuss the vineyards in the Yorkshire area and the wines produced. They would be following along eagerly until I would ask the innocent question: “I wonder why they can’t do that now?” When the answer is “it is too cold to support the vines.” They closed off because now we were touching the doctrine of the church of climatology and no dissent can be allowed. Some would turn to the hymnal and claim, “the medieval warm period was localized to northern Europe.” When evidence is shown that China also experienced a like warming with certain fruit trees no longer viable in the north of the country that were prevalent in the medieval warm period, they turn to the next page of the hymnal and sing “the warmth was limited to the northern hemisphere, so sayeth the scripture.” Show them that there is evidence of similar warming in Chile and South Africa and they change to the next stage of Gospel of the Church of Climatology and shout “Science Den___” Thus I quit discussing it with them.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  OweninGA
February 8, 2019 7:26 am

Sad, really. When (they) ignore all the facts and data they don’t like, they can hardly pretend to be on the “high horse” of supposed “science.”

To be scientific, you have to consider ALL the data, especially that which appears to undermine your pet “theory.” The fact that the climate Nazis endlessly attempt to dismiss, disregard or re-write all the inconvenient history and/or data just shows you that their “cause” is all politics, all the time. Anything to keep the “climate change” golden goose laying those research funding “eggs.”

Reply to  OweninGA
February 8, 2019 2:32 pm

Owen,

You say, regarding the “hockey-stick graph”, “It disagreed with everything I had been shown as historical and archaeological fact. I had seen the evidence of the medieval warm period and the little ice age and could not square that with that graph.”

Me too.

Skeptics were the original “me too” movement, as Alarmists thought they could get away with the rape of Truth.

Steve R.
Reply to  OweninGA
February 9, 2019 8:11 am

Yep, It was MBH 98 that converted me too.

Hugs
Reply to  Terry Gednalske
February 8, 2019 12:24 am

That inconvenient fact has been eradicated for some time now. Greenland is warming unprecedentedly, so there is logically no possibility it could have been warmer than present. I think it all began in 1998, when El Niño spiked the temperatures to “hottest ever” and an accelerating exp(x) could be fitted with GISS. Then Al Gore needed money, and the rest is history.

Caligula Jones
Reply to  Terry Gednalske
February 8, 2019 7:31 am

Yes, but when climate alarmists say “the science is settled”, they mean the “science” that “proves” their beliefs.

Any other science that says otherwise needs to be re-done, re-studied, re-booted, re-announced, etc. over, and over, and over again.

Seriously, who didn’t know this?

Björn
Reply to  Terry Gednalske
February 8, 2019 8:24 am

I learned, in my first years in school, in the late 70-ies, that in the stone/ bronze-age the climate on earth was maybe 2C warmer and people as a result grew taller and helthier. Back rhen I was told the average male was a couple of cm talker than modern man. Epigenetics wernt a thing then other than Lysenkoism, I guess we may find out soon if lack of food stunts growth in your children and grandchildren if you yourself starve. Anyway, science was settled, 6000 years ago the earth was 2 degrees warmer, climate was wetter, more vegetation and less deserts. I guess they dont teach that anymore, and people have all forgotten. As people in the future will forget about global waming and live on as the scare never hapoened or was just a passing trend.

Tom Halla
February 7, 2019 7:23 pm

Considering the type of farming the Norse were doing, Greenland should have been warmer then than now. Growing barley and raising dairy and beef cattle are not currently feasible in the parts of Greenland settled by the Norse.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  Tom Halla
February 8, 2019 7:33 am

I think the fact that the graves of the former Norse farmers being buried under permafrost today kind of “iced it” for me a long time ago. Greenland was definitely warmer during the MWP than it was now, just like the Earth was generally, as evidenced by those MWP-dated fossilized stumps where the trees used to grow above today’s mountain frost lines.

Let’s see, physical evidence vs. pet hypotheses with no empirical evidence in support and “models” that assume the pet hypotheses with no empirical evidence in support to be factual.

But the Climate Nazis call those skeptical of their BELIEFS “deniers,” LOL.

pat
February 7, 2019 7:29 pm

To think I learned this in 7th Grade.

Garland Lowe
February 7, 2019 7:30 pm

the climate was exceptionally erratic and unstable, climate anomalies, climatic instability.

…we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” – IPCC AR4 WG1 Introduction:

How do you define a chaotic climate as stable?

Rich Davis
Reply to  Garland Lowe
February 8, 2019 3:31 am

Oh yes, I missed that part in the YouFreakAlot! agitprop – the climate was exceptionally erratic and unstable – we’re supposed to draw the conclusion “just like today”.

These people are sick in the mind or just plain evil. Is that still a thing?

Barbara
Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 4:43 pm

“These people are sick in the mind or just plain evil”

Embrace the healing power of “and,” Rich.

David Chappell
February 7, 2019 7:43 pm

Didn’t the authors ever wonder why Greenland is called Greenland?

Reply to  David Chappell
February 7, 2019 8:35 pm

for the same reason that communist crypto fascists call themselves ‘Liberals’

Steven Mosher
Reply to  David Chappell
February 7, 2019 10:24 pm

greenland lacks precision as an estimate.
how green?
green everywhere?
how green in which season?

but hey who cares about precision

Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 7, 2019 11:55 pm

Steven Mosher

Who cares about science. Eh Stephen?

I mean some people earned the term ‘scientist’. You were lucky enough to be handed the title without doing the hard graft.

David Chappell
Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 8, 2019 2:52 am

Another Mosher irrelevancy. It was certainly accurate enough for the Vikings.

Dave Fair
Reply to  David Chappell
February 8, 2019 1:48 pm

David, further proof that Mr. Mosher gets his eyeballs whacked every time he Wanders in His Weedpatch.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 8, 2019 3:40 am

No, no it’s Grønland, named after Stefan the Grøn. Nothing to do with the landscape. He was an early Viking enviromentalist.

Yeah yeah /sarc

Reply to  Rich Davis
February 8, 2019 4:59 am

Actually Greenland was discovered by Erik theRed. Ironic fact that and true.

His son, Erik Eriksson discovered Vinland.

Caligula Jones
Reply to  M Courtney
February 8, 2019 7:33 am

Leif Eriksson, actually. Leif the Lucky…

Steve O
Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 8, 2019 4:07 am

Yes, Greenland might not be precise, but it is “accurate!”

matthewdrobnick
Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 8, 2019 12:03 pm

I’m at a loss, Mr. Mosher, why you continue to remain so smug, with so much attachment for the official narrative.
You have seen the fraud first hand! On top of that, the evidence is overwhelmingly in support that CO2 is beneficial and that our planet has been much warmer in previous times.

What is the benefit for you to continue to inject erroneous bias into the equation? Is it ego?
I don’t like being wrong, and I don’t like you proving me wrong but you did once before and I had to eat crow. Why are you unwilling?

Reply to  matthewdrobnick
February 8, 2019 3:03 pm

Steve works for Richard Muller at BEST, Matthew. Global warming is now his rice-bowl.

Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 9, 2019 11:52 am

Steven, you have taken a troubling turn from your former common sense position. I’ve often told supporters and apologists for proponents of dangerous warming theory and for dyed-in-the-wool contrarians that it’s okay to be critical of your own side from time to time. It makes you personally more believable from time to time. Omnibus solidarity is not a trait of an independent thinker. I didn’t think I’d be giving you this advice.

Henning Nielsen
Reply to  David Chappell
February 8, 2019 12:26 am

The name was a marketing trick by Erik the Red. Not easy to get people to move there if the place was called “Glacier-land” or similar.

Reply to  Henning Nielsen
February 8, 2019 5:00 am

Hard to get people to stay there if that was true.

MarkW
Reply to  Henning Nielsen
February 8, 2019 7:02 am

Didn’t have much trouble getting people to move to IceLand.

Richard Keen
February 7, 2019 7:45 pm

I guess the news here is that the temperature “measurements” are from bugs in a lake near an old Viking settlement, and not from ice cores hundreds of miles away.
But this is confusing:
“the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) … probably was not in a dominantly positive phase for multiple Medieval centuries as had been hypothesized. (When the NAO is in its positive phase, it brings cold air to much of Greenland.)”
But this was a warm spell, so why should the NAO bring cold air to Greenland?
Of course there’s a gratuitous paean to Global Warming:
““Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized,” Axford said.”
How would they know, from bugs at the bottom of one lake, how localized the warmth was?

Reply to  Richard Keen
February 7, 2019 8:44 pm

Ms Yarrow “Binky” Axford is spouting out-of-dat, 18-year old dogma on the MWP as not being global. The IPCC TAR authors had to spew that line into all the textbooks and college course that Binky undoubtedly was raised on. She still spews that propaganda today whether she knows it or not.

The Mesa Verde Chaco culture of the 4-Corners in the US would beg to differ with her less than scientific observation that the medieval warm period was local to Greenland/Northern Europe, unless she means by ‘local” as only on Earth and not the Moon.

The Far View agriculture site at the Mesa Verde National Park, Colorado has this placard.
[MVNP-Far-View-Res-placard.jpg]
https://postimg.cc/grXcnhtx

The Medieval Warm Period was certainly global in extent though not synchronous globally, with varying timing in the Southern Hemisphere (likely leading).

The more recent literature (peer-reviewed) is finally catching to the reality the MWP was global:
Some examples:
The Pacific Ocean:
– “Proxy records show that before the onset of modern anthropogenic warming, globally coherent cooling occurred from the Medieval Warm Period to the Little Ice Age.”
The Little Ice Age and 20th-century deep Pacific cooling.
G. Gebbie, P. Huybers
Science 04 Jan 2019:
Vol. 363, Issue 6422, pp. 70-74
DOI: 10.1126/science.aar841
http://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6422/70

The Summer Monsoons on the Indian sub-continent (ISM):
“The intervals with lower δ18O values (stronger ISM) correspond with intervals of warmer periods observed in the NH temperature reconstruction such as ~800–1200, 1600–2300, 2900–3300, and 3800–4800 yr BP, which were associated with the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), Roman Warm period (RWP), Minoan Warm period (MWP), and the late portion of the mid-Holocene Climate Optimum (HCO; Fig. 3)”
The Indian monsoon variability and civilization changes in the Indian subcontinent
Gayatri Kathayat, Hai Cheng, Ashish Sinha, Liang Yi, Xianglei Li, Haiwei Zhang, Hangying Li, Youfeng Ning1 and R. Lawrence Edwards
Science Advances 13 Dec 2017:
Vol. 3, no. 12, e1701296
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.170129
http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/12/e1701296

So Colorado, the Pacific Ocean, and the Indian sub-continent all today have many reconstructions showing the MWP was real at those locations.

Ms Binky simply can’t reconcile her long held dogma with new information. Probably because they conflict with her hard-held climate religion views.

Percy Jackson
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 7, 2019 10:15 pm

Joel,
If a warm period is global in extent then it has to be synchronous. Claiming that the medieval warm period occurred at different times around the globe is the same thing as saying there was no such thing as a medieval warm period.

Reply to  Percy Jackson
February 7, 2019 10:48 pm

Saying they were not synchronous merely is saying the onset (warm-up) and end (cool-down) were not simultaneous across the globe in the proxy reconstructions. That is not saying they do not overlap across some smaller base period, like 1000-1100 AD defining the MWP.

There can be many reasons for this of course, all perfectly understandable. The oceans control the climate. Some areas have more ocean than others. There are error bars (uncertainties) in the reconstructions. There are different proxy measures, such as measuring tree-rings, bugs, stalactites, corals, shells, etc.

Ron Long
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 5:32 am

Good reply, Joel. The large-scale complexity of the Earth is difficult to comprehend unless you travel around it a bit. It is easy to imagine climate-changing forces gaining effect in some areas more easily than others.

Percy Jackson
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2019 5:41 pm

Joel,
You are right there are many possible explainations but you appear to be starting with the assumption that there was a medieval warm period that was global in extent and then when that isn’t present in the proxies you look for reasons why the proxies are wrong. Why not start with what the proxies say — that different regions of the world warmed at different times. Natural variability across time and regions would then occasionally produce “global” warm periods due to nothing more than chance. A 100 year spell of warm weather might be nothing more than random noise.

MarkW
Reply to  Percy Jackson
February 8, 2019 7:04 am

It wasn’t 100% synchronous but it did overlap completely.

Try a new pathetic excuse, that one’s expired.

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  Percy Jackson
February 8, 2019 9:24 am

Percy …parts of the USA are cold now . Does this mean the globe is not warming ?

Reply to  Sweet Old Bob
February 8, 2019 1:52 pm

Percy is only talking about the Medieval warming … that which was natural, but did not exist.

Your point is meaningless because the global warming that we have today unique … it warms some areas … it cools some areas … it eliminates (or increases) snow in some areas.

Today’s global warming is unique to circumstances that relate to issue of positive communication with respect to the understanding of the humankind’s world impact, and the peripheral relationship with the human condition.

Ain’t that about right Percy?

MarkW
Reply to  Sweet Old Bob
February 8, 2019 2:04 pm

Percy will get back to you as soon as he’s told what to think.

Dave Fair
Reply to  Richard Keen
February 7, 2019 8:48 pm

Gratuitous? More like downright ideology! My understanding is that numerous studies have shot down the “team’s” baseless assertions.

John Robertson
February 7, 2019 7:52 pm

But,but..Team IPCC (TM ) assured us the medieval warm period never happened.
And then ,well even if it did it was just a local event.
It is getting so hard to keep track of our history,it keeps changing so fast.

Funnily enough it was the IPCC Hookey Stick attempt to erase the Medieval that started my questioning of CAGW.
Twain;”A lie will be halfway around the world,before truth even gets its boots on”.
Now the question. Just how valuable are the proxies used for this study?

Tim
Reply to  John Robertson
February 8, 2019 5:52 am

“He who joyfully marches in rank and file has already earned my contempt. He has been given a large brain by mistake, since for him the spinal cord would suffice.” — Albert Einstein

Art
February 7, 2019 7:54 pm

“This warmer period was similar to southern Greenland’s temperatures today, which hover around 10-degrees Celsius (50-degrees Fahrenheit) in summer.”
—————————————————–
Not so. They grew crops that won’t grow there now. They buried their dead in graves that are in permafrost now. I don’t need to do any such studies to know this one is bogus, just plain historical and physical evidence shows clearly that it was considerably warmer then

Reply to  Art
February 7, 2019 8:06 pm

That is the dissembling language that Progressive academics use when afflicted with an acute case of cognitive dissonance.

MFKBoulder
Reply to  Art
February 8, 2019 6:07 am

Hi Art,
yoou worte: “They buried their dead in graves that are in permafrost now”.

When temperatures remain as they are today, how thick will the active layer be there in 100 years? Especially when with slight warming the (increased) winter snow cover will isolate the soil from the cold air?

Walter Sobchak
February 7, 2019 8:11 pm

The Vikings caused the warm weather. They were real He-men who drove big honking diesel powered Super-Duty pickups.

NorwegianSceptic
Reply to  Walter Sobchak
February 8, 2019 1:34 am

Not to forget the viking ships with their huge crude oil slurping engines! (The engines have long since rusted away, but must have been there – what else could have caused the warming?) 🙂
https://www.khm.uio.no/english/visit-us/viking-ship-museum/index.html

Peter Morris
February 7, 2019 8:15 pm

Pssssh.

OBVIOUSLY it was humanity that caused Greenland to be warm, just as we caused the LIA.

It’s up to the next generation of climate, uh, researchers to find the link. Send them money so they can unravel the mystery!

Rich Davis
Reply to  Peter Morris
February 8, 2019 3:46 am

Yes that’s settled science. After all, the climate changed and there were humans. What else could explain a phenomenon so unprecedented in the history of the planet?

February 7, 2019 8:36 pm

“Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized,” Axford said.

Hasn’t that statement been refuted by half a dozen studies?

John Tillman
Reply to  Leo Smith
February 8, 2019 12:09 am

More like dozens.

Larry Geiger
Reply to  Leo Smith
February 8, 2019 5:13 am

Mighty sure of themselves, aren’t they.

jeff
February 7, 2019 8:37 pm

“Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized,”

There doesn’t seem to be a lot of evidence that some regions were cooler.

The AGW crowd would much prefer the Medieval Warm Period was localized to specific areas.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  jeff
February 8, 2019 7:49 am

One could say today’s warming is localized too – to cities and airports. Uncorrected UHI effects (which increase over time with increases in population, traffic, A/C use, etc.) probably account for much of the supposedly “climate change” caused temperature increase over pick-your-period.

Chris Hanley
February 7, 2019 8:41 pm

‘ “Unlike warming over the past century, which is global, Medieval warmth was localized,” Axford said ‘.
=====================================
That’s right, localised to Greenland, Canada, US, Chile, Norway, Spain, India, Russia, China, Japan, Indonesia, New Zealand, Antartica etc.
comment image

michael hart
Reply to  Chris Hanley
February 8, 2019 1:03 am

lol That’s what I thought.
Even when apparently attempting to do actual science these people just can’t stop themselves from inserting a few sentences to reassure the rest of the clan that they are still on-side.

MarkW
Reply to  Chris Hanley
February 8, 2019 7:07 am

But rest assured. All the places that haven’t been studied, it was colder.

Just like today, most of the warming is isolated to places that don’t have thermometers.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  MarkW
February 8, 2019 7:55 am

Or places that do, but are artificially warmed by UHI effects for which no or inadequate uncertainty ranges have been applied*, as opposed to anything to do with “climate.”

*I refuse to say “adjusted” any more, having just thought that over; the instrument reading is what it is, and should never be changed, as far as I’m concerned. Just apply appropriately expansive error bars to all of it to show how completely inconsequential the supposed amount of warming actually IS.

MarkW
Reply to  AGW is not Science
February 8, 2019 8:22 am

They’ve been “fixed”.
In much the same way that a dog or a cat is “fixed”.

February 7, 2019 9:34 pm

As there are frequently doubts about the accuracy of proxies , I have a suggestion.

Lets take a area where over at least the last 300 years there is a record of temperature, like most of the USA, then take a core from places such as lakes. Now if the proxies then confirm the known temperatures, we then can use them as a good indication of temperature elsewhere.

MJE

Taylor Pohlman
February 7, 2019 9:54 pm

The article implies that their proxies have a time resolution that is not very precise – when they talk about climate swings, it could still imply many years of warm conditions, followed by cold periods, averaged out. Any resolution less than 50 years or so provides very little sense of actual climate swings – think about the last 300 hundred years in terms of purported global swings – LIA to the current warm period is pretty significant, particularly in terms of agricultural productivity, but came with much more extremes than the beginning and ending points would suggest, even in the last 100 years.

Editor
February 7, 2019 10:32 pm

I’m surprised that Justin Trudeau hasn’t “disappeared” the following (warning 9 megabyte PDF) The URL is http://www.collectionscanada.gc.ca/obj/s4/f2/dsk2/ftp04/mq22551.pdf It’s a thesis as part of an MA in Archeology. It’s rather dry reading. Page 15 of the thesis (physical page 26 of the PDF) mentions an estimated 1,000 to 2,000 cattle in the Vatnaverfi District, which would be rather difficult today.

See also http://viking.archeurope.info/index.php?page=the-farm-beneath-the-sand

For additional giggles, Google “garden under sandet” (including the quotes); I get 665 results.

Steven Mosher
February 7, 2019 10:36 pm

““We went in with a hypothesis that we wouldn’t see warmth in this time period, in which case we might have had to explain how the Norse were hearty, robust folk who settled in Greenland during a cold snap,” Lasher said. “Instead, we found evidence for warmth. Later, as their settlements died out, apparently there was climatic instability. Maybe they weren’t as resilient to climate change as Greenland’s indigenous people, but climate is just one of many things that might have played a role.”

so much for group think

Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 7, 2019 11:09 pm

Steven,
The GroupThink shows up in their denial that the MWP was global. The hockey stick was of course a product of the first decade of the 21st Century by the hockey team you are so well acquainted with from the climate gate emails. The senior author quoted here was indoctrinated into the hockey stick as a Grad student during that period.
The MWP was certainly a global phenomenon, albeit with diffing start-end times across the globe, perfectly understandable. The GroupThink is the near-religious denial of the MWP as a global phenom, because for that belief to die within the Group would mean an admission the very tenets of the Third AR and the hockey stick are wrong.

And the fact that a pastoral society with a sea-faring connection to the outside world (Christianity and the need for livestock replenishment after a hard winter) is less climate resilient than small bands of hunter-gatherers (the Inuit) is hardly controversial.

MarkW
Reply to  Steven Mosher
February 8, 2019 7:09 am

Most people are capable of recognizing that a single counter example is not capable of refuting thousands of previous examples.

John Tillman
February 8, 2019 12:07 am

Yet another recent paper on the MWP in South America.

http://notrickszone.com/2018/11/03/new-study-medieval-warm-period-not-limited-to-north-atlantic-but-occurred-in-south-america-as-well/

So, yes the MWP was regional, to include the Arctic, Southern Ocean, North Atlantic, South Atlantic, Indian Ocean, South Pacific, South American, North American, European, Asian, Antarctic, Australian and New Zealand regions, among others around the globe, from c. AD 800 to 1400, preceded and followed by the Dark Ages and LIA Cool Periods.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  John Tillman
February 8, 2019 8:00 am

Yeah but they’re all “regions,” so it’s obviously just “regional.”/sarc

Martin Hovland
February 8, 2019 12:17 am

Wow, I was borne 1000 years too late….!

Krudd Gillard of the Commondebt of Australia
February 8, 2019 12:19 am

“Greenland” – this is not news unless you are a Climate Change shyster.

Coeur de Lion
February 8, 2019 12:26 am

Not news

alastair gray
February 8, 2019 12:34 am

Does not the d18O level reflect the average over the entire area of oceanic evaporation and thus is not an indicator of merely local conditions. About the same time as this was happening, Icelanders logged a decrease in floating icebergs. Agriculture flourished in the area of the folgefoen icefield in Norway. These farms were later overwhelmed by ice which is now melting to reveal these farms for archaeological study. Same story in the Alps, and one presumes that only Roman warmeriod warmth permitted Hannibal to take his . So so elephants through the passes.
So so much for only local that s justarrotting the party line. As for global warming being global look to the greaterpart of the continental US revord hightemperatures during dustbowl years..I am surprised that this lot published but we ay make”deniers” of them yet