Farmers are suffering as the cold, wet spring has put a stunning halt to agriculture. Ice Age Farmer Report – 19 Apr 2018
Soil temperatures are below normal, and not conducive to planting yet.
“Temperatures going down, greenhouses going up. Crop losses continue globally, and we must all be preparing for the times ahead.”
Ice Age Farmer highly recommends putting in your own greenhouse.
“According to Mike Tannura of T-Storm Weather, there’s a strong correlation between historically cold April months and below trend yields. On Monday, Tannura told AgriTalk After The Bell host Chip Flory that April 2018 will go down as one of the three coldest Aprils since 1895.
“Based on the data we’re looking at today, there’s a chance it could be the coldest of the entire period going back to 1895,” he said.
Here are some of the Ice Age Farmer’s warnings:
- Folks in Ohio are not able to start planting.
- Folks in Nebraska are not able to start planting.
- Folks in Illinois are not able to start planting.
- Folks in North Dakota are not able to start planting.
- Folks in South Dakota are not able to start planting.
- None of Iowa’s farmland is ready for planting
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Maybe they were just 30 years ahead of their time during the ’70s with the prediction of a freezing planet.
Who am I kidding, they were/are never correct.
Welll, the next glaciation is due any time now.
Not in New Zealand with our retreating glacier!
https://www.iceagenow.info/new-zealand-glaciers-advancing/
Naa, They have it planned so the cereals and crops are pre frozen for the export market 😉
Chimp
Seems your article is rather old. Here is an update, You will note the sentence…
“Since 2011, most New Zealand glaciers had gone into rapid decline.”
Chimp
https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/89403443/when-the-worlds-glaciers-shrunk-new-zealands-grew-bigger
Simon,
Both your link and mine are from 2017. Whom are you going to believe, alarmists or scientists?
But even if a majority of NZ glaciers have continued their retreat since the end of the LIA in the 19th century, so what? That’s what you’d expect.
What you wouldn’t expect, if man-made CO2 were responsible for any and all retreat in the second half of the 20th and first part of the 21st century, why would so many glaciers in NZ and around the world be advancing rather than retreating? Why would the Antarctic ice sheet be gaining mass?
Clearly, CO2 has nothing to do with ice waxing or waning.
Cmon guys even if all the 200000 glaciers in the world were to melt the sea level would only go up 400mm.
So how in the hell can the New Zealand glaciers not be affected by the same CO2 that is supposedly mixed evenly in the atmosphere. CO2 is not causing glaciers to melt if the IPCC agreed increase in temp for the last 100 years has been only 0.75C Since when did reason leave most of humanity?. Answer When they started to believe in a religion called Glaobal Warnimg. Believing in a religion makes you dumber. See this whole global warming hoax makes me sick. it isnt funny anymore . These carbon taxes are ruining our economies while the Chinese and the Indians laugh.
Chimp
I believe the latest data from the people who study this stuff… and they say that most of NZ’s glaciers are now dramatically retreating. Globally polar sea ice is possibly at the lowest (recorded) level ever for this time of year.
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png
Glaciers retreating during the summer.
Who’d a thunk it.
Perhaps you can get a research grant to study this new phenomena.
Simon April 26, 2018 at 6:50 pm
Arctic sea ice generally declined in the dedicated satellite “data” from 1979 to 2012, but has grown since then. Antarctic sea ice generally grew from 1979 to 2014, but, thanks to freak WX during the super El Nino of 2015-16, pulled back since 2014.
Please explain how then sea ice could possibly be reacting to steadily increasing CO2 from C. 1945?
And also how land ice could possibly be reacting to CO2, since glaciers were already generally retreating since AD 1850, but some in this century have grown, some stayed the same and indeed some continued waxing. All the mountain glaciers in the world aren’t a pimple on the posterior of the mighty East Antarctic Ice Sheet, repository of most of the fresh water on earth, which has been growing despite steadily rising CO2.
Thanks.
There are various Sounds in NZ such as Milford Sound, that you can cruise through. All formed my melting glaciers, which disappeared thousands of years ago. So glaciers melt… who would have thought?
Simon April 26, 2018 at 6:50 pm: I followed your link, and I did not see the graph you posted. Please tell us where to find at your linked source a graph showing 2016-2017, 2017-2018, 1981-2010 average and the band of +/- 2 standard deviations from the 1981-2010 average of Arctic sea ice extent (area that is at least 15% covered by ice).
Chimp April 26, 2018 at 7:32 pm:
You mentioned the East Antarctica ice sheet, but there is also a west one that is also orders of magnitude greater than all mountain glaciers in the world combined. The west one has been getting hay/hey made about it in recent years. One thing to consider is whether the ice sheet of all of Antarctica is gaining or losing mass. Studies using different satellites disagree, which is pointed out by the following Climate Audit article. That article leaves me an impression that there is a slight preponderance of evidence that the ice sheet of Antarctica as a whole has been losing mass from 2008 to the time that article was written:
https://climateaudit.org/2015/12/02/antarctic-ice-mass-controversies/
Simon
Simon, don’t you just love it, from the article – in 2005 15 of the 26 glaciers that were growing in the world were in New Zealand.
There are thousands of glaciers in the world, who has been watching them all.
Regards
Bottom line is more glaciers (in NZ and world wide) are retreating than growing. The trend for sea ice is also down. It’s a lose … lose for us all.
Simon April 26, 2018 at 11:20 pm
What would be a lose would be if sea and land ice were increasing. Thank God they are not. Less ice is good.
Arctic sea ice has been growing since 2012. Antarctic sea ice grew all the while Arctic was declining. Hence, no CO2 signal.
Mountain glaciers on balance have been retreating for 300 years. CO2 has nothing to do with it. But in any case, mountain glaciers are at most a rounding error on the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. And Greenland and the West Antarctic Ice Sheets are insignificant compared to the growing East Antarctic Ice Sheet.
So where in all this is there any correlation with CO2 growth since 1945?
Myth: “Since 2011, most New Zealand glaciers had gone into rapid decline.” –Simon, 2018
Science says: Whether the glaciers advance or retreat, it is always consistent with the global warming paradigm, and thus can be allowed by our troops without stupid attempts to refute.
Compared to the LIA, glaciers are smaller? So what?
Compared to the 70’s, the coldest period during the last 100 years, glaciers are smaller. So what?
Why do you believe that slightly smaller glaciers is bad for anybody, much less the catastrophe you believe it to be?
Donald L. Klipstein April 26, 2018 at 9:14 pm
The WAIS is tiny compared to the EAIS. If it is losing mass, it’s only because of subglacial volcanism.
As of 2015, NASA said that the whole Antarctic ice sheet, net, is gaining mass.
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of-antarctic-ice-sheet-greater-than-losses
Which one? The Franz Joseph, Fox, Hooker, Mueller, Murchison, Tasman, or Volta?
This just shows the tremendous variability in the climate from one year to the next. Trying to tease out the effect of a trace gas on this mess is futile.
Unless your paycheck depends on finding that signal.
@ur momisugly Bruce …imo, that is exactly what happened. They were one 30 year period away from being correct. If they had the more detailed info which we have today, then they probably would have gotten it right the first time.
Globally, we’ve had the 5th warmest January and March on record. So, Watts’ cherry-picking of a small part ofthe US for April means nothing – though it’s not surprising.
@ur momisugly SocraticGadfly – Only 5th?! Shouldn’t every year be the “Hottest Year EVAH”?!
Okay, okay, I AM straw-manning you on purpose because the weather is a tricky, finicky thing such that the climate models have never been right and will never be right.
In a gently warming world, today is slightly warmer than the past on the average.
You mean 40 years ahead of their time!
Here in the inland PNW, it has belatedly just warmed up and dried out enough for field work.
In the Quincy area (think server “farms) work in orchards and vineyards got underway early because of dry and cool conditions. Pruning is over and fruit trees are blooming — apricots, apples, and so on. New orchards have been put in. Field work is underway.
The USA is a big country and this region, between the Rockies and the Cascades, is often different weather-wise from the Mid-West. 2018 is well within “normal” conditions. Late January and 1st half of February were on the warm side. Since then not so much.
Then yesterday temp = 78°F and today it is 83°. NWS has charts for Yakima and a few other places.
Yakima weather 2018
On the wet side of Washington, Mt. Baker finished with 70 feet of snow.
Scotts weather blog – KOMO
I am in Kennewick, where it is about 84 F, LOVE IT!
The benefits of living not far from the mighty Pacific Ocean. Very nice here in NorCal as well, almost record setting.
Normally, here in Snohomish County, we have the cattle out on grass by April 1st. This year, due to cold nights, the grass was late, and heavy rains made the fields too wet to pasture. Finally got ’em out April 17th.
Here on the coastal PNW the nice sunny weather is about to return to its normal state – rain. But then we all know the sun doesn’t come out to stay until July. The 4th to be precise.
No no no, the sun comes out to stay on July 4th weekend. July 4th itself is 50-50 on being cool and wet or warm and dry!
For my section of PNW weather. We finally got a stretch of warm and dry but today it’s 25 degrees cooler and trying to put all the water back in the ground that just dried out.
Yikes, climate change is worse than we thought.
Anthony Watts. you know this weather right? Oh, wait you do of course. Well, remember this is climate CHANGE so you are confirming my position. Thanks
WX phenomena can be and are determined by climatic trends as well as by the vagaries of meteorology.
One snowstorm in Africa could be a freak WX event, but after a number of winters in a row with such previously unusual occurrences, climatic change might be the underlying cause.
Dan DaSilva
What?
ditto What?
Never try to be funny after two glasses of wine.
Dan
Try a third glass and go again
ahhh I see…..so the problem was lack of wine
Isn’t that always the problem
… wine helps me drink.
I certainly wasn’t because of lack of whine.
Record and near record cold clear around the NH blamed on “global warming”:
http://www.climatedepot.com/2018/03/02/record-cold-and-snow-around-the-globe-linked-to-global-warming/
It’s “just WX”, but it’s also because of “climate change”. So whenever it’s unusually cold, that’s just WX, but also because of climate change. However, whenever it’s unusually hot, that’s not WX but climate change.
…the preceding public service announcement was brought to you by….Dr Jeff Masters
So Dan DaSilva you are saying this is climate change…..At what point does weather turn into climate change hmmm!
For me, to determine if it’s climate rather than weather, an absolute minimum amount of time required is 500 years, preferred is 1,000 years. After all, we must not jump to conclusions (this is a somewhat sarcastic and snide remark to those who only think in terms of a few decades or so.).
John,
Climatologists will accept as few as three decades, but of course, three centuries would be better and three millennia best of all, which is about the interval in which the Holocene has been cooling, but 5000 years ago was also about as balmy, if not more so, than the Minoan Warm Period.
On longer time scales, it was a lot colder 30,000 years ago and the average global climate of the past three million years has been much frostier than the vast majority of the Phanerozoic Eon, ie the past 540 million years.
At the point where I can get a line item in the budget.
“At what point does weather turn into climate change hmmm!”
at the point it can be made to fit into the scare story narrative.
It was sarcasm. Or at least an attempt at it.
You’re right.
This is weather, not climate.
If it meant anything more it would be indicative of one year making the climate.
And it would disprove the effectiveness of the climate models. But it doesn’t.
It means nothing.
It means I have been ridiculously cold this spring
48,000 excess Winter deaths in your native UK, this year.
It means something.
It means the climate is same as 1895
@ur momisugly KLorhn …1885/86 to 1915/16 was a cool trend from my perspective.
Alan R: there have NOT been 48,000 extra winter deaths in the UK!
I often lose my “/sarc” tag also.
Substitute “Global Warming”, the original meme, for “climate CHANGE” and no “/sarc” tag would have been needed.
Of course. We all know only unusually warm weather is climate, unless we are talking about unusually unpleasant weather – heavy snowfall, very heavy rain or a prolonged drought, which also counts as climate.
oh dan, I was thinking the same thing when I saw this! Well of course a cold April PROVES Global Warming is True! Because Feels!!!
And…Those poor primitives back in 1895 hadn’t invented “Climate” yet. So they couldn’t have climate, could they? Silly primitives! They were freezing and boiling and nothing to blame it on except weather. They helped and supported each other when they should have been at each other’s throats for causing their discomfort!
Latitude, I would try to say something funny but I already failed once.
LOL….that’s never even slowed me down
Don’t give up.
Wear steel toe boots. LOL
Dan
Funny is worth the wait keep swinging
Your “failure” provoked the usual chorus of responses. It’s good to keep the troops fit and alert. So don’t apologize.
I see you follow the golden rule Dan ……’if at first you don’t succeed, quit’………you gonna’ damage yourself
And your point is?
Fascinating how every cold snap is weather, but every warm period, no matter how small or short is proof positive of CAGW.
Well it is not called the climate change for nothing! It has to cover every freaking possibility of weather, including the ‘nothing special happened’, which is actually very rare.
There any 190 nations in the world, 12 months/52 weeks/365 days, several (if not dozens of) variables, two ends. Probability that some place has a weather record of some kind exceeding a 100-year event approaches 100% given some (not much) time.
What is the probability, that a hundred-year record of hourly rain is broken during a year in some town bigger than 10,000 inhabitants? There are so many hours and so many towns that a freak thunderstorm will happen and break the previous record. There are so many places where rain is measured a direct hit becomes more and more probable.
A weather record as such is not really news. It might have local significance, but not global.
None of this will result in the green blob changing their opinions or policy recommendations.
You could be arguing with a greenie about it while a glacier was advancing towards the 2 of you. While the glacier was swallowing up the greenie and you were scampering to higher ground the greenie would be screaming global warming caused this. That is how stupid; believing in a religion makes you.
It can get like the plot line of “Fallen Angels” by Niven, Pournelle, and Flynn, with advancing glaciers and the green blob insisting there is global warming.
My local weatherman said Oklahoma might have its coldest April on record this year. We’ll know in a few days.
I didn’t plant an early garden this year and I’m sure glad because I would have been running out to the garden every other day covering up the poor plants because it has been so cold. I’m just starting to plant right now where normally it would be around April 1.
That’s the local weatherman – i.e before the necessary adjustments which will correct your wild imagination and PROVE it to be ” the hottest April since records began “.
I’m in the central Oklahoma Metro area.
I just love Portulaca flowers (Rose Moss) and grow them every year. I have to spend very little time tending to them and they reseed themselves and come back annually.
This year, the little plants were up in profusion, but have now been killed by late frosts.
That’s never happened in the many years I’ve grown them.
Fortunately, I have a stock of saved seeds to get them restarted.
Of course, anything can happen with the weather, but the world can’t stand too many years of late Springs in a row, or many people will die of starvation.
South-Eastern Australia…… Nominally a Mediterranean climate, but after a wet summer, we are now dry as dust at sowing time. Warm and dry.
As a farmer, it sucks.
It always sucks to be a farmer.
Bad climate, bad climate.
What ya gonna do, what ya gonna do?
The good news for you folks south of the border, is that we in Alberta are no longer sending northern states cold temperatures. It finally warmed up here in Alberta. For now anyway.
Gee, the global warming must still be causing that Polar vortex condition they were on about when sharks were freezing to death off thick solid sea ice off Boston.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/01/08/stunning-video-shows-frozen-ocean-falmouth/OJaMOEtOxEWlePOBF9Y4SI/amp.html
https://www.google.com/amp/amp.abc.net.au/article/9294088
The Sun hasn’t pushed the storm track north yet. Why do you think that is?
I cpoied the following off of the page link.
“At Yale, you can take a course on being happy. And many students are”.
What % of the course net costs are being paid for by the taxpayer?
The first thing that many employers want to know about you “Are you a happy person?”.
Happy? Money and sex. If you have the first, no problem with the second.
I always said that if I could pick my job, it would be that of a professional student. These days I may have to rethink that, as I’m beginning to wonder if they are teaching anything worth learning.
spoiler alert: they aren’t
All you old timers like me… you remember, in your youth, when every day was exactly 76°F? Remember when it never rained during the day and there was never a dark cloud in the clear blue sky? Remember when the wind never blew above a gentle, mild Zephyr?
Remember all that and more?
Yeah, me neither!
That happens when you get “old”. You forget and make stuff up! Halcyon days indeed. Sarc on large.
I remember my Grampa told me that he remembered when the snow used to come up to his armpits, he could barely see over it when he went out! It was a long time ago, because he said he was only 7 years old at the time.
It’s true! It’s true! The crown has made it clear.
The climate must be perfect all the year.
A law was made a distant moon ago here:
July and August cannot be too hot.
And there’s a legal limit to the snow here
In Camelot.
The winter is forbidden till December
And exits March the second on the dot.
By order, summer lingers through September
In Camelot.
Camelot! Camelot!
I know it sounds a bit bizarre,
But in Camelot, Camelot
That’s how conditions are.
The rain may never fall till after sundown.
By eight, the morning fog must disappear.
In short, there’s simply not
A more congenial spot
For happily-ever-aftering than here
In Camelot.
Camelot! Camelot!
I know it gives a person pause,
But in Camelot, Camelot
Those are the legal laws.
The snow may never slush upon the hillside.
By nine p.m. the moonlight must appear.
In short, there’s simply not
A more congenial spot
For happily-ever-aftering than here
In Camelot.
from the film- Camelot
In Camelot
Well, I grew up in San Diego so I actually do remember those days.
I remember in 1975 it was 35C in the shade both in Denmark and France. I was on a 3 week camping holliday with my parents to France. The following year, 1976, it was up to 36C for some time in july, and I specifically remember that the ladybugs were very annoying. It was a drought so they gathered in big swarms close to the water, and bit you to get some fluid.
And then last year the july max temperature reached an impressive 24C.
To me that seems like a noteworthy difference.
It’s a good thing that CO2 levels are getting higher, since plants tend to be hardier against the cold in CO2 rich atmospheres.
It’s just weather but the climate is worst.
It is indeed weather. Here from the NOAA report begins the summary of US weather in March 2018:
NOAA would never fudge the numbers. No, never.
So when the headline here says “Likely coldest April since 1895”, whose data do you think it refers to?
Nick,
I don’t know. From the T-Storm site, it’s hard to say whether the weather data are proprietary, as collected from private and coop stations, or from NOAA’s notoriously cooked books.
“No, no, not ever.”
Nick,
Don’t worry. NOAA will erase this cold spell in several more years.
Just as they have in previous ones.
Hide the Decline is alive and well.
Dear Nick
It may pay to stock up on blue ink for your printers.
Regards
so….they are saying the climate had been stable at least for the past 8 years…. 😉
NOAA’s gnomes are now making up the “raw data”. The bureaucrats’ books are cooked to a crisp.
https://weather.com/storms/winter/news/record-cold-early-march
A disturbing trend:
https://weather.com/safety/winter/news/bitter-cold-finish-february-20140221#/!
https://weather.com/storms/winter/news/record-cold-early-march
Only 2016 was odd month out.
And note how frigid were the late ’70s, coincidentally right before a dedicated satellite went up.
https://www.weather.gov/lot/coldest_dec_to_march
This despite over 30 years of increasing CO2, ie c. 1945-78.
I’m just sooooo amazed how every single time it’s getting warmer. Statistically, not likely. But you have your story and you just keep sticking to it, even if it snows in Yuma in July. Blame it on climate change, take a long “average” period and viola! Hottest July in Yuma EVERRRRRRr.
And even when NOAA doesn’t cook the raw data extra crispy, its imps make sure to parboil them with “adjustments”:
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/02/20/delingpole-noaa-caught-adjusting-big-freeze-out-of-existence/
I remember trying to read that and couldn’t find no head nor tail.
Besides, every time I read Breitbart I see advertisements that are frawdulent on their nature, filling in some desperate location data from my ip. I find it pretty disturbing that they think their l**s actually work on some people wanting to buy a new iPhone for five bucks.
Interesting that they use the “twentieth century average” for this, to make it more dramatic, I assume (in terms of how far above average). The linked map shows they are considering the average for the period 1895 to 2017. Most recent data is indexed to shorter, more recent periods, so I assume that using those periods would result in much less dramatic maps and results. Shame on you Nick, for using such irrelevant data to try to make a point and counter what midwest farmers are seeing with their own eyes, as compared to this misleading data.
“Interesting that they use the “twentieth century average” for this”
That is their standard, in every report. It is a period that doesn’t change. And the fact that you think it makes numbers more “dramatic” does indicate that the climate has indeed been warming.
@Nick;
I’ll repeat a question you have always dodged.
Why, in the modern era with electronic data reporting, is it ever necessary to adjust current readings upwards??
DJH,
Well, as usual, I invite you to quote some actual numbers. I don’t see a reason for adjusting absolute numbers for stations. Current is usually set as the standard with respect to which adjustments are made, although as a matter of practicality current may not mean the latest month. Anomalies will generally change, because the base period is being adjusted, and that flows through to present anomalies.
Nick, want to place a bet that the temp they report for today……..will be the same temp they record for today…next year?
Don’t you just LURV averages. Some cooler, some warmer – result average.
Latitude, since the temp they currently report for previous years don’t match the temp they reported at the time for those years, no one with a brain will take you up on that bet. Unfortunately neither with propaganda pushers like Nick.
Meanwhile, back in reality:
https://principia-scientific.org/2018-record-coldest-start-to-a-year-in-u-s-history/
Also from early 2016 to early 2018 showed the most profound cooling for any 24 months since at least 1979.
Just weather, though.
If the past two years had shown the fastest warming rather than cooling, that would be climate. But as it is, it’s just weather.
Coldest start in 2018 for any year on record.
Nick
It’s weather who said it was anything else, so what?
So….the cause of Global Warming (Man’s CO2) didn’t caused the opposite this April?
April was “just weather” but March was not?
Can we agree that both are just “natural”?
PS I live on just one little spot on the globe. But some of the “record” highs and lows for the period you mention have been fiddled with.
I don’t have the current list of “record” highs and lows for my little spot on the globe to do a similar comparison.
But it is obvious that past numbers have been changed and not by the “weather”.
And these are just for my little spot on the globe. How many other records of “little spots on the globe” have been changed?
PS I got these numbers from NOAA at the time. (I did get a list via TheWayBackMachine for 2002. No change from the 2007 list.)
good find!..
Would you care to divulge what place you are talking about? Preferably with WMO number etc.
from his previous posting of the data the location is Columbus Ohio
I didn’t see Nick’s request until today.
John is correct. Columbus Ohio.
(I’ll try to find the NWS web address that can be entered into the “search bar” of TheWayBackMachine to find the past versions of the records. The NWS seems to have changed the address a bit. I had the old one but now I can’t find it. I’d included links in past comments before it was changed.)
Try this.
https://web.archive.org/web/*/http://www.erh.noaa.gov/iln/cmhrec.htm
If it works right, it will have TheWayBackMachine’s archived lists of the old address.
(This is the current address. https://www.weather.gov/iln/climate_records_cmh for the record temps.)
Where in the hell did NOAA take the temps in the southeast?
Days of frosts and low temps all the way down to the Ft Lauderdale area. On the Gulf coast, tomato plants were stunted and are just now growing ( they halt when night temp below 50 deg a few nights in a row).
I also seem t remember some snow storms these last few weeks. Not March, but seemingly late.
Oh yeah, they are using some arbitrary 30 year period and “anomalies”.
Gums whines….
“Gums whines….”
Justifiably. The fault is mine and I apologize. As I explained to Bob Koss below, I quoted and linked the report for the wrong year (2017). March was much more subdued – just average. The correct report is here.
This website helped make me something of a skeptic, but the current thread shows how confirmation bias infects all too many skeptics as well as warmists.
Check the data. As Roy Spencer notes, “the Midwest’s April chill” is a great anomaly, offset by much warmer weather elsewhere.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/04/midwests-april-chill-most-unusual-on-earth/.
offset by much warmer weather elsewhere.??
–
“In terms of temperature departures from average so far this April, the U.S. Midwest, Northern Plains, and much of Canada have been the coldest on Earth.The areas of green have averaged at least 6 deg. F below normal, the areas in purple have been at least 13 deg. F below normal, and spots in North Dakota and Montana have averaged close to 20 deg F below normal over the last 2 weeks.
–
In contrast, the global average temperature has been running 0.5 deg. F above the 1981-2010 average.”
–
Overall the world has been cooling the last 6 months.0.5 f is not very much above average, is it?.
angech,
I made no claims of warming. I only pointed out that April’s U.S. cooling is not representative of the world as a whole.
The world as a whole was cooler (measured by anomalies) from January through March than it was from August through December. That’s more hopeful than the alternative would have been, but it’s still very weak evidence of any sustained trend.
Nick, it was indeed warmer in 2017, as shown in your link. Don’t think there’s any argument there. But my area has been seven degrees cooler, on average, this year. What surprises me is, if you had been keeping up with the weather, you would have known something was amiss with the data in your link.
Jtom,
Yes. As I explained elsewhere, with apology, I thought it was the 2018 report. The real March 2018 report is here. Just average – 1.1F above the 20th C average.
Link is to 2017 map/numbers.
You betcha! It warmed slightly over the 20th Century so that the most recent years are warmer than the average for the period. Get a grip!
Do you want to bet your society, economy and energy systems against the speculation that temperatures will rise significantly in the 21st Century? IPCC climate models are bunk.
“On this day in 1961, Dwight D. Eisenhower ends his presidential term by warning the nation about the increasing power of the military-industrial complex.”
https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/eisenhower-warns-of-military-industrial-complex
American and Canadian scientists believe that soviet experiments in weather control may be to blame for this winters bitter cold weather.
https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP81M00980R002000090182-0.pdf
“Between 1980±1997 a large number of ionospheric
modi®cation experiments have been performed using
the HF heating facility located at Ramfjùrdmoen near
Tromsù, Norway (Rietveld et al., 1993; Stubbe, 1996).
Many eorts have been made to study experimentally
and theoretically the ionospheric modi®cation produced
by powerful HF radio waves.”
N. F. Blagoveshchenskaya, V. A. Kornienko, A. V. Petlenko, A. Brekke, M. T. Rietveld. Geophysical
phenomena during an ionospheric modification experiment at Tromsø, Norway. Annales Geophysicae,
European Geosciences Union, 1998, 16 (10), pp.1212-1225.
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/file/index/docid/316449/filename/angeo-16-1212-1998.pdf
The Ultimate Weapon of Mass Destruction:
“Owning the Weather” for Military Use
by Michel Chossudovsky
https://archives.globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO409F.html
“The Sura Ionospheric Heating Facility, located near the small town of Vasilsursk about 100 km eastward from Nizhniy Novgorod in Russia, is a laboratory for ionosphere research [1]. Sura is capable of radiating about 190 MW, effective radiated power (ERP) on short waves[citation needed]. This facility is operated by the radiophysical research institute NIRFI in Nizhny Novgorod[citation needed]. The Sura facility was commissioned in 1981[citation needed]. Using this facility, Russian researchers studied the behaviour of the ionosphere and the effect of generation of low-frequency emission on modulation of ionosphere current. In the beginning, the Soviet Defense Department mostly footed the bill. The American HAARP ionospheric heater, whose operation began in 1993, is similar to the Sura facility.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sura_Ionospheric_Heating_Facility
Oh, I thought it was Wi-Fi and Cell tower EMF that was making the global temperature warmer. The Ruskies are meddling with our weather. Ok. As if the 5 Mw like HARP directs into the ionosphere research is going to going to generate magnitudes of weather temps warmer. Just easier to adjust the data. First there was fake news, and now there is fake weather statistics. Wilfully and criminally. Maybe the Russians have hacked NASA and NOAA. Or infiltrated?
[?? And with that, we will close that line of speculation off, per site guidelines. .mod]
But the Russian climate model is closest to actual temperatures!
Just more meridonal weather patterns.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
The North West Pacific – South West US seasaw,
Yeah, and we don’t care what happens in flyover country. Rubes.
It’s dead easy and reasonably cheap to build a poly greenhouse. link Greenhouse growers build their own. That said, there are lots of commercial crops that would be hard to start in a greenhouse without some kind of new technology. For instance, I can’t imagine planting wheat the same way you plant tobacco. link
Depending on location, the greenhouse will require heat. Mine freezes inside at 29°F much of the time. It’s fiberglass, so maybe that has something to do with it. It is great for protection from hail.
Some vegetables don’t do well in a greenhouse because they need pollinators.
It rains and keeps farmers out of the fields, so I can’t see this is a huge catastrophe. It’s not like farming has any guarantees.
Commercial greenhouse operators often keep entomologists on staff to keep the ratio of friendly to unfriendly insects in balance. Also, they monitor the amount of bees running around the place.
Stock growers have suffered too http://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2018/04/24/brutal-winter-has-claimed-more-than-3-000-cattle-glacier-county/545830002/
While we’re at it…the Midwest is also suffering from a pretty historical tornado drought.
https://www.theweathernetwork.com/us/news/articles/tornado-drought-southern-plains-oklahoma-kansas-texas-us-severe-weather-below-seasonal-temperatures-record-breaking/100031
I published in 2002 that global cooling would commence by 2020-2030, and it’s only 2018, so this is definitely weather, not climate. 🙂
All together now, concerning the very cold Winter and very late Spring:
” I BLAME GLOBAL WARMING! ”
There! Feel better? You get a little green medal to pin on your shirt. It reads “Virtue Signal”.
Do I need to say “sarc right off?
________________
Posted last week – probably before coffee.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/04/22/earth-day-should-celebrate-engines-and-electricity/comment-page-1/#comment-2798418
[excerpt]
Hi Sara – I just want to wait and see – will the snow melt and the fields dry-out enough to get a crop in this Spring? Will there be an early frost? Will the grain harvest be a good one? Will northern growing areas like Peace River, Alberta be frosted out now or in future years? I have no opinion, being too many years off the family farm.
…
Meanwhile, back at the ranch:
We are reportedly at the end of Solar Cycle 24 and into the start of SC 25.
As stated above, SC24 was predicted by NASA (Hathaway) to be robust and has turned out to be a dud – the weakest SC in a century. Leif S and a few others got it about right. SC 25 is expected to be a bit stronger than SC24, but still weak.
I concluded years ago that two consecutive weak SC’s would probably lead to moderate global cooling – we will see – I hope to be wrong about that. It’s a rough analysis, fraught with uncertainty. I’ve asked Tim Ball to do a paper, when he has the time, on the impact of moderate global cooling on northern agriculture.
Let’s hope for a good harvest.
Best wishes to you and yours, Allan
Thanks, Allan. Sunny day today, but it does not help to have a warm day (55F) if there isn’t enough water vapor in the air to hold in the heat at night, and the nighttime temperatures are in the md-30s, AND in the morning there is no dew on the grasses or the siding on my house. Nothing. Air is too dry.
Robins are here, hunting for worms, but having zero luck, so they’re stopping at my feeding station. I will have to get a bag of mealworms and some suet for them next week. The trees are the real indicator, when the leaf buds are NOT responding to sunlight because it’s too chilly at night for the trees to open up and stay open. Trees flower, just like non-woody plants. If it’s too chilly, they won’t open the flower heads and nothing will pollinate.The violets in my yard should be up and there is no trace of them so far.
Everything is out of whack. I don’t know if it’s the low solar yield or what the deal is, but I’m recording everything I can, including using my camera. Even the grass in my yard isn’t growing like it should. The ground is too chilled and we’re not getting spring rains, both of which factor into plant growth. It’s regional, nothing else.
No, this is not the start of an ice age. That started in 1875, in a Wisconsin blizzard that my grandfather recorded in his pocket journal. Check the satellite shots of the snow line up north near Hudson’s Bay. If it doesn’t melt out by July, stock your pantry, freezer, and cupboards.
And make sure you include cheesecake in that. What’s an ice age without cheesecake?
Thank you Sara for your thoughts. Let’s hope for the best regarding the 2018 crop year.
BTW, I predicted this cooling as far back as November 2017 or earlier, based on a close relationship I (and others) developed between Equatorial Pacific Ocean Sea Surface Temperatures (SST’s) and UAH Lower Tropospheric global temperatures (UAH LT’s) 4 to 6 months later. Here are posts dating back to November 12, 2017 – my earlier similar posts on this close relationship between SST’s and subsequent UAH LT’s date from 2016.
Christy and McNider (1994) and Bill Illis developed earlier similar close relationships.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/12/28/the-end-of-the-end-of-winter/comment-page-1/#comment-2702794
Hi Andy,
I wanted to first wish you and yours a wonderful Holiday Season and the very best for the New Year.
I recently returned from sunny Thailand (plus 30C) to sunny Alberta (minus 30C) and have had a difficult time adjusting to our Canadian version of “global warming”.
You may recall our conversation of November 11, 2017, excerpted below.
The atmospheric cooling that I originally predicted (4 months in advance) using the Nino34 anomaly has started to materialize in November 2017 – more global cooling should follow. I can only predict 4 months in the future using the Nino34 temperature anomaly, and 6 months using the Equatorial Upper Ocean temperature anomaly.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1527601687317388&set=a.1012901982120697.1073741826.100002027142240&type=3&theater
Global atmospheric temperatures have reacted a bit later than usual to the drop in Nino34 temperatures, but are slowly returning to their “typical relationship”. This delay in the typical relationship is probably due to the large magnitude of the latest El Nino, such that the excess heat is taking longer-than-usual to dissipate from the ocean through the atmosphere and into space. See the email conversation with John Christy (Nov.4, 2017), located just above on the same page of wattsup.
The sharp decline in the UAHLT global atmospheric temperature anomaly in November 2017 should be followed by even more cooling, down to about 0.0C as I predicted on November 12. I would really like to be wrong about this further cooling, because we are all freezing in most of North America, Prescient people are taking their brass lawn ornaments indoors, such that the extremities do not freeze off.
In the longer term, I expect moderate global cooling, as was experienced from ~1940 to ~1975, to resume. I predicted in 2002 that this moderate multi-decadal global cooling would re-commence by ~2020 to 2030, and this prediction is looking increasingly probable, since solar activity has crashed in SC 24 (and will probably also be very low in SC25).
I hope to be wrong about this last prediction – both humanity and the environment suffer in a cooling world. This human suffering will be exacerbated by the actions of our corrupt/imbecilic politicians, who have greatly compromised our electrical grids due to their over-reliance on intermittent wind and solar energy systems.
Best personal regards, Allan in Calgary
__________________________________
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/11/noaa-la-nina-is-officially-back/#comment-2663851
Allan M R MacRae November 12, 2017 at 1:32 pm
My further analysis suggests the UAH LT temperature anomaly will cool to about 0.0C within about 6 months.
__________________________________
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/11/noaa-la-nina-is-officially-back/#comment-2663875
AndyG55 November 12, 2017 at 1:51 pm
WOW, Allan, you reckon that far, that quickly.
That’ll make things interesting, especially if it continues to drop after that.
_________________________________
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/11/11/noaa-la-nina-is-officially-back/#comment-2663837
From: John Christy
Date: November 4, 2017 at 7:28:22 PM GMT+7
To: Allan MacRae
Cc: Anthony Watts, Roy Spencer, John Christy, Joe D’Aleo, Joe Bastardi
Subject: Re: Sorted – atmospheric cooling will resume soon
Allan
Yes. We’ve seen this correlation since our first paper about it in Nature back in 1994. The Pacific gave up a lot of heat between July and October – and some of it is making its way through the atmosphere. We think the anomalies will drop soon too.
John C.
You guys are missing it. If it’s cold, it’s called “weather.” If it’s not cold, it’s called “climate change” and if it’s warm, it’s called “Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming.”
Meanwhile down under we’re generally experiencing a mild dry autumn. Any reports on what the weather’s doing in the middle of the Indian Ocean at present as we can usually expect that?
Out here in the Chicago suburbs, it hasn’t warmed up enough to even see a puffy cloud, let alone a thunderstorm.
Trees and grass must be at least 2-3 weeks behind schedule as far as greening goes.
Nick,
You linked to a page showing March 2017 not 2018.
Bob,
You are right – I got the wrong report. I looked up a NOAA news items list, and it was the most recent monthly report on the list, so I didn’t ccheck the year.
The March 2018 report is here. It is much more subdued, but still above 20th C average:
“During March, the average contiguous U.S. temperature was 42.6°F, 1.1°F above the 20th century average. This ranked near the median value in the 124-year period of record.”
Stop the presses! The U.S. warmed slightly over the 20th Century. March 2018 is slightly warmer than the average for the 20th Century. BUT: “This ranked near the median value in the 124-year period of record.”
Based on these alarming facts, lets fundamentally alter our society, economy and energy systems. Not.
Sorry my prior comment was a reply to Nick Stokes April 26, 2018 at 3:33 pm.