I had a look at the coldest month anomaly CET that you made.
I think it is valid proxy for central England, but be careful. You cannot take this globally.
Obviously your cold is coming from the same source at regular intervals, seemingly correlated with colder currents.
For incoming energy, i.e. energy that has come through the atmosphere, you can easily discern a sine wave, with a wavelength of 86.5 years. See earlier comment.
According to my various calculations the warmest (turning) point was reached in 1971 and the coolest turning point was in 2014.
Similarly, it would be wrong of me to think that the minimum T here in Pretoria where I live must be representative of the whole world….although initially I thought [from my results] that this was the case and that there was no global warming….
This has nothing to do with snow .
But some of you might find this of interest and may have some ideas what is causing this .
Note the very warm Tasman Sea between Australia and New Zealand on Rens map above..
This has caused very warm weather over most of New Zealand .Probably the warmest December for many years .Last year the surface sea temperature was quite cold but this year is very different and it is causing a lack of much needed rainfall over most areas of New Zealand .Most of our weather comes from the south west except when tropical cyclones push down from the Pacific in our summer.
The few fronts that have come through have come through have brought little moisture with them so the theory that warm air carries more moisture is not evident .Normal rainfall has stopped with only some sporadic thunder showers from mid November ..
All of the northern and western areas of the North Island and the whole eastern area of the South Island are close to drought conditions but there could be some relief next week . It normally dries up in February and March but tropical cyclones may bring welcome rain in those months .
Watson Lake, Canada
Current Conditions – F | C As of 11:55 AM on Friday 29 Dec 2017 (Local Time)
Local Reporting Station
-42C
Feels Like: -42
Wind Chill: -42 Ceiling: NA
Heat Index: -42 Visibility: 16.09k
Dew Point: -47 Wind: 0kph
Humidity: 77% Direction: 270W
Pressure: 1046.06mbar Gusts: NA
ren
it seems to me that when SSN is up the absolute solar polar magnetic field strengths are down and when SSN is down the solar polar field magnetic strengths are up. http://oi63.tinypic.com/2ef6xvo.jpg
I am worried that you might not understand or that I might be wrong…
Clearly you can see that the average solar polar magnetic field strengths can be given by a simple binomial from 1971 to 2014?
I don’t like SSN too much as it is too subjective, beginning with: how big is a spot and what magnification do you use> etc
either way, my thinking is that the next 43.5 years [from 2014] will basically see a mirror image of the ‘scissors’ to confirm the Gleissberg of 86.5 {87} years.
Temperature in New York (F).
http://files.tinypic.pl/i/00953/qevpb4rt7b21.png
Vuc
I had a look at the coldest month anomaly CET that you made.
I think it is valid proxy for central England, but be careful. You cannot take this globally.
Obviously your cold is coming from the same source at regular intervals, seemingly correlated with colder currents.
For incoming energy, i.e. energy that has come through the atmosphere, you can easily discern a sine wave, with a wavelength of 86.5 years. See earlier comment.
According to my various calculations the warmest (turning) point was reached in 1971 and the coolest turning point was in 2014.
Similarly, it would be wrong of me to think that the minimum T here in Pretoria where I live must be representative of the whole world….although initially I thought [from my results] that this was the case and that there was no global warming….
Salvatore, La Nińa is doing its job. The wind is along the equator towards the Philippines.
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2017/anomp.12.28.2017.gif
Pacific delivers snow to the northern US.
http://pics.tinypic.pl/i/00953/ryuaixu2cos5.png
This has nothing to do with snow .
But some of you might find this of interest and may have some ideas what is causing this .
Note the very warm Tasman Sea between Australia and New Zealand on Rens map above..
This has caused very warm weather over most of New Zealand .Probably the warmest December for many years .Last year the surface sea temperature was quite cold but this year is very different and it is causing a lack of much needed rainfall over most areas of New Zealand .Most of our weather comes from the south west except when tropical cyclones push down from the Pacific in our summer.
The few fronts that have come through have come through have brought little moisture with them so the theory that warm air carries more moisture is not evident .Normal rainfall has stopped with only some sporadic thunder showers from mid November ..
All of the northern and western areas of the North Island and the whole eastern area of the South Island are close to drought conditions but there could be some relief next week . It normally dries up in February and March but tropical cyclones may bring welcome rain in those months .
La Niña, of course, gives less snow in the US.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw2/product.php?color_type=tpw_nrl_colors&prod=namer×pan=24hrs&anim=html5
Polar vortex is locked very high, at the very top of the stratosphere (1 mbar).
http://pics.tinypic.pl/i/00953/0fucngfryfyz.png
Snowstorm is approaching Indianapolis.
There will be more snowstorms in the Dakotas. They will come from Montana.
Enjoy
Only 20 more years of global cooling to go.
I am too old to frost.
Again, heavy snow in Erie.
http://www.yourerie.com/skycam-cameras/erie-international-airport-tom-ridge-field-skycam
Watson Lake, Canada
Current Conditions – F | C As of 11:55 AM on Friday 29 Dec 2017 (Local Time)
Local Reporting Station
-42C
Feels Like: -42
Wind Chill: -42 Ceiling: NA
Heat Index: -42 Visibility: 16.09k
Dew Point: -47 Wind: 0kph
Humidity: 77% Direction: 270W
Pressure: 1046.06mbar Gusts: NA
Please pay attention to the pressure.
Solar shield without sunspots and coronal holes on the solar equator.
http://pics.tinypic.pl/i/00953/c1miigk69eeq.png
Very low magnetic activity of the Sun.
http://www2.irf.se/maggraphs/rtplot_flux2_solarq_abs_24.png
ren
it seems to me that when SSN is up the absolute solar polar magnetic field strengths are down and when SSN is down the solar polar field magnetic strengths are up.
http://oi63.tinypic.com/2ef6xvo.jpg
You agree?
Henry, it’s clear to me.
http://wso.stanford.edu/gifs/Dipall.gif
http://cosmicrays.oulu.fi/webform/monitor.gif
I am worried that you might not understand or that I might be wrong…
Clearly you can see that the average solar polar magnetic field strengths can be given by a simple binomial from 1971 to 2014?
I don’t like SSN too much as it is too subjective, beginning with: how big is a spot and what magnification do you use> etc
either way, my thinking is that the next 43.5 years [from 2014] will basically see a mirror image of the ‘scissors’ to confirm the Gleissberg of 86.5 {87} years.
Sorry. The forecast leaves no illusions.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/strat_a_f/gif_files/gfs_z100_nh_f240.png